Why Obama Will Lose Today....
The mainstream media did everything they could to knock off Hillary Clinton in the Primary Election and John McCain in the General Election in order to help elect Barack Obama the 44th President of the United States. Fortunately, their attempt to convince the American people that the inexperienced and untested Junior Senator from Illinois was qualified to be President has backfired.
While the media try to weave a story of a unified Democratic Party and a Republican Party in turmoil, the facts point to a different outcome. While I may be one of the few pundits in America that think John McCain will win on Tuesday, I hold firm to the lessons learned in the Democratic Primary and Politics 101.
For anyone to win the Presidency, he/she must unify their base, split the Independent votes and steal one more vote from the other side. Although the media's polls have unanimously concluded that Obama will sweep to victory on Tuesday, there remains fundamental problems for the Obama campaign with their base of Democratic voters. Since Obama's problems from this summer's Democratic Primary have not been resolved, nor reported by the national media, the Electoral College map signals trouble for the media's main man.
Throughout the Democratic Primary election, Obama never garnered significant support from four of the major groups within the Democratic base. Union members, women, older voters and Jewish voters all were Hillary Clinton supporters in significant numbers. While the national media did focus on the disgruntled female supporters of Hillary Clinton in the lead up to the Democratic National Convention in Denver, they dropped the issue after Obama won the nomination at the Convention.
However, the media's short attention span has not solved the problem for the man whose Pastor of 20 years still gives many Americans pause. Additionally, there has been very little written or aired about the lack of support for Obama with older voters, Jewish voters and union members. The assumption that the 25 million people who voted for Hillary and the rest of the Democratic candidates now have Obama yard signs will prove to be a fatal mistake for the media and Howard Dean.
Now I will admit that the majority of the members of these groups will ultimately end up voting for the Democratic nominee, but the slightest amount of slippage in the percentage of these voters means Obama will not have the support the media and the polls are assuming he will have. And this is no small problem. Since Obama has not united the Democratic Party the way Sarah Palin helped John McCain unite the Republican Party, the 44th President of the United States will be John S. McCain.
If this doesn't make sense to you then your emotions have carried you away from reality. McCain doesn't need the majority of supporters from these traditional Democratic groups in order to win today. McCain needs to get only a small amount because these voters are not independents or swing voters, these people are traditional and frequent Democratic voters.
None of the main media outlets have looked in to whether or not these groups, who did not support Obama in the Primary, have come back to the Democratic base. But they have not. How else does one explain the fact that Pennsylvania gave Hillary a huge win in the Primary and is still giving Obama trouble today. Pennsylvania is a traditionally Democratic State and yet in this anti-Republican year, Obama has failed to close the deal. A closer look at Ohio, West Virginia, Missouri and even Michigan suggests that union members and older Americans are not comfortable with Barack Obama.
The media, however, have all but called the race for Obama; but they have overplayed their hand. While CNN reports, as they did last week, that Obama is up in Missouri and NPR and the New York Times are trying to convince us that North Carolina and Virginia are really toss-up states, the American electorate quietly wait for the opening of the polls.
Loading comments…
Want to reply to a comment? Hint: Click "Reply" at the bottom of the comment; after being approved your comment will appear directly underneath the comment you replied to
So...Mr. Grenell, feeling prescient these days?
this article WAS a satire piece:
"Since Obama has not united the Democratic Party the way Sarah Palin helped John McCain unite the Republican Party, the 44th President of the United States will be John S. McCain."
only a fool would agree that palin helped mccain do... well, anything. obama has united the democratic party. but, this article is pretty funny and i'm sure someone goaded him to write a satire piece. I hope Grenell didn't bet the farm in Vegas as he has lost A LOT of money. What's that about Florida, NC, Ohion, and Virginia?
Did the media really overplay their hand? Or are you just spouting off BS to sound like the only pundit who really knows what's 'a hapnin'?
We're waiting ...How long? Show your humble side.
I must tell you,after eight years of policies,C
by the people,for the people,stir up the results,Obama 2008.
President Elect Obama!
We're waiting ...How long? Show your humble side,recognize why Obama won.
I must tell you,after eight years of policies,disregard the Constitution
by the people,for the people,stir up the results,Obama 2008.
President Elect Obama!
Come on, Rich. Where's your clever riposte? Where's your bold, insightful analysis of the election results? Where's your noble, rebellious defense of your prognostication yesterday?
Yesterday, you sure were full of what I'm sure you regarded as daring, thoughtful analysis. You were definitely full of something ...
Well? We're waiting ...
Well, Mr. Grenell? You were wrong on every single rationale you cited for why Obama would lose.
When can we expect you to write about your massive failure of analysis and how you are going to rethink your methods to find out why you were so wrong?
Oh were, Oh were has my Buttercup gone?????
So... How's that theory working out for you?
Mr Grenell,He
Nice try
Foot in mouth.
I guess the world just isn't what you thought it was. Any more words of wisdom for us, Mr Grenell?
You can always say you were making an attempt at satire. Ha!
So, the punchline has been delivered.
It turns out there was an organized, unifying force which brought the Democrats together.
That force had no answer within the Republican party.
7+ million in the popular vote speaks volumes.
Emotional thought and motivation does have its place after all.
What matters now is what we do with it.
Uhm......w
You must be logged in to comment. Log in or connect with
