More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
Shari Robertson & Michael Camerini

GET UPDATES FROM Shari Robertson & Michael Camerini
 

What Happens Next In Immigration Reform?

Posted: 03/23/10 02:23 PM ET

Standing with 200,000 people on the National Mall in Washington, D.C. on Sunday, we remembered a friend promising that a giant immigration rally would happen--but that was 9 years ago, back when we began shooting HOW DEMOCRACY WORKS NOW. The films that are coming out now, starting with HBO2's broadcast of The Senators' Bargain Wednesday night at 8 PM, represent the journey we have all taken on the road to immigration reform.

Back in the summer of 2001, George Bush was new in office and it felt like things were just getting started. Suddenly, hush-hush plans for a big, comprehensive immigration accord with Mexico, a possible model for a complete overhaul of US immigration policy, broke onto the front page of the Sunday New York Times.

Negotiations had been underway quietly for months but the news hit Washington like a shock wave -- already there was plenty of disagreement about how to address the growing problem of immigration. Congress got interested fast. And seeing real support from President Bush as well as from Senators Ted Kennedy and Sam Brownback, our contacts in DC predicted that the country would have a new immigration law before we finished our film.

2010-03-23-BIOSTedKennedyRa38AFD4.jpg


And then -- not so fast, on either score. The country is still waiting for that new immigration reform. The issue sure hasn't gone away. If anything, it's become central to the national conversation.

Along the way, our journey with "the law that nearly was" became an education in the workings of the American political system, right from a ringside seat on the legislative process. The advantage of sticking with it for so long was that the big patterns, the non-news cycles you never see or hear much about, became visible in the story arc.

We didn't really know what to call what we were doing, never came up with a decent title. So when we had to explain it to friends and people we'd meet, we lapsed into using our Capitol Hill working title, How Democracy Works Now. It almost became a game, counting how many times the response would be, "Hmmmm, how democracy works now ... or doesn't!"

But if we expect our democracy to be a system that reflects back the government we desire, the evidence we were filming was that all this cynicism might be misdirected. Following the story on the ground, it seemed the system was indeed responding to input. We found ourselves "documenting" the fact that the opposition to most aspects of comprehensive immigration reform, both the well-organized campaign and the spontaneous grassroots movement, was making itself heard -- and feared at the ballot box -- quite effectively.

The louder that opposition grew, the more difficult it became for Senator Kennedy and others committed to immigration reform to find enough votes to get anything passed. He and a succession of co-sponsors wrote and re-wrote the bill a dozen ways. It got better, more comprehensive, more able to turn rivals into allies with compromise. Sponsorships formed and dissolved, again and again. These guys were trying.

But the missing element, as they introduced bill after bill, was support for the effort -- or at least a strong demonstration that people wanted the problem solved. When validation grew loud enough, with the massive marches across the country in 2006 protesting the Sensenbrenner bill, alliances too grew strong enough to prevail. As Senator Kennedy said, "Why, every politician in the country sat up and took notice." And that was the year that the Senate passed a comprehensive immigration bill.

Still, the 2006 bill's compromises didn't deliver enough for many groups who'd been fighting for immigration reform for years. Many progressives opposed it, at the same time it was a fantastic organizing tool for the conservative opposition as well. When Congress made another run at it in 2007, criticism was fierce from both left and right. Senators Kennedy and Kyl managed to make a deal, but support out in the world and on the floor of the Senate proved impossible to find. On the day that bill failed -- June 28th, 2007 -- an awful lot of people who'd been fighting for immigration reform with all their hearts felt like it was the end.

We stopped shooting right then and got to work on the edit. But honestly, even though we were as numb as the people we'd been filming for so long, we knew it couldn't be the end. The broken immigration system was still there, getting worse. People were still just as worked up about it. The system had worked perfectly, responding to protest and preventing the bill on the table from being passed into law. What had been missing was the understanding that compromise that could lead to real reform.

So the immigration problem remained to be solved. And it was not at all clear, that summer day that we put the equipment down at last, whether that particular failure meant just the end of another cycle, or the beginning of a dark turn in the history of the nation.

Three years later the problem, and the issue, haven't gone away. A new Congress may take up immigration again this year. People who know about the series are asking us, "What happens this time?"

We don't know, and no one else does either.

But we did learn a few lessons from the battles we filmed: there are a staggering number of factors that go into the success or failure of a bill; a sudden change in even one of them can start a chain reaction that moves the momentum from failure to success or back; politicians really do listen to the press and their voters, and calculate accordingly.

And what we learned, maybe most deeply of all, is that this amazing, vastly complex process keeps on going. For better of for worse, no vote -- and no victory or loss -- is necessarily permanent. That's why, at the end of the big story arc, the last line of the director's cut of the last film goes: "What happens next ... will tell us what it meant."

 

Follow Shari Robertson & Michael Camerini on Twitter: www.twitter.com/hdwn

 
 
  • Comments
  • 15
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Recency  | 
Popularity
11:56 AM on 03/26/2010
I would like to see the MILLIONS and MILLIONS of AMERICANS WHO HAVE NO JOBS MARACHING FOR JOBS, THE DEMS WANT TO DESTROY THE WORKING CLASS IN AMERICA..

blacks's and Espanic white Americans can't find Jobs but we have Jobs for Millions of Ilegals?
something is wrong with this picture, Obama spent trillions of dollars on job bills..

and yet at the same time he wants Illegals to take jobs from Americans.
and please I heard enough lies they do jobs american won't do..

DAMN BIG LIE..

American will work and do any kind of job, they just want fear pay for a days work
to support their familes, and im tired of elites supporting Illegals
at the expensive of the middle class and poor Americans..
01:56 PM on 03/25/2010
March all you want. There will be no amnesty. Changes to other problems with the system, sure, but no Amnesty.
11:22 PM on 03/24/2010
As a child of immigrants, I would agree something needs to be done about this issue. However, when I see people behaving like uneducated, ignorant, bigots, I am turned off and don't care to hear the other side. It is counterproductive to go on camera and shout "Go home illegal aliens." It baffles me that the anti-immigration groups don't realize that. That only fuels the fire, and further divides the two sides.
12:49 PM on 03/24/2010
The first thing that needs to happen in order to get immigration reform is to do away with "birthright citizenship. Until that happens, nothing will work.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Contact1972
Honey Badger Don't Care
11:18 AM on 03/24/2010
When it comes to real comprehensive immigration reform, like the healthcare debate, the people that scream the loudest(FAIR, NUMBERS USA....both classified as anti immigrant hate groups btw) tend to be the minority that dont want reform. Poll after poll says Americans WANT immigration reform because it's not just about the undocumented but also the documented. The entire system needs to be revamped, modernized and streamlined.

The status quo cannot remain. There are too many holes in the system. Immigration reform would at the very least weed out the violent criminals. There also needs to be a mechanism for GLBT Americans so they can sponsor their foreign born spouse as straight Americans have been doing for years.

This problem isnt going to go away. It needs to be fixed, and fixed fairly. I hear the minority scarem about deportation. You honestly think either party is going to commit to deporting millions of people, many of whom live in blended families? Not going to happen. We have the opportunity to create a fair and balanced system, one that doesnt make Americans choose between the love they have for their partner and their country, a system that will encourage highly skilled immigrants to move here without having to wait for 10-15 years, a system where we finally secure both our borders, and a system that does not separate families.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
EndRacismNow
Vielfalt Uber Alles
01:45 PM on 03/24/2010
Very few people are calling for deportation (except criminal illegals). That's the big lie spread by the open borders crowd. Cut off the jobs and people will go home on their own.

'FAIR, NUMBERS USA....both classified as anti immigrant hate groups btw'

Classified by the race hustling discredited ADL and SPLC. They are running out of actual supremacist groups so they have to label anti-illegal immigrant groups as 'hate' groups. You don't have to do much to be labeled a hate group these days. Just disagree with the ADL and SPLC. Here's a great video made by an Israeli.

http://wideeyecinema.com/?p=7208
11:02 AM on 03/24/2010
Per the article "When validation grew loud enough, with the massive marches across the country in 2006 protesting the Sensenbrenner bill, alliances too grew strong enough to prevail."

What these authors fail to realize is that with 11 to 12 million Illegal Immigrants living secretly in the USA, it is possible to have 11 to 12 million people marching for immigration reform and demanding a path to legal residency. And most Americans know that such a march has no real legitimacy because none of the Marchers are Citizens and thus none are entitled to vote. Just because there are a few Citizens sprinkled in does not increase the legitimacy of any of these protest marches. And those who think otherwise are simply deluding themselves. Any movement that is based on law breaking behavior is built on a foundation of sinking sand. Imagine if you would a march by thieves demanding an end to laws that punish thievery and demanding the release of all people jailed for stealing.
10:53 AM on 03/24/2010
200,000? In your dreams. Where was ICE? That these people can come to our country illegaly and steal our identities and destroy people's credit at the very least and then congregate in our nation's capitol and DEMAND citizenship is beyond audacious. Any democrats that vote for reform will not get re-elected. That is the only thing that repugs get right.
07:51 AM on 03/24/2010
"We found ourselves "documenting" the fact that the opposition to most aspects of comprehensive immigration reform, both the well-organized campaign and the spontaneous grassroots movement, was making itself heard -- and feared at the ballot box -- quite effectively. "

I guess you don't get it American CITIZENS are against AMNESTY! We need to eforce the laws we have. HEAVILY fine those who hire ILLEGALS and the jobs for them would dry up and they would self-deport. This would free up jobs and BILLIONS of tax dollars that we are now spending on ILLEGAL ALIENS. We need to use this money on our own CITIZENS and LEGAL immigrants.
10:29 PM on 03/23/2010
"The broken immigration system was still there, getting worse. People were still just as worked up about it."

If you spend most of your time with those who want immigration laws relaxed, as the authors have, it's easy to lose perspective. Americans overwhelmingly do not want illegal immigration rewarded with a "path to citizenship". Those who do may make a lot of noise, but they aren't citizens and they can't vote.
11:25 PM on 03/24/2010
Really? I'm a citizen who would vote against an inhumane immigration policy.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
EndRacismNow
Vielfalt Uber Alles
08:05 PM on 03/23/2010
Dems beware. Americans are overwhelmingly against amnesty. It took a year to pass a shady health care bill and now you want to give amnesty to 12+ million illegal immigrants? Am I the only one still worried about the financial crisis? Why has there been zero reform after giving Wall Street and bankers billions if not trillions? Health care and amnesty are more important than taking back the economy from ruthless bankster? Democrats are going to hand the 2010 elections on a silver platter to the GOP if they think they can force amnesty on the American people when there is 17% unemployment and underemployment during the worst recession since the great depression. Neoconservatives may try to help pass amnesty like Graham and McCain but they will be booted out by their base in their next elections.
06:31 PM on 03/23/2010
Actually we have no issue. The laws are still upon the books and they only have to be enforced.
Congress is the problem, US companies want cheap labor to drive down US wages and Congress wants to support them....and they have by not enforcing the law.
Congress is scared to enact legislation that is misnamed immigration reform because they know that there will be hell to pay by the masses....and to enforce existing laws offends their corporate masters.
The outcome, more years of Illegals coming into the country mooching on our gifts, sending the South West back into the arms of Mexico. One more nail into the coffin of America...maybe the final one.
04:02 PM on 03/23/2010
No, the system has NOT worked perfectly. The system is about more than PASSING bills. It's about carrying out their provisions. The ENFORCEMENT provisions of the 1986 amnesty bill have STILL not been enforced, which is why we now have 20 million illegal aliens, instead of the 2.7 milliion who received amnesty in 1986. Americans want ENFORCEMENT of the law, not more bills, and that can be done without new legislation or new programs. And THAT is democracy at work. The calls of Americans who oppose amnesty are the reason the 2007 bill failed and why any new bill that provides amnesty will fail. We're fed up with being lied to and seeing only the part of the "system" that benefits special interests actually carried out.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Corvid
05:00 PM on 03/23/2010
Can't argue with this. Enforcement of the 1986 law has to come first.

Incidentally, the Dems know how volatile this issue is. Confused by conflicting polls of Americans on "comprehensive immigration reform," James Carville and Stan Greenberg did a poll among Democrats 2 years ago (BEFORE the recession/depression) that found an even 47-47 percent split, while Republicans were heavily against. And I believe it was an earlier, more in-depth poll by these same two guys that found that while something like 2/3 of Americans favored a "path to citizenship" for illegal immigrants already here, 2/3 of THAT group said that the only path they favored was one that would require the illegals to return to their country of origin and get in line behind all their fellow citizens who had been trying to get U.S. visas all along.

So you add that 2/3 of 2/3 to the 1/3 of Americans who want no legalization, and you've got about 80 percent opposition to what the White House (both Bush and Obama) and Congress keep trying to ram down our throats. And, again, it's important to note that these polls were taken before the economic meltdown.

But we may well get legalization regardless of what Americans want. After all, about 2/3 of Americans wanted at least a strong public option available to everyone in the health care bill, and no mandate. And look at what we got.