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Robin Koerner

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Our Problem Is Not Insolvency: It's Infinite Solvency

Posted: 02/14/2012 11:13 am

Monetary policy is now sexy. The young are into it. "End the Fed" rings out at Ron Paul's political rallies like "We Will Rock You" used to ring out at Queen concerts.

There is, indeed, a direct relationship between the popularity of economics and monetary policy among the under 30s and the overwhelming support of this group for the candidate whose very political career begun on the day the U.S. went to a pure federally monopolized fiat fraction reserve monetary system back in '71 when Nixon closed the gold window.

The fact that thousands of my readers know exactly what the preceding sentence means just proves the exciting change that is going on in this country, mostly thanks to Paul.

This rise of understanding of monetary policy among us commoners (those for whom the creation of money is a crime (the 99.999%)) is wonderful, but it has not yet undone a misunderstanding that prevails even among many of us who are fighting for real economic justice with our Bastiat and Hayek in hand. And this particular misunderstanding is important because it may be playing right into the very hands of the system, and even the people, we oppose.

The error is simply the idea that our government can go bankrupt. The truth is much worse.

Solvency is the ability to pay one's bills. You become insolvent when you run out of money to pay yours.

Obviously, an entity that can create money whenever it wants to spend money can never be insolvent, and cannot go bankrupt. The U.S. government is such an entity. It is an issuer -- not merely a user -- of a currency that is used to buy real stuff.

Most people believe that their government collects taxes to have money to spend. That's a reasonable assumption because no one else can spend money that he doesn't have -- but it is wrong for the government, which creates its own money and so needs no one to give it any.

This error that government can only spend what it collects supports another mistaken belief -- that if federal revenues fall short of federal spending, the government has to borrow to make up the difference. This idea is very hard to shake because the government clearly does borrow -- and why would it borrow if, in fact, it didn't have to?

But think again. The government never needs to borrow if it can create its own money. Indeed, all it ever "borrows" are the very dollars that it previously created and have found their way into the hands of its "creditors."

Which all begs the question: when and how are all these dollars created by the government?

Here's the answer from the horse's mouth.

"When you or I write a check, there must be sufficient funds in our account to cover the check, but when the Federal Reserve writes a check, there is no bank deposit on which the check is drawn. When the Federal Reserve writes a check, it is creating money." -- Putting It Simply, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
So when Uncle Sam's check to John Doe for welfare, or to Boeing for warplanes, clears, the money is simply created in John or Boeing's account in the private sector without any debit from any government account.

Simply put, the government creates money by spending money.

Two fascinating but critical facts become apparent.

1) The government taxes not to raise money to spend -- but for two other purposes. The first is to create demand for the currency that it monopolizes, ensuring that it can always acquire resources from the private sector by spending that currency, in the safe knowledge that the private sector will take it. The second is to drain money out of the economy to prevent runaway inflation, which would destroy the currency and, thereby, the government's ultimate control of the economy. (Our taxes are not saved in a government account: rather, money used to pay taxes is simply destroyed -- in the reverse of the process of government spending!)

2) Government doesn't borrow money to be able to spend. The truth is the other way around: already-spent-into-existence dollars are lent back to the government because their owners prefer to get more interest on their dollar savings (such as when parked in Treasuries) rather than less or none (such as when dollars are held as cash in the bank).

If the government really could go bankrupt, and had to tax and borrow the money it spent, as per our happy illusion, freedom-loving Americans would be much better off.

A limit would be imposed on the government's spending on social programs that voters like so much and assure the legislators who support them win re-election. A limit would be imposed on warfare, military adventurism and the economic power of the industrial-military complex. Huge bailouts of banks and foreign countries that benefit people and companies whose destructive choices have destroyed real value would be all but impossible.

All of these constraints would be imposed by the simple requirement that the government would have to come to us, the people, for the money it wanted to spend, and we would feel immediately the economic impact of those decisions and much better able to do the necessary cost-benefit analysis of whatever policy was being spent on. The federal government might then feel the true will and superiority of the people who were financing its latest "good idea" .

The system we actually have -- our current system of infinite government solvency -- ensures that those who have the most political power over us also have infinite economic power over us. This is why our government monopoly of fiat currency is an offense against the most basic of our Constitution -- to keep the people free and to constrain our political masters.

When our government chooses to create-spend money, it gives economic (and therefore political) resources to those people, corporations, social groups and ideas that they favor -- with no resistance whatsoever from those whose lives are made worse in the long-run. In so doing, it prevents society from reflecting and supporting the free choices of the individuals that comprise it, and inhibits the economy from rewarding those who would provide what their countrymen most need or desire.

So why, then, does this illusion of government's potential insolvency persist if the true problem is its infinite solvency?

There are surely only two possibilities.

Politicians who use this system benefit hugely from our thinking that there is some natural economic constraint on their actions, for that illusion makes us less scared of their power. Perhaps that is why they stoke the fear of bankruptcy and feign seriousness about preventing it -- when the truth is that not even bankruptcy can prevent their decisions from destroying our society, our liberty and our currency. And note that last item: the government destroys our economy not by running out of currency while the rest of us keep on keeping on, but by destroying the very unit of exchange itself, so when the political elites and their favored cronies fail, they bring down the nation's entire private economy with them.

That, at least, is one possibility.

The other is that those who lead this nation are under the same illusions about our economic system as are the rest of us -- which would mean, of course, that they don't have the slightest clue about what they're doing.

I'm not sure which of those possibilities is more terrifying.

 

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08:13 PM on 03/13/2012
One of the major forces giving our dollar its power today is our militarism, so in essence every unfunded liability the left begs us to expand, the more we must take over another country's resources to give our dollar its hegemony. That's one reason a "progressive" might get quiet when a libertarian goes on an anti-war rant. Not unlike Occupy's silence on the issue of war profiteering.
11:36 PM on 02/14/2012
just wait til the dollar is not accepted by the national community. HAH
12:36 AM on 02/15/2012
or international rather
11:16 AM on 02/16/2012
Then they will loose access to the largest economy on the planet.
10:44 PM on 02/14/2012
It gives me hope when stories like this grace the pages of the Huffington Post.

Support the 99.999% against the banking cartel.

Ron Paul 2012.
08:31 PM on 02/14/2012
"Obviously, an entity that can create money whenever it wants to spend money can never be insolvent, and cannot go bankrupt."

That would be a lie. See Argentina.
11:41 PM on 02/14/2012
I believe he is talking about the U.S specifically because we print the dollar, which is the most widely accepted international currency
12:21 AM on 02/15/2012
Argentina printed its own currency too. It would be foolish to assume because the dollar is widely accepted today it will be widely accepted tomorrow. Greek sovereign debt used to have single-digit yield-to-maturity.
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Robin Koerner
12:06 AM on 02/15/2012
Argentina destroyed their currency. That is not the same as running out of money to pay bills. In fact, your example is one of the best historical examples of exactly what I am discussing in this article.

I quote:

"the government destroys our economy not by running out of currency while the rest of us keep on keeping on, but by destroying the very unit of exchange itself, so when the political elites and their favored cronies fail, they bring down the nation's entire private economy with them"

That is exactly what happened in Argentina (and in countless other examples where you see huge inflation or hyperinflation etc.)

Moreover, even if I had not been correct, I would have written an error - not a lie.
12:53 AM on 02/15/2012
Argentina, which created its own money whenever it wanted, actually defaulted (i.e. went bankrupt). Contradicting your statement I quoted.
11:07 AM on 02/16/2012
I agree but Argentina did not have a sovereign currency. They were essentially on a gold like standard by pegging their currency to the US dollar.

Also they had foreign denominate debt where the US does not.

When they did go off the dollar standard and let their currency float they have since made a fantastic comeback.
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Gestas
Mountain Man
04:52 PM on 02/14/2012
Elect Romney and find out what a "Chop Shop" CEO....will do to the USA after He takes into Chapter 11...
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Austin Ray Walter
04:20 PM on 02/14/2012
The people which disagree with Ron Pauls economic policy have this wild assumption that the gold standard is impossible. This is clearly false. Why? Bimetallism. Which means silver currency combined with gold currency. The market would be forced to adapt to sound currency, thus, the cost of living would regulate itself according to the decreasing inflation. However, this is unrealistic in the sense that this would happen in Ron Pauls lifetime. Hes trying to balance our current system first. Then the transition back to sound currency can exist. Which, in turn, will limit our governments control over us and our prosperity.
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tracerhaha1
It's time to end the war on (some) drugs.
04:13 PM on 02/14/2012
'The Creature From Jeckyll Island' is an interesting read on the Federal Reserve system. It sure opened my eyes to the nature of the beast.
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Si1ver1ock
the bread of wickedness, the wine of violence
02:31 PM on 02/14/2012
Well, this author starts out well. He lays out what is essentially the correct view of currency creation. Then, he tries to square what he knows about our economy with his libertarian views, that Gov't spending money is bad. Which leads to some strange places. His, argument that, we can't become insolvent is somehow a bad thing, seems strange.

He drives a wedge between The Gov't and The People. When the Gov't is supposed to be "of the people, by the people, for the people."

If the Gov't doesn't create money by spending into existence, where will it come from? Yes, our Gov't does bad things, but the answer is to stop doing bad/stupid things, not simply get rid of Gov't.
03:30 PM on 02/14/2012
"His, argument that, we can't become insolvent is somehow a bad thing, seems strange."

It is a bad thing because it allows us to go on doing crazy stuff like spending more than the rest of the world combined on our military, bailing out banks that did bad things and all sorts of other mischief. Giving government an unlimited line of credit is like giving a teenager a case of beer and a set of car keys.

In any event, if we continue spending then the alternative to insolvency is to inflate our way out. Every dollar the government prints reduces the value of every other dollar including yours.
03:47 PM on 02/14/2012
"Every dollar the government prints reduces the value of every other dollar including yours"

You obviously didn't check the indexes before you stated that... that is what would happen on a gold standard... we are not on one.

Inflation from too much money is due to too much demand and not being able to meet that demand.. We have a major gap in output potential and are no where near not having the people to employ.
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Si1ver1ock
the bread of wickedness, the wine of violence
06:15 PM on 02/14/2012
America is a great power, it needs great wisdom.
10:49 PM on 02/14/2012
It would actually be BETTER if government spent our money supply into existence! If they did so, there would NEVER be a National Debt. Expansion of the money supply would still drive price inflation, but it would be a political issue not a hidden tax on our savings

Instead, we are forced to BORROW our own money through the Federal Reserve system and fractional reserve banking. We have money based on DEBT. It's a rigged game from the start.

Yes, this is a problem. Rather than be like Greece where the reality of their fiscal situation is obvious, our government will keep the game going and do more damage to our country through "quantitative easing" (i.e. The Federal Reserve buying U.S. debt)/
02:04 PM on 02/14/2012
Great piece. You've articulated our monetary system in plain english and exposed the silliness of the current republicrat posturing. One issue you didn't touch on however, as others have pointed out, is the currend status of the USD as the world's trading currency. If (when) we lose that advantage, our inflation machine may hit a major bump in the road.
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01:43 PM on 02/14/2012
Within the boundaries of the United States, Robin, your arguments are correct.

The problem that the USA has not faced is that it actually represents only about 5% of the world population. Yet, it deluges the world with millions of new US Dollars every minute ... and expects the world to dutifully accept them. For example, to buy Oil.

Specifically: to buy OIl.

Any Government has the power to print unlimited quantities of its own currency, but it does not have carte blanche power to cause the world to accept that money.

Except for one provision, negotiated by Henry Kissinger long ago, in which Arab oil would be denominated only in US Dollars. This is where the acceptance of the US Dollar truly comes from. It is also the actual reason for our invasions: other oil producing countries earnestly desire to establish their own "oil bourse," denominating their purchases in Euros. This likewise drives the determination of the United States to demolish the Euro in situ.

When these other factors .. factors of -pure- -power- that reach -beyond- our national boundaries .. are taken into account, I think that it clearly shows why those powers are in serious and permanent decline worldwide.
01:57 PM on 02/14/2012
Since 1971 oil is priced in dollars only for comparison purposes. Any transaction between two parties for oil is done in whatever currency they wish.
01:37 PM on 02/14/2012
So, basically Robin is claiming that our ability to print money allows our government to do all sorts of crazy stuff we'd never allow if we could see that it was coming directly out of our own pockets. I can buy that.

I don't know if anyone else will appreciate this but there was a discussion the other day about Whitney Houston. Someone made the point that great wealth is what allows so many stars to get into so much trouble and that many of us would be just as dumb if we could afford it. In any event this article just sounds like the same sort of thing but on a larger scale.
01:35 PM on 02/14/2012
The Fed only creates POTENTIAL money however. If people do not 'borrow' it into existence at a local bank, the money cannot enter the economy (excluding gimmicks and scams like QE).

Which means - the collateral and pledge to work- BOTH of which back ALL loans - is what backs our $$$$.
01:55 PM on 02/14/2012
You're mixing up to different forms of money creation... When a bank creates money there is a corresponding liability and therefore no net change in the NFA of the private sector.. The government can just credit accounts and thus create NFA for the private sector.
02:49 PM on 02/14/2012
True - but that is backed by taxation - so you're creating an obligation while at the same time undermining there ability of taxpayers to meet said obligation via inflation.

There are no free lunches in this life unfortunately.
01:10 PM on 02/14/2012
Robin: You said "So when Uncle Sam's check to John Doe for welfare, or to Boeing for warplanes, clears, the money is simply created in John or Boeing's account in the private sector without any debit from any government account. "

This is just plain wrong! It WOULD be true if the Fed were a wholely owned part of the government but they are not. In practice, in order to get those printed dollars from the Fed to the government they need to either be taxed or borrowed. Was this an intentional simplification or do you really believe what you wrote?
01:59 PM on 02/14/2012
The FED has no say in the matter. We have a self imposed law that says we will offer treasuries when we deficit spend but there is no operational necessity to do so.
02:24 PM on 02/14/2012
Yes but it's not the Fed that sells treasuries, it's the government (specifically the Treasury department). Now the Fed (as in Federal Reserve, not Federal Government) does buy treasuries directly using printed money but that's not what Robin described.
04:51 PM on 02/14/2012
You're both missing a step and that is the system of fractional-reserve banking. You're right in that the Fed can't just dump the money into Boeing's checking account. What really happens is that Boeing (or whoever) gets approved for a $500m loan from the banks. The bank actually only has $250m in reserves. But that's how banks make money is by loaning out money they don't have and charging interest on it. Works pretty well until there's a run on the banks. So say Boeing is about to go bust. The bank that loaned the $500 million can't have Boeing going bust because that would wipe them out. They don't have enough money to pay out the other smaller investors who want their money back also, what can they do? Aha! The Fed deems that both Boeing and the bank are Too Important To Fail and so they create money to give to the bank to satisfy the smaller investors and ensure them their money is safe. They also create money to give to the bank to give out ANOTHER loan to Boeing so Boeing can keep making payments and the bank doesn't have to take a loss.

Pretty nifty game, huh? That's what's being played out around the world right now, most prominently in Greece. If they were smart, they'd default on their debt and stick it to the banks and start over again. That's what we all should do, but the bankers and politicians have us fooled.
06:05 PM on 02/14/2012
Almost but your mixing to different forms of money creation.

If the government buys something from Boeing then they just mark up their accounts no private bank involved. This also increases the money supply.

If Boeing wants a loan or someone takes out a loan to buy a plane then a private bank does create the money and the corresponding liability and thus nets to zero NFA though for the private sector.

However it isn't fractional reserve rules that are allowing the creation of the money, most countries have zero reserve requirements, it is fractional capital rules that allow the creation of that money.

Banks can only lend out a multiple of the amount of capital they have not reserves. Capital is money that the bank owns such as that from the original investors, stock they sell, or from profits. You're deposits are liabilities to the bank and they do not lend that. A bank can have zero reserves and lend out as much as their capital allows. They then go to the discount window at the fed or other banks and get any amount necessary to meet the capital requirements. Your deposits allow them to borrow less reserves at a better price but they do not need them at all.

Reserves are only there to settle day to day transactions.
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Si1ver1ock
the bread of wickedness, the wine of violence
06:34 PM on 02/14/2012
Fed can't just dump the money into Boeing's checking account.

Yes, it can.
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EdCorner
Now what - more of the same...
01:02 PM on 02/14/2012
Very informative article. Thanks for writing this. I was wondering about the infinite solvency of the US dollar and how everyone is buggering about debt - which really is just a distraction.

Taxes don't fund government operations, they are destroyed. Interesting.

Finally an article that praises Ron Paul !
"The fact that thousands of my readers know exactly what the preceding sentence means just proves the exciting change that is going on in this country, mostly thanks to Paul."

Paul's idea of a competing currency is looking more and more excellent.

"A limit would be imposed on warfare, military adventurism and the economic power of the industrial-military complex. Huge bailouts of banks and foreign countries that benefit people and companies whose destructive choices have destroyed real value would be all but impossible."

Sounds like a free market to me.
12:57 PM on 02/14/2012
Nicely put.
James Grant is another voice decrying the abuses of a fiat currency and the Fed. It's good viewing. For example:

http://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=james+grant+monetary+policy&view=detail&mid=20D4A6C729561E7FA14F20D4A6C729561E7FA14F&first=0&FORM=LKVR