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Robert Reich

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Roberts' Switch

Posted: 06/29/2012 9:32 am

This week a majority of the Court upheld the constitutionality of the Affordable Care Act, otherwise known as Obamacare in recognition of its importance as a key initiative of the Obama administration. The big surprise, for many, was the vote by the Chief Justice of the Court, John Roberts, to join with the Court's four liberals.

Roberts' decision is not without precedent. Seventy-five years ago, another Justice Roberts -- no relation to the current Chief Justice -- made a similar switch. Justice Owen Roberts had voted with the Court's conservative majority in a host of 5-4 decisions invalidating New Deal legislation, but in March of 1937 he suddenly switched sides and began joining with the Court's four liberals. In popular lore, Roberts' switch saved the Court -- not only from Franklin D. Roosevelt's threat to pack it with justices more amenable to the New Deal but, more importantly, from the public's increasing perception of the Court as a partisan, political branch of government.

Chief Justice John Roberts isn't related to his namesake but the current Roberts' move today marks a close parallel. By joining with the Court's four liberals who have been in the minority in many important cases -- including the 2010 decision, Citizen's United vs. Federal Election Commission, which struck down constraints on corporate political spending as being in violation of the Constitution's First Amendment guaranteeing freedom of speech -- the current Justice Roberts may have, like his earlier namesake, saved the Court from a growing reputation for political partisanship.

As Alexander Hamilton pointed out when the Constitution was being written, the Supreme Court is the "least dangerous branch" of government because it has neither the purse (it can't enforce its rulings by threatening to withhold public money) nor the sword (it has no police or military to back up its decisions). It has only the trust and confidence of average citizens. If it is viewed as politically partisan, that trust is in jeopardy. As Chief Justice, Roberts has a particular responsibility to maintain and enhance that trust.

Nothing else explains John Roberts' switch -- certainly not the convoluted constitutional logic he used to arrive at his decision. On the most critical issue in the case -- whether the so-called "individual mandate" requiring almost all Americans to purchase health insurance was a constitutionally-permissible extension of federal power under the Commerce Clause of the Constitution -- Roberts agreed with his conservative brethren that it was not.

Roberts nonetheless upheld the law because, he reasoned, the penalty to be collected by the government for non-compliance with the law is the equivalent of a tax -- and the federal government has the power to tax. By this bizarre logic, the federal government can pass all sorts of unconstitutional laws -- requiring people to sell themselves into slavery, for example -- as long as the penalty for failing to do so is considered to be a tax.

Regardless of the fragility of Roberts' logic, the Court's majority has given a huge victory to the Obama administration and, arguably, the American people. The Affordable Care Act is still flawed -- it doesn't do nearly enough to control increases in healthcare costs that already constitute 18 percent of America's Gross Domestic Product, and will soar even further as the baby boomers age - but it is a milestone. And like many other pieces of important legislation before it -- Social Security, Medicare, Civil Rights and Voting Rights -- it will be improved upon. Every Democratic president since Franklin D. Roosevelt has sought universal health care, to no avail.

But over the next four months the Act will be a political football. Mitt Romney, the Republican presidential candidate, has vowed to repeal the law as soon as he is elected (an odd promise in that no president can change or repeal a law without a majority of the House of Representatives and sixty Senators). Romney reiterated that vow this morning, after the Supreme Court announced its decision. His campaign, and so-called independent groups that have been collecting tens of millions of dollars from Romney supporters (and Obama haters), have already launched advertising campaigns condemning the Act.

Unfortunately for President Obama -- and for Chief Justice Roberts, to the extent his aim in joining with the Court's four liberals was to reduce the public appearance of the Court's political partisanship -- the four conservatives on the Court, all appointed by Republican presidents, were fiercely united in their view that the entire Act is unconstitutional. Their view will surely become part of the Romney campaign.

 

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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
unami
sonic truth
09:36 PM on 06/29/2012
I cannot, for the life of me, fathom the intense, irrational hatred of this decision by the Right. How, exactly is this bad for the American people? Romney's stance is just as bizzare, but I guess it is just playing to the base.
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MaryK2924
Treat others as you would like to be treated!
07:01 AM on 06/30/2012
I think it's more an opposition to the president that achieved it and not the law itself. It's just a political ploy by repubs. What I don't understand is why they would want to appear heartless by openly opposing a law that helps, among others, children and seniors, some loudly voicing their disapproval. I'm not sure what they hope to gain.
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11:43 AM on 06/30/2012
Exactly -- "political ploy" (and power play).
I think we get confused when we succumb to the temptation to take seriously the personalities and soap opera that is thrown at us. There is a lot more collusion and felicity among Democrat and Republican leadership than we are led to believe.
I don't buy that "Republican obstruction" could ever have occurred to the extent it has without tacit help from Democratic leadership.

As for "heartless", in our own interest as liberals, we need to have cool heads and realize that we are all being manipulated, North and South, right and left. Tea Party and their far more sedate and far more numerous sympathizers see themselves as looted and taken advantage, not heartless.
It is a divide and conquer game, we get every bit as much of it from the White House and Democratic leadership and supposedly friendly news media, as Republican flunkies dish out.
Liberals are very foolish if they think they aren't just as susceptible to "spin" as other folks.
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Josh Crawford
Just the facts, man!
05:57 PM on 06/29/2012
I understand the "repeal" part of the "repeal and replace" strategy Mr. Romney says he supports, but what is his "replace"? For that matter, what is the GOP plan to "replace" Obamacare?

Oh, right: THEY DON'T HAVE ONE!!!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
LawTalkingGuy
Rational human male.
10:46 AM on 07/03/2012
That's because it's not part of the strategy, only the propaganda. In spite of all the hatred and misinformation, they still can't just promise to get rid of it.
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Allene Stucki
05:41 PM on 06/29/2012
When that 18% of GDP consumed by health-care balloons to 36%, as it most certainly will, a lot of government programs are going to come under severe pressure. It will be interesting to see how that plays out.
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LawTalkingGuy
Rational human male.
10:48 AM on 07/03/2012
Except that every nation that has a public health system insures 100% of its citizens and a substantially LOWER per capita cost than the USA.

So yes, if your health costs doubled that would be bad, but there's no evidence for that.
By the same token if you SAVED 30%-50%, as the data suggest you will, that would be great.

So if you care about the budget, you should be a big supporter of public health.
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Allene Stucki
12:00 PM on 07/03/2012
Except that all those other nations operate their universal health care systems as single payer, non-profit systems. We could do that too, except for the fact that the Dr's lobby and the pharmaceutical lobby and the insurance lobby, and the hospital lobby, have too much power to get it passed.

So, we just graft universal coverage onto our for-profit system, and wait and see, the cost will double - not necessarily the individual cost, but the total cost, and the total cost is what affects the budget.
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Wonderwheel
12:58 PM on 07/03/2012
That's why the private insurance protecting PPACA is not public health care. But it is a step toward public healh care because it is now crystal clear that the taxing power under the Constitution is the only legal way to get there.
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Gestas
Mountain Man
05:31 PM on 06/29/2012
John Roberts may be a lot smarter than the Republican(R) Party thought he was...You can bet they won't make that mistake again.
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LawTalkingGuy
Rational human male.
10:48 AM on 07/03/2012
Not at least for another four years...
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Wonderwheel
12:59 PM on 07/03/2012
LOL! I love a spot of sarcasm with my morning coffee.
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AsISaid
04:03 PM on 06/29/2012
Mr. Reich - you called it yesterday and I bow to your wisdom.
og
It strikes me that Roberts might have voted with the conservatives, however, except for their refusal to back off the position of ruling the entire law unconstitutional. Perhaps if the other conservatives had been willing to declare the individual mandate unconstitutional, while leaving the rest of the bill intact, Roberts may have decided to side with them. Failing to do that, Roberts may have been looking for middle ground - a reason to let the law go into effect, but leaving the perogative of Congress to determine taxation.
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03:40 PM on 06/29/2012
I'm curious: had Justice Kennedy been swayed to vote for it, would Roberts still have joined in or would we have seen a 5-4 vote no matter what? It just seems like Roberts really, really didn't want to vote for it, but still wanted it upheld for the overall sake of the Court's reputation.
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billp65
Kennedy Liberal
03:03 PM on 06/29/2012
Hopefully people will now see how important it is to vote, and not get us sucked into another 2010, where only one side showed up to vote.
05:56 PM on 06/29/2012
bilip65,
Truer words have never been written.

The Republicans will definitely show up at the polls in November and vote...many of them who still view themselves as "middle class" will even show up and vote against their own economic self interests. This is a phenomenon that I simply cannot and will never understand. This is tantamount to masochism. Those oligarchs, corporatists and plutocrats in the top 1 percent are spending hundreds of millions of dollars to tighten the noose around this nation's collective neck.

The "haves" have the dollars, but the "have nots" still have the "numbers". And those "numbers", if we all turn out to vote for candidates that still have the people's interests at heart rather than being hood winked by the likes of the Koch boys, Karl Rove, Dick Armey, Grover Norquist, and other fellow travelers, etc will win the day..

Our vote is the last bastion of power to regain control of this nation.
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07:29 PM on 06/29/2012
Exactly the same way that I feel. Bugs Bunny might have referred to these masochists as a bunch of maroons. However ~ this is no laughing matter. As you stated in your last sentence - about our vote is our last bastion - there in lies the problem.

Even thought the " have nots" have the numbers (votes) ~ we can be usurped simply by the deluge of post Citizens United mega bucks ( channeling J Goebbels ) and the rest of the stinking, lying, greedy, we want it all goose stepping hate mongers - who know the power of the written, spoken & visual word.

We can only hope that somehow - somebody can submit a obvious truth - so valid and obvious - that the maroons will reawaken and rejoin us in honest and sincere debate as to how we can move our great nation forward before ~ they reach the Kool Aid line.
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MaryK2924
Treat others as you would like to be treated!
07:03 AM on 06/30/2012
Absolutely, we have only ourselves to blame if we don't.
03:01 PM on 06/29/2012
Several weeks ago, during the frenzied debate over which way the Court would go, and why, I thought about the motivating forces that would drive the Gang of Five to a decision.

It occurred to me that there might be a way to predict the outcome with the following equation:

(Insurance Lobby) + (Justices' legacy) - ('get' Obama) = ACA stands

The tie-breaker, here, between the desire to please the insurance lobby by voting it up, on the one hand vs. 'getting' Obama, i.e., supposedly damaging him in typically Republican fashion by voting it down, was avoiding a grossly tarnished legacy.

That was when I stopped worrying that they would kill it to spite Obama.
Deftguy
I train people and rehabilitate dogs
02:40 PM on 06/29/2012
I absolutely agree with Reich take on this - Roberts did what he did so the court would not be considered a partisan court of Republicans. The problem is, he did not accomplish his goal. The court is nothing more than a arm of the Republican party, and Roberts actions won't change this. His actions actually highlight this.

Personally, I am for term limits on Justices. Making this a lifetime appointment gives them too much power, and very little accountability.
01:26 PM on 06/29/2012
There are never any absolutes, and this case was no exception.


Chief Justice of the Court, John Roberts - voted with liberals, so the majority of Americans will vote out Obama and the liberal Senate - because having the Federal Government not only in charge of healthcare, but dictating the prices is a complete disaster.
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PDinCA
Clarity has reared its ugly head again
02:28 PM on 06/29/2012
You're absolutely sure of that, are you?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
nowThenzen
I am
06:35 PM on 06/29/2012
There is an exception to every rule, except this one.
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nowThenzen
I am
06:35 PM on 06/29/2012
Which is the exception.
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ideasmatter
Knowledge is free
02:31 PM on 06/29/2012
"because having the Federal Government not only in charge of healthcare, but dictating the prices is a complete disaster. " That's done in every other developed nation, and it works just fine; their per capita costs are typically half of what we spend, plus the outcomes are somewhat better: higher life expectancy, lower infant mortality, higher immunization rates, and that for 100%, not 80%, of the population. The "disaster" argument is purely ideological and dead wrong at the same time.
01:23 PM on 06/29/2012
Congratulations for calling this shot. Robert's determination to salvage the Supreme Court from its reputation for having been stocked in recent years by Republican presidents with appointees based exclusively on their "severe conservatism" (e.g., Nixon nominee G. Harold Cardswell and his subsequent appointee William H. Renquist, George H. Bush's appointee Clarence Thomas, the list goes on and on) may have required the Chief Justice's Ruthian brain-power to come up with a clever twist in the mainstream of conservative logic I would like to believe that Chief Justice Roberts recognizes that the Constitution is an evolving body of law that may and should morph slowly to reflect the current realities of American society from time to time and that upholding the constitutionality of this piece of legislation (albeit in a somewhat unexpected way) at this point in time was "the right thing to do."
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Wonderwheel
12:52 PM on 06/29/2012
"By this bizarre logic, the federal government can pass all sorts of unconstitutional laws -- requiring people to sell themselves into slavery, for example -- as long as the penalty for failing to do so is considered to be a tax."

Mr. Reich, this is bizarre logic. First is the silly idea that Congress can pass a law that requires slavery when the Constitution prohibits slavery. Congress can't pas a law that violates the Constitution. Second, it is a good thing that this decision does in fact lay the foundation for a real and necessary socialism through the exercise of the taxing power. If providing health care is a national priority it is good that the Government can tax people to make it so. Likewise, if the Government--we the people--believe that it is a good thing to fight forest fires, then we can tax ourselves to do that... oh wait, we already do that. See? We already use the taxing power to exercise the will of the people for the good things that the people want. So what's the problem with this decision simply acknowleging that the people through their Government can provide for the General Welfare? That is what the Constitution provides after all.
03:04 PM on 06/29/2012
Exactly.
03:11 PM on 06/29/2012
This is what I wanted to ask you about, too, Mr. Reich. Your example clearly overreaches, as Wonderwheel describes, and its failure leaves an important question unanswered: What legislative dangers, if any, *does* Roberts's and the majority's logic (with which, like Wonderwheel, I am sympathetic) open the door to, without hyperbole?
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notmoderate
There's always money in the banana stand
12:48 PM on 06/29/2012
Great point. The delayed release of opinions corresponds with your assessment. My guess is that he assessed that there is no real political gain for either side, naming it a tax, so he switched to disguise the fact that the court is at a partisan high point. The more significant change to the political landscape was CU, and THAT will be the Robert's court unforgivable legacy.
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Wonderwheel
12:29 PM on 06/29/2012
Robert Reich is one of the few people who forecasted the possible alignment for this decision, but I strongly disagree with the notion that the majority opinion contains twisted legal logic. Roberts elegantly and correctly parsed the legal question. Congress and the President were the one's using the twisted logic of "mandate" and "penalty" to pretend that mandatory exactions are not taxes because they kowtowed to the Republican "no new taxes" mantra, so they argued the Commerce Clause which honest progressives knew was and should be a losing argument. What Roberts' opinion has clarified is that people have to stop calling it a "mandate with a penalty" and admit that the Affordable Care Act is based on a "tax with exclusions." The Act establishes a health care tax with several exclusions from paying the tax, such as choosing to buy health care insurance, being too ppor to have to pay taxes, etc. This is good news, because the SCOTUS has now affirmed the basis for a real single payer universal health care program based on taxes.
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DoubleYellowLines
Left of the Right, and Right of the Left
12:47 PM on 06/29/2012
I agree. I always thought the Commerce argument was a loser, but that if the Administration had been honest and called it a tax, it would win the day.

I did NOT expect Roberts to run with that, though.
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Wonderwheel
01:29 PM on 06/29/2012
I too did not dare to expect Roberts to acknowledge it either. Roberts has now shown that he can on occasion live up to the integrity of the old-school conservatives who, to paraphrase Ben Franklin, could say, "I don't agree with your taxation plan, but I'll fight to uphold the Constitutional power to tax." For that he deserves a Profile in Courage award. The phoney conservatives like Scalia, Thomas, and Alito have no integrity at all.
RTIII
Poster of over 0.0135% of all HufPost comments
01:13 PM on 06/29/2012
Before the result was known, I was arguing the same things you do in this post, but a huge fraction of those "on the left" got upset with me about constitutionality within the commerce clause. Thank you for your articulation today - it's right on the money.

In my view, the law could have been edited oh so very slightly - mostly just renaming things - and it would have been fine, but it wasn't written correctly and should have gone down. Now that Roberts has saved it, it's a mixed blessing. I hope this is the beginning and not the end (as I fear) for Single Payer.
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Michael D Ballantine
Texas Justice Party - Chairperson
11:57 AM on 06/29/2012
The affordable health care act is a boon for corporations so Justice Roberts is just being pragmatic. If Obamacare had been overturned, then we might get what we want, universal coverage through single-payer. Gov Romney if elected will make a lot of noise but in the end he will use the Obama excuse, that Congress prevents him from changing things and only if they would play fair can I get something accomplished. The political theater that goes on between the two-parties is both nauseating and insulting to our intelligence. How anyone can believe that the architect of Romney care would eliminate Obamacare is beyond me?

We need to end this farce in Washington and introduce an old concept call equality and fairness. We need Justice in our healthcare, we need someone like Rocky Anderson to implement Medicare for all.
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AsISaid
04:14 PM on 06/29/2012
Had 'Obamacare' been overturned, in no way shape or form would we be closer to universal coverage. Just the opposite.

Your assertion assumes things not in evidence....like a broad-based desire in Congress to make sure all citizens are covered, like a desire - a real desire - to bring healthcare costs under control, like the acceptance of the need to abandon the so-called 'free market' in health care, like the desire to take profit out of our health care system.

We are light years away from these serious changes.
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Michael D Ballantine
Texas Justice Party - Chairperson
09:45 PM on 06/29/2012
I never assumed that Congress would be willing to do this.  For over 50 years they have stood in the way of universal health care.  The only way we will get universal health care is if the 50 million people without go on strike, institute boycotts and divest themselves of stocks in banks and corporations that are ruthlessly pillaging our nation.  Only then will the mouthpieces of corporate America respond.