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Robert Reich

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Why We May Be In Store for a Passionless Presidential Race

Posted: 11/11/2011 6:50 pm

Polls show Americans angrier and more polarized than at any time since the Vietnam War. That's not surprising. We have the worst economy since the Great Recession and the worst politics in living memory. The rise of the regressive right over the last three decades has finally spurred a progressive reaction. Occupiers and others have had enough.

Yet paradoxically the presidential race that officially begins a few months from now is likely to be as passionless as they come.

President Obama will be supported by progressives and the Democratic base, but without enthusiasm. His notorious caves to Republicans and Wall Street -- failing to put conditions on the Street's bailout (such as demanding the Street help stranded home owners), or to resurrect Glass-Steagall, or include a public option in health care, or assert his constitutional responsibility to raise the debt limit, or protect Medicare and Social Security, or push for cap-and-trade, or close Guantanamo, or, in general, confront the regressive Republican nay-sayers and do-nothings with toughness rather than begin negotiations by giving them much of what they want -- are not the stuff that stirs a passionate following.

Mitt Romney will surely be the Republican presidential candidate -- and Romney inspires as little enthusiasm among Republicans as Obama does among Democrats. The GOP will support Romney because, frankly, he's the only major Republican primary candidate who does not appear to the broader public to be nuts.

But Republicans don't like Romney. His glib, self-serving, say-whatever-it-takes-to-win-the primaries approach strikes almost everyone as contrived and cynical. Moreover, Romney is the establishment personified -- a pump-and-dump takeover financier, for crying out loud -- at the very time the GOP (and much of the rest of the country) are becoming more anti-establishment by the day.

At this point neither the Republican right nor the mainstream media wants to admit the yawn-inducing truth that Mitt will be the GOP's candidate. The right doesn't want to admit it because it will be seen as a repudiation of the Tea Party. The media doesn't want to because they'd prefer to sell newspapers and attract eyeballs.

The media are keeping the story of Rick Perry's cringe-inducing implosion going for the same reason they're keeping the story of Herman Cain's equally painful decline going -- because the public is forever fascinated by the gruesome sight of dying candidacies. With Bachmann, Perry, and Cain gone or disintegrating, the right wing-nuts of the GOP have only one hope left: Newt Gingrich. His star will rise briefly before he, too, is pilloried for the bizarre things he's uttered in the past and for his equally bizarre private life. His fall will be equally sudden (although I don't think Gingrich is capable of embarrassment).

And so we'll be left with two presidential candidates who don't inspire -- at the very time in American history when Americans crave inspiration.

Instead of a big debate about the basics (how to truly restore jobs and wages, financial capitalism versus product capitalism, the place and role of America in the world, how to rescue our democracy), we're likely to have a superficial debate over symbols (the budget deficit, the size of government, whether we need a "businessman" at the helm).

This means political passions are likely to move elsewhere -- finding their voices in grass-roots movements, social media, demonstrations, boycotts, and meet-ups -- on the Main Streets and in the backwaters, and only episodically in the mainstream media or in normal election-year events.

In some ways this may not be such a bad thing. The regressive right has had thirty years to build itself into a political power. Newly-energized progressives (Occupiers and others) need enough time to develop concrete proposals and strategies. What's the rush? If polls are to be believed, most of the nation is progressive, not regressive (witness last Tuesday's results in Wisconsin and elsewhere). So it is, after all, only a matter of time.

Yet viewed another way, a passionless presidential race may be dangerous for America. The nation's problems may not wait. They require bold action, and soon.

Robert Reich is the author of Aftershock: The Next Economy and America's Future, now in bookstores. This post originally appeared at RobertReich.org.

 

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07:58 PM on 11/13/2011
Society has changed and is manifesting inadequacies that are historically dangerous for our nation as well as those of the western world. Judeo-christian values are being picked away by a secular belief
systems continuosly at odds with transcending spiritual values that appear antiquated thanks to politically correct yet often false credences. What is amazing is that people are falling for it. We need people that are less outlandish, sober in their thinking, humble with actions that when the calling arises, meet challenges with true belief and selfless heart. This is what distinguishes a political candidate from a statesman.

Society's picker is crooked.

We should be evaluating these candidates at least once for how disordered their personal lives may truly be and how this taints their world views. Wouldn't you be curious? After all he or she may be sitting in the oval office deciding what the next military challenge this nation may be in. Thus raising this dilemma to a national security
issue as well.

Many of us drive and we have to pass a test to obtain a license to operate a vehicle. Surely you would
expect a physician to have met at the necessary credentialing to practice medicine with a state license. It would be just as wise that a presidential candidates or anyone in high office be tested for disorders of personality, otherwise the risk would be to replace one disordered incumbent with another regardless of political views.

Do not underestimate the personality disordered .
HopeWFaith
We the People
03:30 PM on 11/13/2011
It is heartening to see the marches, and wonderful to see the efforts to overturn the SCourt's ruling on corporations being people.

"We have the worst economy since the Great Recession and the worst politics in living memory. The rise of the regressive right over the last three decades has finally spurred a progressive reaction..."

It's taken Progressives too long to make a move, but let us hope, pray, and act to see that the move continues until the full overtake of Republican Seats is complete, as complete as humanly possible. The voters are tired, angry, and frustrated. Not a good combination unless you see it from the Progressive perspective of turning the tide. We didn't think we'd have to go further over the economic cliff first, in order to be heard, but we were wrong.

It's time for serious changes. This is what we believed Obama meant when he made campaign promises about single payer hp, and other promises, but we were wrong. Now we have to hold his feet to the fire of determined letters and calls. Never letting up. We have no other options.

Senators say that the best way to be heard is to mail physical letters, not just send emails. I believe this is accurate. Calls and letters do have an impact.
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hg wells
08:35 AM on 11/13/2011
I should add, I think it is entirely possible, Palin will jump into the race at the last minute...as a candidate.
09:12 AM on 11/13/2011
HAHAHAHAHA

As a candidate for what.
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fugmo
Reality leaves a lot to the imagination.
03:33 PM on 11/14/2011
Not enough money in it.
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hg wells
08:34 AM on 11/13/2011
No matter who wins, I predict Sarah Palin will be on the ticket...and that will liven things up.
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Michael D Ballantine
Texas Justice Party - Chairperson
04:19 AM on 11/13/2011
That's why we need a third party candidate to spice up the election next year. If we have to face months of Gov Romney and President Obama sparring, we might all die from boredom. Their policies are only slightly different which means they will be focusing on the minutia rather than the real problems facing the nation.
HopeWFaith
We the People
12:00 AM on 11/13/2011
Can we all talk about the Trans-Pacific FreeTradeAgreement (PFTA)? It's going to take more jobs away from the mainland. Please act now.

"Instead of a big debate about the basics (how to truly restore jobs and wages, financial capitalism versus product capitalism, the place and role of America in the world, how to rescue our democracy), we're likely to have a superficial debate over symbols (the budget deficit, the size of government, .."

See:

http://www.citizen.org/Page.aspx?pid=3129

" leaks of U.S. proposals that would give new privileges to multinational pharmaceutical firms to jack up medicine prices fueled growing controversy about the deal. The agreement would set binding terms on financial regulation, land use, service sector regulation, food and product safety, and a vast array of other non-trade policies to which all countries would be required to conform domestic policies – with indefinite trade sanctions imposed on countries who fail to do so."
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June25
11:15 PM on 11/12/2011
What Barack Obama is not the greatest man to ever live?After I threw away my cross and put a giant photo of Obama on the wall,why didn't you guys mention this back in 2008.Whatever happened to the greatest orator of our time?
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Alicia MalkemusWise
Superduper1
10:43 PM on 11/12/2011
I think we need to rid the U.S.constitution of the Electoral college and allow ONLY the People to vote. Corporations buy our Congress people into office, NOT THE PEOPLE of our nation.

What if NO ONE VOTED FOR PRESIDENT on election day? If not one person voted then the House of Representatives would vote in a candidate to meet their needs. However, by having ALL of the people NOT vote on election day would send a very strong message to congress. Probably, one that they couldn't live down and it may be well worth a try at this point in the game.

I believe that all of WE THE PEOPLE are tired of settling for the best of worst candidates and we ALL deserve better...DON"T VOTE ON ELECTION DAY...
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anastmosis
01:20 PM on 11/13/2011
I suggest vote, but don't vote Republican or Democrat. As long as we vote only for one or the other, they will never be pushed to be what we want them to be. They will always take the easy way out and just try to appear to be a little better than the other. The best either party does right now is say, "vote for us or else the other side will win and they're even worse than us." Vote for an independent candidate and show that we will vote, but not for the status quo.
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Alicia MalkemusWise
Superduper1
03:57 PM on 11/13/2011
I wish Senator Bernie Sanders would run...We need you Bernie.
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cadawa
10:10 PM on 11/12/2011
It does look grim. IF we are lucky me may have 4 more years of the deepening of corruption and malfeasance to look forward. However, I'm glad that Mr, Reich use the word "May".
We cannot rule out the unexpected. A month ago who would have guessed that a movement like 'Occupy' would have sprung up in the gray, sterile soil of corporate governance and spread not only across the country but around the world at the speed of light.
We have basic physics on our side. You know, for every action there is an opposite and equal reaction? This nation is like a fault line that appears inactive when in fact massive amounts of energy are building up behind it. At any moment, the fault could slip, completely changing the landscape. Those manufactured divisions that the 1% spend so many resouces on creating and trumpeting in their media could fall away like the autumn leaves and leave the 1% shivering in the winter wind.
We might even have a economist, who has been calling out to the tone deaf, money hungry Democratic suits for past three years, throw his hat in the ring and elbow the war loving Wall Street mascot out of the way.
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sb250guy
A Cunning Linguist
09:44 PM on 11/12/2011
Those who own our political system don't want a passionate race that is full of ideas or actual change. For those who own our political system, everything is right on track. Of course they will present us with two uninspiring candidates.

OCCUPY AMERICA!
Wib
Liberal former Marine who loves fly fishing and is
09:21 PM on 11/12/2011
The saddest words ever spoken are "what might have been." I don't remember who said that originally, but I wish I did simply so I could credit them with their wisdom and far, far too many situations. Obama is a perfect representative of "what might have been." He has all but capitulated to the right in his desperate effort to find bi-partisanship from a group that doesn't want, as evidenced by their actions -- by their words also, if you remember what their Senate leader said. Kennedy, as many people have pointed out, was young when he became president, but learned from his mistake -- Guantanamo Bay -- and then stared down the Russians in the Missile Crisis. Obama obviously is a poor student -- and a dismal leader.
08:57 PM on 11/12/2011
Robert Reich is spot on about the 2012 elections. We have two uninspiring candidates.Obama, like Tiger Woods, hopes he recapture the glory, while Romney flip-flops more than a fish out of the water.

The GOP had an excellent opportunity to regain the White House in 2012, but they blew it.They
blew their chance of firing up the independent voters. In the 2008 elections Obama did well with independents because he talked about Hope and Change. Many individuals felt he would place a check on Wall Street greed, eliminate country club capitalism and limit the power of special interest and lobbyist. The GOP instead of ceasing on America's growing dissatisfaction with Obama, chose to align themselves with country club capitalist and greedy Wall Street bankers. They refused to agree on raising taxes on the wealthiest Americans. They completely mismanaged the immigration issues. They continued to let an extremely vocal segment of the party dictate a hard-line stance on immigration, as opposed to a more balanced approach, such as those proposed and supported by the Bush Administration.

Professor Reich is absolutely correct about 2012. It will be a relatively predictable race with a few moments,however, just like in boxing , the reigning champ normally prevails in the close fights.
08:08 PM on 11/12/2011
Don't we all wish Robert would run for President? He could win this thing easily.
08:35 PM on 11/12/2011
He doesn't have the guts. Much easier to hide in the comfort of his ivory tower and write bad things about Obama.
marilyn 63
LEVEL ONE NETWORKER
01:02 AM on 11/13/2011
exactly. and the whiners who are joining in with him join the media and not telling all the things Obama as president could do. hes not a dictator and during Clinton's administration he was part of getting rid of glass stegall act DADT NAFTA and mum is the word. from media but anything to bring Obama down.
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gentlemanscumbag
Only sheep need a shepherd
03:43 AM on 11/13/2011
as opposed to a person who anonymously trashes a man who wrote a very well informed post. What elected post does stick and stones hold? Is there a Mayor Sticks and Stones?
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timm0
I'm not top 0.01% - so it must be because I'm lazy
08:45 PM on 11/12/2011
He'd have my vote.
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read matt taibbi
Neither left, nor right. Forward!
08:06 PM on 11/12/2011
The politics surely does seem polarized these days (as in "divide and conquer").
Both left and right want to change the system, but they cannot stand each other.
Until they realize that they are being abused by the same entrenched corporate interests,
nothing will really change. Their agendas seem very different, but they could find common points.

--rid politics of pernicious influence of big money
--fundamentally reform our financial system (the Fed too)
--task our military with defending our country rather than policing the whole world

I think both OWS and TP movements could agree on some such minimal platform, unite along its message and execute the necessary changes in the political system. After that we can go back to our dividing political points (role of religion, policy towards Iran, the bearable amount of welfare...) and fight over them in the reformed political arena using standard democratic mechanisms.

The middle class folks of both conservative and liberal persuasion should focus on reforming the system, rather than having their complete political agenda implemented. United we stand, divided we fall. It is as simple as that.

As long as we keep bickering over abortion, gay right and similar "important issues", the Wall Street crowd keeps laughing all the way to their too-big-to-fail banks.
Wib
Liberal former Marine who loves fly fishing and is
09:27 PM on 11/12/2011
Why do so many forget that the Occupy movement is a truly grassroots movement and the Tea Party is bought and paid for by the radical right? There is, and can never be, a common ground between them. I think all of you who want to put them together are just trying to co-opt the Occupiers for those radical right-wingers. Again, there is no, none, not any whatsoever, commonality between the Occupy movement and the radical right John Birchers, err, excuse me, Tea Partiers.
10:35 PM on 11/12/2011
Great post Wib, even Thom Hartmann forgets this in his wishful moments.
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newthinktank
No Opinions, Just FAQs
07:41 PM on 11/12/2011
There is no difference between Obama and Romney.

The most liberal thing Obama did was force the Romney healthcare plan on the nation.

Aside from that Obama reenacted all of George Bush's bad legislation
08:36 PM on 11/12/2011
You should change your name to "no think" tank.
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timm0
I'm not top 0.01% - so it must be because I'm lazy
08:44 PM on 11/12/2011
Wow, you're a comedy genius.
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gentlemanscumbag
Only sheep need a shepherd
03:53 AM on 11/13/2011
Perhaps, If you were in second grade that could be clever. But third graders would roll their eyes, and fourth graders would feel sorry for you.