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Robert Naiman

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Why I'm Going to Pakistan: Under Scrutiny, the Drone Strike Policy Will Fall

Posted: 09/28/2012 3:22 pm

It's Official Dogma in political Washington right now that you can't touch the Pakistan drone strike policy. "Wasting bad guys for free" is too popular, the story says; besides, Democrats have to have some military killing of foreigners that they're for, to give them political cover for the military killing of foreigners that they're against. Most Democrats want to get U.S. troops the hell out of Afghanistan (outside of Official Washington, most Republicans agree.) But, the story goes, these Democrats have to have an "alternative," and the "alternative" is drone strikes.

As a political matter, this story is true as far as it goes: it's true because people believe it to be true. But in order for this political story to continue to work, drone strikes have to continue to be a black box, about which you can claim "success," regardless of whether it is true. If people have to confront the actual reality of the Pakistan drone strike policy -- the reality in which its impact is mostly about killing and terrorizing civilians and alienating Pakistani public opinion from the United States as opposed to the fairy tale in which it is all about wasting top-level "bad guys" -- the political story will fall apart. A policy that does more harm than good isn't an alternative to anything.

Recall that in 2006-8 there was very little Democratic criticism of the war in Afghanistan. It was the "good war" and the "right war," unlike Iraq, which was the "bad war" and the "wrong war." If you pressed Democrats on why they were cheerleaders for the war in Afghanistan while they slammed the war in Iraq, some would say what amounted to: "well, we have to be for some war."

Today the situation is totally reversed on Afghanistan: Democrats overwhelmingly want to get out. What changed? Did the war change? Was the war in Afghanistan from 2009-12 fundamentally different from the war in Afghanistan from 2006-8? Or was it more that the perception of the war in Afghanistan changed, as the drawdown of troops in Iraq and the escalation of troops in Afghanistan brought the Afghan war under greater public scrutiny, so that it couldn't be a black box anymore, about which you could claim "success," regardless of whether it was true?

Now there is a new level of effort in the United States to open the black box of the drone strike policy and reveal to Americans the injustice that has been hidden inside the box. A report this week has given an unprecedented amount of mainstream media attention to impact on civilians of the drone strike policy. Next week I will join 34 other Americans in visiting Pakistan, meeting with the families of victims of U.S. drone strikes, participating in a peace march against the drone strikes, and delivering a petition to U.S. and Pakistani officials from Americans, calling for the drone strike policy to end.

Here are the facts that will cause the Pakistan drone strike policy to fall:

U.S. drone strikes in Pakistan have killed and harmed too many civilians. The Bureau of Investigative Journalism has reported 474 to 884 civilian deaths caused by U.S. drone strikes in Pakistan since 2004, including 176 children. Moreover, as a recent study from researchers at NYU and Stanford law schools notes, "US drone strike policies cause considerable and under-accounted for harm to the daily lives of ordinary civilians, beyond death and physical injury," as civilians live in a state of constant fear, since drones could strike at any time. Families are afraid to attend weddings or funerals, because U.S. drone operators might strike them.

U.S. drone strikes in Pakistan haven't made America safer. The Stanford/NYU study notes:

"Publicly available evidence that the strikes have made the US safer overall is ambiguous at best ... The number of 'high-level' militants killed as a percentage of total casualties is extremely low -- estimated at just 2%. Evidence suggests that US strikes have facilitated recruitment to violent non-state armed groups, and motivated further violent attacks."

U.S. drone strikes in Pakistan have helped turn the Pakistani public against the United States. Three quarters of Pakistanis now consider the United States to be an enemy. Only 13 percent of Pakistanis think relations with the U.S. have improved in recent years; four-in-ten believe that U.S. economic and military aid is having a negative impact on Pakistan, while only about one-in-ten think the impact is positive. Only 17 percent back U.S. drone strikes, even if they are conducted in conjunction with the Pakistani government.

U.S. drone strikes in Pakistan violate international law. Christof Heyns, the UN special rapporteur on extrajudicial killings, has said that U.S. drone strikes in Pakistan threaten 50 years of international law, and that some drone strikes may constitute war crimes. A recent Congressional Research Service report noted that the U.S. claims that drone strikes in Pakistan are in "self-defense" run afoul of international law which limits self-defense against prospective threats to ones which are "imminent." And international law experts say that attacks on civilian rescuers are clearly illegal, regardless of whether they take place in a legal conflict or not.

U.S. drone strikes in Pakistan violate U.S. law. The administration claims the drone strikes in Pakistan were authorized by the 2001 authorization of military force after the 9/11 attacks. The 2001 AUMF authorized attacks on those who carried out the 9/11 attacks and those who harbored them. Judge Katherine Forrest has held that the 2001 AUMF did not cover mere "supporters" of such groups, and she questioned whether it covered "associated forces." Under this ruling "signature strikes" and "secondary strikes" would be illegal under U.S. law.

U.S. drone strikes in Pakistan undermine democracy. U.S. officials claim that the Pakistani government has secretly approved the strikes by not opposing them in private. But in public, Pakistani officials vigorously oppose the strikes. The Pakistani parliament has unanimously demanded that the drone strikes stop. Meanwhile, the U.S. government refused to give the U.S. public, Congress, or U.S. media basic information about the drone strike policy, claiming the policy is "secret" even as U.S. officials publicly boast of the policy's claimed successes. This lack of transparency undermines Americans' ability to democratically control U.S. foreign policy in the public interest.

Sign our petition to end the drone strike policy in Pakistan, and we will hand-deliver it to U.S. and Pakistani officials in Pakistan.

 

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It's Official Dogma in political Washington right now that you can't touch the Pakistan drone strike policy. "Wasting bad guys for free" is too popular, the story says; besides, Democrats have to have...
It's Official Dogma in political Washington right now that you can't touch the Pakistan drone strike policy. "Wasting bad guys for free" is too popular, the story says; besides, Democrats have to have...
 
 
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11:59 PM on 10/01/2012
Stop letting our men and women get killed for nothing. Let them have their god forsaken rubble pile and drone strike the hell out of any suspected terrorist gatherings...

Having had a taste of our technology and goods they will settle their affairs themselves...

Never fight land war in central asia......
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Stoopid American
Trooth, justice, and the American way ...
11:12 PM on 09/30/2012
Complete disengagement. Why do we need to be there? Are we really worried the Taliban will sponsor terror again? I think we proved our point to them years ago.
03:46 PM on 09/30/2012
One fact that is missing from the list is the fact that all adult male casualties are regarded as "militants" regardless of whether or not they are proven to be affiliated with any militant group. If this issue were investigated properly it would unfortunately raise the civilian death toll.
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realitytrumpsbull
Two 'alves of coconut!
12:31 PM on 09/30/2012
Follow-on thought, maybe Naiman will disappear, be held hostage/prisoner for years, and, with our military leaving the region permanently, the likelihood of his return becoming less and less likely with passing time, and...worst of all, no one caring about globetrotting college student political activists, anymore...or maybe he'll do the Stockholm-thing, and end up joining Osama's spiritual followers.
02:55 PM on 09/30/2012
...one can only hope.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
gschear
Max Baucus: What's in your wallet?
08:38 AM on 09/30/2012
Listen, All the Pakistani's need to do is reign in the fundamentalist nutb@lls in their Intelligence apparatus and military and then stop providing a haven for people who want to hurt us. I have all the sympathy in the world for innocent victims but I am not willing to sit back and let them wage religious war. I detest Christian fundamentalists as much as I do Islamic fundamentalist and consider them both and any like them to be in the same category as ALL potentially dangerous psychotics. Keep them in front of you and be ready to throw them in a cell so they can't klII your babies in the name of their invisible sky daddy. What is so hard about this?
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HEXYEBO
What time is it ? Same as usual
03:39 AM on 09/30/2012
I am reminded of that Russian journalist who wrote similar stuff justifying Chechen Wahhabi militants. Until she was kidnapped in Chechnya by the same for a hefty ransom.
She stopped writing her apologia after that.
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HEXYEBO
What time is it ? Same as usual
03:33 AM on 09/30/2012
Islamist and their Western appeasers are opposed to drone warfare because it is an effective tool in our struggle with global Jihadist networks. The rest is just verbal camouflage.
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psnyder325
Yep, I'm a Socialist. Deal.
12:20 AM on 09/30/2012
WHY does this country ALWAYS have to have an enemy and ALWAYS have to be at war. Eisenhower warned about the Military Industrial Complex and how destructive it would be. That time is here. Our country is constantly living in hate and fear. And we are murdering innocent children, women and non-combatants. We are constantly breaking both domestic and international law. Clinton, Bush, Obama, etc. are ALL war criminals, and should be tried publicly at the Hague.
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HEXYEBO
What time is it ? Same as usual
03:34 AM on 09/30/2012
One can automatically dismiss any opinion which uses term "always."
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psnyder325
Yep, I'm a Socialist. Deal.
06:40 AM on 09/30/2012
Nope. Look at history. There has never been a time in U.S. history when we have not had to have an enemy....where we've been at peace with all. My statement stands. This country ALWAYS must have an enemy....at least up to this point. Name me a time when we haven't been paranoid of any other country and I might agree with your statement.
12:09 AM on 09/30/2012
Mr. Naiman, when you say drones are bad because of killing approx. 486 civilians, you don,t mention whether the other war strategies + weapons kill the same number , or in fact , save some civilians from dying . Are bombs better + safer, or missiles?

If we have to have an either/or, I,d go for the drones but my first vote is for NO war.
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HEXYEBO
What time is it ? Same as usual
03:36 AM on 09/30/2012
The Kumbayah isolationists naively consider that the way to deal with Al Qaeda terrorists is to have a group hug-in and discuss the terms of surrender to global Caliphate.
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RobertNaiman
Policy Director at Just Foreign Policy
01:09 PM on 09/30/2012
"If we have to have an either/or": this is the fundamental question before us, isn't it? What exactly are the choices?

Is it true that we have to bomb someone?

And suppose it is true that we have to bomb someone. Do we have to bomb civilian rescuers, a blatant war crime? Do we have to bomb weddings, funerals, community meetings? Do we have to carry out "signature strikes" targeted at no-one in particular? Do we have to carry out "secondary strikes," hitting the same target again hours later, thereby dramatically increasing the risk of civilian casualties? If we were to accept that there are going to be some drone strikes, would that mean we have to accept the whole policy as it stands today, or could there be a different policy, which does not do these things? If we are to have a different policy, how is that to come about? Isn't it likely that some protest of the current policy is necessary to bring about a different policy?
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01:44 PM on 10/01/2012
well robert. i find it interesting that yu oppose drone strikes in pakistan due to the harm that might come to innocent civilians, and yu specifically mention 'war crimes', such as the bombing of weddings, funerals, community meetings, etc……
i'm curious why these sort of atkks against pakistanis makes yu call for 'different policy',
yet yu remain silent on the 'harm that might come to civilians' & 'the bomb(ing) of weddings, funerals, community meetings' in israeli civilian communities. why don't yu call for a 'different policy' for those same 'war crimes' committedd by palestinianss on a near daily basis….where the intentional rktt attacks intentionally trgtng innocent israeli civilian communities is so common? where is the call for the end to that? where is the call to end the buss bomms, the human bommms, the yeshiva mass.a.cres., and intentional trgting of childrens school buses via missi|||es…against innocent israeli civilians. why do you remain silent on that front….
while being so vocal about innocent pakistanis? would love to hear an answer to that.
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MikeDu
Both salubrious and lugubrious concurrently.
06:02 PM on 09/29/2012
Drone warfare stems from D. Rumsfeld's notion of 'transformational warfare', the substitution of troops with technology as a force-multiplier. Other aspects of Rumsfeld's scheme have been less than 'successful'. Badly integrated realtime intelligence capabilities, computers that lock up in the confines of an overheated troop compartment, cameras on vehicles whose only purpose appears to be to provide footage for the Christmas party blooper reel. Drone aircraft have a double benefit to the Pentagon - they take the soldier entirely out of the loop, and verifying their relative success is impossible. Something on the far side of the world went 'boom'. Was it yet another Al Qaida #2 or was it children sleeping in their beds? We know which the Pentagon will claim.
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07:56 PM on 09/29/2012
When will democrats stop pointing fingers? You wanted this president...you got him and his administration.

Now it is on the democrats plate.

Rumsfeld...give us a break.
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psnyder325
Yep, I'm a Socialist. Deal.
12:22 AM on 09/30/2012
It is the fault of Clinton, Bush and Obama....all three administrations. It isn't "pointing fingers" to point out that which is obvious. All three administrations are war criminals and should be tried in the Hague.
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realitytrumpsbull
Two 'alves of coconut!
11:22 PM on 09/29/2012
Well if you don't like drones, just think what other wonderful things the global MIC has cooked up over the years, machine guns, cruise missiles, nookers, napalm, nerve gas, landmines, fuel-air bombs, area denial weapons, heat weapons, sound weapons, surveillance technology, that little thing that flies around at supersonic speeds and lodges itself in the back of your skull and makes you into a zombie, oh, the list just goes on and on and on! And, every year, governments around the world work together with industry, to find better and more effective ways of killing the public. What fun, what fun! Wonder what they'll come up with, next year?
02:18 PM on 09/29/2012
drones are just a tool. and a good one. you can't make them the main point of debate... like you won't blame the M16 or MK47 for killing peoples.
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ADVOCATE4ZPG
07:05 PM on 09/29/2012
Exactly...., and drones are about the ONLY effective strategem to come along in many years to GUERRILLA WARFARE....., which is EXACTLY why the apologists for Third World nihilism don't like them..... Too bad they weren't available(???) for use AGAINST the Serbian "nationalists" in Bosnia-Herzogovina....!!! They are available for use against narco-guerrillas in S. America.....
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realitytrumpsbull
Two 'alves of coconut!
11:24 PM on 09/29/2012
Don't forget the old standby, the sharp, heavy rock. The grip fits the hand nicely! Eco-friendly, whisper-silent!
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Gestas
Mountain Man
02:06 PM on 09/29/2012
Keep in mind, that as we speak at lest 50 countries throughout the world are presently buying Drones or developing Drones...Sleep Well..!..
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erehwon2
11:58 AM on 09/29/2012
The author should be sure to keep the authorities in the US apprised of his whereabouts while in Pakistan...
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BluePhantom2
The Blacksmith & the Artist reflected in their art
10:41 AM on 09/29/2012
The use of these weapons against civilian targets in countries we are not at war with is a crime. If we use them they should be used against Gov or military targets with the consent of Congress (WAR) not as a stop gap policy. We have angered the middle east with our "Your lives are cheap" policy. Diplomacy is the answer but it is completely missing today. We give these countries our money to prop up their Gov and then kill their citizens at our leasure. This sends a terrible message to the world. Diplomatically we should insist that these countries clean up their own back yards and hold our money back if they don't. This could cause chaos but it will not be chaos of our making and the Gov will have nobody to blame but themselves. Our current policy (It's really a lack of policy going back to Bush) allows these Gov's to blame the US for all their ills while pocketing our money in swiss accounts. The middle east is going to burn (It already is!) so we need to not fuel their anger towards us (Probable too late).
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ADVOCATE4ZPG
07:06 PM on 09/29/2012
IMPOSSIBLE! If "civilians" don't want to be targetted, THEY should avoid contact and/or association with "guerrillas."
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psnyder325
Yep, I'm a Socialist. Deal.
12:25 AM on 09/30/2012
What an absurd statement. First, we don't know that only guerrillas are being targeted. Secondly, the people may not KNOW they're associating with terrorists. There isn't a big stamp on their forehead, you know. Thirdly, the U.S. has made MANY mistakes for which we've apologized, but this doesn't bring back the dead or regrow limbs or put together ruined lives.
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BluePhantom2
The Blacksmith & the Artist reflected in their art
09:50 AM on 09/30/2012
The use of these drones in a non-war environment is a ver tricky thing. Again we should not be targeting people in countries we are not at war with. I can agree to certain specific situations signed off by the president but not this daily slaughter.
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Bombadillo22
Not all who wander are lost...
10:18 AM on 09/29/2012
"Democrats overwhelmingly want to get out. What changed? Did the war change?

Yes. War has changed in that technology has evolved to the point where we are able to use robots instead of sending people into harms way. It was meant to be. We will send robots to the moon in similar fashion--for our bodily protection--but with different intent.

We let robots do/take our JOBS in industry--why should we then shirk at using them to do the dirty and dangerous work of survival or progress, including war and space/deep sea exploration?

One way to get around the 'morality' issue to which the author refers is to work on evolving ourselves and society at large. While this may exclude the tea party, WE, as a nation and world must insist on having smart and benevolent people in charge, for only these will have benevolent intentions and use them smartly-- embarking in war only as a last resort.