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Robert J. Elisberg

Robert J. Elisberg

Posted: March 23, 2010 10:59 AM

Putting all your eggs in one basket is a good thing when it's Easter. In politics, though? Not so much.

The Republican Party put all its eggs in the "Tear Down President Barack Obama and Defeat Health Care Reform" basket. This was a questionable action at best. At worst, they could end up breaking their own kneecaps.

Unanimously fighting health care reform was questionable at best because few in America didn't think the health care system had to be fixed in at least some way.

But at worst - yipes.

Yipes, because the President of the United States won the election campaigning on it. Both houses of Congress won majorities campaigning on it. And from the start, polls showed that the majority of the public wanted some kind of health care reform. Including a public option.

Yet in the face of all this, the Republican Party in Congress put every single one of its fragile eggs in a single basket and chose to unanimously fight health care reform.

The bill contained over 200 Republican proposals, and Republicans still unanimously voted against it.

The GOP was simply going to do whatever they could - unanimously - to defeat health care reform and bring down President Obama. Turn "Yes, We Can" into "No, He Can't." Republicans didn't just want the seats a party out of power traditionally picks up in an off-year election. They wanted it all. Majorities in 2010. The White House in 2012. At any cost. They got greedy. They were going all in - holding just a lowly pair of threes. Everything in one basket, no matter how flimsy that basket was.

Blinded by hatred, fear and pure politics, Republicans saw only their improbable reward. They ignored the profound risk.

No doubt the Republican Party thought things were going well. They had road blocks all over health care reform. They broke the Democrats' 60-vote super majority. Polls showed the American public unhappy with gridlock in Washington, unhappy too with the health care bill - as presented to them by the GOP Message Machine.

All the eggs were in one basket.

And the basket crumbled. And all the eggs crashed.

The problem is that Republican leadership believed their own lies. They forgot that they knew there weren't actually Death Panels in the bill, that it was still illegal to get federally-funded abortions, that everyone can really keep their private insurance, that the new proposals actually brought deficit down - by eventually trillions of dollars. And forgot that the public was, in fact, for health care reform. And for the public option.

When polls showed that Americans were unhappy with the health care reform bill, GOP leadership forgot that some were unhappy because It Didn't Go Far Enough. And others were unhappy because they simply didn't understand the bill. When similar polls explained the bill, the results showed that the public was... in favor of it! Just like at the beginning.

But more, Republicans thought they had an ace up their sleeve. They ignored that they didn't even have a sleeve.

Republicans thought that once the health care reform bill passed, they could campaign on repealing it. "It" being a bill the American public supported. Because it improved their health care. Republicans thought this plan was A Winner.

Winner?

Imagine giving a new kidney to someone, and then later saying, "We'd like it back."

Campaigning on repealing health care reform would be like campaigning to repeal Social Security, Medicare or Civil Rights. Even the most radically-reactionary Republicans aren't foolish enough to do that.

Once people have health care reform - even many who were against the bill - they will be loathe to give it up. Benefits will be seen immediately. Like reduced costs of prescription medication. Like small businesses getting tax credit. Covering all children. Not allowing insurance companies to drop you because you got sick. Like letting young people stay on their parent's policy until they're 26. Right now, this year. Give that up? Take back health care reform, once someone has it? Republicans actually, really, seriously want to campaign on this.

And so they may well have snatched defeat from the jaws of victory.

Where once the GOP saw dreams of a majority in November, they may be lucky now to squeak by with that traditional handful of new seats.

You see, that whole "gridlocked Congress" and "Democrats had a majority and couldn't get anything done" thing - it's now gone. Out the window. The Democrats broke the Republican-forced gridlock. They passed the first-ever, comprehensive health care reform bill. By themselves. With no Republican support.

Republicans had a chance to claim a share of the reform. But they cut themselves out. By choice. They never even offered an alternate bill! Because they were putting all their eggs in one basket.

And the basket crumbled.

The public will now see the Democrats as alone being able to provide deeply-needed reform. And the public will now see the Republicans as the block that wants to take it away.

While Republicans are campaigning to repeal health care reform, Democrats will make the case, "Yes, the bill isn't perfect. So, elect more Democrats to get the improvements and also get the public option. That you want. If you elect Republicans, they will take away what you now have - they've told you so!"

But it's actually worse than that for Republicans. Because Republicans, who are usually so good at coming up with fake catch-phrases like "Death Taxes" made their biggest gaffe of all. Gargantuan.

You see...for the past year, Republicans have called this bill (say it all together now) - "ObamaCare."

Health care reform is now known to everyone - thanks to Republican Talking Points - forevermore as ObamaCare.

They gave President Barack Obama full name credit.

ObamaCare. ObamaCare. ObamaCare. ObamaCare.

Care.

President Barack Obama - cares.

And the Republican Party is the one who told you, who drilled it deep into your consciousness.

And the Republican Party in its blocking unanimity released Barack Obama. Faced with the reality of zero Republican support, the president finally took to the road and energized the Democratic Party. And energized himself. He kept his word to the public. He got a health care bill. And "Yes, we can" was proven. His Gallup poll numbers have already improved seven points.

The Republicans did it all to themselves. They put all their eggs in one basket. And in the end, the eggs were rotten. And the basket crumbled.

 
 
 
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09:10 PM on 03/24/2010
Said Elisberg: "The bill contained over 200 Republican proposals..."

Which is exactly what Speaker Pelosi said. Does Elisberg have a list of those proposals?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Arcie Grant
06:37 PM on 03/24/2010
two words: Obama cares. He does.
05:48 AM on 03/24/2010
Excellent!!!!! This is great...the truth and nothing but the truth!!! This would be great if it could be read
where the whole nation can hear it...thank-you....gives me hope ...YES WE CAN!!!
01:22 AM on 03/24/2010
Did the basket really crumble? Or did the eggs get royally
scrambled?
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Vige
Trickle down fantasy lie, Tinkled on a reality.
09:27 AM on 03/24/2010
The basket crumbled and that caused the eggs to get really really royally scrambled!
10:46 PM on 03/23/2010
The Republicans don't have to campaign against the whole bill. They can just campaign against the unpopular parts. If they stick to three things, they have a winner:
1) The Democrats are forcing you to buy an expensive product from companies that are ripping you off
2) If you don't buy it, they'll send the IRS in after you
3) They might even tax you on the thing they're forcing you to buy.

This will make people angry and fearful. It works. It doesn't matter that it's baloney and Republicans supported mandates before, and they'd never repeal them. Campaigning against mandates works. It got Obama elected.

Democrats have to deal with the fact that mandates are unpopular. Without the public option or an extremely robust regulator, they will be the Dems Achilles heel in November
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damilitantone
Fed up with politicians
12:13 AM on 03/24/2010
Yeah right keep dreaming. Mandates are unpopular? You mean like spending a trillion dollars to fight a fake enemy in Iraq when the same amount could have been spent on reforming healthcare? scare tactics are going to work anymore. Most Americans are sick and tired of living scared. You can stay in your basement in a dark corner, but the rest of us are going to stand and fight the good fight like Americans are supposed to do.
12:20 AM on 03/24/2010
I don't want Republicans to win, but if Democrats won't stop nearly breaking their arms patting themselves on the back then they won't be ready in November.

Yes. Ending the war in Iraq could help Obama. Ending Afghanistan and thus the deficits would be popular too. I don't see how he could do it by November, though.

But they could blunt the damage of the mandates with a public option or medicare buy-in or even a national rate authority. Every time one of these was proposed, the bill polled higher. Every time they got ditched, the popularity falls.

Real cost controls and enforcement of consumer protections is necessary. That will save Democrats. Self-congratulation wont. Democrats will never win Republicans. Independents are on the fence and it all depends on pocketbook issues - so controlling costs with these measures could only help Democrats.

And the base never loved being called f-ing r3tards. A measure like this could turn things around.
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uniquindividual
I'm unique and so are you
10:08 PM on 03/23/2010
The republican base now consists of the southern democrats of my youth and western republican rednecks - none of whome are known for their humanity of critical thinking skills. The REALLY need to push for balance on the radio and TV because the Rush's and FOX's make their base nuts but turn more and more thoughtful people away.

FOX news is bad for the conservative movement.
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09:49 PM on 03/23/2010
Every for-profit insurance company in the land is going to jack every policy price they can, and blame it all on the new law. This is going to make some people angry, and anyone predisposed to blame government will do just that. Don't be so certain that the public will universally LOVE the new law.
08:55 PM on 03/23/2010
What an excellent article!!

"The GOP was simply going to do whatever they could - unanimously - to defeat health care reform and bring down President Obama. Turn "Yes, We Can" into "No, He Can't."

This is the path they have stridently and arrogantly walked down since the president took office. It became in-the-face obvious that the GLOP became energized and more interested in accomplishing this goal than governing the nation.

"Blinded by hatred, fear and pure politics, Republicans saw only their improbable reward. They ignored the profound risk."

When blinded by hatred and fear along with a hefty dose of denial, profound risks usually are ignored.

Appears that the GLOP "party of no" obstructionist pooch got "ska-rude"
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
happyblackman
Gotta have more cowbell baby!
08:18 PM on 03/23/2010
"But more, Republicans thought they had an ace up their sleeve. They ignored that they didn't even have a sleeve."

That is a very profound, and cut to the quick statement. If you beleive your own lies, then you are not living in reality. That is what I have witnessed from the right, for the past three years, when they have dealt with President Obama.
09:09 PM on 03/23/2010
If believing their own lies and believing their own propaganda and fear mongering became a competitive sport, they would win gold medals. If governing the nation became one, they would not even place.
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Liviu
I support the right to arm the bears.
12:08 PM on 03/24/2010
Another profound and absolutely true observation, is the ingraining of the "ObamaCare" in people's minds.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Sweetbay
Centrist Socialist
08:10 PM on 03/23/2010
I'm going to infiltrate their town meetings this year and ask them if they will also be giving up their government run health care.
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SpacelySpaceSprockets
Don't be a cog...
07:57 PM on 03/23/2010
This is, quite simply, the greatest thing I've ever read on the Internet. Ever.
07:50 PM on 03/23/2010
"Republicans had a chance to claim a share of the reform. But they cut themselves out. By choice. They never even offered an alternate bill! Because they were putting all their eggs in one basket" WHAT?!?! Yes they did in November and and Obama totally dismissed it.... Way to step up to that bipartisan hooplah!
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SpacelySpaceSprockets
Don't be a cog...
08:02 PM on 03/23/2010
They told Obama to his face they would never vote for it even if it had all their ideas incorporated. What choice did he have? Too bad the r's just shot their foot off.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Sweetbay
Centrist Socialist
08:08 PM on 03/23/2010
What?????? right back at ya.

Here you are talking about November? All the summits and panel discussions were held back in February and March and April and May. And, then all the committees as the bill passed through each of five committees without one republican vote. Then the summer townhalls in August where the repubs on the health care committees were caught on tape telling lies to their constituents about what was in the bill.

That's when the dems cut them loose.

Try paying attention to the whole debate next time.
07:46 PM on 03/23/2010
"President Barack Obama - cares."

"Yes he does!" I thank the sour pusses for labeling this historic reform "Obamcare." President Obama will be remembered forever in history as a President who cared.
07:28 PM on 03/23/2010
This was a great article. I couldn't agree more with him. I always thought that the Democrats were just giving them the rope to hang themselves with. (Kinda ironic since many of their followers are so into hangings.) I said in many posts that they were digging their own graves. I hoooooooooope they run on repealing health care. I want them to have to tell 24, 25, and 26 year olds "yeeeeah that insurance you have bc you are on your parent's plan, we are gonna need that back." That should go over real well with those young people. I want them to have to tell seniors "You might want to go back to taking half of a pill bc the help you were getting to buy your meds, we're gonna take that back." No matter what the media says I believe the GOP is in big trouble come November. They did absolutely nothing, and were content with that. Not only should they lose their seats, they should have to pay back their constituents for taking their money and not providing the services they were paid to do.
07:27 PM on 03/23/2010
This was a great article. I couldn't agree more with him. I always thought that the Democrats were just giving them the rope to hang themselves with. (Kinda ironic since many of their followers are so into hangings.) I said in many posts that they were digging their own graves. I hoooooooooope they run on repealing health care. I want them to have to tell 24, 25, and 26 year olds "yeeeeah that insurance you have bc you are on your parent's plan, we are gonna need that back." That should go over real well with those young people. I want them to have to tell seniors "You might want to go back to taking half of a pill bc the help you were getting to buy your meds, we're gonna take that back." No matter what the media says I believe the GOP is in big trouble come November. They did absolutely nothing, and were content with that. Not only should they lose their seats, they should have to pay back their constituents for taking their money and not providing the services they were paid to do.