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Richard (RJ) Eskow

Richard (RJ) Eskow

Posted: August 18, 2010 10:37 AM

The Republican Party's attempt to privatize Social Security under George W. Bush was wildly unpopular. At least one Republican Congressional candidate is openly calling for Social Security cuts, and Rep. Paul Ryan's widely-publicized "Roadmap for the Future" includes both privatization and benefit cuts. With all these GOP threats to a popular program, why do polls show that the Democratic Party's advantage on this issue has collapsed?

Here's one reason: Voters want to know that their leaders won't cut Social Security benefits, and not enough Democrats have promised they won't. Some, including the president, are avoiding the issue or changing the subject. Democrats clearly think that Social Security is a winning issue for them, but polls suggest that voters aren't likely to be swayed by declarations that oppose privatization but are vague on benefits.

A recent NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll tells the story of the Democrats' declining fortunes in Social Security. People who were polled this month only gave Democrats a four-point advantage over Republicans (30%-26%) on the issue of "dealing with Social Security." That's down from the 28-point advantage (48%-20%) they enjoyed in October 2006. Meanwhile, recent polls showed that 68% of people responding oppose cutting Social Security and Medicare to pay for the deficit, including 60% of Republicans.

Voters looking for a clear statement on benefits from the Democratic leadership aren't getting them yet. Instead, Democratic leaders insist on fighting a battle that's not being waged right now: privatization. While Republicans probably would revive this issue if they had the White House and majorities in both Houses, that's not on the table right now. On the battle that is being fought, benefit cuts, statements from the president and other party leaders have been conspicuously silent. As this Greenberg poll shows, politicians that support Social Security cuts will face strong voter backlash.

President Obama's weekly address, on the 75th anniversary of Social Security's creation, was entitled "Honoring Social Security, Not Privatizing It." The address was directed at the issue that's not on the table right now -- privatization -- and offered no assurances for voters on the subject of benefit cuts. And observers won't be reassured by the president's comment that he was "encouraged by the reports of serious bipartisan work being done on this and other issues in the fiscal commission that I set up several months ago." The Democratic and Republican co-chairs of that commission both have a history of advocating benefit cuts, as does economist and commission member Alice Rivlin.

The President chose to cap his remark with the same FDR quote Nancy Pelosi used for the the occasion of Social Security's birthday: That it should provide "some measure of protection to the average citizen and to his family against poverty-stricken old age." That quote doesn't reassure voters that Democrats will protect their benefits. It suggests, in fact, that "some measure" against poverty is all they intend to provide. That's disturbing, since Social Security keeps 20 million Americans out of poverty. It's also a selective use of FDR's words. In the same speech, Roosevelt went on to say: "This law, too, represents a cornerstone in a structure which is being built but is by no means complete ... It is, in short, a law that will take care of human needs and at the same time provide the United States an economic structure of vastly greater soundness."

Speaker Pelosi understands the need to take a more unequivocal stand against cutting Social Security benefits than that quote provides. That's why she, along with twelve other Congressional candidates, have taken the pledge to protect Social Security from both privatization and benefit cuts. The Campaign for America's Future will be tracking all candidates to see who's signed the pledge and is offering an online petition to defend Social Security for citizens to sign.

"Today," said President Roosevelt at the birth of Social Security, "a hope of many years' standing is in large part fulfilled." That hope must now be defended from those who would cut or dismantle it. If Democrats want the job, and the political majority that will enable them to do it, they're going to have to be clear about their intentions.

_______________________________________________________________

Richard (RJ) Eskow, a consultant and writer (and former insurance/finance executive), is a Senior Fellow with the Campaign for America's Future. This post was produced as part of the Strengthen Social Security campaign. Richard also blogs at A Night Light.

He can be reached at "rjeskow@ourfuture.org."

Website: Eskow and Associates



 

Follow Richard (RJ) Eskow on Twitter: www.twitter.com/rjeskow

 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
CAPTAINSKIPPY
from the Far side of Frostbite Falls
10:54 PM on 08/19/2010
Instead of Pelosi offering a shallow parody of FDR's comments toward "some measure of protection", it would be better if she revised her own historic proclamation, swapping out impeachment and swapping in privatization so that "privatization is off the table".
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jjsardo
Proud liberal in a red state.
06:46 PM on 08/19/2010
A bond is an asset. The owner of a bond buys the asset with the understanding that the investment will be paid back with interest.

How the money is spent is immaterial. The issuer of the bond accepts the obligation to pay back the investment with interest.

Why is that centuries old principle so hard for conservatives to understand?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
GENERATIONaleX
05:46 PM on 08/19/2010
IF we do not demand that social security be phased out, people in my generation will be left with a broke government program that will not pay them anything, even though we've paid into it our entire lives. www.ilovegenerationx.com

Social Security is an absolute Ponzi scheme of epic porportions. The fact that we allow it to continue is sickening. Give us the ability to opt out! I will take that 6% of my paycheck and save it myself.
09:14 AM on 08/20/2010
Are you aware that your employer is required to match every penny you pay into your Social Security?

There are people who fought Social Security from day one. It is mostly the rich and those who believe what the rich say about Social Security.

The gov would never let you save for retirement on your own. They will have safe treasury bonds and index funds chosen for you. The only difference is those great big fat profits that Wall Street will demand.

Trust the people that love you. I hope my children will get Social Securty when they retire at 67.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
GENERATIONaleX
02:10 PM on 08/21/2010
I don't live my life with the idea that the government "allows" me to do anything. I am a free citizen. I am very aware that my employer matches that contribution. I do not believe the government should take a portion of my paycheck and give it to someone else. I am not rich...but 6% of my pay saved and invested the way I would like would be a much better plan that giving it to the crooks in Washington DC.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Matt Osborne
04:42 PM on 08/19/2010
"the issue that's not on the table right now -- privatization"

Except that's exactly what Paul Ryan's deficit-reduction plan involves. There are dozens of GOP cosponsors in the House. What part of that isn't "on the table"?
01:16 PM on 08/19/2010
Because they are too pro-war to cut the military budget

Something's going to have to be cut to stave off the debt. Obama would rather it be healthcare and social security as opposed to military
Simple as that.
12:29 PM on 08/19/2010
The problem with this issue is the same with nearly every issue the Democrats face. They somehow have come to believe that the way to win the middle and the independents is to essentially split the difference. Thus, they end up with a mealy mouthed hodge podge of compromise that looks weak because it is.

Republicans say "Look, there's a serious problem." It often isn't a problem, but no one tells any one it isn't (Obama is a Muslim, for example) and on those rare occasions that they identify a real problem (long term deficits) no one is willing to mention a progressive solution, let alone defend one.

It is this pathetic dynamic that makes us lose when we should win on any number of issues from health care (we lost) to climate change (we're losing) to social security.
12:22 PM on 08/19/2010
Your future - bought by Wall Street, paid for by you.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
11:38 AM on 08/19/2010
Why Are Democrats Losing the Social Security Issue?



Because Obama is a teacher, not a leader.
10:07 AM on 08/19/2010
I suspect Social Security is an issue that will derail this country. Those who attack it, will, indeed bring out the worst in Americans. Our Congress and administration may think they control the secret vote count at the voting booth, but they better not privatize Social Security.
10:26 AM on 08/19/2010
They realized that they can't privatize it.

Nobody can ever privatize it.

Because they realized that they would first actually have to hand over the money.

So they have come up with something far more odious.
10:33 AM on 08/19/2010
Gee. You don't think they'll actually default on the system IOU's, do you?
07:44 AM on 08/19/2010
The rich elites own both parties.

That's why the Dems are in on "the fix".

Social Security benefits are one of the few places left where there is a little blood left to suck out of the rest of us, and they think they have a God Given right to it. .
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07:40 AM on 08/19/2010
For all of you who think the SS trust fund should have money locked away in it (Gores lock box), try this out and see how it works.

Sit down and play a game of Monopoly. The ONLY rule change is that every time someone passes go, you take 15% of what they have and put it aside. Don't put it in the bank, and don't give it back.

What you'll find is that eventually, there is not enough money to buy everything that is on the board. The board, and everything that is on it, represents the economy. The cash in your hand, and in the bank, represents the money supply. They have to be balanced, its merely a matter of choice as to how you do it. A money supply in excess of the capital requirements leads to inflation. The opposite leads to a deflationary spiral.

The choice, made in 1935 by the way, was that the trust fund would be invested. The safest investment is US government securities. Simply put, you cannot take the Trillions of dollars that the trust fund needed to accumulate out of the money supply. It HAD to be re-inserted in some fashion.
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wonketteRAWKS
Hypocrisy is prevalent in BOTH parties!
06:12 AM on 08/19/2010
Ahh, but it then gives Obama yet another hollow victory when he says we have to cut benefits, but at least we saved it from privatization...in other words compromising with the rethugs.
08:42 AM on 08/19/2010
Your pretty good at figuring how he works bcz this is exactly what he is going to do. I dont trust the man one bit. He selected a commission full of ssi cutters and he wants us to think he is going to protect ssi from the hatchet! Obama is too smart for this own good he kind of reminds me of Wile E Coyote Super Genius, Wile E had brilliant plans but for some reason they never seemed to work. If the econonomy is still stuck in 2012 he is going home in 2013.
04:54 AM on 08/19/2010
The leftists are trying to create an issue where there isn't one.

I think the question everyone needs to ask is how do we pay for social security?

How will it be funded for the next 75 years?

It is a ponzi scheme plain and simple. In the near future there will be what...2 workers to support one SS recipient?

This affects all Americans.
06:56 AM on 08/19/2010
How will SS be funded? You know the answer, your taxes will be increased at some point.
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07:39 AM on 08/19/2010
I have come to that same exact conclusion. If you sit and think through it, there is no other answer.
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08:13 AM on 08/19/2010
Golly gee, that ponzi scheme comment is sure gaining steam! Who did you hear that one from?
ClaudiaL
Grover, please proceed...
02:21 AM on 08/19/2010
I agree with you, Richard Escow, and have been thinking the same thing for months.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
11:10 PM on 08/18/2010
The voters have a clear choice. They can vote for the party that wants to cut Social Security or they can vote for the other party that wants to cut Social Security.
06:24 PM on 08/21/2010
Obama is trying to impress the wrong people. He doesn't need to get tough on the old people.

All he really needs to do is the decent and fair thing, which means not cutting benefits and not raising the retirement age.

"Take it off the table, Obama and the rest of you Democrats!"