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RJ Eskow

RJ Eskow

Posted: October 16, 2008 01:59 PM

Is There a GOP Strategy -- A Kamikaze Campaign for the Black Helicopter Crowd?


Strange. On the same day that a new poll showed McCain's negative campaign is damaging his chances, he used the final debate to go even more negative. And McCain and Palin are both going deeper into black-helicopter territory, with talk of "terrorists" and a scary organization they say is going to steal the election.

An observer could be forgiven for thinking that they're not even trying to win anymore -- that they have another agenda in mind. Let's hope that interpretation's wrong. The politics of destruction has already hurt the country enough.

The television pundits initially thought McCain did well last night, but polls confirmed that most Americans knew better: The number of Americans who thought Obama won jumped to 53% in the CBS poll, up from 38% and 40% in the first two debates.

Sure, McCain was livelier , and he didn't wander aimlessly around the stage. Apparently commentators confused his improved vital signs for a more effective performance, but here's what really happened: McCain had already convinced most Americans he's not capable of fixing the economy, but last night he convinced them that... they don't like him, either. Whaddya expect? They told him through the polls that they don't like the meanness -- and in response he got meaner.

The question is: Why? Why would a faltering campaign double-up on a losing strategy? Sure, there's always the possibility that McCain can't help himself, that he's so full of anger and bitterness that he can't control himself. Or there's the possibility is that the Palinites have taken over the campaign, forcing McCain to do their bidding. ("Lassie, go tell Mom and Dad! The bad people have taken Grandpa!")

But there's a simpler explanation for all the wacky conspiracy theories and incitements to right-wing rage: This could be a long term "destabilization" strategy. They expect to lose. So they'd rather lose by an even larger margin, but in a way that encourages their base to question the legitimacy of Obama's administration. McCain's behavior actually makes sense in that light - if their goal isn't to win, but to lay the groundwork for noncooperation (if not active resistance) to the Federal government.

That's not an opposition-party strategy. It's political Posse Comitatus.

Before you decide they'd never be that extreme, remember: That's pretty much what they did during the Clinton years -- with the murder theories, false conspiracy stories, and deeds like Newt Gingrich shutting down the government. It was a watered-down version of the destabilization campaigns the U.S. has used against unfriendly foreign governments for decades.

A real destabilization strategy needs people who will hold demonstrations and perform other acts of protest (which aren't always peaceful). It doesn't take very many. The women banging pots and pans in Chile were few in number, but their psychological impact was great. What was important was that they were angry.

Think about it: When given yet another chance to condemn people at Palin rallies for shouting "terrorist" and "kill him," McCain refused. He danced around the question by saying you'll "always have fringe people" who say things that "aren't appropriate." But he insisted "I'm proud of the people that come to our rallies." He didn't say "that kind of talk is out of line," and - pointedly -- Sarah Palin's never said it either.

So here's the pattern: Paint Obama as an extremist, a terrorist plant. Stir up hatred. Lay the groundwork for arguing that the election was stolen, even if you're veering into conspiracy talk. You're firing up the same crowd that thinks George Bush Sr. and the Trilateral Commission created a secret world dictatorship enforced by UN agents in a fleet of black helicopters.

McCain addressed that crowd in a couple of other ways, too. He used coded language for the far right home schooling lobby, for example, when he said school choice is "the civil rights issue of the 21st Century." And then there's this unforgettable line:

That's the extreme pro-abortion position: "Health."
There are good people on both sides of the school choice and reproductive rights issues, but when you use an activist catch-phrase ("schooling as THE civil rights issue") and mock women's health, you're simply playing to the extremists in your base.

If the goal really is to stir up resistance, the anti-Clinton harrassment of the 1990's will seem tame in comparison to what's coming. But it could backfire, too. The GOP's Achilles heel (that means "weakness," Gov. Palin) is its tendency to keep using once-successful strategies long after their sell-by date. Americans could easily become infuriated if they come to believe one party is sabotaging the other at the expense of the public's well-being.

That may be why so many responsible conservatives like George F. Will (and less responsible ones, too) are condemning this campaign. Conservatism was a fringe ideology for decades, until William F. Buckley and Barry Goldwater restored its respectability. An extremist "guerrilla resistance GOP" could set the conservative cause back for decades.

Obama isn't President yet, and Democrats would be foolish to be too sanguine about the outcome. And God knows I hope this interpretation of the GOP's strategy is wrong. We need to restore a responsible public debate and put an end to the destructiveness of the last 15 years. If Obama is elected and Republicans opt for a "destabilization" strategy, everybody will lose.
_____________

(UPDATE: John Amato reports that Rush Limbaugh's becoming even loopier, talking of black people with a "30 year plan" to turn their children into militants. Rush then links this conspiracy to Rev. Wright, ACORN, and terrorism. It's all of a piece with the new trend of turning right-wing politics into a war game. It's conservatism as extremist fantasy.)

(UPDATE II: GOP robocalls are now saying the following: " ...Congressional Democrats now want to give civil rights to terrorists... You need to know that Barack Obama has worked closely with domestic terrorist Bill Ayers, whose organization bombed the U.S. Capitol, the Pentagon, a judge's home, and killed Americans. And Democrats will enact an extreme leftist agenda if they take control of Washington." And the beat goes on.)

Read more reactions to the Obama-McCain Presidential Debate from HuffPost bloggers

RJ Eskow blogs when he can at:

A Night Light
The Sentinel Effect: Healthcare Blog
Future-While-U-Wait

Follow RJ Eskow on Twitter: www.twitter.com/rjeskow

Strange. On the same day that a new poll showed McCain's negative campaign is damaging his chances, he used the final debate to go even more negative. And McCain and Palin are both going deeper into...
Strange. On the same day that a new poll showed McCain's negative campaign is damaging his chances, he used the final debate to go even more negative. And McCain and Palin are both going deeper into...
 
 
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
Freesia2
I'm nicer than I appear in print. :-)
12:57 PM on 10/17/2008
Okay Mr. Eskow, you're scaring me. Every day somebody scares me to death.

I was about to sit down to a lovely lunch of noodles - I adore noodles - and they now look to me like a plate of snakes.

Why can't I just vote for Obama because he's a wonderful (not perfect but very fine) man with an amazing intellect and be happy that there's a very good chance he might get in the White House and be my President? But even if he does I have to worry that the Maverick and Gidget have coalesced an army of pot banging whackos in black helicopters or some such to tear the country up and make me even unhappier. When oh when do I get some peace?

You have ruined my noodles. Stop it.

Good article though. :-)
12:53 PM on 10/17/2008
,...as if there wasn't enough paranoia around already,....???? why does this story keep dropping off the home page?
12:12 PM on 10/17/2008
FUTURE WARS
McCain’s campaign and “his”choice of Sarah Palin has Karl Rove's slice and dice stink all over it and nothing at all to do with this election. When it became apparent the White House was going Dem, plan B became an early seeding campaign, carving off as many borderline voters with racial issues to simmer in a self-victimization stew for four long years along with all the other special interests that fueled the culture wars. Palin was necessary to keep the Romneys, Huckabees, Guilianis of the party clear of the mud. Lieberman was pocketed to save the Israel first contingent. Palin’s agenda is clear. New blood, eager to please, ambitious beyond any sense of self awareness, political, cultural, historical or economic context, she becomes the new poster child endorsement that rails against a new racially mixed progressive movement and by accident or design an immediate star in the secessionist movements and the rebranded “kinder-gentler, family value” white pride elements of racist America.

Many of the cross burning contingents or racism in the U.S. whittled down to cel-sized organizations are extremely difficult to penetrate, heavily armed, well-trained militias globally connected by the internet and undyingly enamored with Hitler’s politics. Current economics that also foreshadowed WWI and WWII, inflamed with racial self-righteousness are perfect storm circumstances for conflict.

The election is just the opening salvo in what promises to be a new chapter in American history that may rival the conflicts of the 60's.
11:32 AM on 10/17/2008
why would McCain flush a lifetime of honorable service to our country down the toilet just to become president of the united states for four years? Its McCain ,not country first.we must vote!
12:54 PM on 10/17/2008
John's POW experience has predisposed him to cave into certain types of pressure,...it's a question of knowing what buttons to push.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
timm0
I'm not top 0.01% - so it must be because I'm lazy
08:10 AM on 10/17/2008
RJ, the core of your question is just like the creation debate: is this intelligent design or a "big bang" event?

If karl rove was at the helm, I'd say it's 'intelligent design.' With rove, there was usually a very deliberate goal for the heinous GOP acts (vote tampering, Constitution shredding, etc.). The goal was typically concentrating power - and with the belief that the results and administration actions were the best thing for the country (and the wealthy). There was usually an obvious thread (although amazingly visible only to people outside the media!) so that when something baffling was done, you could eventually figure out what was going on.

At this point, there seems to be no equivalent "visionary" (pardon me for that term) in the GOP camp. All that you've got are insane witch hunters and enraged, terrified, scorched-earth maniacs. They've learned some tricks from rove, but I bet they had him booted out because he just wasn't insane enough. We are witnessing a Lord of the Flies implosion on the 'right,' where there is no trace of logic. There is only explosive, irrational reactions... a bunch of activities that have an impact, but aren't cohesively moving toward any sort of goal.

The Clinton problems were partially due to the fact that he had a pretty full closet of skeletons. Obama doesn't.

I agree that it's troubling to think about how this "movement" will end. In the meantime, jujitsu-like responses have been very effective.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
timm0
I'm not top 0.01% - so it must be because I'm lazy
08:27 AM on 10/17/2008
Didn't have room to also mention that the best way to defeat these people in the short term is good governance.

The best long term method is to add a Constitutional amendment that allows Congress to regulate campaigns for Federal offices. This will allow the money to get stripped out of campaigning and demand a completely different way to get elected. Robocalls, advocacy groups, etc. can potentially get stripped away from the process.
HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Oregon Ivy
02:45 AM on 10/17/2008
Vote! Everyone just get out there and vote. Take a bunch of friends with you.

We need an ovewhelming number of votes so that nobody can claim the election was rigged.

Bush stole it with 537 votes in Florida. We need to send a CLEAR message.
10:24 PM on 10/16/2008
If this is the Republican strategy, it is NOT the McCain strategy. McCain could incite a thousand times as much long term division simply by letting the Republicans do what they so desperately want to do: Reverend Wright, Reverend Wright, Reverend Wright, 24/7.

There's exactly one person in the country in a position to prevent a nationwide torrent of divisive Reverend Wright hate ads--and that's Senator John McCain. And he's doing it. He's doing the right thing, even though everyone around him wants to do the wrong thing. Even though no one on the other side even notices.

If history remembers nothing else about John McCain, let history remember this one truly noble and great stand of his above all others.

For our part, we should applaud McCain for doing the right thing. Right now, he must be the loneliest he has ever been in his life (yes, including then). We should let him know he's not alone.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
goosie29
LIVE AND LET DIE
10:53 PM on 10/16/2008
Not "going there" about Jeremiah W does not make McCain a hero in my eyes. Too little, too late
11:37 PM on 10/16/2008
WEING ! Senator John Mc*SAME* "IS" a follower, *NOT* a leader. That's a truth-In-Fact you had better come to understand. John was trained from an early age to follow, it's in his DNA.
12:30 PM on 10/17/2008
,...and re-enforced to a pathological degree during his POW imprisonment which is how ("whoever is running the machine" - ROVE?) is exacting their will on John. - Sad, very sad for John.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
EbonBear
opinionated hairy man
07:51 PM on 10/16/2008
I think their strategy now is to use the ACORN story and similar ones, to create the impression that Obama is an ilegitimate president and use that as an excuse for launching a bazillion hostile investigations of his administration. Sort-of like the lynching of Clinton but even more so. I'm even expecting them to try impeaching him on some BS charge, most likely if Obama tries using any of the powers W has appropriated.
07:44 PM on 10/16/2008
There is another explanation. McCain has such hatred for Bill Ayres that he can't help himself.

From his point of view, he sat in a POW camp while Ayres should have gone to prison, but never did. He just can't see this as a totally irrational response. To his warped mind, Ayres is the ultimate evil. He may even believe that the anti-war protests from Ayers et. al. prolonged his captivity.
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07:12 PM on 10/16/2008
Scorched earth policy, anyone? McCain seems to want to contaminate the 'middle of the road' approach to political discourse by driving everyone to the extreme ends of the political spectrum. When he says that Palin was 'thoroughly vetted', I believe him. She's exactly what they were looking for, someone with extremist views (AIP, religious rigidity, nepotism) who would appeal to the lowest common denominator. Imagine that, a VP they wouldn't mind 'dating' (ok, you know what I mean) who can tote a gun and dress a moose. She's no accident.

All the best for Nov. 4th,
Itchy.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
EbonBear
opinionated hairy man
07:56 PM on 10/16/2008
Actually, I think they're trying to remove the middle of the road entirely. The Palin/McCain campaign, backed by Faux, has never been shy about portraying Obama's moderate stances as extreme leftist and they've already convinced a lot of people that anything to the left of Attila the Hun is indistinguishable from outright communism.

Even if McCain is crushed this time and even if they don't manage to impeach Obama (which I guarentee they're planning), they will use a mythology of him as an illegitimate president, created by the ACORN story, to launch enough hostile investigations of his administration that it will prevent Obama's administration from doing anything about the most pressing issues. That's the Republican way: Shout down and demonise any disagreement when in power and maintain that the whole concept of the power is illegitimate when they're not.

Then they'll run palin in 2012. She's exactly what they've been looking for: Pretty face, policies of Jesse Helms.
07:51 AM on 10/17/2008
Palin will take the fall for this disaster. The second the election is called the Republican Party will demolish her. Party insiders don't want the stink of this sticking to them when 2012 rolls around.

I do believe, though, the plan is to cripple Obama before he's even inaugurated. They'll definitely try to shut down his presidency relentlessly...but I think Obama will win pretty big, take some red states and take this ellection with a broad spectrum of voters. The general public won't be in the mood for a moldering Republican Party crapping in the punchbowl. They'll try. I don't think it will work.
07:03 PM on 10/16/2008
I suspect it makes little difference what the 'intended' strategy is. The result will be the same. The atmosphere is becoming ripe for it regardless of intentions. Those who would destabilize will do so regardless.
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HeevenSteven
20 Minutes into the future.
05:29 PM on 10/16/2008
Seems they're tripling down R.J.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/10/16/massive-rnc-robocall-may_n_135348.html

What is an extreme leftist agenda anyway?
06:18 PM on 10/16/2008
In the USA it would be something really radical like an extra carton of milk in the school lunch program.

And allowing gays to divorce - which would destroy our civilization as we imagine it.
05:28 PM on 10/16/2008
Palin is deeply rooted in the Black Helicopter crowd. Most of her AKIP friends wanted to build their own militias and has all sorts of crazy sympathies and conspiracy theories.

Watch CNN Cover Palin's AKIP Involvement
http://newsone.blackplanet.com/elections/cnn-covers-palins-akip-connection/

Here's an Interview With the AKIP Chairman on Palin
http://newsone.blackplanet.com/elections/akip-interview-on-palin/

Palin Had a Friend Named Black Helicopter Steve
http://www.salon.com/news/feature/2008/10/10/palin_chryson/
05:27 PM on 10/16/2008
Another explanation: McCain is too stubborn, or not bright enough, to recognize a losing strategy while it's happening to him. He acts on his impulses without looking ahead to the consequences. That's the only explanation I can think of for the Palin choice.
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04:54 PM on 10/16/2008
Brother RJ! I bow in your virtual direction. A few questions.

Who's setting this beat? Just where is the Bush administration getting its torture regime? In whose stable, and by what methods, has this diabolical duo, this Horseman called 'Fear of God' and his mount, 'Crusader,' trained and groomed for this race?

And why is it wearing our flag under its saddle? Just where has the US gotten its advice on crushing human psyches, hacking them like computers and overriding the person's will? Is this any way for a servant, the government, to treat its sovereign, We, the People?

APA, I'm looking at you, baby!

I'd sure like to know just exactly who it's been. Who's been involved in our no longer secret method for jacking electorates to hell and sticking them with the bill? Is this what McCain has meant when he's boasted, "I know how to do It"?