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Seth Shostak

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Humble Pie

Posted: 01/ 5/2012 12:06 am

There's a well-known historical event that astronomers routinely cite whenever they wish to prove their modesty: it's called the Copernican Revolution. It taught us to always assume that our circumstances are typical, rather than special -- that we're just another kid on the block, another bird in the flock. But today, this comfortable modesty may be headed to a very uncomfortable extreme.

Unlike other revolutions, the one begun by Copernicus didn't feature peasants with pitchforks. Instead of taking on the aristocracy, it took on Aristotle -- who had flogged the appealing idea that all of creation pivoted around the Earth, a view that Copernicus challenged. Because Aristotle had been dead for two thousand years, he didn't fight back.

The new paradigm was that the planets orbited the Sun, rather than the Earth -- a seismic shift in cosmological thought that removed us from the center of the cosmos forever. Hubris was out, although not very far out. Copernicus shifted the nexus of the universe to the Sun which, as every school kid knows, is merely 93 million miles from the location favored by Aristotle.

By the middle of the nineteenth century, the cosmos' ground zero was moved again, to the realm of the stars. Then came the biggest step of all: astronomers Vesto Slipher, Milton Humason, and Edwin Hubble discovered that our galaxy - long regarded as the be-all and end-all of existence -- was just one of many.

How many? Well, there are at least 100 billion galaxies within the reach of our best telescopes. Our solar system -- once thought to loom so large -- is just a small bit of amusing clockwork in a stunningly vast panoply of stars, gas, and dark matter. We're not special.

Somewhat ironically, this cosmic ordinariness motivates a lot of interesting research. Two decades ago, you could argue with your roommates whether planets were commonplace or rare. But the Copernican Revolution whispered they must be commonplace, so astronomers hunted them down. The same rationale -- that we're typical -- gives impetus to the searches for habitable planets, alien biology, and intelligent extraterrestrials. They all appeal to the lesson learned nearly five hundred years ago: We're not special.

Of course, you might find being ordinary less than inspirational. People that do often take refuge in culture. After all, that's surely something we have over the Klingons, the Na'vi, or whoever you think is out there: our art, history, literature, and everything else taught by the local humanities department. I don't think any aliens would come to Earth to take our water -- they've got that in abundance wherever they are. But they don't have our rap music.

Except now there's reason to think they might. And the reason lies in the grand structure of the cosmos. In particular, its volume.

Astronomers still can't decide what the shape of our universe is. Is it closed and finite, which is to say, is there a countable tally of all the galaxies that exist, even beyond the ones we can see? Or is it infinite?

The latter possibility is still on the table. And if it's true -- if the content of our cosmos is actually uncountable -- then anything that can happen since the Big Bang has not only happened, it's happened an infinite number of times.

That's a much stronger statement than merely arguing that, because intelligent life evolved here on Earth, there's a good chance it also evolved elsewhere. In an infinite cosmos, intelligent life is guaranteed. More than that, duplicates of humans are guaranteed too, as is every variant of our culture. Someone not only has a precise copy of our rap, but every possible variation of every rap song is out there too --- somewhere. Yes, it's incredibly distant, and forever beyond our reach. But it's as real as we are.

Indeed, if the cosmos isn't finite, then far, far away floating duplicates of your brain -- with all its experiences, thoughts, and emotions -- are occasionally (and temporarily) thrown together by the random combining of atoms. Such "Boltzmann brains", as they're called, are a disturbing consequence of an unlimited universe.

If these notions aren't enough to take the starch out of your day, consider this: the mechanism of the Big Bang seems to imply that "bangs" occur all the time. The limitless content of our universe might be only one instance of a large (and possibly infinite) number of other universes.

So the next time you check your moves in the mirror and reflect on how special you are, consider that somewhere in this universe or in another parallel universe, your double might be doing the same. This would be the ultimate Copernican Revolution. Not only are we not special, we could be infinitely ordinary.

 
There's a well-known historical event that astronomers routinely cite whenever they wish to prove their modesty: it's called the Copernican Revolution. It taught us to always assume that our circumst...
There's a well-known historical event that astronomers routinely cite whenever they wish to prove their modesty: it's called the Copernican Revolution. It taught us to always assume that our circumst...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
QuietProfessional
Recovering Jedi
10:10 AM on 01/31/2012
Actually, we are each all of our variations as once. The average of our averages.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
QuietProfessional
Recovering Jedi
10:07 AM on 01/31/2012
Their can't be an infinite variety of universes. If there were, one universe would inevitably be unstoppably expanding. And another universe would inevitably be completely impenetrable. They would have to encounter one another at some point. Or maybe that's just waiting to happen...
12:19 AM on 01/25/2012
The only thing that really matters is: Is there anyone in the Universe who can prove there is a GOD, or, is there anyone in the Universe who can prove there is no GOD! . . . THAT IS THE QUESTION. . . Is there or is there not? Because, ULTIMATELY NOTHING MATTERS IF THERE IS NO GOD! . . .
I beckon to all you intellectuals, please . . . . tell the world.
10:33 AM on 01/16/2012
Our big bang is just a hand clap to another part of the universe. There are millions of big bangs like auto accidents. My theory (and I'm usually right) is THE BIG QUIET, I'm not the first to suggest this.
Humans need to hear, see, touch that's why the big bang is popular. The big quiet always was and always will be. It's like that painting of a room and on the wall is that same painting of the room and on and on...
09:48 PM on 01/15/2012
Maybe we are the "Boltzmann brains" and out there are the real McCoys.
05:25 AM on 01/08/2012
It was ptolmey who designed the earth-centric view of the solar system, not Aristotle.

Aristotle was reincarnated as a Lego spaceman in 1987, and battles his arch-nemesis SpacePirate, as seen on the YouTube channel http://YouTube.com/LSAristotle
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
PlayTOE
Morals evolved due to cooperative group living
05:41 PM on 01/06/2012
It is far more easy to understand our ordinariness if we are simply a random assemblage, with no duplicate anything. Other life forms or even other universes could be similar, none would be duplicates.
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darquelourd
You Get What You Play For
02:34 PM on 01/06/2012
why would there exist a double of a specific person? similarity is way more possible than a exact duplicate.

just sayin' Mr. Science
02:30 PM on 01/06/2012
I find it arrogant to think that, given the premise that intelligent life exists elsewhere (and I agree that it does) that this intelligent life is EXACTLY like we humans. What? That would assume that the evolutionary forces that shaped our planet happened exactly the same somewhere else. I find that hard to believe.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Gas-Bag
If it was easy they'd call it shopping...
12:34 AM on 01/08/2012
Yes difficult to believe that life elsewhere would/could be exactly as us, but it likely is made from the same ingredients giving it similarity. Cover me with eggs and flour and bake me for fourteen minutes, as the saying goes :-)
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gutenmorgen
a.k.a. crowsnest
01:30 PM on 01/06/2012
Copernicus and Galileo remind me of the possibility that the "Big Bang Theory" may be partly or totally wrong. Do you agree Seth?
12:36 AM on 01/08/2012
May be wrong but still a damn funny show.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Demitasse
Ars longa, vita brevis
12:45 PM on 01/06/2012
Interesting. An over abundance of "Boltzmann brains" would occur in our observable, infinite universe, but what happens when you take into account eternal inflation & the creation of new bubbles? According to Dr. Linde it opens up the possibility of reincarnation - not here but in some other universe.

"In eternal inflation, the number of new bubbles being hatched at any given moment is always growing, Dr. Linde said, explaining one such counting scheme he likes. So the evolution of people in new bubbles far outstrips the creation of Boltzmann brains in old ones. The main way life emerges, he said, is not by reincarnation but by the creation of new parts of the universe. “So maybe we don’t need to care too much” about the Boltzmann brains,” he said.

“If you are reincarnated, why do you care about where you are reincarnated?” he asked. “It sounds crazy because here we are touching issues we are not supposed to be touching in ordinary science. Can we be reincarnated?”http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/15/science/15brain.html?pagewanted=all
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Anybodyseenthepopos
אני כלום בלעדיהם
12:32 PM on 01/06/2012
And just as soon as they do find intelligent life on Earth I'm planning a party. And trust me, nobody out there has my remixes!

PS. Great article.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Nosybear
Liar, damn liar, statistician and brewer
10:52 AM on 01/06/2012
Interesting and refreshing: Religion is the last bastion of the "special" status believers, the very bastion that fought Copernicus and Galileo so hard over surrendering the first bits of "special" status. Even now, there are groups out there that, in the face of so much evidence that we're not only not special but relatively insignificant, believe God created it all and gives Tim Tebow touchdowns. In short, we can't give up our "center of the universe" thinking even though there's a vast body of proof we are not. We invoke a mystical, undetectable being with magical powers to keep ourselves in a somehow "special" position, an hypothesis that can't be disproved and therefore lies outside of science. So it seems we have found science's boundary and that boundary lies in the human psyche.
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gutenmorgen
a.k.a. crowsnest
01:39 PM on 01/06/2012
The stunning truth for most is that we and all species are merely the defenseless vehicles for the continued existence of genes which control everything we think and do. For any "counterpart" of me and every other species that exists or has occurred on Earth in the past to exist anywhere it is not enough that there exists a planet similar to ours. The geologic history and the biologic evolution on that planet must not have been just "similar" to ours, they must have been exactly identical to ours and that is why SETI is a scam in my opinion.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
bushitbrain
10:02 AM on 01/06/2012
MindBlowing, but in all probability true. Seth refrains in the last paragraphs from extending this conclusion to its logical end: God is Not required to jump-start the universe.
Stephen Hawking caught much flak from speaking his mind about this inevitable consequence of modern cosmology, from the `Keepers of the Sacred Cows' (priests). With 95% of Americans believing in god, this was no surprise. In the 60s, one often heard "God is Dead"; Nowadays, just `unemployed'. If `god' is irrelevant to the creation of the universe, it follows likewise for its constituents, from elementary particles, to atoms, cells, & flesh.
Rather than cling to mythologies totally out of touch w/modern science, religionists might ask: "What is The Role of these Other Universes, where/when our duplicates exist ?" Might They play a role in our afterlife ? This is the ultimate meeting ground for science & religion. For millennia, religion has kept the afterlife-flame alive: Heaven or Hell. But Where are these mythical places located ? Religion has no answer, just that their self-proscribed morality decides in which locale we spend eternity, based upon god's `verdict'. But if is there is no god, only `purgatory' follows.
Clearly, the absurdity of the entire theist concept disintegrates into a laughably silly morality play, foisted upon mankind by religion for its own end, namely controlling politicians, who in turn, control people. One day, we will break this sick cycle, & religion's role in society will fade into obscurity, & ignorance will be replaced by rationality.
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gutenmorgen
a.k.a. crowsnest
01:59 PM on 01/06/2012
If the mass-extinctions of species at the end of the Permian and Cretaceous geologic periods had not happened there would be no radio telescopes today, Mr. Shestak would not exist and neither would SETI. The history of geology, climate, and many other factors are so inextricably interwoven with the evolution of species that it is absolutely clear to me that I am here only by the dint of numerous coincidences. The probability that exactly identical coincidences have happened elsewhere in the universe is zero. And with regards to some God having brought all of this about I ask: "what crime against You have the dinosaurs committed that You first created and then destroyed them"? Exeunt God.
09:58 AM on 01/06/2012
"In an infinite cosmos, intelligent life is guaranteed."
That sounds just like the fable of monkeys on typewriters producing a Shakespeare play. The logic utterly eludes me, and I challenge

I also think the "humble" view of humanity is a fad and a sham adopted by science as a PR ploy, popularized by Carl Sagan.

What we can "see" is that the universe creates ever increasing complexity. As far as we know, human beings are the most complex creatures in existence. Even if we are not alone, that makes human beings pretty special... we are the leading edge of creation.

Why would a scientist, who clearly ought to be familiar with statistical analysis and probability, make such an inane statement? I'm guessing it is because to simply state the facts as we observe them might make it look like the universe is "purposeful", and we certainly can't have that. Why, that's just what all those religious nuts have done. And they have implied that our lives have meaning and are important. We must combat this notion, so we will say... "you're nothin special pal" and "In an infinite cosmos, intelligent life is guaranteed"... there is no reason and there is no meaning.

It would be more accurate to say... "since we see that the universe tends toward greater and greater complexity, and since intelligence is an increase in complexity, it seems likely intelligent life would eventually be created."