iOS app Android app

Rodrigo Aguilera
GET UPDATES FROM Rodrigo Aguilera
Rodrigo holds a BA in Economics from the Universidad de las Américas – Puebla (Mexico) and an MSc in Social Policy and Development from the London School of Economics (UK). Prior to joining the Economist Intelligence Unit in 2010, he worked for International Economics at Chatham House where he co-wrote various papers on the global economy during the crisis. He has also done development work in his home country, and macroeconomic consultancy for Oxford Analytica. Media experience includes interviews with international and regional news sources as well as EIU webinars. Rodrigo has contributed to various media outlets including, Financial Times, Associated Press and ABC news among others concerning the upcoming Mexican Presidential Election.

Entries by Rodrigo Aguilera

The Slow Suicide of Mexico's Left

(1) Comments | Posted March 5, 2015 | 9:28 AM

Image Source: CNNMéxico

Does Mexico's Left have a future? As the political scene moves closer to the 2015 mid-term elections, the shocking collapse in popular support for the country's main left-wing party -- the PRD -- is looking increasingly less like a...

Read Post

The Fiscal Risks of Low Oil Prices in Mexico

(1) Comments | Posted January 30, 2015 | 2:30 PM


The sharp decline in oil prices over the past few months has put oil-producing countries like Mexico in a difficult position. At the time of writing, the Mezcla Mexicana (Mexican Mix), which is normally priced lower than Brent or West Texas Intermediate, is...

Read Post

Democracy and the Mexican Disease

(2) Comments | Posted January 22, 2015 | 10:49 PM

Image Source: Tomas Bravo/Reuters

2015 marks an important anniversary in the Western world: it has been 800 years since the signing of the Magna Carta, one of the most important legal documents in history and which laid the foundations for the Anglo-Saxon...

Read Post

Mexico: Corruption at the Forefront

(0) Comments | Posted December 11, 2014 | 4:39 PM

Image Source: ROAR Magazine

Mexicans are rightfully outraged at the extent to which corruption has been institutionalized in Mexico, and how it has exacted a toll on society that can be measured in everything from GDP to human lives. If the current...

Read Post

What If Peña Nieto Resigns? Scenarios for Government Change in Mexico

(17) Comments | Posted December 1, 2014 | 3:52 PM

Image Source: Daniel Becerril/Reuters

Since the resignation of Pascual Ortiz Rubio in 1932, Mexico has enjoyed uninterrupted presidential continuity, a streak that is unmatched by any major political system in the Western Hemisphere (and possibly among the longest in the world). Over...

Read Post

How Peña Nieto's House of Cards Crumbled

(10) Comments | Posted November 24, 2014 | 6:09 PM

Image Source:

The speed in which the foreign media bubble surrounding Mexico's government has deflated in recent weeks has been stunning, although hardly surprising for those of us who suspected it was only a matter of time. Admittedly, even...

Read Post

The Mexican State's Delusion of Grandeur

(0) Comments | Posted November 4, 2014 | 1:29 PM

Image Source:

The political crisis that Mexico is going through as a result of the tragic disappearance of 43 students in Iguala, Guerrero on September 26th is without a doubt the most severe test yet for the government of...

Read Post

Mexico's Obsession with Football and Identity

(0) Comments | Posted July 2, 2014 | 3:28 PM

Image source:

Call it a curse. Call it bad luck. Blame it on the ref. For the sixth straight World Cup, Mexico crashed out in dramatic fashion in the Round of 16, leaving Mexicans bewildered at its national team's chronic inability...

Read Post

Costa Rica: Life after Intel

(0) Comments | Posted May 1, 2014 | 12:05 PM

Image source:

The recent decision by Intel to close its microprocessor assembly plant in Costa Rica has caused quite a storm over the past few weeks, in some ways souring the jubilant electoral victory of Luis Guillermo Solís of the...

Read Post

Mexico: What If the Reforms Fail?

(6) Comments | Posted April 8, 2014 | 1:13 PM


The year is 2030. It has been 17 years since Mexico stunned even its staunchest pessimists by passing a series of landmark structural reforms designed to lift the country out of its historical lethargy and land it squarely within the ranks of the...

Read Post

Mexico in 1994 and 2014: When Modernity and Reality Clash

(0) Comments | Posted February 13, 2014 | 10:01 AM

Image source: REUTERS/Jorge Dan Lopez

To many it might seem as distant memory but 20 years ago in January, a group of indigenous peasants known as the Zapatista Liberation Army (EZLN) led well-versed balaclava-wearing former philosophy teacher, rose up in arms in...

Read Post

Mexico: What to Expect in 2014

(2) Comments | Posted January 15, 2014 | 12:40 PM

After a year of unprecedented change, Mexico faces a post-reform landscape in 2014. Attention will focus on bringing the economy back to life after 2013's downturn, improving security after a number of glaring setbacks and ensuring that political stability is maintained, despite staunch opposition from numerous social groups that have...

Read Post

Mexico's Housing Bubble: From Boom to Bust

(1) Comments | Posted November 27, 2013 | 9:44 AM

Image source:

In contrast to the mass of high-rises that characterize the cityscapes of other major Latin American megacities like Sao Paulo and Buenos Aires, the first thing that will strike any first time visitor to Mexico City...

Read Post

The PRI's Pyrrhic Fiscal Victory

(0) Comments | Posted November 7, 2013 | 11:10 AM

It was perhaps too optimistic to think that Mr Peña Nieto would have had it easy: politics in Mexico never is. The surprising ease with which many of the PRI's reforms were negotiated and passed in Congress over the past year belied the fact that many entrenched interests were trampled...

Read Post

Mexico's Fiscal Reform Leaves More Questions than Answers

(0) Comments | Posted October 3, 2013 | 4:30 PM

Between a flagging economy, endless social protests and the ravages caused by hurricanes Manuel and Ingrid, 2013 is turning into a terrible inaugural year for Enrique Peña Nieto and the PRI. In all fairness, most of the reasons why Mexico has recently been struggling to live up to its hype...

Read Post

Energy Reform and Its Discontents

(1) Comments | Posted September 9, 2013 | 1:43 PM

The congressional debate on Enrique Peña Nieto's recently proposed energy reform has not yet begun, but the battle lines have already been drawn between two groups with fundamentally different views on Mexico's path to prosperity. Proponents of the reform have long stood against what is perceived as one of the...

Read Post

Mexico: (Not Yet) A Middle Class Society

(4) Comments | Posted June 25, 2013 | 12:12 PM

Is Mexico a middle class country? This idea has gained quite a number of adepts in recent years, initially within a certain segment of the Mexican intellectual establishment but by now taken almost as a dogma of faith by the current government as well as the global media. According to...

Read Post

Mexico's Goldilocks Moment

(0) Comments | Posted June 6, 2013 | 11:28 AM

With all the hype Mexico's "booming" economy has been garnering over the past, it may have come like a dousing of iced water to see GDP growth screech to a halt during the first quarter of the year, the first full quarter under the administration of Enrique Peña Nieto. At...

Read Post

Mexico: The Case of the Missing FDI

(1) Comments | Posted February 12, 2013 | 3:53 PM

By the standards of the past three decades, Mexico's economic performance since 2010 has given much room for optimism. Headlines such as "Mexico's Moment" and "The Aztec Tiger" are now as ubiquitous as those which not too long ago painted Brazil as the region's economic darling. Yet among the glowing...

Read Post

Democracy Without Garlands: A Retrospective of 12 Years of PAN Rule

(1) Comments | Posted December 7, 2012 | 11:14 AM

With the inauguration of Enrique Peña Nieto of the PRI on December 1, Mexico's short history of multi-party rule entered a new chapter, after a dozen years of rule by the center-right PAN came to an end. There will be much soul seeking among the PAN in the...

Read Post