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The great British biologist J.B.S Haldane counted monotheism's creation of fanaticism as one of the most important inventions of the last 5,000 years. Call it love of God or love of group, it matters little in the end. Modern civilizations spin the potter's wheel of monotheism to manufacture the greatest cause of all, humanity. Before missionary monotheism, people did not consider that all others could be pigeonholed into one kind. The salvation of humanity is a cause as stimulating as it is impossible to achieve. Nevertheless, all modern missionary-isms, whether religious or in their secular post-Enlightenment guise, preach devotion unto death for the sake of humanity, including allowance for mass killing for the mass good. "The imagination and the spiritual strength of Shakespeare's evildoers stopped short at a dozen corpses. Because they had no ideology," wrote Alexander Solzhenitsyn in The Gulag Archipelago.

Especially for young men, mortal combat in a great cause provides the ultimate adventure and glory to gain maximum esteem in the eyes of many and, most dearly, in the hearts of their peers. By identifying their devotion with the greater defense and salvation of humanity, they commit themselves to a path that allows massive killing for what they think is a massive good. Jihadism is a transnational social and political movement in the same vein. The most heroic cause for disaffected souls in the world today is jihad, where anyone from anywhere can hope to make a mark against the most powerful country and army in the history of the world. How glorious to cut off Goliath's head with a paper cutter -- or at least cause him a big headache with a blast.

Yet, although many millions of people express sympathy with Qaeda's viral social movement or other forms of violent political expression that abuse religion and support terrorism, relatively few willingly use violence. From a 2001-2007 survey of thirty-five predominantly Muslim nations (with 50,000 interviews randomly chosen to represent about 90 percent of the Muslim world), a Gallup study projected that 7 percent of the world's 1.3 billion Muslims thought that the 9/11 attacks were "completely justified." That's about 100 million people; however, of these many millions who express support for violence against the out-group, there are only thousands willing to actually commit violence.

This is also true in the Muslim diaspora, which provides the overwhelming majority of Qaeda followers. In the European Union, fewer than 3,000 suspects have been imprisoned for jihadi activities out of a Muslim population of perhaps 20 million. In the United States, fewer than 500 suspects have been arrested for having anything remotely to do with support for holy war against America after 9/11, with less than one hundred cases being considered serious out of an immigrant Muslim population of more than 2 million.

If so many millions support jihad, why are only relatively few willing to kill and die for it? Although heroic action for a great cause is the ultimate end, the path to violent extremism is mostly a matter of individual motivations and small group dynamics in a specific historical context. Those who go on to violence generally do so by way of family and friends within specific 'scenes': neighborhoods, schools (classes, dorms), workplaces, common leisure activities (soccer, barbershop, café), and, increasingly, online chat rooms.

The process of self selection into violence within these scenes is stimulated by a massive, media-driven political awakening in which jihad is represented as the only the way to permanently resolve glaring problems of global injustice. When this perceived injustice resonates with frustrated personal aspirations, then a way out is given universal meaning through moral outrage that supports violent action. Al Qaeda and associates do not so much recruit as attract and enlist those disaffected souls who have already decided to embark on the path to violent extremism with the help of a few fellow travelers.

More than half a century ago, Eric Hoffer noted in The True Believer that the higher one aims, and harder one falls (or runs up against social, economic or political barriers that prevent further advancement), the greater the likelihood of joining a violent mass movement. Faisal Shahzad, the would-be Times Square bomber, fits the mold in a modern way.

Research shows that terrorists generally don't commit terrorism because they are extraordinarily vengeful or uncaring, poor or uneducated, schooled as children in radical religion or brainwashed, criminally-minded or suicidal, or sex-starved for virgins in heaven. Most have no personal history of violent emotions and are generally peaceful in their daily lives.

Son of a former Pakistani Air Force General, Shahzad reached out for higher education in the United States and became a naturalized citizen. Until then, life had been easy for the MBA who wore designer sunglasses. But by summer 2009 he had lost his Connecticut home to the bank, left his job, and seemed estranged from his wife. He found solace in a militant religious rebirth, went to Pakistan to 'find himself' again, and found jihad.

Before and just after 9/11, jihadis, including suicide bombers, were on average materially better-off and better-educated relative to their populations of origin. Many had college educations or advanced technical training. A background in science, particularly engineering and medicine, was positively associated with likelihood to join jihad.

Now, the main threat to the West from any organization, or from well-trained cadres of volunteers, but from a Qaeda-inspired viral social movement that abuses religion in the name of defending Muslims, and which is particularly contagious among young adults who are in transition stages in their lives: immigrants, students, those still in search of friends, mates or jobs. They go looking for Al Qaeda or its associates and, if they are lucky, find a friend or relative to take them to a makeshift training facility where they are usually told to forget about fighting Americans in Afghanistan and to "go home and do something." This was as true for the London Underground bombers and Crevice plotters and for those who recently conspired to blast the New York City subway.

Overall, foreign-born Muslims in the United States have about the same education and economic levels as the general population, whereas foreign-born Muslims are five to seven times more likely to be poor than non-Muslims in Britain, France, and Germany and nearly ten times more likely to be poor in Spain. Moreover, whereas Muslim immigrants in the US overwhelmingly buy into the American Dream, even middle class European Muslim youth often feel socially marginalized and thus more liable to seek universal meaning for frustrated personal aspirations in a violent mass movement. (On both continents, though, traditional religious education is a negative predictor of involvement in jihadi activities). It still may be too early to read any trend in the recent uptick of homegrown plots in the United States. But it is fair to ask why the jihadi call to violence is now reaching even the margins of Muslim America, particularly among some of Pakistani origin.

Between the people of America and Pakistan, there is widening distrust and resentment, despite the mask of friendship donned by both governments' leaders. In Pakistan, America is now perceived as a greater evil than India, as popular fervor against America has risen in direct proportion to US aid and involvement, egged on in Pakistan's media by an elite pained by the country's ever deepening client status. Highly militarized (Pakistan spent nearly 240 times more on defense and security than on health, education and welfare even before 9/11), politically edging toward a failed state, that nation has precious little to offer is youthful population. Add to this the fact that America has bombed Al-Qaeda's remnants into togetherness with Pakistan's historically most bellicose and indomitable tribal factions, and no wonder it takes less and less for the jihadism to ignite any part of this inflammable mix.

And so it did ignite Shahzad, who told his father that he wanted to fight the Evil Empire in Afghanistan (his father was against it), then sought out more militant friends, one of whom apparently introduced him to Qari Hussain Mehsud, the Pakistani Taliban's top trainer. After a primer in bomb making in Waziristan, Shahzad was probably told to return to America, to avenge America's assault "against Islam" (as he put it) and upon his own ambitious aspirations (as indicated in his job applications).

Shahzad was also apparently inspired by the online rhetoric of Anwar al-Awlaki, a former preacher at a Northern Virginia mosque who gained international notoriety for blessing the suicide mission of the failed Christmas airplane bomber, Umar Farouk Abdulmutallib, and for Facebook communications with Major Nadal Hasan, an American-born Muslim psychiatrist who killed thirteen fellow soldiers at Fort Hood in November 2009. Although many are ready to leap to the conclusion that Awlaki helped to "brainwash" and "indoctrinate" these jihadi wannabes, it is much more likely that they sought out the popular Internet preacher because they already self-radicalized to the point of wanting reassurance and further guidance. "The movement is from the bottom up," notes forensic psychiatrist and former CIA case officer Marc Sageman, "just like you saw Major Hasan send twenty-one e-mails to al-Awlaki, who sends him back two, you have people seeking these guys and asking them for advice."

As I noted in my last column ("My Senate Armed Services Testimony"), the popular notion of a "clash of civilizations" is woefully misleading. Violent extremism represents a crash of traditional territorial cultures, not their resurgence, as people unmoored from millennial traditions flail about in search of a social identity. Individuals now mostly radicalize horizontally with their peers, rather than vertically through institutional leaders or organizational hierarchies: in small groups of friends -- from the same neighborhood or social network -- or even as loners who find common cause with a virtual internet community. Ways must be found beyond our own bombs and bullets to channel this disaffection, through the same culturally-savvy sorts of peer-to peer appeals and interactions that sustain the jihad. Enthralled by the economic opportunities of globalization, we are failing in Pakistan, that most unstable of nuclear nations, as in our own backyard, to help manage the global crisis of cultures that is shattering social and political peace, and grabbing marginalized youth away from us and into the waiting arms of violent extremism.

Scott Atran, an anthropologist at the National Center for Scientific Research in Paris, John Jay College and the University of Michigan, is the author of the forthcoming Talking to the Enemy.

 
 
 
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maslin
At 6 bn km, it's mostly small stuff.
09:38 AM on 05/11/2010
I'm interested in some parts of this article, but from what I recall, the monotheism link to religious violence is not as strong as you are making it out to be.
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MerryW
11:30 AM on 05/10/2010
Interesting on extreme monotheism ( or mono-ism) and the manipulation and use of a lost egocetric soul. The leaders of these radical groups can target in on the vunerable with uncanny radar.
10:03 PM on 05/09/2010
Mr. Attan's analysis is somewhat faulty. Monotheism is NOT the only form of religious ideology to spread havoc on the lives of those who do not believe. Any -ism taken to an extreme can violate the rights of others.
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Tulka2
Solidarity. Courage. Humor.
03:46 PM on 05/09/2010
Thank you. Fine logic and history.

Cave ab homine unius libri. -Latin adage (Beware of the man of one book)

(Also glad to see people still read Eric Hoffer.)
03:40 PM on 05/09/2010
I am disappointed that this article does not mention anything about rightwing domestic terrorists in America.
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Valkyrie Ice
Writer for H+ Magazine, and commenter at random
04:13 PM on 05/09/2010
Why should it? The exact same mechanisms are at play there as well. And as more and more disaffected band together, terrorism is only going to get worse, and fortunately, less professional. The solutions to this are simple, Universal healthcare, education, shelter, and income. We have to raise the floor out of the mud and give everyone the basics needed to sustain life, and give them every opportunity to improve themselves and advance on their own.

So long as this is denied, more and more terrorists will continue to come out of the woodwork until we are forced to accept responsibility and accountability for each other. We are one species, and one planet. We cannot continue to allow the suffering of most so that the few can profit.
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hypnotoad72
Freedom = real democracy = living wages
05:16 PM on 05/09/2010
Well said.
01:16 PM on 05/10/2010
would you care to name the rightwing domestic terrorists and their actions that make them terrorists?
Guilty until proven innocent in the eyes of a liberal, right?
02:29 PM on 05/10/2010
Well, the brewing tea bag movement is a lot of well-off white folks who want to overthrow the government. The rhetoric of "Crosshairs" and "Lock and Load" aren't even coded. People are showing up with loaded assault weapons at political rallies. That's not about their right to bear arms. It's about intimidation. Fear, as a weapon. Terrorism. Using fear as a political tool. That's terrorism. Scaring people to move a political agenda. Like Bush and Cheney talking about "mushroom clouds", unless they're allowed to invade Iraq. Never mind that there were no WMDs there. Never mind that Iraq had nothing to do 911. Like convincing you that they absolutely had to torture people, and spy on all of you, or else the terrorists are coming! The terrorists are coming! The terrorists are already here. Weilding fear as a weapon. Instilling terror. Terrorism. How about radical clerics like Pat Robertson, calling for political assassinations and driving wedges between citizens. Divide and conquer is a war strategy. The right wing is at war with us. At war with America. Sarah Palin's husband is a card carrying secessionist. Her agenda is anti-American. You can turn a blind eye if you like. It's amazing how many otherwise rational people can be turned into traitors, just because they can't stand having a black guy in the White House.
12:57 AM on 05/09/2010
itis too bad how poor the spelling is in blogs these days.
Scott Atran is another mis-guided idealist that cannot grasp the fact that there are those individuals who want to do America harm. One hundred million muslims who say that the attacks on 911 were justified is enough to make my hair stand on end, and that is enough people to cause or support attacks on westerners and to cause significant damage. I know that the number is alot higher than 7% percent. Like many of our enemies muslim extremists and their sympathizers have figured out where America is weak, and that is through our media, governments, and lobbiests. They know that with a little bit money they can cause decention within our country and through the media.

Jihad's do not play by the rules that is why they use women and children as shields and use roadside bombs. So when a sympathizer takes a survey of course they would say that the attacks were not justified. Muslims have every reason to hate the west because Islam is a total way of life it is an all encompassing faith and Western culture is a counter culture compared to Islam and so why would they want to westernize. Furthermore many Muslims who have seem to taken up the Western lifestyle are secretely sending money to support terrorist activities.
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progressivestance84
The Right is Wrong.
02:03 AM on 05/09/2010
"Furthermore many Muslims who have seem to taken up the Western lifestyle are secretely sending money to support terrorist activities."

I don't think I like your generalizations about Muslims. It was a Muslim vendor that called the police to warn them about the bomb in Times Square. Religions of all stripes are capable of violence. Its not for you to judge an entire religion based on the actions of a few. I don't know where you got 100 million Muslims comment. Have you even spoken to a Muslim?

"Like many of our enemies muslim extremists and their sympathizers have figured out where America is weak, and that is through our media, governments, and lobbiests. They know that with a little bit money they can cause decention within our country and through the media. "

I don't get it Did Muslim extremists buy stock in Golden Sachs or Fox News? Who exactly is lobbying for Muslim terrorists?
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hypnotoad72
Freedom = real democracy = living wages
05:20 PM on 05/09/2010
Have you?

Has anybody?

I know Muslims who are friends with gay people... and I know one who would kill gay people if he could. Like Christians, atheists, or any other fun grouping of mindsets, it's not terribly different.
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Angel1999
Microbiologist & Historian
09:31 AM on 05/09/2010
I don't think you read his article very carefully. I didn't see anywhere that he said there aren't people out there poised to do harm to America. His focus was on how we identify those. We historically have jumped to conclusions about the people most likely to become terrorists and on how they move into a radical state of mind. If anything, this sort of analysis should help identify those most likely to become radicalized and hence a threat.

You, on the other hand, have fallen into the unfortunate role of playing up stereotypes, with no more evidence than your gut feelings to go on.
11:18 AM on 05/09/2010
Certainly there are people who wish to do harm to America, who are true enemies of the United Staates (for whatever reason). One issue is whether the US reaction to threat is part of its cause. For example, the Pakistani Pashtun tribal factions had no meaningful relationship with Al Qaeda before 9/11, and no Afghan had ever joined Al Qaeda before 9/11 (in fact, the Afghans resented the Arabs telling them how to pray and fight, even during the war against the Soviets). It was by no means a given after 9/11 that even the Afghan Taliban would continue to support Bin Laden (mullah Oamr called together a council of clerics who recommended that their troublesome guest be disinvited, as had been done with him in Sudan). The US administration ridiculed this deliberation, although how one does deal with a guest in Afghan tribal custom (pashtunwali) is the most serious matter that can be deliberated. When the US and allies attacked the Afghan Taliban, their Pahtun kinsmen in Pakistan offered them sanctuary. Then the US prodded Pakistan into pounding these Pashtun, who were neither Taliban nor in any sense allied with Bin Laden, into becoming both. So, the difficult problem is how to stop this all from spiraling up to where it threatens to bring down the Pakistani state, with its nuclear arsenal, and cause the Pashtun to fight to the death against the US.
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tm68
12:38 AM on 05/09/2010
Excellent article. I learned something. Thank you.
iconoclast1
give truth a chance
12:13 AM on 05/09/2010
If there is a universal truth about people it is that each person wants to feel good about himself or herself in some way. For Richard Ramirez, the "Night Stalker" convicted of multiple random murders in California, he felt good about himself by virtue of being more satanic than just about anybody. Marginalized or oppressed groups, religions, countries, and races will always have disturbed and disaffected members that are driven by an overwhelming need to distinguish themselves, rise above others, or feel good about themselves in convoluted ways. My view is that excessive nationalism, racism, and religious extremism are three of the primary root causes for terrorist and murderous activities. The fight has to be taken to known groups and individuals, as we are doing, but it is going to be a never-ending game of whack-a-mole, replete with setbacks, until we eradicate the root causes. In a world of more than 6 billion, I tend to support the effort to disrupt - especially as to WMD - while we take reasonable precautions to protect, but we have to realize it is a virtually permanent endeavor. Therefore, we need to spend our money very wisely in this effort. I take some comfort in the law of averages, but that doesn't mean we can be complacent. We must spend our money very wisely in this effort because it is a long, long haul.
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Ishmael1
A Man Born To Hang Ain't Gonna Die Of Drowning
11:35 PM on 05/08/2010
I would also offer the parallel between today's Jihadis and the Kamikaze/Divine Wind of WW2. The first Japanese Kamikaze attacks were also spontaneous and done in the heat of battle. It was only after the Japanese military leadership concluded that such spontaneous suicide attacks were not only going to continue, but actually increase by themselves, that they set up the military structure of Kamikaze units.
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Aaror
11:24 PM on 05/08/2010
What percentage of Republicans felt that the guy who flew his plane into the IRS building were justified, betcha it is higher than 7%!
That only a few of them have actually committed terrorist acts (shooting Dr. Tillman, attacking the holocaust museum, and of course the Oklahoma city bombing) may be less about them being willing, and more that they keep waiting for the signal to all act as one. You keep hearing these folks saying "When the time comes..."
11:24 AM on 05/09/2010
Whether Republican or Democrat, the same Gallup survey that shows that 7 percent of Muslims believe the 9/11 attacks to be "completely justified" also show that 6 percent of Americans think that attacks in which noncombatant civilians may be victims are also “completely justified.”
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Aaror
11:21 PM on 05/08/2010
Also, see teabaggers...
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Michael Valentine
Retired SEIU Member
11:15 PM on 05/08/2010
Muslim terrorist pale in comparison to American war profiteering corporations who are now influencing elections that will ensure never ending wars in third world countries.
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02:08 PM on 05/09/2010
Truest comment of day. Fanned.
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ipolitics123
The Left is not Liberal
08:46 PM on 05/08/2010
"But it is fair to ask why the jihadi call to violence is now reaching even the margins of Muslim America, particularly among some of Pakistani origin."

It's not a fair question, it's a stupidly simple question. But it's one you choose not to recognize the answer to.

Read "America Alone" by Mark Steyn, or "Reflections on the Revolution in Europe" by Christopher Caldwell. We have nothing to offer them anymore. The global jihad does.

The "New Left" tore the social fabric of Western Civilization to shreds in the 1960s and now you're shocked (shocked!) to discover that nihilism has grown from the wreckage. The jihadis aren't puzzled by what to do in this situation - they're recruiting 24/7/365 (no days off for Christmas or Hanukah). They don't see your obsession with "multiculturalism" and "tolerance" as something noble, they see it as weakness - which, strictly speaking, it is.

And if nothing changes, they will probably win this fight. Your children will learn the words of Mohammed in a madrasa, not the works of Shakespeare.

As a psychiatrist might say, "How do you feel about that?"
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09:21 PM on 05/08/2010
Good post. The "all cultures are equal" folks are responsible for this.

For the perspective of a prison psychologist who has his illusions about this shattered check out http://frontpagemag.com/2010/05/05/among-criminal-muslims/
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ipolitics123
The Left is not Liberal
11:37 PM on 05/08/2010
Frightening article. Should be required reading.
11:49 PM on 05/08/2010
I don't think they are nihilists at all , but extreme moralists. Nihilism is usually a charge against adversaries that that one, with willful blindness chooses not to try to understand.

But how could they possibly win in the end, because nothing is offered is except a path to glory that leads to ashes. Publicity is their oxygen. That is why so few have caused such inordinate fear in so many. Without publicity the movement would probaby wither and die because it offers nothing really for life.
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ipolitics123
The Left is not Liberal
12:15 AM on 05/09/2010
You are correct that the jihadis are extreme moralists. The nihilism exists in our own culture. The children of the West (and East) are fleeing from the nihilistic "non-culture" of today's West (e.g. Richard Dawkins as the living embodiment of anti-theology) to Islam, which offers a forceful argument that their lives DO have meaning and purpose. Even if that purpose involves flying a plane into a building.
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ipolitics123
The Left is not Liberal
12:24 AM on 05/09/2010
To address your second point, the Islamic world view revolves around this struggle. There is no "end" to it. For us this "clash of civilizations" is an inconvenient (or worse) diversion from our daily lives - for them this battle IS their life. They don't need an "exit strategy" like we do, because they don't need an exit.
08:36 PM on 05/08/2010
I am tired of all these Billionaires.....clueless elitists.
jhNY
Mercy.
08:09 PM on 05/08/2010
Surprised, once I read past the headline, at the contents of the essay. I was sure it was going to be about The Tea Party.
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ChicagoSuz
Writer/Teacher/Actor/Activist
01:39 AM on 05/09/2010
Ditto. How is their mindset any different from White Supremacists, Militia groups and the more radical TPers?
02:05 AM on 05/09/2010
The Tea Partiers are not radicalists they are the same people who fought for this countries formation during the Revolutionary War. These people just want to be free pay minimum taxes and have the government stay out of their lives. These are some of the many qualities that has made this courntry great. I am going to assume you are a liberal you are suppose to embrace diversity of opionion and embrace protesting etc etc. However, you know the only way a liberal is going to want diveristy of opinion is if it is their own point of view. Unless you want this courntry to become like Greece you should want limited governement and freedom.