The betting odds that Timothy Geithner will remain Treasury Secretary until Dec. 31 are currently about 3 to 7. For every $7 you wager, if he stays, you come away with $10. Alternately, if you bet correctly that he'll depart, your $3 bet more than triples.
So how do you bet?
During the general election, I learned that bookmakers are extraordinarily accurate in their predictions of political outcomes, more so than the best polls. As an experiment, I asked one of...
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