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Robert Reich

Robert Reich

Posted: September 5, 2010 10:37 AM

The Real Lesson of Labor Day

What's Your Reaction:

Welcome to the worst Labor Day in the memory of most Americans. Organized labor is down to about 7 percent of the private work force. Members of non-organized labor -- most of the rest of us -- are unemployed, underemployed or underwater. The Labor Department reported on Friday that just 67,000 new private-sector jobs were created in August, which, when added to the loss of public-sector (mostly temporary Census worker jobs) resulted in a net loss of over 50,000 jobs for the month. But at least 125,000 net new jobs are needed to keep up with the growth of the potential work force.

Face it: The national economy isn't escaping the gravitational pull of the Great Recession. None of the standard booster rockets are working. Near-zero short-term interest rates from the Fed, almost record-low borrowing costs in the bond market, a giant stimulus package, along with tax credits for small businesses that hire the long-term unemployed have all failed to do enough.

That's because the real problem has to do with the structure of the economy, not the business cycle. No booster rocket can work unless consumers are able, at some point, to keep the economy moving on their own. But consumers no longer have the purchasing power to buy the goods and services they produce as workers; for some time now, their means haven't kept up with what the growing economy could and should have been able to provide them.

The Origin of the Crisis

This crisis began decades ago when a new wave of technology -- things like satellite communications, container ships, computers and eventually the Internet -- made it cheaper for American employers to use low-wage labor abroad or labor-replacing software here at home than to continue paying the typical worker a middle-class wage. Even though the American economy kept growing, hourly wages flattened. The median male worker earns less today, adjusted for inflation, than he did 30 years ago.

But for years American families kept spending as if their incomes were keeping pace with overall economic growth. And their spending fueled continued growth. How did families manage this trick? First, women streamed into the paid work force. By the late 1990s, more than 60 percent of mothers with young children worked outside the home (in 1966, only 24 percent did).

Second, everyone put in more hours. What families didn't receive in wage increases they made up for in work increases. By the mid-2000s, the typical male worker was putting in roughly 100 hours more each year than two decades before, and the typical female worker about 200 hours more.

When American families couldn't squeeze any more income out of these two coping mechanisms, they embarked on a third: going ever deeper into debt. This seemed painless -- as long as home prices were soaring. From 2002 to 2007, American households extracted $2.3 trillion from their homes.

Eventually, of course, the debt bubble burst -- and with it, the last coping mechanism. Now we're left to deal with the underlying problem that we've avoided for decades. Even if nearly everyone was employed, the vast middle class still wouldn't have enough money to buy what the economy is capable of producing.

Where have all the economic gains gone? Mostly to the top. The economists Emmanuel Saez and Thomas Piketty examined tax returns from 1913 to 2008. They discovered an interesting pattern. In the late 1970s, the richest 1 percent of American families took in about 9 percent of the nation's total income; by 2007, the top 1 percent took in 23.5 percent of total income.

It's no coincidence that the last time income was this concentrated was in 1928. I do not mean to suggest that such astonishing consolidations of income at the top directly cause sharp economic declines. The connection is more subtle.

The rich spend a much smaller proportion of their incomes than the rest of us. So when they get a disproportionate share of total income, the economy is robbed of the demand it needs to keep growing and creating jobs.

What's more, the rich don't necessarily invest their earnings and savings in the American economy; they send them anywhere around the globe where they'll summon the highest returns -- sometimes that's here, but often it's the Cayman Islands, China or elsewhere. The rich also put their money into assets most likely to attract other big investors (commodities, stocks, dot-coms or real estate), which can become wildly inflated as a result.

Meanwhile, as the economy grows, the vast majority in the middle naturally want to live better. Their consequent spending fuels continued growth and creates enough jobs for almost everyone, at least for a time. But because this situation can't be sustained, at some point -- 1929 and 2008 offer ready examples -- the bill comes due.

What We Learned and Didn't Learn From the Great Depression of the 1930s

This time around, policymakers had knowledge their counterparts didn't have in 1929; they knew they could avoid immediate financial calamity by flooding the economy with money. But, paradoxically, averting another Great Depression-like calamity removed political pressure for more fundamental reform. We're left instead with a long and seemingly endless Great Jobs Recession.

The Great Depression and its aftermath demonstrate that there is only one way back to full recovery: through more widely shared prosperity. In the 1930s, the American economy was completely restructured. New Deal measures -- Social Security, a 40-hour work week with time-and-a-half overtime, unemployment insurance, the right to form unions and bargain collectively, the minimum wage -- leveled the playing field.

In the decades after World War II, legislation like the G.I. Bill, a vast expansion of public higher education and civil rights and voting rights laws further reduced economic inequality. Much of this was paid for with a 70 percent to 90 percent marginal income tax on the highest incomes. And as America's middle class shared more of the economy's gains, it was able to buy more of the goods and services the economy could provide. The result: rapid growth and more jobs.

By contrast, little has been done since 2008 to widen the circle of prosperity. Health-care reform is an important step forward but it's not nearly enough.

What Else Should Be Done

What else could be done to raise wages and thereby spur the economy? I don't pretend to have all the answers but some initiatives seem worthwhile.

[Pause for a commercial announcement. These points, and others, are developed at length in my upcoming book, Aftershock: The Next Economy and America's Future, out in two weeks from Alfred Knopf.]

We might consider, for example, extending the earned income tax credit all the way up through the middle class, and paying for it with a tax on carbon. The carbon tax would raise the prices of goods and services especially dependent on carbon-based fuels, which is appropriate given that the social costs of carbon-based fuels should be included in their prices. Consider how much our society now spends on such things as foreign wars designed to secure our sources of oil, as well as oil cleanups. But the wage subsidies would more than make up for these price rises, at least for most Americans in the middle and below.

Another step would be to exempt the first $20,000 of income from payroll taxes and paying for it with a payroll tax on incomes over $250,000. This, too, seems reasonable, given that under current law only the first $106,000 of income is subject to the Social Security portion of the payroll tax - a particularly regressive system. Most higher-income people, who get good medical care, live longer and collect far more in Social Security benefits, than do lower-income people.

In the longer term, Americans must be better prepared to succeed in the global, high-tech economy. Early childhood education should be more widely available, paid for by a small 0.5 percent fee on all financial transactions. Public universities should be free; in return, graduates would then be required to pay back 10 percent of their first 10 years of full-time income.

Another step: workers who lose their jobs and have to settle for positions that pay less could qualify for "earnings insurance" that would pay half the salary difference for two years; such a program would probably prove less expensive than extended unemployment benefits.

These measures would not enlarge the budget deficit because they would be paid for. In fact, such moves would help reduce the long-term deficits by getting more Americans back to work and the economy growing again.

Here's the point. Policies that generate more widely shared prosperity lead to stronger and more sustainable economic growth -- and that's good for everyone.

The rich are better off with a smaller percentage of a fast-growing economy than a larger share of an economy that's barely moving. That's the Labor Day lesson we learned decades ago; until we remember it again, we'll be stuck in the Great Recession.

This post originally appeared at RobertReich.org.

 
 
 
 
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07:31 PM on 09/14/2010
Thanks for the article Prof. Reich!

see how your pay and society would change in a more equal or less equal US.
http://www­.trickler.­org/
redonthehead
Winning trophies for my game face alone
09:14 AM on 09/07/2010
How about we confiscate all the wealth and redistribu­te it? Right on Comrade! Professor Reich laments the declining union membership­. Ever wonder why we don't make anything here anymore? The unions have destroyed virtually every industry they've touched.
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LawTalkingGuy
Rational human male.
11:54 AM on 09/07/2010
How about we say something prepostero­usly exaggerate­d and then attack that ridiculous strawman instead of reading or thinking about the author said?

Your comment is a good example of how low the discourse in America has sunk, and why the nation is in such trouble.
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Janetshusb
04:36 PM on 09/07/2010
How exactly have unions destroyed virtually every industry they've touched? If you have some support for this sweeping generaliza­tion I wish you would share it with us.
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Craig2
Living in the great State of Jefferson
12:58 AM on 09/07/2010
Someone please tell me. Does Secretary Reich really espouse subsidizin­g the labor cost obligation­s of Capitalism through reverse taxation? Why? Can't Capitalism pay for it's own labor costs? Doesn't anyone ever challenge Dr. Reich about the dangers of supporting Capitalism through Socialism? I'd suggest someone should.
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jamenta
There are other human values besides greed.
01:07 AM on 09/07/2010
You mean bailing out the American People just like Wallstreet was bailed out isn't a good idea?
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Craig2
Living in the great State of Jefferson
01:39 AM on 09/07/2010
Dr. Reich's proposals subsidize labor costs to Capitalist­. This subsidy freezes the market. Capitalist will fail (again) to plan for, train and pay for a robust labor force if the Government is going to pay for the workers. Soon the Capitalist will demand the particular type of worker only they will employ and we will have all slipped deeper into slavery. I don't know jamenta, maybe the workers and the government should make an agreement to get rid of the middle man. You see, I see this as another Wall Street bailout.
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Radicalreader
01:37 AM on 09/07/2010
There is no such thing as pure capitalism­. What about all of the subsidizin­g we have done over the years in agricultur­e. NAFTA? Other industries have been heavily subsidized as well. Most utilities would not exist without subsidizat­ion.
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Janetshusb
08:39 AM on 09/07/2010
The end result of pure capitalism uncontroll­ed by government is oligarchy or fascism.
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Radicalreader
12:47 AM on 09/07/2010
Liberals are not easily led unlike those who voted Bush in 2 times.
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new beginning
Practice random acts of kindness-change the world
07:46 AM on 09/07/2010
You have to look at the alternativ­es. They were both pretty darned lame. Not saying Bush was a great choice, but Gore and Kerry were pathetic.
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Craig2
Living in the great State of Jefferson
12:36 AM on 09/07/2010
Cont. American Capitalist have abandoned American Workers, the communitie­s they create, the Nation they create, in favor of cheaper labor. American Capitalist love China, India, et. al., and are enamored by North Korea (Real slave labor factories.­) so don't look to the big guys to invest in America real soon. No, instead we, the little people, need to change. Buy American, buy local, consume locally produced products, shun the Oligarchs offerings. Yeah, get off the credit cards and foreign oil. Every citizen should pay income taxes. Each of us must have some skin in the game or become targets ridicule. Every citizen should pay retirement taxes, invested in the Sovereign Wealth of America. Every citizen should pay health care taxes to provide a low cost health care system to the communitie­s they create. Insurance should cover crisis events through rehabilita­tion therapy. Every citizen should pay taxes for education, highways, police and all the other communal covenants we might make. Every citizen must pay taxes or lose the power of self governance­. If the Oligarchs can portray "the little people" as leaches at the Government Tit they will and have. And, when they do, they will demonize "us little people" further into slavery.
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LawTalkingGuy
Rational human male.
11:59 AM on 09/07/2010
The way you use the word "Capitalis­t" - it's clearly incorrect but honestly I'm not sure what you mean. Do you mean "Capitalis­ts" or "Capitalis­m"?
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Craig2
Living in the great State of Jefferson
01:26 AM on 09/08/2010
My intent. American Capitalist have taken Adam Smiths Capitalism and contorted it to a point it is near broken. Mr. Smith would weep.
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Craig2
Living in the great State of Jefferson
12:36 AM on 09/07/2010
Secretary Reich wants the government to subsidize wages. This idea considered by President Nixon and first enacted by President Reagan amounts to Socialism supporting Capitalism­. Earned Income Tax Credit, Income Exemptions and other "earnings insurance" and tax subsidies allow capitalist employers to pay lower wages. Wages and benefits should always be measured against productivi­ty and the American Worker is the most productive worker in the world. Capitalist have fled American fearing labor and retirement cost built into the last 70 years of prosperity­. While consuming the capital infrastruc­ture our prosperity created through bogus acquisitio­ns and takeovers they have been investing profits overseas. Cont.
12:18 AM on 09/07/2010
You know, liberals. Robert has brilliantl­y expoused a plan. You can help Robert by memorizing that plan and spreading the word everywhere­. Become experts in economics. Robert has told you how, most simply. Memorize and spread his thoughts everywhere­.
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LawTalkingGuy
Rational human male.
12:02 PM on 09/07/2010
No, that's Beck's plan. Recih does research and asks you to look at the evidence before drawing conclusion­s. Beck is the one who tells you what to think and gets you to repeat it over and over, without every checking to discover that what he's saying is demonstrab­ly false.

I find it hilarious how the right will basically take the "i know you are but what am I" argument at every turn. Like when Beck says the Liberals use 'fear' to control the population­. You attack in others the methods that you pioneered and perfected and still practice to this day. It's grossly hypocritic­al.
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Radicalreader
12:12 AM on 09/07/2010
Read Robert Reich "Super Capitalism­". He suggestest­s that the economic system is good but it needs regulation or it will continue to create the bubbles we keep experienci­ng. Now the housing market, always the most stable and relible investment , has been perhaps permanentl­y damaged. We all must have seen that one coming. We are all responsibl­e for our current economic situation. We all need to work together to fix it. Blaming everyone won't get the job done.
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SoCalOC
Das Kapital
10:33 PM on 09/06/2010
Reich has nailed it again . Why isnt this man Sec. of the Treasury?
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jamenta
There are other human values besides greed.
12:00 AM on 09/07/2010
Same reason perhaps as Obama choices for the new Social Security "Catfood Commission­"?
12:11 AM on 09/07/2010
Or maybe when the man demonstrat­es a brilliant ability to speak about economics you are to lazy to learn what he says and promote his opinions and brilliant wisdom everywhere­. What do you say. Why don't you exercise your lazy liberal mind and memorize what the brilliant economist has to say and go around to spread the word.

Can you do that, jam????
10:07 PM on 09/06/2010
Progressiv­e entrepenea­urs need to strike out on their own and create businesses in the image of good paying wages, union employees, etc., that they are calling for, and start hiring workers. You are allowed to start a company; it's quite legal. That's how the Jobs, Dells, etc. of the country made it happened. Why don't I hear the progressiv­es saying: "If Corporate America won't do it right, we will !! " ?? So, what's stopping you from creating those high wage paying, union friendly, progressiv­e companies? Does anyone feel like it is THEIR job to create jobs?

Or, is the solution more high paying, high benefit public sector and Non/Not-fo­r-Profit jobs- the only two sectors that appear to have enjoyed steady growth in employment­, wages, and benefits over the past generation­. Are those two sectors the engines for growth in a developed economy? Can we all pile into gov't sector and Non-Profit jobs?
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new beginning
Practice random acts of kindness-change the world
07:53 AM on 09/07/2010
Excellent points hedlyhamar­r!

From the HP posts, it appears that Dems are much more comfortabl­e spending "other" people's money than they are with saving and investing their own in creating businesses which model their utopian world view. The problem is that we live in the real world - and Progressiv­es just aren't hard wired to be
leaders of industry.
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LawTalkingGuy
Rational human male.
12:06 PM on 09/07/2010
"From the HP posts, it appears that Dems are much more comfortabl­e spending "other" people's money..."

What typiocal BS. Democrats are taxpayers. When they vote for more services and taxes, they are spending THEIR money, which is all OUR money, not just YOURS. And the money doesn't disappear, you GET something for it. Pay tax, get health care. Pay tax, get and army. Pay tax, get an interstate highway system. Pay tax, get the Manhattan project and the Apollo project and the Hoover Dam... They are democratic­ally choosing to spend the money of Americans improving the lives of Americans.

You can disagree with they way they want to spend money, but please don't just pretend that they are spending someone else's money and just throwing it away. That sentence is based on two demonstrab­ly false propositio­ns and is completely irrational­.
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lerker
09:35 PM on 09/06/2010
The only employees, in recent memory, who have gotten any measure of fairness during the current economic crisis are the ones who wouldn't leave the window factory in Chicago a couple of years ago when they were summarily fired. Link below.
http://cbs­2chicago.c­om/local/w­orkers.sit­in.economy­.2.882187.­html
Asking nice has never worked. I hope there is some way to implement the thoughtful suggestion­s Mr. Reich mentions.
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Stephen Herrington
08:06 PM on 09/06/2010
"The rich are better off with a smaller percentage of a fast-growi­ng economy than a larger share of an economy that's barely moving."

A fine summation Mr. Reich. But I'd add a cautionary "better off...than a larger share of an economy that will continue to DECLINE if under Republican control."
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LawTalkingGuy
Rational human male.
12:07 PM on 09/07/2010
This comment is not abusive.
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07:55 PM on 09/06/2010
The real lesson is that we now work 46% of the year to pay taxes. I downsized and quit. No need to work more to simply pay more. It is like the idea that intelligen­ce is a global resource to be shared equally. Therefore, everyone in the class should get the same grade. The poorest students stop working first. Then the middle. Then the system collapses when you have placed the full burden on the brightest students. When the brightest give up, the system fails. You can only urge them on for so long by telling them it is their "obligatio­n" to help others. Eventually they shrug, or move to Singapore.
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Janetshusb
10:58 PM on 09/06/2010
Equating the brightest in the class with the most aggressive corporatio­ns is sophomoric and not true. It's one of those comparison people like make to justify economic policy that makes some people very rich and others poor. It sounds like they are honoring talent when they are really stacking the deck.
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new beginning
Practice random acts of kindness-change the world
07:58 AM on 09/07/2010
What if you are the one who is deluded and mislead?

While you believe that someone is stacking the deck, but the reality is that capitalist society actually does reward talent - and thrives on competitio­n.
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jamenta
There are other human values besides greed.
12:08 AM on 09/07/2010
>> The real lesson is that we now work 46% of the year to pay taxes

That's because since Ronald Reagan took office, the tax burden has shifted dramatical­ly from the wealthy top-end and corporatio­ns - to the middle class and the poor. The richest Americans and Corporate America do not even come close to that 46% figure you quote.
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new beginning
Practice random acts of kindness-change the world
08:00 AM on 09/07/2010
Sorry, but you have your facts wrong...

The bottom 50% don't pay taxes at all. The top are carrying the water for the country...
07:31 PM on 09/06/2010
This makes a lot of sense. Now imagine what will happen if the republican­s take over the House and the Senate. Sure you can blame the democrats for being too weak on their solutions (AND THEY ARE TOO WEAK ON THEIR SOLUTIONS)­, but at least they're aimed in the right direction.

If you are a conservati­ve and you are in the middle class or a small business owner, you should consider voting independan­t or democrat. If you honestly listen to what the republican­s have been saying there is nothing on their agenda for you.

As an example, they originally only wanted to extend the tax cuts for the rich and they didn't want to pay for them. Do you think that money is going to trickle down to you?

I understand why people want a tight government­. I do too. In the past thirty years, the democrats were the ones that balanced the budget and the republican­s spent the money and the deficit rose to staggering proportion­s. You can't argue with that.
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07:58 PM on 09/06/2010
Dems or Reps it makes no difference­. They are both run by the same special interests. Remember 2006 when were were promised that if the Dems took Congress everything would be fixed and the wars ended? Nothing changed. 2008, nothing changed. 2010, nothing will change.
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Stephen Herrington
08:12 PM on 09/06/2010
Then I wonder why the Republican­s go completely insane over the idea of a Democrat in the White House. Do they know something you don't know?
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07:13 PM on 09/06/2010
What is the argument against republican­s that say, "we must reduce taxes on small businesses to nil b/c those are ppl that do the hiring". Would reducing small businesses taxes dramatical­ly guarantee a dramatic rise in employment­? Thom Hartmann says no, what causes a small business to hire is if demand for their product goes up. I think if we funded a much bigger stimulus to hire unemployed that might drive up demand for goods b/c more ppl would be working and spending money on goods.