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Divorce Meets Big Data

Posted: 03/ 2/2012 12:35 pm

The New York Times recently published an expose on Target's initiative to identify the life cycle events of their customers by mining data from their purchasing patterns. The thinking is that if you can correctly identify when a customer is pregnant, for example, you can more acutely target your advertising efforts to that customer to include things like diapers, sanitary wipes, and a myriad of other goods that she is soon to need. More important, by catching the consumer at the intersection of a big life change, like having a child, there is an opportunity to change customer shopping habits and brand loyalty forever.

Among the life cycle events in Target's program are child birth, marriage, and divorce. According to the article, when people get divorced there is a heightened chance that they will start buying different brands of beer. This factoid raises many questions, both practical and philosophical. On the practical level, it calls us to wonder what other consumption patterns might change after a divorce? Or perhaps more interesting to retailers, what consumption patterns might change in the lead-up to a divorce? On the philosophical level, it begs us to ask who has access to this data, who should have access to this data, what impact might it have in divorce trials, and the potential ethical issues that arise from targeting advertisements to divorcees.

How Does Consumption Change After Divorce?

As it turns out, there is a ton of research about changes in consumption patterns both immediately before and after divorce. According to a study in the Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, sudden purchases of furniture, linens, low-calorie foods, and frozen meals are a telltale sign that a divorce has recently occurred. The logic is quite clear: When one vacates the marital home, he or she has to find a new home, furnish it, and usually buy a whole new suite of bed sheets, towels, etc. When one has to re-enter the dating market, one becomes concerned about body image in the mind of the opposite sex, and starts paying more attention to diet. And, as we all know, it's vexing to cook a real meal for one, so recent divorcees tend to rely more heavily on prepared meals. Perhaps more interesting, the study suggests that elevated purchases of alcohol are likely an indicator that a divorce is about to occur.

Who Has Access to Your Data?

Based on the NYT article, you might get the impression that expecting mothers and recent divorcees are being unfairly singled out, but that is hardly the case. Targeted advertising has grown into an enormous industry, and Big Data is the subsidiary industry that makes it all possible. In a post-Google world, this is simply the norm. So the question is, should divorce be exempted from the norm? Is targeting an alcohol advertisement to a recent divorcee somehow different than targeting a shoe advertisement to someone who likes basketball? My gut instinct says that it is, and I expect many readers would agree with me. First of all, there is a societal expectation that the divorce process is sensitive and deserving of privacy. Moreover, it seems unconscionable for a retailer to send alcohol advertisements to someone who is known to be at a point in their life when they have a heightened susceptibility to alcohol abuse.

Perhaps if the advertisements were limited to furniture and linens, it would seem less predatory. But the reality is that advertising is essentially a no holds barred industry. There is no regulator to tell retailers what data they can and cannot collect, or how they can deploy that data to target their advertising campaigns. The Obama administration is currently pressing the industry to formulate a "privacy bill of rights," but even that would be voluntary and self-enforced. So for the time being, if retailers are mining your purchasing patterns for insight into your life, there is no limit to what they can do with that information.

That's the bad news. The good news is there are only a handful of companies in the world that have enough data about your purchasing patterns to draw any real insight from it, and they guard that data rather zealously. Costco has no incentive to share your data with Walmart, even if Walmart is willing to pay, because that data could be the key to winning your long-term loyalty. So you do have some level of control over how far your data spreads. Vote with your dollars, and only patronize the merchants that you trust to be responsible stewards of your data.

How Might This Data Impact Divorce Proceedings?

Once you enter the courtroom, however, that's a whole different story. Your former spouse could potentially subpoena your favorite retailers for access to information about your purchases, and if the court grants the discovery order, the retailers will be required to produce the data. Of course, if your former spouse needs to analyze your consumption patterns in order to learn that you're getting a divorce, then something is terribly wrong.

All jokes aside, however, there is a real concern here. Your consumption patterns may become relevant to custody proceedings, alimony, child support, and division of marital assets. For example, if Target discloses to the court that you purchase a handle of Malibu every week, your former spouse could use this evidence to imply that you have an alcohol problem and are unfit for sole or joint custody. Or if Zara reveals that you regularly drop more than $1,000 per visit on apparel, the jury may seriously question your need for alimony.

The question to ask yourself is whether there is any aspect of your lifestyle or consumption habits that could potentially be damaging if disclosed in front of a jury. The other question to ask yourself is whether this is a healthy way for people to live. Should we have to live in fear of our retailers? Should there be any space of life that deserves genuine privacy? And, as divorcees, what can we do to protect ourselves from the prying eyes of Big Data?

 

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The New York Times recently published an expose on Target's initiative to identify the life cycle events of their customers by mining data from their purchasing patterns. The thinking is that if you c...
The New York Times recently published an expose on Target's initiative to identify the life cycle events of their customers by mining data from their purchasing patterns. The thinking is that if you c...
 
 
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12:56 AM on 03/05/2012
Combine this with collected Facebook, Google, Ebay and Amazon data and, latter on, biometric data then the only things left for a central authority to do would be to attached a category number to a person for quicker sorting and collation in a central database and to RFID chip each and everyone to track and monitor 24/7. Welcome to the Brave New World.
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rsttho557949
What is Job's Crucible?
01:59 PM on 03/04/2012
I'm wondering if people are going to stop being manipulated by businesses. The love of money is the root of all kinds of evil. Yes, folks can predict a divorce because it is those same folks that create the situations that will put stress on marriages. Credit cards, impulse spending, buying expensive things that folks don't need, will place tremendous stress on a couple's relationship. I would say that the greatest cause of relationship break down is not infidelity but the constant stress of being in the "red" more than in the "black" because of economic manipulations. the real kicker is that divorce makes the divorcees broker but makes businesses richer because of the divorce! Want to stay married? Save money. Tell your spouse you cherish them and don’t buy kids, "everything that I didn't have." Also, unless it Harvard University or the Ivy League, don't send your child to the most expensive school for an education; send him or her to the state school down the way.
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WSAY
Res ipsa loquitur
10:02 AM on 03/04/2012
"When one has to re-enter the dating market, one becomes concerned about body image in the mind of the opposite sex, and starts paying more attention to diet. '

That is a very telling comment. Think, for a moment, what that really means. When people are married, they allow themselves to deteriorate. Then when they get divorced, they start to focus on better health, self-image, and diet. Once again we see why marriage is such a destructive force in our society. People get married and they believe they no longer have to worry about how they look or what they eat. They become physically and, I would argue, emotionally, unhealthy.

Stay single; stay healthy; and stay attractive. Getting married is the kiss of death. There is no reason for is, and as we see here is self-destructive.
08:56 PM on 03/03/2012
Stop feeding the beast. Don't shop with CCs, debit cards & have multiple customer discount cards with different names - or no names. I use to put famous names on my cards to mess with them. GIGO
08:54 AM on 03/06/2012
It's very simple to pay cash. Your retailer can't track you or your habits that way. End of story.
10:37 PM on 03/02/2012
"When one has to re-enter the dating market, one becomes concerned about body image in the mind of the opposite sex..." There are more and more same-sex marriages too, and presumably some divorces.
10:00 PM on 03/02/2012
Just one more reason to shop small local retailers.
09:52 PM on 03/02/2012
My ex didn't show any of these obvious material cues, but he did feel the need to upgrade to more expensive brands in the months before he disappeared. I wonder what the data crunchers made of that?
http://lessonsfromtheendofamarriage.com
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webwzrd
Reality is liberal indoctrination
09:28 PM on 03/02/2012
This is a sneak peek into the world we are heading into. All of our activity is now monitored in ways that we are not aware of or we don't understand. That little rewards card you get pretty much everywhere nowadays is tying you buying patterns to your demographic data. Over time and numbers of subjects, patterns emerge that allow those interest to predict your behavior and tailor messages to individuals in order to get them to behave in a certain way, such as buy a product. This is already common practice for companies such as Target and Amazon.

The problem is that the same thing can be used to prompt ANY kind of behavior, including who you vote for. Anyone who thinks this won't eventually happen or is not happening already is naive.
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07:26 PM on 03/03/2012
And what about when data mining gets it wrong, draws the wrong conclusions, is used by law enforcement for profiling, mixes your data with someone else, plenty of cases when data mining had inaccurate data like credit bureas, Data mining is dependent on the method used, expertise of the data miner, it can be used to produce a profile by selecting certain data over other data, recently a teenager with anorexia parents had 1000s of dollrs for treatment the insurer turned down in the law suit they used her facebook data to claim she and her friends were encouraging each other to not eat and she was doing due to peer pressure not a eating disorder, a major insurer used data mining to identify patients and cancel coverage in 2006. Who else will ise your data aginst you.
07:58 PM on 03/02/2012
It was my husband's surge in alcohol consumption over our 25 year marriage that lead me to divorce :\
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Sheldon archer
Facebook name is Yuyun Archer
07:40 PM on 03/02/2012
Why bother? The divorce rate in the US is about 50% so you can toss a coin to see if you are going to divorce. Shows that feminists don't make very satisfactory wives but they appear to be happy without men anyway.
06:01 PM on 03/03/2012
So divorce is solely attributed to the wives?  Bitter?
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Sheldon archer
Facebook name is Yuyun Archer
07:55 PM on 03/03/2012
Well now, according to statistics around 80% of divorces are instigated by women. Thus they don't appear to follow "Til death do us part" very well. The number one reason is money. This appears to supersede love. I have been married for 9 years and we live solely on my military pension yet my wife and I are totally happy together. The values of the women here in Indonesia are totally different. They think more of family than careers. Bitter? Haha. I have never been happier in my life but I have experienced Western women in the past and, gene3rally speaking, No Thank You.
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WSAY
Res ipsa loquitur
10:04 AM on 03/04/2012
You do not sound particularly smart. There is nothing in this article about “feminist.” All you sound like is a bitter old man who was angry at women.
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gemzenith
07:27 PM on 03/02/2012
I say purchase something random once in a while to skew the statistics.Then you can gift it or trade it or what ever.I would like to screw with the system as much as it screws with us.
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GraniteSkyline
I wish you happiness!
07:02 PM on 03/02/2012
Several years ago I read a study that suggested that couples who each used different brands of personal hygiene products rather than sharing such things as soap, toothpaste, and deodorant are less emotionally attached to each other and headed for a split sooner than later. Initially I laughed it off as preposterous, however, the study always stuck in the back of my mind and (and I'm not proud of this) after snooping in people's medicine cabinets and behind shower curtains, I can say that yes, its true.
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laymancanuck
IGNORANCE has used up its quota of TOLERANCE
06:32 PM on 03/02/2012
Don't feed the data machine, pay with cash, don't use loyalty programs. Information has value, don't give it away.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
WSAY
Res ipsa loquitur
10:13 AM on 03/04/2012
Be paranoid.
05:12 PM on 03/02/2012
And the moral of the story is to pay cash for everything, and not use the preferred customer cards handed by all major retail chains.
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pepper1311
POGS are dirt
05:08 PM on 03/02/2012
Read brandWashed! They know everything you buy and want..