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Rob Taub

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Why Obama May Lose

Posted: 08/12/2012 2:57 pm

In December I posted a piece on this site titled, Why The Republicans Can't Win. That was long before Saturday, when Mitt Romney named Paul Ryan as his running mate. Prior to making this choice, Romney was running a nebulous campaign based almost entirely on a referendum against President Obama. That is no longer the case.

Although I find Paul Ryan's budget plan highly flawed -- unlike other Democrats -- I also respect him, because in contrast to his fellow politicians, he actually has a plan. My fellow Democrats are so obsessed with taking the right path (helping those in need) that they continue to disregard the rational path and refuse to properly address out of control spending.

When Lyndon Johnson helped implement Medicare, people didn't live as long as they do today: There were very few prescription drugs, no such thing as a heart bypass or an MRI, so unlike today, medical costs had a ceiling. Paul Ryan's message on today's spending is simple: We are on an "unsustainable path" to financial ruin. Ryan has spoken of reforming, rather than eliminating entitlements and if he is capable of properly conveying this message with a legitimate plan attached, then Mitt Romney has a chance to win the presidency.

As soon as Romney made his choice for a running mate, the Democratic party's first big mistake was to consider Ryan a gift to their campaign by labeling him an economic zealot in favor of "Social Darwinism." He is intelligent and articulate and (I believe) capable of creating a bi-partisan economic plan. Ryan's message is simple: If you want to save Medicare and other entitlements, you have to do something. Because he is outspoken and unafraid to take a stand, I believe that Ryan is the future of the Republican party and yes -- amazingly -- the future of American politics as well. Democrats seem to miss the irony that Ryan is the only politician in Washington who has actually been demanding reform and change.

Increasing taxes on the wealthy is barely a Band-Aid on the exponential growth of Medicare, social security and defense spending. If President Obama wants to defeat Mitt Romney and lead America back to prosperity, then it's his responsibility to stop the negative ads (he's behaving like a Republican) and deal with the country's most pressing issue -- economic reform.

 

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In December I posted a piece on this site titled, Why The Republicans Can't Win. That was long before Saturday, when Mitt Romney named Paul Ryan as his running mate. Prior to making this choice, Rom...
In December I posted a piece on this site titled, Why The Republicans Can't Win. That was long before Saturday, when Mitt Romney named Paul Ryan as his running mate. Prior to making this choice, Rom...
 
 
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SolarArray
Republican = Trash America, Any Cost
05:43 PM on 08/15/2012
Ryan would not allow a life saving abortion for the mother. Nice huh?
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asomer
09:17 PM on 08/14/2012
Wow! Great piece & by a Democrat. Unfortunately, I fear the majority of democrats do not want to take your advice, as evidenced in the subject matter of many of HuffPo's headlines & the comments that follow.
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Cunningham
I intend to live forever, or die trying. GrouchoM
05:45 AM on 09/09/2012
He only plays a democrat.
09:52 AM on 09/20/2012
This. With the age of the internet, why do people think they can make claims which aren't true. He's a conservative trying to rally the cause by pretending to be a Democrat who's "seen the light".
Maybe he signed up as a Democrat decades ago, but he's obviously not one now.
12:44 PM on 09/12/2012
Of course he is a democrat!!
http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2012/08/24/im-lifelong-democrat-and-might-vote-for-romney/?intcmp=related
You kiddn me! Just like Palin, hukkabe, Savage, Limbaugh and the others over at that dump! He is looking for action. Look at his articles (he actually has a few great articles) but o comments and even one with 4 comments 50% which he made himself!!
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/rob-taub/why-the-republicans-cant-_b_1165201.html
He is a real Republican. Hypocrite at the core.
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10:31 PM on 08/13/2012
I do agree with Ryan's desire that Medicare has to be fixed and has to be fixed now. Way too many Health Care Professionals that are getting fat off the land and are COUNTERPRODUCTIVE to the GNP, a society that is the fattest on the planet - and the meddies craze.
Genders
Love, Tolerance, Enlightenment
08:51 PM on 08/13/2012
Taxing the rich is more than enough to fund a great citizens safety net.
We have the highest concentration of wealth and lowest taxes on the rich since before the great depression.

"When economic power became concentrat­­­ed in a few hands, then political power flowed to those possessors and away from the citizens, ultimately resulting in an oligarchy or tyranny." John Adams

It's defense spending that is killing us.

We spend 54% of our f taxes on war,
http://www.warresisters.org/pages/piechart.htm

we spend more than the rest of the world combined on war.

Obama may lose, because the dupes have been convinced that Democracy it too difficult, and serfdom is preferable,
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asomer
09:21 PM on 08/14/2012
Right!! B/c none of those countries have a military our strength & size, they rely heavily on our military to aide them. That is a drain on our GDP, but it is our station on this planet to be the "great defender" of liberty & freedom. We have to be able to continue that promise to our allies & balance our books. Taxing the rich helps, but it doesn't fix things permamently. With the rate Obama wants to tax the wealthy, that has shown to only bring in $84 billion...enough to pay for 8 days' worth of running our entire govt. We have to cut elsewhere & a lot if we are going to make it out of this hole.
Genders
Love, Tolerance, Enlightenment
10:08 PM on 08/14/2012
Right, it's our job to police the world?  bs.  It's wars for oil, and markets.  Europe can defend itself just fine.  

Yes taxing the rich at the rate Ike did would would balance the budgets.  
The rich own more than they ever have.  And make more than they ever have.  Of course I include capital gains, I bet your suh fox talking about does not and is a very small increment.  
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Dr Gregory Evans Haley
Author of The Republican Cult of Ignorance: Rhetor
08:34 PM on 08/13/2012
Well, 28 months of economic growth, low inflation, and record corporate profits are what we got. Oh, and check out the Progressive Caucus' published and submitted plan and try for once not to an ignorant Faux News robot...
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asomer
09:25 PM on 08/14/2012
How can you claim 28 months of groeth when our growth rate DECLINED LAST MONTHG TO 1.5%?? IS their plan up for a vote? And, where is the senate's budget like they are supposed to put out every year, but haven't in 3yrs???
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Dr Gregory Evans Haley
Author of The Republican Cult of Ignorance: Rhetor
12:33 PM on 08/15/2012
Growth... is growth. No matter how small, and is a HUGE improvement over the 800,000+ jobs per month being LOST thanks to Republican control and Bush. OH, and don't forget the record corporate profits...
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Dr Gregory Evans Haley
Author of The Republican Cult of Ignorance: Rhetor
08:31 PM on 08/13/2012
AGAIN!!! The lie that Democrats have no plan. Sick of this lie. Ryan plan represents the far right ideological position, NOT the moderate position. The GOP moderates have NO plan. The Progressive Caucus of the Dems have a clearly defined plan that has been submitted multiple times. It balances the budget in eight years, improves Medicare, and fixes the Social Security shortfall, and is the only plan in Congress that does any of these things. But ignorant fools like this guy refuse to acknowledge it while giving lip service to the extreme right's plan that fails to lower the deficit. Come on!
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asomer
09:27 PM on 08/14/2012
Well, if it's been presented but has failed to pass..then it'sno longer on the table. Obama's own budget did not get a SINGLE VOTE in the house or senate, either. Ryan's did pass & therefore is 1 step away from being implemented. Until you can put forth a plan that has a chance of actually getting passed,m then you got nothing.
03:12 PM on 08/13/2012
so someone else agrees with me that romney had NO plan till he brought ryan on board. his mo was bash obama. that approach surely would have gotten obama reelected. now to see what ryan plans to do. on another point, then why isnt ryan the forerunner to begin with? hmmmm
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asomer
09:28 PM on 08/14/2012
Romney's always had his 59 point plan & still does. They want to combine certain elements from both their plans into 1 plan taht can be negotiated on in the house & senate & get passed.
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bandfp
02:34 PM on 08/13/2012
It was good to read a HP article where the writer used common sense and expressed a need for a common solution to America's problems. America does need a plan and what is Best for America, not what is best for my agenda and or party.
02:27 PM on 08/13/2012
His slogan reads "Believe in America" oh really?

Outsource jobs to India and China
Swiss bank accounts
Millions in the Caymans,Belgium,Australia and heaven knows where else
Let GM,Chrysler go bankrupt
Closed many American companies
Likes to fire Americans
Not worried about the poor
Robbing the poor to give to the rich
Lies about his taxes

NO THANKS.
02:23 PM on 08/13/2012
Four reasons why Romney will lose: too Reckless,Radical,Ryan,Tax evasion and cheating.
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asomer
09:33 PM on 08/14/2012
Too bad that is all the Dems have to say about him & Gallup's poll is dead even & has been forever!!
01:11 PM on 08/13/2012
The author is certainly correct in stating that Obama may lose. In fact, as more and more Americans realize just what a financial disaster he has planned for them and America, his defeat will become ever more certain. Not many,(except the extremely selfish and dishonest who see it as a means for personal gain) want to see America become the Greece or Italy of the Americas. Ryan has the courage to do what must be done, to bring expenditures under control. Where I disagree with the author is his statement, that the democrats want to help the people. Socialism has failed too often, all over the world, for this canard to still be accepted. The democrats are now controlled by their socialst elements, and their policies are destroying jobs, opportunity, and opportunity. If they wanted to help people , they would bother to find out what works,like free enterprise and helping people to become independent of government, instead of continuing their efforts to create a permanent class of dependent welfare democratic voters. No longer the party of the working man, they are now the party of the welfare man. Sad, but true.
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asomer
09:36 PM on 08/14/2012
I totally agree. I don't know if it's so much they really want to help people(b/c statistics show democrats give far less to charity than republicans,) od, this is how the Democratic party has operated on for so long, essentialy buyinvg votes by promising social welfare program after another & when those programs are on the verge of dying on their own & need to be fixed it can greatly diminish their worth to the voters in the future. Meaning: if you have less stuff to give, you can't run around promising to give it away for a vote.
10:27 AM on 08/15/2012
Thank you for posting. It is so refreshing to see another post along the same line of thought as my own. This is somewhat rare on Huffington Post, but I think it is a growing trend. I think Americans are beginning to see through Obama's lies and obfuscations, and to realize the disaster his policies have in store for them.
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Anthony Marquez
Liberal Nemesis
12:25 PM on 08/13/2012
Could it be that people who actually have to earn a living, and everyone besides college aged liberals, are waking up to the fact that Obama is a disaster. If he gets re-electd, heres what we can expect:

Gas $5 a gallon
Unemployment above 10%
Military abolished.
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asomer
09:39 PM on 08/14/2012
Not to mention:

Abolishment of entire US coal industry
Fewer drills, drilling oil in the US & leaves us buying more oil
bankrupting businesses with taxes, regulations & Obamacare
making unemployment through the roof

Obama slowly turning the US into a Detroit-like wasteland!!
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Gestas
Mountain Man
12:09 PM on 08/13/2012
Keep in mind He's going to do all this and not raise the taxes on the Richest 1%...You do the Math..Even Saint Ronald was smarter than this. But then Ronald had a Social Conscience...that was the old GOP...
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asomer
09:41 PM on 08/14/2012
We give huge amounts to charity & statisticly much more than democrats!! Ronald Regan slowly lowered taxes each year from the high rates of Carter, which actually led to increases in revenue due to more money being out in the market & being spent by people being gainfully employed.
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ohiotechie
Better dead than red...
11:24 AM on 08/13/2012
Here's the thing - when Ryan talks about his "proposal" and the unsustainable direction of our current path - he's right that the current path is unsustainable. It is largely unsustainable due to DoD spending and the Bush tax cuts; both of which Ryan not only wants to continue but actually double down on.

He sounds reasonable just like most salesmen do when they are selling something. When you start to think about the realities of what he's selling, however, it quickly breaks down. Ryan wants to lay waste to the one program that has done more to help the lives of average people in this country than anything in our history in order to further balloon DoD spending (don't even tell me for an instant that there isn't waste there and that it isn't long past time to start trimming it). He also wants to empty the coffers for yet another give away to the 1%, lowering an already historically low tax system to astonishing levels so that the people who are the most comfortable will be even more so even as he pushes Grandma into the street to pay for it.

Yes, when he's talking about how we have to do "something" (but of course not what Obama proposed and which would have cut the deficit much further than what Ryan actually voted for) he sounds "reasonable". It's all about message control. Look past the message into the details and yes, he is "extreme".
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asomer
09:46 PM on 08/14/2012
Grandma is NOT being pushed into the street for anything!! Everyone over 55 keeps their plan the way it is. Everyone under 55 gets to CHOOSE between regular medicare or a cash voucher to purchase private insurance. It is the exact same set up for the members of congress: if it's good for them...why is it bad for us? My parents are in their 60's & think it's great!! They hate medicare & say docs hate it too cause it pays them next to nothing. So, in the future as the program goes broke & can't pay docs what they charged, docs just will stop taking it &that's when it will come in handy to have opted for private insurance/voucher to purchase insurance.
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ohiotechie
Better dead than red...
07:32 AM on 08/15/2012
Drink some more koolaid... I also had an elderly parent I cared for (who passed several years ago). Without medicare, and then medicaid when her funds were expired, I cannot imagine what would have become of her. There is no possible way she could have gotten private insurance due to her age and condition.

Vouchers which pay for next to nothing to buy insurance that covers next to nothing that costs a fortune is no bargain.

And all of these cuts to fund even further tax cuts, extend the deficit as far as the eye can see and give Haliburton even more windfall profits - this is somehow fiscally responsible?
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Desuka
11:10 AM on 08/13/2012
This writer is correct about congressman Ryan's acumen; if this was Germany or the united kingdom he might have a shot. But this is America, he will never have that chance. He wants to end Medicare as we know it, and that is all anyone is going to here.
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ohiotechie
Better dead than red...
11:26 AM on 08/13/2012
If this were Germany or the UK we'd have socialized medicine so the concerns about Medicare would be cease to exist.
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asomer
09:47 PM on 08/14/2012
Well, unfortunately for you, we are in America!! If you hate it so much, move to Europe. We want nothing to do with europe's socialism model & that's why Romney will win b/c the majority of Americans feel this way!!
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Honey Bucket
11:54 AM on 08/13/2012
He also wants to change Social Security. No person wants their check to be messed with. As soon as people really start thinking about who they will vote for, Medicare, Medicade and Social Security will be taken into consideration. They want to take away Pell grants. This will lose them the student vote and that's why they are messing with voters rights. This obstruction of voters rights is all planned to take away rights and make it difficult for people that would vote for Obama.
It's going to be interesting.
01:30 PM on 08/13/2012
It is already broke....Oboma took 750 billion from it to fund the Health Care Bill. Don't believe me, go to ss yourself and read 2010 pdf. It took in a TOTAL of 637 billion and spent 701 billion. It will only get worse because of unemployment and people not paying in. Social Security is technically insolvent in that benefit payments started exceeding tax revenues starting in 2010. But, don't take my word for it...comes from page 5 of the 2011 Social Security Trustees Report.... And, by the way...those "assets" listed at the bottom are not true assets at all...they are treasury notes...debt instruments owed by the US taxpayer for the money Congress has stolen, er...borrowed...from the SS Trust Fund.

There is NO MONEY in Social Security...only treasury notes.
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asomer
09:48 PM on 08/14/2012
They don't want to do away with Pell grants, they just want to make it means tested. That means only really poor people will be qualifiede. The reswt of us can get loans, not grants(free money that does not have to be paid back.)