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In Afghanistan, the Dam Breaks

Posted: 03/16/2012 2:51 pm

The news just keeps getting worse in Afghanistan for the United States. Brave New Foundation's Rethink Afghanistan project has warned for years that the premises of a counterinsurgency there were unrealistic and unworkable, and the ability of a handful of bad actors to completely seize control of the narrative with atrocious actions validates our warnings. The "hearts and minds" effort has completely melted down over the past few weeks, illustrating once again that this war isn't making us safer and it's not worth the costs.

Yesterday, the Taliban suspended talks with the U.S. in Qatar due to the U.S.'s failure to follow through on releasing five Taliban leaders from Guantanamo Bay. They also balked at the U.S.'s demand that the Taliban engage with the Karzai government, calling such a move "pointless." Karzai, for his part, is now demanding that U.S. troops get out -- now -- of Afghan rural areas and stay on their bases, likely in response to the butchering of 16 civilians by a U.S. military member in Kandahar.

This isn't your run-of-the-mill bad news, either:

"I'm really shocked, these are two pieces of very bad news," said one senior western diplomat in Kabul. "It's probably the bleakest day of my time here in Afghanistan."

What you are seeing is the latest of any number of indicators over the last few months that the U.S. counterinsurgency strategy in Afghanistan is in total collapse.

Two years into the escalated war effort, the rate of attacks initiated by insurgents continues to grow, up 14 percent in 2011 over 2010. And, when you consider that the prior year had already seen a 65 percent increase, it's clear that the promises of increased security and reduced civilian and military casualties fed to the American people by the Pentagon were just so much garbage propaganda. Lest we forget, Adm. Mike Mullen, then the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told Congress in December 2009, prior to the latest escalation, that the new strategy "must -- and will -- improve security for the Afghan people and limit both future civilian and military casualties."

Since then, almost 1,000 additional U.S. troops have been killed, 10,680 have been wounded, and countless Afghans have been killed, maimed or driven from their homes by the conflict. Our government has charged us $2 billion a week for this fiasco, right in the middle of an absolutely vicious jobs crisis. Mission accomplished? Hardly. Despite the continued lies from the Pentagon, the war effort is continuing to fail to bring security to Afghanistan or stop the march of the Taliban.

This context makes the most recent litany of disasters that much more alarming:

  • January 2012: a video of U.S. Marines urinating on dead insurgents--a clear violation of U.S. military and international law--sparks widespread outrage.
  • February 20: U.S. forces burn copies of the Koran near a detention center in Parwan.
  • Massive protests break out across Afghanistan resulting in several deaths, including the execution-style killing of two American servicemembers inside a heavily guarded Afghan ministry building, likely by one of their Afghan colleagues.
  • March 11: A U.S. soldier goes on a rampage in Kandahar, killing 16 civilians before surrendering at his base.
  • Today, Karzai demanded the immediate removal of U.S. troops from rural areas as the Taliban cut off talks with the U.S.


The Associated Press analyzed Karzai's demand to remove U.S. troops from rural Afghanistan thus:

"...It would essentially mean the end of the strategy of trying to win hearts and minds by working with and protecting the local populations."

Come off it, people. We haven't even won over the hearts and minds of the security forces we're paying and training, much less the Afghan street, and the events of the last months make even saying the phrase, "hearts and minds" into a cynical joke. Protecting the population, by the way, requires you to actually reduce the total number of civilians being killed, maimed and displaced by the conflict. It's not happening.

And by the way, Karzai's not the only one who wants U.S. troops out of rural Afghanistan ASAP. A majority of Americans say they want U.S. troops out ASAP, and 60 percent say the war hasn't been worth fighting.

The war for hearts and minds is over. It's lost in Afghanistan, and it's lost at home. The president and Congress should do us all a favor and stop letting people get killed for it, and get our people out of there.

Brave New Foundation's War Costs campaign is continuing the work of our Rethink Afghanistan campaign. Please join us to stay updated on the latest news in the fight to end this war.

Follow Robert Greenwald and Derrick Crowe on Twitter.

 
 
 
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06:07 PM on 04/30/2012
Idk, Im torn on the subject. I agree in a way that this is fiscally irresponsible to be trying to save another country at a time when Americans are suffering at home. BUT! Im in Afghanistan now, and I can tell you we are winning hearts and minds. Good things are happening from this, it's just taking time. Taliban attacks, at least the way it looks to me fail about 95% of the time, daily and our troops are wiping out the bad people. My friend told me a story of how around 200 Taliban attacked his base stright out, they defended and killed around 150 Taliban, no American deaths. Where was that story in the news? Most civilian deaths seem to happen from the Taliban, leaving IEDs around, or just plain shooting people in the street. Where are those stories? The only reason civilians dont see the good that's happening here is because the media hates American military. I was completely anti-war before I got here and changed my mind once I saw the good were doing. Honestly, I dont understand why the military doesn't do press releases for the crap the Taliban does. If you guys knew what was really going on and the good we were doing, you would all be for this war and not against it.
06:53 AM on 03/19/2012
The Pentagon bit off more than they could chew. They thought they could run rough shod over the entire world but it hasn't worked out that way. But don't pity them, their buddies have made heaps of money out of all the death and mayhem.
06:42 AM on 03/19/2012
It's not over until the MIC has wrung as much as they possibly can out of it. Morals, death and destruction have nothing to do with it. No doubt they are trying to figure out how much they can make out of going to war with Iran. With all those patriots on Wall Street watching our backs, a war with Iran will be a slam dunk.
04:04 PM on 03/18/2012
It's over. How can we ever win the "hearts and minds" of the Afghani's after 10 years of war and now the killing of 16 innocent civilians. Forget about it. Bring 'em all home, NOW!
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marignymitch
E pluribus unum percent
03:48 PM on 03/18/2012
Who could have predicted?
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Keagan86
Breaking normal thought patterns
01:56 PM on 03/18/2012
The sooner we rid ourselves of the military industrial complex the better. We need to stop blaming the liberals or the right wingers and realize the true enemy is the money that is made from profit at the cost of human life. Spending untold trillions on weapons and war has only reduced our capacity to be the shining example that we as Americans claim to be.
09:54 PM on 03/17/2012
10 years ago a day called 9/11 took place

2,500 plus Americans lost their life that day for no other reason that they were Americans. These were mothers and fathers, sisters and brothers....

You think the mission is over in Afghanistan because we killed Osama? How many other Osama's are just waiting in the wings to strike at us? Afghanistan is a fertile breeding ground for these bad guys.

Just ponder this - we go into Afghanistan and no attacks on the US. We come out of Afghanistan and I suggest you may want to consider what WMD can do to a city

Pay now or pay later - your call
10:27 AM on 03/18/2012
I agree with what you say. However, I don´t think the solution is holding the people of Afghanistan hostage.
By the way. I no longer live in the US for that very reason. And I am an American citizen born in America in 1943. Remember what was happening then. I do.
batguano
As Long As Grass Grow, Wind Blow & The Sky Is Blue
06:51 PM on 03/17/2012
Does this mean that finally the realization we cannot kill our way to "security" is seeping-in, or that killing is just costing too much? We’ve lost all moral standing & larger true security for our nation & the world. We’ve allowed forces of greed, the Military Industrial Congressional Complex, Pentagon war-machine, war-profiteers, & a foreign power influencing our foreign policy decisions, to direct our nations "defense". The WOT is a criminal fraud, killing uncounted humans, wasting trillions, allowing billions to be stolen from civilian society, all for a pack of lies. Our leaders sadly are entirely in thrall to the war-machine; the obscene “rationale” for decades of killing & waste; a shameful betrayal of truth, the American people, our civilian priorities, & our TRUE security!

Contrast The treatment of the killer/executioner of 16 Afghani men, women & (mostly) children, & that of Bradley Manning; one defended as a tragic casualty of too much war, which is true in a wider sense, a victim of the Masters of War, who “just snapped”; the other, seeking to end killing by revealing hidden truth, a laudable morality, is reviled, tortured, confined in solitary & charged with death for allegedly exposing truth of the wars & who/what is responsible; quite a disparity.

We’re nearly entirely controlled by liars & con-men using conflict, wars & death for their own profit at the expense of our nation & all the victims of our wars of choice. These wars are manufactured; sold like Mothers Milk to a
10:32 AM on 03/18/2012
Do you know how many people are killed in the US EVERY DAY by people who just went berserk. Folks, we are a violent people and we do violent things. I don´t believe that anyone controls Americans. At least not until they can prove it that they are more violet than we are. Go live in another country if you want to see how violent we can be.
iflew
Pro Publiae Bonae
11:34 PM on 03/18/2012
Maybe the idea was draw Iran officially into the conflict. Hard to say. We are the country that has made treaties as long as they are convenient. Tecumseh, Wounded Knee etc. As Custer said to his scout," How many Indians did you say?". War has a plan until the first shot, then it has a fog. Iran as a target might be reasonable. Afghans?...U.S. is used to European style wars attacking cities and industry. Mountains and valleys and areas outside cities all favor the home forces. When our forces are there too long they are considered invaders not heroes like the ones that freed the French in WWII. Yes "Snapping' happens. Police snap. Soldiers snap. Mothers snap. Snappers usually get punished because society requires it.
06:33 PM on 03/17/2012
I have a dog in this fight, my son is there .I say let's get out.WHY are we there??? Obama is just stubborn.
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marignymitch
E pluribus unum percent
03:51 PM on 03/18/2012
Obama is too weak-kneed to be stubborn. Instead he's simply serving MIC. I expect perpetual war to move to Iran next, producing an additional crop of emotionally shattered US troops.
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MikeDu
Both salubrious and lugubrious concurrently.
12:31 PM on 03/17/2012
Ever since 2002 the Afghan war has been about nothing except *not embarrassing the administration*. The ten year quest for a 'graceful exit strategy'. We managed a more-or-less graceful exit from the Iraq morass - not quite claiming victory but not entirely branded with defeat either. We're not going to be quite so lucky in Afghanistan. For both wars it a remarkably high cost in blood and treasure just to protect the governmental ego.
HansB
The only good certainty is a dead certainty
06:27 PM on 03/17/2012
F&F. I can't tell you how strongly I agree with your summary of the reasons for continuing the occupation long after Al Qaeda has left. A true statesman is someone who will suffer some personal loss of face for the general good - certainly when lives are at stake. Obama is proving that he is no more a statesman than Bush was. Both muddled along apparently in the hope that any humiliation will be lost in a pile of corpses.
Nightangle
NPA - no party affiliation
12:11 PM on 03/17/2012
This is all about gas, oil and pipelines disguised by the President as humanitarian effort. The USA is no longer looking for alernative enery forces, rather, it's focus is acquiring the Egyptian Pipelines, and the new Afghanistan Pipelines that runs from the Caspian Sea to Iran to Afghanistan to Pakistan and finally to India. The Trans Afghanistan Pipelines financed by Asian Banks and China National Bank.

The biggest pipeline in South East Asia, the Trans Afghan Pipelines TAP or TAPI from the Caspian Sea and ending in Pakistan. will generate a steady income for the Aghans. The project is being sidelines by the instability of the region - US occupation.

Of late, Chinese geological survey found at least 1-3 trillions deposit o lithium, copper, gold and iron. This will bring much needed relief for Aghanistan after being destroyed by the US.

It's been suggested that this was the real reson for the war.
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Gracie fr
05:38 PM on 03/18/2012
The money and blood pit that is Afghanistan – where the US and Britain have expended more than 2,100 lives and £302bn – is about to start paying a dividend. But it won't be going to the countries which have made this considerable sacrifice. The contracts to open up Afghanistan's mineral and fossil-fuel wealth, and to build the railways that will transport them out of the country, are being won or pursued by China, India, Iran, and Russia.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/an-ios-investigation-to-the-chinese-and-the-indians-the-spoils-of-a-terrible-war-7576426.html
Nightangle
NPA - no party affiliation
06:47 PM on 03/18/2012
US, UK and NATO are the culprits. What about the civilian casualties . . are their lives not as important ?
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Pod-gers
Jeremy Lin = Game Change
02:21 AM on 03/17/2012
Does this mean the TAPI gas pipeline is at risk?
http://shadowrag.blogspot.com/2012/03/is-tapi-gas-pipeline-at-risk.html
.
HansB
The only good certainty is a dead certainty
07:29 PM on 03/16/2012
Everybody knows that the dice are loaded
Everybody rolls with their fingers crossed
Everybody knows that the war is over
Everybody knows the good guys lost
Everybody knows the fight was fixed
The poor stay poor, the rich get rich
That's how it goes
Everybody knows
Everybody knows that the boat is leaking
Everybody knows that the captain lied
Everybody got this broken feeling
Like their father or their dog just died

Leonard Cohen
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jfoste3
06:59 PM on 03/16/2012
I totally agree with the comments in the Article, first a rush to war as to Iraq based on WMD panic, none was found, and then a rush to war to find a criminal that in the end covert operation succeeded that should have been the approach from the beginning. The politicians that made these tragic mistakes should be tried for in competency and by now they should perhaps be serving time in jail.
The two unnecessary wars has cost the lives of many on both sides what a shame, it will be recorded in history as the biggest mistake that was committed by the USA.
Joseph Foster, Author ‘’Seeing Red’’ ‘How America is losing the future’ Available at: http://www.amazon.com/Seeing-Red-Joseph-Foster/dp/1613468121/ my blog Stand Up For America! – Seeing Red; http://boblupoli.blogspot.com/
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cuoi
I wish everyone happiness.
04:38 PM on 03/16/2012
We need to get our own house in order but we go about the global neighborhood and telling others what to do. And we need a new approach in dealing with our neighbors.
Required reading on the new approach: "A National Strategic Narrative" by Mr. Y updates the old, ineffective "A National Strategic Narrative" by Mr. X. "Mr. Y" is actually two officers in the Pentagon and I never thought I'd see the day when the Military/Industrial Complex would come up with anything I thought was meaningful and deserving of consideration.