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Ron Galloway

Ron Galloway

Posted: January 17, 2008 02:19 PM

The End of Wall Street


It seems fitting that the very same week that Citibank and Merrill Lynch go begging hat in hand to foreign investors to bail them out of the sub-prime debacle, the Chicago Merc is recognized as the dominant exchange in the world.

I believe there are only two great films about business; Robert Wise's Executive Suite and Oliver Stone's Wall Street. Fittingly, the commentary track on the DVD of "Executive Suite" features the narration of Oliver Stone. Stone points out that in 1954, when the film was made, American manufacturing was morphing from a culture dominated by engineers to one run by accountants. This is the central theme of Executive Suite. William Holden represents the innovative engineer, working with a skilled team to research and develop manufacturing processes that improve the company's products. Fredric March represents the accounting, profits at all cost, mentality that began to take hold in the 1950s and found its logical conclusion in Enron.

This same struggle was reflected in Wall Street between the characters of Charlie Sheen, the money guy, and Martin Sheen, the working class airline mechanic. Stone foretold the future with the character of Gordon Gekko, the next step in the evolution of the Charlie Sheen and Fredric March characters.

The Gekkoian drive for financial engineering, as opposed to the engineering of real products, finally resulted in Wall Street firms manufacturing and selling products backed by subprime loans. The products are so complex that not even their issuers understand them, nor can they set a market value to them. Well, in the real world, when you don't have any buyers for what you are trying to sell, the value of what you have is zero. This is why Wall Street keeps upping into the tens of billions their guesses on how much capital they have destroyed.

Fifty years ago, the William Holden character won out in Executive Suite. If his character ran Wall Street, he would raise capital for worthy companies that actually make things, real things to better the lives of others. Unfortunately, Fredric March and the accounting engineers have been running Wall Street for the last 20 years, and they have run it right into the ground.

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10:42 AM on 01/20/2008
Wall St isn't a ghost yet? Marxists were found of saying that Wall St would kill itself with greed. There have not been many Marxists speaking or being quoted in the MSM since 1991. Some say that Putin will introduce Marxism to the CIS in the future. There might also be a changed Wall St around to see that too.
09:13 AM on 01/19/2008
Risk assessment and risk analysis has absolutely no relation to future outcomes but it helps investors and speculators sleep better at night.
05:16 PM on 01/18/2008
I can tell you engineering as a profression is dead in the USA. It should be the premier profression, but the engineers who get promoted are the brown nosers who take orders and don't rock the boat. Innovators are destroyed and their ideas stolen or ruined in execution in the name of corporate governance. Nothing is the way it is, it is the way they say it is, so nothing is factual and everything is a pissing contest.Progress is sacrificed on the altar of order. That is how empires end. That is the USA, with possible exception of Apple Computer. How they bring such uniques products to the market is amazing to me. If there was an Apple Car company, we would not be in this mess. Any kid wanting to be an engineer go rent Tucker. It is 10 times worse today.
02:18 PM on 01/18/2008
The stock market boom was fueled by the invention of the 401k and the technology boom. Now that there are no more pensions, all hopes are pinned on Wall Street to ensure the future, and people need money to continue buying their techno baubles.

Since Wall Street has minimal government oversight, they can invent profits by bundling mortgages as equities. This allowed banks to make bad loans then sell them upstream to become everyone else's problem. That this practice has finally bit back, why is everyone surprised?
11:29 AM on 01/18/2008
Does anyone remember derivatives? That was another modern way to make money simply vanish. Nobody understood derivatives, either, so the lure of easy money - something for nothing - won over a lot of investors. They lost their shirts.
06:37 AM on 01/18/2008
A favorite Great Depression saying.....

We can't make a living taking in each other's laundry.
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10:05 PM on 01/17/2008
As has been true historically for armed combat, we are still fighting the last financial war. The form of bank failure that led to the Great Depression--lack of liquidity--has now been replaced by assuming increased liquidity can cure all ills.

Today there is enormous liquidity in world markets. Yet the answer is for central banks to run the printing presses to put more money into circulation? And Congress is talking about a combination of deep cuts to interest rates while at the same time printing more money? I don't think so.

That's like trying to dig your way out of a hole. Election year politics reeks.

Plato said that democracy's fatal flaw was bread and circuses. (OK. Not in those exact words.) Politicians avoid pain until it kills us. And yet they have nerve enough to wage a war on drugs? Who's kidding who? It's exactly what happened to cause Easter Island to collapse. Read "Collapse."
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08:45 PM on 01/17/2008
They dug their own blanking hole, not that they didn't have some help from Congresser, and Busherer, but dig they did. I just don't want to end up paying rent to some guy overseas in a palace.
08:22 PM on 01/17/2008
Twenty five years ago the financial sector acounted for 6% of the S&P 500 profits ...

By 2005 the financial sector accounted for over 30% of the profits of the S&P 500.

We trade more and more paper every year and call it growth.
05:30 PM on 01/17/2008
Ron,


Ever read "The Theory of the Leisure Class" by University of Chicago and Gilded Age economist Thorstein Veblen? Or his book, "The Engineers and the Price System"? Or another Veblen favorite, "The Theory of Business Enterprise"?


The battle was long lost before the 1950s. It occurred during the industrial revolution when entreprenuers and engineers were replaced/displaced by business managers, executive boards, stockholders and their profit motive.


G.O.P.


PS: Anybody remember a man named Tucker and his car?
04:01 PM on 01/17/2008
Risk is now something that merely needs to be "priced" into the package. This of course is foolish.