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Ron Galloway

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The Chick-fil-A Effect on the 2012 Election

Posted: 08/03/2012 12:11 pm

All week I've been trying to go to Chick-fil-A. Not due to the boycott or the counter-boycott. I've been trying to eat.

The crowds the past few days have been so big there have been traffic cops in the parking lot directing cars. Tonight, the crowds were so large, not only could I not get into Chick-fil-A, I couldn't get into the shopping center where it's located.

These folks were there to support Chick-fil-A. Most, if not all, are conservative. Duh, Ron.

But it got me thinking. In the 2010 elections conservatives surprised the pundits by turning out unexpectedly in droves. Since then, they, and the Tea Party along with them, have been pretty quiet.

The prevailing political theory this year seems to be that turnout is key for both parties. Today, the First Lady was in North Carolina to encourage turnout, as was President Obama in Ohio.

Could the Chick-fil-A controversy turn out to the be conservative "black swan" event that motivates laconic Republican voters to get to the polls?

A "black swan" event has two main characteristics. First, it comes out of nowhere. Second, it changes everything. A good example is the man in Tunisia in 2011 who, in protest, immolated himself, and in doing so ignited the Arab Spring.

The Chick-fil-A controversy certainly came out of nowhere, and now it's leading the news, is at the top of the page on Google News, and is all over the national networks.

Does this event have the ability to change things in a "black swan" fashion?

Let me offer up a reason it might. In 2006 I was involved in the Wal-Mart wars, as I made a pro-WalMart movie and got caught up in the national controversy surrounding the retailer. I became friends with a few of the national anti-WalMart protest organizers. One night over drinks, I asked a few of them "Why? Why pick on a store? Why are you spending a year of your young careers doing this?"

Here's what I was told. "It's not about Wal-Mart. It's about rallying the Democratic base a year in advance of the general election in 2008." WalMart touched all the liberal hot buttons: union rights, low wages, and health care. It made sense, and it worked.

Curiously, there was never a grassroots effort that sprung forth from conservatives to defend WalMart. WalMart's PR firm at the time invented some phony astroturfing support, but in reality there never was never a groundswell of support for the retailer, which surprised me given the makeup of the typical WalMart shopper.

This is clearly not the case with Chick-fil-A. People started jamming the stores on their own in support even before Huckabee and Palin got involved. And they are pissed. They've had enough. The tipping point has been tipped. Rahm Emanuel et al may have been too clever by a half in making Chick-fil-A an issue, because if people are motivated enough to wait in line an hour (even in Chicago!) for a sandwich in order to send a message, they just might be motivated enough to stand in line at the polls to send another message.

The Chick-fil-A controversy has clearly, absolutely, motivated the conservative base, just as the WalMart wars did for liberals. The best thing President Obama could do for to defuse this right now is to walk into a Chick-fil-A and order a #1 with sweet tea. Liberals would understand, and conservatives would lose what has become an explosive rallying cry. And if President Obama likes the fast food mecca The Varsity in Atlanta (which he does), he'll love the place.

 
 
 

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All week I've been trying to go to Chick-fil-A. Not due to the boycott or the counter-boycott. I've been trying to eat. The crowds the past few days have been so big there have been traffic cops in t...
All week I've been trying to go to Chick-fil-A. Not due to the boycott or the counter-boycott. I've been trying to eat. The crowds the past few days have been so big there have been traffic cops in t...
 
 
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09:17 AM on 08/06/2012
Here 's my point...damn good article as always, Ron. I was angry about the whole matter because the Interstate was blocked with more Law Enforcement than when the President comes to town, and people so eager to "say something " they were leaving their cars in the middle of the road. I just wanted to be home after a long day. I dont go yo CFA for the same reason ai dont go to KFC...I dont eat chicken! Ultimately...and I went to Seminary and submit that your take on the message you used is simply, well, that simple. I dont care. If conservatives give to anti gay groups and liberals give to either pro gay groups or at the least anti anti -gay groups and it becomes impossible to get fast food I hope they stick with chicken places.
10:30 AM on 08/04/2012
Support for CFA is due to a lot of people being sick and tired of the tactics of the radical left. Here is a privately owned business that politicians and political groups are trying to hurt. They have broken no law and harmed no one. Their "sin"? Using Christian principles in their business. So, they are labeled as "hateful", mayors of large citites denounce them and say they will not approve new stores in their city. So, the silent majority does what it can...vote with thier wallets.
02:19 PM on 08/04/2012
Christian principles according to the Bible often advocate tolerance and taking a non-judgmental stance. That is mentioned multiple times. Basically it tells you not to worry about what others are doing, you owe them respect as humans as you are to let God do the judgement for there is only one God and you are not him. Most of you shouldn't even be Christians because you don't even follow Jesus Christ's messages from the New Testament which is the basis of Christianity anyways.
09:22 PM on 08/04/2012
Your understanding of the bible is as weak as your logic. It does not "basically tell you not to worry about what others are doing". But this is not a religious argument; this is an excersize in power. Militant gays and their liberal friends want to change the legal definition of marriage in order to use the force of government to force people, businesses and religious organizations to act as they demand. Love has nothing to do with it. Hate has nothing to do with it. It is all about power.
06:46 PM on 08/03/2012
I am surprised to see so many people missing the point entirely. The reason most gay people are angry isn't because Mr Cathy doesn't like us. It is because he donates millions to hate groups. These hate groups are lobbying to try to not only take away and prevent civil rights and equality for gay people, but they are trying to make sure we don't even exist. These hate groups are the same ones that go to other countries and do missionary work that involves them encouraging the governments there to not only outlaw homosexuality, but to make it punishable by death. This si what they want for our country eventually, if they can. This is not an American value system at work here. This is unconstitutional to the extreme. Yet people are out in droves to eat a greasy sandwich for jesus and "free speech". Disgusting.
10:21 AM on 08/04/2012
Your characterizations of the "hate" groups are false. Just because you personally hate a religious organization it does not make them a hate group.
05:49 PM on 08/03/2012
Are the waffle fries good?
05:05 PM on 08/03/2012
And, can we call this a "Black Chicken" event instead of "Black Swan"?
05:03 PM on 08/03/2012
I never understood the desire of gays to let themselves be pimped-out over all of this. I mean, you wouldn't rally straights to go make-out in front of some establishment en masse. I dunno, seems silly to me. We all know there are corporate supporters on both sides of this issue. Even more high profile celebrities tend to state they support gay marriage. The voters don't care. They have already decided long before this.
I'll not partake in the madness either way but I do like eating at Chick-Fil-A. I also go to movie theaters.
Is this wrong?
02:37 PM on 08/04/2012
Straight people already have the right to marry and they have no need to rally and have a "kiss in" unless their was an issue that fit in with it. Conservatives basic mission is to swipe homosexuality under the rug and the protests by gay and other individuals is to show that they aren't going anywhere. And to your Celebrity comment, sometimes its important for celebrities to bring notice to a issue before anyone really confronts it because they have so much involvement in Media. Plus they probably donate to the cause, and people don't want to benefit an artist that doesn't believe they deserve freedom to marry who they want. I say if you want to eat at any restaurant you know where your money is going beforehand and be okay with the consequences of that.
04:58 PM on 08/03/2012
Obama couldn't diffuse this conservative movement simply by ordering a sandwich. That would just be more flip-flopping. Remember, until just a few months ago, he claimed the same position on gay marriage as Mr. Cathy.

Americans are awakening to the reality that their freedoms are in danger, and are finally standing up for their first amendment rights of religion and speech, before it's too late.

www.flickr.com/photos/84145057@N04/7703135998/in/photostream/
03:44 PM on 08/03/2012
This issue that was brought up by Rahm Emanuel has really struck a chord with me. I'm one of many disillusioned ex-Republicans that hated Romney and was leaning Obama. The reason I left the Republican party was the constant pandering to the religious right. Now I see the pandering to the liberal left. I voted for Obama because he was supposed to be different than Bush. Now I think I'm voting for Romney because he isn't Obama. I am a feather in the Black Swan.

Let's all wake up as citizens of this great country and demand that our politicians start working on the substantive issues such as the national debt, poverty, unemployment...

"For everywhere we look, there is work to be done. The state of the economy calls for action, bold and swift, and we will act -- not only to create new jobs, but to lay a new foundation for growth. We will build the roads and bridges, the electric grids and digital lines that feed our commerce and bind us together. We will restore science to its rightful place, and wield technology's wonders to raise health care's quality and lower its cost. We will harness the sun and the winds and the soil to fuel our cars and run our factories. And we will transform our schools and colleges and universities to meet the demands of a new age. All this we can do. And all this we will do."
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legnotsothrilled
07:57 PM on 08/03/2012
Being Conservative I want Obama to lose. He is dismantling the country, because of his disdain for it "as it was founded".

I read/watch a lot of media. A lot of voters voted for a "historic" President are actually talking about REAL issues. Mr. Obama revealed himself utterly with the "You didn't build that." It was like a slap in peoples faces--and now they are looking at his background....the facts....there are several books out now that detail his real background and influences. The MSM didn't vet him, but people see the job numbers, their friends out of work for years, their underwater mortgage and the abandoned houses on THEIR street.

First it was the "You didn't build that." Then the mayors of major cities trying to turn the Constitution on it's ear, then the grassroots day of support of Chick Fil A. I don't think some on the Left know just how awake the country is. All the angry victim groups...American's see Obama whipping them up. They can feel the anger in these groups--and it's an eye opener.

Now, Reid and his taunting Romney about tax returns. He sounds like a man being blackmailed. And he has a lot to be blackmailed with. Don't believe me, just do 5 minutes of googling. Why else would he make such an utter fool of himself? He said these baseless, slanderous claims on the house of the Senate for God's sake.
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03:01 PM on 08/03/2012
i don't think obama can defuse this, which is yet another rallying cry against much of what he has been trying to destroy in this country: wealth, free speech, religion, business, ...
02:48 PM on 08/04/2012
I don't see how taxing the rich is destroying wealth... My dad is in the middle class and makes more than 80,000 dollars a year but he doesn't see 95% of it because of taxes. How is it fair that someone who never lifted a finger is trying to tell us working people what to do when he doesn't understand it. He actually gets to see most of his paycheck and its more than enough to live off of. Middle Class people are the ones who are suffering because we have to pay the gaps in of what rich people don't want to pay. We are the reason the cities are running in the first place. All the rich do is sit over our shoulder like Big Brother pretending its them who built this nation.
02:51 PM on 08/03/2012
This is probably the most piss-poor explanation of Wednesday I have seen. And I would have expected better from Huff.

To be honest, you're entitled to your opinions. But to compare this lone event to 2006's stand for WalMart's labor policies is a gross exaggeration of the "powers of social media." People will not show up in droves for the election (especially those in PA, thanks to their constituents instituting a ridiculous voter law), because there won't be FOOD involved. If the polls start selling pulled pork sandwiches, there may be a chance. But people care about IMMEDIATE end results.

Take a look at the "KONY 2012" Facebook debacle. Very few wrote to their senators, asking for what their opinion may be on the next course of action. Instead, they proudly shared videos and stayed at their computers. Why? Because they would get NOTHING out of the immediate end result. At least at Chick-Fil-A, people were making a statement while stuffing their faces.
jhNY
Mercy.
02:39 PM on 08/03/2012
I'm hoping that the lines of patrons around the block for Chick-Fill-A will have had their fill of lines around the block in the course of buying their greasy bag of protest in August, so much so they do not bestir themselves from home in the first week of November.
04:49 PM on 08/03/2012
Well, if that's what you are hoping for, there is no hope :-)

See you in November.

Chik Fil A just cost Barack and his consigliere Rahm Emmanuel (Chicken Salesman of the Year!) their jobs.
jhNY
Mercy.
05:30 PM on 08/03/2012
So you say.  We'll see.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
legnotsothrilled
08:16 PM on 08/03/2012
Nope. I'm afraid you've poked one too many times.

People are awake.

Good luck in November. It's going to be a landslide...not so much for the election of Romney....more the firing of the worst President in American history.

The Left is looking particularly desperate with Harry Reid. Wow. Slandering a decent man ON THE SENATE FLOOR? That's quite a low spot you have sunk to Mr. Reid. He must be being blackmailed--he is looking unstable and silly. And this guy is up at the top of the list to take over the Presidency in an emergency?????

The tax return harangue is looking like that is all they have on Romney. They have spent most of their $$$ on media already. What do they have left to smear Romney with? That, at 12 he didn't return a library book and didn't pay the fine?

Romney, on the other hand, just has to focus on NOW. The President's achievements and record. Those debates (which I wonder how Axlerod and Company are trying to get down to only ONE and that one be stacked with the standard water carriers like Stephy) are going to be something. Mr. Obama is in deep, deep trouble.
jhNY
Mercy.
01:42 PM on 08/04/2012
We'll see, won't we?
05:47 PM on 08/05/2012
Why won't Romney release his tax returns? Is he hiding something? Look at the screw-ups he made in England and the other across the pond nations he visited. You want him for president?

Obama inherited the problems from the Bush (R) era. And for the term he has been in office he has had to deal with a do nothing congress who just went on a 5 week vacation.

The economy is bad because of our do nothing congress.Obama got Sadam H. and Ben Larden (sp) and has been bring troops home.Employment is starting to improve and he save the auto industry. He also wants people to pay their fair share in taxes. i.e. the 1%. legnotsothrilled thinks Romney is the answer. I think his leg along with the rest of him has gone to sleep like congress.