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Did Scott Walker Write the Obit of the U.S. Middle Class?

Posted: 06/15/2012 2:23 pm

The old saying that "Some days I shoulda stood in bed," has now been updated to "Some days I shoulda never turned on the computer." Today was one of those days. My trusty PC radiated nothing but gloom and doom. So much so that it set me to worrying whether Republican Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin, by decisively defeating the union-led effort to dump him, had -- inadvertently or otherwise -- written the obituary of the American middle class.

My worrying began here at The Huffington Post when I read a blog by former Labor Secretary Robert Reich, who wrote:

Rarely in history has the cause of a major economic problem been so clear yet have so few been willing to see it...

It's because American consumers, whose spending is 70 percent of economic activity, don't have the dough to buy enough to boost the economy -- and they can no longer borrow like they could before the crash of 2008...

We won't get out of first gear until the middle class regains the bargaining power it had in the first three decades after World War II to claim a much greater share of the gains from productivity growth.

How to do that? Reich suggests we somehow learn from history -- from New Deal measures of the 1930s, from the war as the employer of all resorts in the '40s, and tax rates for the rich that exceeded 90 per cent throughout the '50s. Reich points out that what we did back then worked:

By 1953, the top 1 percent of Americans raked in only 9.9 per cent of total income. Most of the rest went to a growing middle class -- whose members fueled the greatest economic boom in the history of the world.

That boom continued through the sixties and into the early seventies, columnist Harold Meyerson tells us in The Washington Post. One reason was continuing U.S. domination of the post-war global economy.

[B]ut that's only one of the two reasons our country became the first to have a middle-class majority. The other is that this was the only time in our history when we had a high degree of unionization. From 1947 through 1972 -- the peak years of unionization -- productivity increased by 102 percent, and median household income also increased by 102 percent. Thereafter, as the rate of unionization relentlessly fell, a gap opened between the economic benefits flowing from a more productive economy and the incomes of ordinary Americans, so much so that in recent decades, all the gains in productivity -- as economists Ian Dew-Becker and Robert Gordon have shown -- have gone to the wealthiest 10 percent of Americans.

When labor was at its numerical apogee in 1955, the wealthiest 10 percent claimed just 33 percent of the nation's income. By 2007, with the labor movement greatly diminished, the wealthiest 10 percent claimed 50 percent of the nation's income. Today, wages account for the lowest share of both gross domestic product and corporate revenue since World War II ended -- and that share continues to shrink.

Meyerson notes that, in the wake of the unions' defeat in the Walker recall effort, many of labor's friends, as well as its enemies, now believe "unions are in all but irreversible decline." What would this country look like without a union movement, Meyerson asks? I found his answer frightening. "If and when Big Labor dies -- it's on life support now -- America's big middle class dies with it."

How did unions and their friends allow this to happen? Sociologist Paul Starr, writing in the American Prospect, says the decline was hard to imagine in labor's winning days of the 1960s, but was largely the result of what the magazine calls "one great wrong turn by liberals at that time."

...the '60s seem strikingly different from the present because of what that era took for granted -- sustained economic growth and shared prosperity. To be sure, prosperity wasn't shared widely enough; the poor, especially the minority poor, were left out. But by 1962, the distribution of income and wealth had improved modestly for two decades, the middle class was growing, unions were a powerful force, and even Republicans accepted the New Deal. The movements of the 1960s proceeded as if those issues were settled.

The '60s movements were not just intellectually unprepared for the slowdown in growth and rise in inequality that began in the mid-1970s; they were institutionally unprepared, too. The civil-rights, feminist, anti-war, and environmental movements -- and others that came later --operated more or less on their own. They had particularly tense relations with the labor movement, which many of the new organizations saw as a bulwark of the status quo. On the left, solidarity was not forever. When Democrats had congressional majorities, they made no effort to repeal Taft-Hartley, the 1947 law that severely limited union organizing, or to adopt other measures that could have strengthened unions. They failed to appreciate how much their own concerns depended on the unions' role in mobilizing working-class support for progressive goals.

Taft-Hartley, passed by a Republican Congress over President Truman's veto after a crippling series of postwar strikes, remains a disaster to unions (contrary to Starr, there have been repeal efforts but they failed). One especially hurtful provision permits state governments to outlaw the union shop. That means employees don't have to join the union even after being hired. As a result, 23 states -- almost half -- now have so-called right-to-work laws that make union membership optional and have vastly weakened the labor movement.

Taft-Hartley and fallout from other government actions such as President Reagan's 1981 firing of illegally striking air traffic controllers, combined with corporate union-busting, have taken a heavy toll on union membership. At its height in the mid-1950s, 35 percent of American workers were union members. Last year they made up just under 12 percent of the labor force: 7 percent in the private sector and 37 percent in the public.

Business influence and anti-union sentiment mean there's no way Taft-Hartley and other impediments to organizing will be lifted anytime soon. But even if these and other steps were taken to strengthen the middle class, some argue it still wouldn't help much. Like Felix Salmon, Reuters' finance blogger, in his New York Times review of two books by liberals on the economy:

Yes, we should raise taxes on the rich by $30 billion a year, open our borders to skilled immigrants and even repeal Taft-Hartley. But none of those moves, individually or in combination, would make a real dent in the extreme inequality that we're living with today. This is now a country run by the rich, for the rich. And nothing in either of these books gives me reason to believe that there's any hope of changing that.

Or me either.

 
FOLLOW BUSINESS
The old saying that "Some days I shoulda stood in bed," has now been updated to "Some days I shoulda never turned on the computer." Today was one of those days. My trusty PC radiated nothing but gloom...
The old saying that "Some days I shoulda stood in bed," has now been updated to "Some days I shoulda never turned on the computer." Today was one of those days. My trusty PC radiated nothing but gloom...
 
 
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Sandy Goodman
Retired Producer for NBC Nightly News
11:33 PM on 06/18/2012
What surprised me most about the comments below is how many are anti-union.
I remember labor's glory days, when most Americans believed as I still do that labor unions were good for the whole country, not just their members.This isn't true any more. I count more anti-union than pro-union comments -- although about half didn't fit either category.

Polls also document an anti-union bias. Last year, James Surowieki pointed out in the New Yorker that: "In 2009, for the first time ever, support for unions in the Gallup poll dipped below fifty per cent. A 2010 Pew Research poll offered even worse numbers, with just forty-one per cent of respondents saying they had a favorable view of unions, the lowest level of support in the history of that poll." This, in contrast to strong support for unions in the 1930s. He concludes: "The Great Depression invigorated the modern American labor movement. The Great Recession has crippled it."

And after this month's defeat of the Wisconsin recall, Doug Henwood of the Left Business Observer wrote that despite the financial crisis and dismal job market: "[A]s much as it hurts to admit this, labor unions just aren’t very popular. In Gallup’s annual poll on confidence in institutions, unions score close to the bottom of the list, barely above big business and HMOs but behind banks. More Americans—42%—would like to see unions have less influence, and just 25% would like to see them have more."
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06:18 PM on 06/18/2012
"And nothing in either of these books gives me reason to believe that there's any hope of changing that." I suggest that Mr. Salmon consult some good history books; it's all there. History tells us that there is a tipping point where the majority will no longer tolerate the theft of its productivity. By than it will be too late for the oligarchs.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Under Fed yet Fed Up
Always great distaste for both political parties
10:44 AM on 06/18/2012
Ignoring that greed by the unions has caused the loss of many union jobs is evidence that a real cause and effect relationship is not sought. To not mention this factor as a role in the decline of American unions is a disservice.

Americans seem to envy the strength on the unions in Germany. Those unions are worthy of envy. A study of how they work and how they are integrated into the success of a company quickly shows how American unions could learn from their bretren across the pond.

And the American business could learn from the German model how a union can be an asset rather than a hindrance.

Looking at how German car manufacturers embraced American unions when setting up their first American plants and the rapid creation of animosity between the manufacturers and the unions is very telling.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Bob Metcalfe
Caught at 1st. slip trying to cut
04:05 PM on 06/18/2012
Interesting that in America you call factory workers middle-class. I'd hate to see the state of the working class :-). And it seems to me, that in the absence of "socialism" – not that the rest of the world sees it as socialism, in the areas of medicine in particular, that American unions perhaps need to be greedier than most. If there's not a great deal of safety net, then it's up to them to provide one. Germany has a very good safety net provided by governments rather than unions as does most of the rest of Europe. America doesn't seem to have a great deal at all
09:56 AM on 06/18/2012
Profit engine that fuels capitalism. When those two are missing, goodbye middle class.
09:55 AM on 06/18/2012
Strong labor movement and equally strong government regulation to counterbalance the profit motive that fuels c
Apitalism.
09:54 AM on 06/18/2012
Excellent analysis, as always, Mr. Goodman. Capitalism is the most wonderful system ever devised for creation of wealth and efficient operating of the economy. However, to work, it requires a strob
07:32 PM on 06/17/2012
Death of the middle class? Don't be silly. This is another case of Wisconsonians voting against their own interests. They did it in 2010, voting out Senator Russ Feingold, courageous and incorruptible though he was (and is). If history remembers Scott Walker at all, it will be as an opportunist who took a lot of outside $$$ to fund his campaign. He brought no ideas other than the wrong ones of cutting, cutting, cutting $$$ and thwarting his own opportunity to create meaningful change from within. He will exemplify the theater maxim, "There are no small parts--only small actors." Think about it.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Roosevelt Democrat
01:56 PM on 06/17/2012
"We won't get out of first gear until the middle class regains the bargaining power it had in the first three decades after World War II to claim a much greater share of the gains from productivity growth."

You truly believe with the loss of 35+% of our manufacturing jobs to fast developing nations that removing the Taft-Hartley Act will fix things???

No my friend it was a Democrat friend Bill Clinton with bi-partisan support that took away the bargaining power of the middle class when he signed NAFTA and gave Permanent Normalized Relationship with China.

Look at our trade deficit!

http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/statistics/historical/gands.pdf

In goods last year it was over $700 billion. Our total trade deficit is over 14 times higher than when President Clinton took office!

The Best friend labor ever had that ran for President was Ross Perot!

http://community.seattletimes.nwsource.com/archive/?date=19930915&slug=1721100

How ironic is that?
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12:57 PM on 06/17/2012
It's always vastly entertaining to see the left wingnuts decry the death of the middle class or democracy when they lose an election. It's especially amusing when the election they lolst is one that they forced, as in Wisconsin. Quit whining, grow up and get over it.
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08:37 AM on 06/18/2012
Easy to say. Republicans never got over Obama winning and have made it nearly impossible for him to govern. As republicans find new ways to muck up the system, they should assume the tactics they employ will be used on them going forward. You reap what you sew.
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05:40 PM on 06/18/2012
So the Democrats found out in Wisconsin after an 18 month tantrum. We shall see see how things play out at the national level.
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MassWG
10:33 PM on 06/16/2012
"that's only one of the two reasons our country became the first to have a middle-class majority. The other is that this was the only time in our history when we had a high degree of unionization"

Sure, there's a high degree of correlation - but where is the case for causation? It makes a lot more sense to me that as we de-industrialize and and open it a limited labor market to the entire world by way of globalization, unions just don't have the bargaining power they once had. As that power fades, it only makes sense the unions fade with it.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Robert Cantor
I am a human being descended from a small group of
11:11 PM on 06/16/2012
The strong correlation between wage growth and union membership;
The correlation in the reverse;
the numerous instances of union strikes leading to higher wages.
Or do you need proof from God casting a lightning bolt and writing his verification in stone?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
MassWG
04:21 PM on 06/17/2012
"strikes leading to higher wages"

For all workers, or for the strikers only? And perhaps at the expense of non-union workers? And other costs to the economy?
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Joseph LeCompte
The USA isnt broke.It was robbed.
05:15 PM on 06/16/2012
The 9/11 love fest is over. You cops and firefighters are not heroes you are lazy,greedy,union thugs who are parisites to them. The GOP used you to wrap themselves in the American flag. Now they call you villians.
09:53 AM on 06/17/2012
Yes. Typical business mentality: venerate the worker until it's time to pay them; then blame them for your own sins and renegotiate the contract.
rogergoldkin
If you think education is expensive, try ignorance
05:07 PM on 06/16/2012
I just wonder what happens to the paper wealth of the 1% when consumption goes from 70% of the economy to 35% or 40% like in Communist China.
RealistBC
Micro-bios must pass muster.
08:33 PM on 06/16/2012
They have been busy converting increasingly worthless dollars into tangible property. When the economy improves (according to their wildest dreams), the appreciation of these properties will reimburse them for any losses incurred.
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Rascals Veda
Go. Do. Be.
11:32 AM on 06/17/2012
Is communism applicable to China, now?

Corporate police state?

I don't know.
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Tcolby6
04:49 PM on 06/16/2012
My best guess of how this plays outbid things don't change that things will continuevtongetbworse and in ten perhaps twenty years when enough people are tired of not making decency wages not being treated with respect in the work place when we no longer get paid time and a half for overtime when people get tired of bosses who fire them because they had the audacity to go to the restroom or because the bosses brother needed a job when you have no rights as a worker anymore then there will again be a labor movement and it will be like the early labor movement in that the rich ruling class the company will try by violence to break the movement but people will fight back, it will be violent. And hopefully labor will win. The sad thing is that we would not have go through another violent labor movement if the ignorant anti union workers would just think and see that the union, no matter how you slice is the best friend labor has.
RealistBC
Micro-bios must pass muster.
08:37 PM on 06/16/2012
it won't go this way. The Patriot Act and the other draconian laws (including some signed into law by Obama the DINO) will be used to keep in check the "rabble" who refuse to kowtow to the elites. There will be no populist uprising without a great deal of bloodshed. There is no guarantee it will succeed.
04:49 AM on 06/17/2012
True, but the bloodshed might be limited by hacktivism over activism. Instead of taking on the government under NDAA and Patriot in the streets, they'll take them on by computer and wipe out the data of the companies that oppress them. Those that do will be rounded up, tortured, and put through hell. But not as many as if there were a confrontation in the streets. Also a few hackers can do far more damage to TPTB than a dozen striking people.
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JADJAD
04:09 PM on 06/16/2012
If it is true that 36% of union members voted for Walker in Wisconsin, what more do you need to know. In the past, it use to be non union workers against union workers. Today, it's union against union. In Wisconsin, the unions leading the fight against Walker were branded as having too many benefits and too high wages in comparison to other union and non union members. Even though the top 1% is on a wealth pace impossible for the rest to catch up to, The typical middle class worker is setting their sights much lower towards there fellow neighbors and workers in futile hope that they will escape the predictable. It now is the middle class eating their own as the puppet masters continue to make impressive wealth gains.
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zSpin2001
All your base are belong to us.
12:28 PM on 06/16/2012
Definition of a union: An association, combination, or organization of employees who band together to secure favorable wages, improved working conditions, and better work hours, and to resolve grievances against employers. What we fail to talk about is how employment is a commodity and the workers get to set their compensation for their services in a free market economy. Under the current political definition served up by one group, only people working in private industry should have the right to unionize. This idea creates conflict in professions where the licensing of the profession is generalized and the nature of the employment is not. You are licensed as having a specific skill-set at a competent level, but your employment in either the public or private sector determines your ability or right to unionize. This result appears to be discriminatory.
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mantra
06:57 PM on 06/16/2012
Sorry???..."employment is a commodity and the workers get to set their own compensation for their services in a free-market economy"...????!!! In what planet would that be? It definitely doesn't apply to the USA, where there is no such thing as a "free-market", thanks to the purchased distortions introduced by the power elites with the help of their bought legislators.