Asset allocation is a little like
position assignments in basketball: there are distinct roles, but in reality
they become somewhat fluid. Like a basketball coach, you should keep your asset
allocation flexible enough to adapt to the current situation.
For example, the traditional
basketball line-up is two guards, two forwards, and a center player. However,
sometimes a team may go with a three-guard line-up, and often teams play
without a true center. Similarly, asset allocation should have both general
parameters and the ability to adjust to the situation. Certainly, with average rates
on savings accounts and money market accounts down around
0.20 percent, an adjustment might seem tempting.
Fixed vs. active asset allocation
Conventional retirement planners
will often suggest a fixed asset allocation, based on the historical
characteristics of cash, stocks, and bonds. The problem is that investment
history doesn't repeat itself in an orderly manner. Anyone who has expected the
usual high returns from stocks over the past decade has found that out the hard
way.
A better approach is to let history
be a guide, but not an absolute dictator of asset allocation. So, a person with
two years to retirement should probably not be 100 percent in stocks, and
neither should a twenty-five-year-old's retirement
account be primarily in cash. However, within certain sensible parameters, they
should adjust their allocations to meet prevailing risks and opportunities, and
profit.
Reacting to low savings and money
market rates
For example, currently, you may be
thinking about switching out of those low-paying savings accounts, money market accounts, or
CDs to other securities. Bonds, for example, will give you a bump in yield to
above 3 percent, but unlike deposit accounts they will lose money if interest
rates rise. Stocks have the potential for higher growth, but having already
bounced back by more than 75 percent from their early-2009 lows, they also
represent more risk and less return potential than
they did a year or two ago.
In short, a basketball coach must
always be ready to assess risk and make a substitution. Before doing so though,
he must have an idea whether the player going in is any good, so do your
research beforehand.
The original article can be found at Money-Rates.com:
"Why your asset allocation should be flexible--like basketball"