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Weekend Box Office: Real Steel Wins Over the Kids, While Ides of March Does the 'Clooney Average'

Posted: 10/09/11 05:40 PM ET

There were two major releases this weekend, and both of them more-or-less did what was expected of them.  Disney/Dreamworks unleashed the robot-boxing/father-son drama Real Steel, which easily topped the weekend.  Of course, as always, ranking is irrelevant except for their use in second-week ads, so the real question is whether or not its $27.3 million debut is a good number.  First of all, the film scored a solid A from Cinemascore, with an A+ from audiences under 25 (which again, only means something if it opens well in the first place).  Second of all, the film indeed did play like a family film, with an $8.5 million Friday giving way to a solid 3.2x weekend multiplier (family films generally see a boost on Saturday as the kids flood the matinees). The weekend multiplier and audience polling could mean that the Hugh Jackman film will have decent legs as the family film of choice until Puss In Boots opens on October 28th (yes, by moving the film one week up, Dreamworks Animation/Paramount has potentially hurt Dreamworks/Disney).  As for whether or not the film is a hit at this point (check out the movie that it seems to oddly resemble HERE), that depends on who you ask about the film's budget.


The official word from director Shawn Levy is a bit over $80 million, while others (possibly rival studio-executives) are screaming anywhere from $110 million to $140 million.  The film certainly may be on the cheaper end as the only special effects elements appear to be the CGI robots, which represent a relatively self-contained special effect (think the Alvin and the Chipmunks movies, where only the actual CGI critters pump up the budget).  Anyway, if the film ends up with legs (hard to predict in this front-loaded age) and/or does its killing overseas (it's done $49 million worldwide thus far), then this budget talk will be irrelevant.  The film had surprisingly decent reviews but had to deal with the fact that the premise itself (Rock Em Sock Em Robots: The Movie!) was so patently goofy that it became a classic example of a 'No wait, it's really good!' movie.  By that I mean, it was a movie that had the disadvantage of being presumed terrible by all but the core young-boy audience for one reason or another before it was even screened.

More important (in my opinion) is what this opening weekend means for the relatively new relationships that Disney has formed.  While it is admirable that Disney would try to launch a franchise picture of this nature in October, this doesn't even enter the top-ten of all-time October opening weekends.  And when it comes to pure-genre fare, this is the third relatively underwhelming opening weekend (after I Am Number Four's $19 million debut last February and Fright Night's $7.7 million opening in August) for the Dreamworks/Disney combo this year.  Both Dreamworks and Marvel Studios used to have their films primarily distributed via Paramount and, as I've written before (HERE), the strength of Paramount's marketing may be more important to the success of the likes of Iron Man and Kung Fu Panda then is generally credited.  If I were Marvel Studios, with The Avengers and Iron Man 3 on-tap, I'd be a little worried about the seeming inability of Disney to launch any new action franchises over the last few years (among the DOA - I Am Number Four, Prince of Persia, The Sorcerer's Apprentice, probably Tron).  Is the marketing might of Paramount a key factor, or will The Avengers sell itself to the non-geeks?  




The only other wide release was the George Clooney drama, The Ides of March.  The political tale, which also stars Ryan Gosling, Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Paul Giamatti, Evan Rachel Wood, and Marissa Tomei, grossed $10.5 million over the weekend.  There's not much to say here.  The film scored a B+ from Cinemascore and opened just below the normal $11-13 million range that 90% of all George Clooney 'passion projects' find themselves with (I've been discussing this for two years).  Like most of his personal films, this one cost just $12 million, so even if it doesn't have the usual strong legs of the likes of Michael Clayton ($10.4 million opening, $49 million finish) or Syriana ($12 million opening, $50 million finish), it will still be a solid moneymaker for Sony.  Still, this proves the limited bank-ability of 'flavor of the month' Ryan Gosling and gives folly to those who blamed the under-performance of Green Lantern on Ryan Reynolds (IE - a more respected actor wouldn't have opened it any better).  As for the movie, which I haven't had time to review, it's a solid B-movie, that suffers from a presumption of importance (it isn't saying anything that Primary Colors didn't say in 1998), a serious case of the 'tell-not-shows' (we're constantly told that Gosling is a master political operative, yet we never see him in action except when he's screwing up), and a second half that goes from serious and realistic political drama to 'uh oh, the pretty young girl is gonna get everyone in trouble!' soap opera.


The article continues at Mendelson's Memos. As always, the numbers contained are estimates and are subject to change on Monday afternoon.

 

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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
anugs
07:28 AM on 10/11/2011
Why is George Clooney such a big deal? Most of his movies, other than the oceans series and the Perfect Storm, are box office flops. The 28 movies he has been in have a gross total of 1.5 billion dollars. Enlighten me please.
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liberalsrheros
GOP PLATFORM:Mean Talkin Blues. Woody Guthrie
12:19 PM on 10/11/2011
read the article. he makes studios money. willfully ignorant is hard to enlighten, you need to try.
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mikeodd
Quintessential Common-Sense Independent
11:46 PM on 10/10/2011
It's a sign o' the times alright when "Rock 'em Sock 'em Robots -The Movie" rules the box office.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
firewired
Compared to what?
06:18 PM on 10/10/2011
Some good acting, but lousy "story." Jumbled. Could have been a stronger plot, less attention to the obligatory sex, and better photography. C+!
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AntonBursch
12:48 PM on 10/10/2011
but it really was a good movie. ;) seriously. if you have kids you'll both have a great time.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
scorpioleidy
I rant ... therefore, I am.
10:36 AM on 10/10/2011
Looking at trailers for both movies, people shouldn't be surprised the Real Steel beat GClooney's movie. Even with all those stars in the movie, people are s.ic.k and tired of politics - real or on a movie screen - and Ryan Gosling is w.ea.k and not suited to carry/headline a film.
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sabelmouse
i love to tumble , ask me why .
10:48 AM on 10/10/2011
'' and Ryan Gosling is w.ea.k and not suited to carry/head­line a film. ''

oh no you didn't !

he very well is. have you not seen'' lars and the real girl'' or ''drive'', which i'm off to see the 5th time tonight.
06:05 PM on 10/10/2011
Drive was an incredible movie, but it did fall short in a few areas. But even if you didn't like that, Blue Valentine was incredible; Ryan Gosling can definitely star in a film.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
frank day
Republican = FAIL
12:59 PM on 10/10/2011
Totally agree about Gosling.

At lest the Robot movie looks entertaining.
05:20 PM on 10/10/2011
Drive - incredulity kept me from walking out - it had NOTHING - it sucked the blood out of the audience - Gosling is Tom Cruise without the looks or acting ability - a pure tabula rasa for the marketing crowd.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
lawlibrarian
Happiness is a warm puppy
12:09 PM on 10/11/2011
The only thing that looks good about "Real Steel" is Hugh Jackman....a terriffic actor.
Movies with substance and a real plot must be too much for you to follow.
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10:09 AM on 10/10/2011
Clooney continues to be more fascinting to the press than the American Public. In terms of number of viewers, most of his films are very modest. They are cheap to do, so they make money. But the number of people seeing them is quite small. and he seems to be saying the same thing over and over. With little depth.
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Bishop999999999
05:19 AM on 10/10/2011
I wouldn't say that star power in films is dead, but it certainly doesn't work like Hollywood thinks it should. Attaching Clooney's name to something generally means the same thing: he does his late-middle age mildly sarcastic, rogue-like charm thing, and we all realize that he plays the same goddam character in every one of his movies. Ides of March isn't about Clooney, it's about story. And the story just isn't that good.
Mochilero
Have backpack, will travel
01:04 AM on 10/10/2011
Loved Moneyball, Pitt's performance was A+. Haven't seen Ides of March yet, but always enjoy Clooney's stuff. Still when it comes to politics, I prefer black comedy to earnestness, and my choice is Warren Beatty in Bulworth.
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Halsey
"There is a price to pay for speaking the truth. T
11:35 AM on 10/10/2011
Mochilero, Don't you think Bulworth should be re-released?! I mean, when Warren made it (with Halle in her 20's I think?) we were not yet frightened of BIG Pharma, healthcare costs etc. I think it's topic, as in Network, was prophetic. I do NOT want a remake. I'd just like the original on the big screen again because the assassin is SO surprising and just is a POW moment. Thank you for reminding me of this film!
I still want to see Ides. I find Clooney interesting to watch. Richard Gere went through a stage in films when all I'd see him to do clench his jaws to show anger (same with Cruise)..yet Gere has made some very good films as he's aged. Clooney was so good in Michael Clayton and Oh Brother! He does have range. I also have liked Ryan since Remember the Titans.
faved for Bulworth!
Mochilero
Have backpack, will travel
07:38 PM on 10/10/2011
Hi, Halsey. Hollywood is not interested in re-releasing anything. The smart and creatively stultifying money is on remakes which are generally only a pale imitation of the original, dumbed down for today's adolescent audience. My favorite contemporary movie is John Sayle's Lone Star. If you don't know it, check it out.
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shout
08:27 PM on 10/09/2011
You can still make high quality films that make lots of money, "Juno", "Midnight in Paris", but Clooney just can't bring in numbers like that despite the fact that he gets tons of publicity when his films are released. He is proof that if the media loves you, that's all the audience you'll ever need.

Most people who bring in his numbers are considered indie actors---and they make indie pay, not the millions that afford Clooney his Italian villa. Same goes for Brad Pitt. So now we head into awards season and as usual, it will be the George and Brad show, even though there are plenty of people with lots more talent making far more interesting films.
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Scott Mendelson
Film critic/pundit for Mendelson's Memos, Valley S
11:31 PM on 10/09/2011
Midnight In Paris has around $54 million, which is just above or right below where a number of Clooney projects (Michael Clayton, Burn Before Reading, Syriana, Three Kings, etc) have ended up. Heck, Clooney's Up In the Air made $81 million just two years ago. Clooney's personal projects are generally quite cheap, so they don't have to make blockbuster figures to make money. I have no idea how Clooney affords his villa, other than to say that he often tells about how after making Batman & Robin, he asked his accountant if he had already made enough money to stay rich forever. The account basically said 'yes, barring you don't go nuts', so from that point on he generally only did movies that he wanted to make for a price that he could get them made at.
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shout
05:58 PM on 10/10/2011
Didn't "Midnight in Paris" bring in those numbers on less than half the screens with a fraction of the publicity of either "Moneyball" or "The Ides of March"? When films open on thousands of screens and have endless, endless, endless marketing I expect them to do far better than "Midnight in Paris."

I just feel like Clooney and Pitt are niche people, not the A-list Big Box Office stars the media makes them out to be.
07:09 PM on 10/09/2011
I liked ides of march. BF can't stand clooney and hated RG's blank stares. I thought it was good. Much better than the American which was terrible.
06:03 PM on 10/10/2011
I have to disagree; I thought Ides of March was a simple rehashing of 'what if Lee Atwater was a democrat,' and the premise of an atheist presidential candidate being a major threat to republicans fell short.

Most of the stuff in that movie was more interesting when it was happening in real life. Watching it on film doesn't have the same gripping qualities, at least for me.
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catcancook
Obama/Biden 2012
06:01 PM on 10/09/2011
I saw "The Ides of March" yesterday and loved it. I like Ryan G. and George C. so, it was a perfect match for me.
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sabelmouse
i love to tumble , ask me why .
11:05 AM on 10/10/2011
i hope i'll have the same experience. i like clooney and adore gosling. and ''drive''will not be on after this week.
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catcancook
Obama/Biden 2012
11:29 AM on 10/10/2011
"Drive" was amazing. I'm still thinking about that movie. Go now..run to see it, if you haven't yet because it has to be seen on the big screen. TV will dilute it imo.

If you like political cat and mouse..this is for you. But Gosling makes all movies interesting imo. I'm a fan of Clooney ..but this is all about Gosling, he makes this movie what it is.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
O K Ali
Wash your hands, seriously.
04:57 PM on 10/09/2011
When I saw the trailer for Real Steel a few months ago, I blew it off a old Twilight Zone ripoff. But, I was pleasantly surprised by it as a whole. A few hours of escapism, decent work of CGI, and fun for any age.