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Shashi Tharoor

Shashi Tharoor

Posted: November 11, 2008 02:44 PM

Have No Fear, Things Won't be so Bad


Sometimes mere words are not enough to capture the feelings associated with a particular moment. The election of a black American president on Tuesday has defied the skills of the most gifted wordsmiths. Historic, epochal, the dawn of a new era -- each syllable has tripped over its own inadequacy to do justice to this momentous event. I met prominent white Americans who had grown up in the racially-segregated South, and they had tears in their eyes, because they were witnessing a moment they had never believed would come to pass in their lifetimes.

When the American television networks called Barack Obama the winner at 11 pm, I was struggling to cross Times Square in New York to get to a TV studio, and I found myself consumed by the excitement and emotion of the throngs around me. My own reaction, after 32 years of watching American presidential elections up close, was of wonder, mixed with a palpable sense of relief. Because like many who wished for this outcome, I had still feared that too many white Americans, in the privacy of the voting booth, would be unable to bring themselves to put a black family in the White House. By voting their hopes and not their prejudices, Americans outdid themselves and earned the admiration of the world. This was, quite simply, the soul of a great nation being reborn.

The election of Barack Obama will, I have no doubt, have a transformative effect on the rest of the planet. I have written earlier in this space about how it will dispel the negative stereotypes about America, while reinforcing the great American myth of a country where, quite literally, anyone can become anything. Obama's election will make it impossible for America's critics to caricature the country he leads, and provide an invaluable public relations boost to America's "soft power."

But what about India? On the one hand, Indians, as people of colour ourselves, largely share in the enthusiasm for Obama. There are other details that are breathlessly passed around -- the miniature Hanuman locket he carries with him, the portrait of Mahatma Gandhi from which he derives daily inspiration in his office, his fondness for daal (which he has said he can cook pretty well himself, though he is unlikely to be given the chance in the next four years). My mother read his autobiography and excitedly noted the references to samosas and chapattis. Given that the president-elect's own late mother had worked for the Ford Foundation in New Delhi, and that his friends and classmates include several desis, it's clear that Obama is more sensitive to, and knowledgeable about, India than any previous American president.

On the other hand, there are those who argue that Obama, as an idealistic Democrat, would not be "good for India" in the way that his Republican predecessor has been. They point to three areas. First, the entrenched Democratic support for nuclear non-proliferation, and a corresponding disinclination to support exceptions for India. Second, the risk of increasing protectionism: many worriedly cite Obama's comments that he would reward American companies that keep jobs in the US, a potential threat to India's outsourcing businesses. And finally, some see in his references to Kashmir -- he has cited the need to resolve Pakistan's differences with India on Kashmir so that Islamabad can focus on the threats of its homegrown militants -- the potential for unwelcome meddling in our neighbourhood. Let's look at each of these.

On the nuclear front, Obama voted for the Indo-US deal, as did McCain. The only additional issue that might arise on his watch could be a new American thrust to sign the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT), which the Bush administration and Republicans in Congress had been unwilling to do. If the US signs, pressure will undoubtedly fall upon India to do the same, especially since the Treaty cannot come into force without India's (and Pakistan's) signatures. But what's wrong with signing the CTBT? Former prime minister Vajpayee had already promised to do so years ago. And CTBT or no CTBT, any responsible Indian policy-maker knows perfectly well that a de facto test ban is in force, because any nuclear test we conduct will instantly attract the kind of sanctions that nearly crippled our nuclear programmes in the wake of the Pokharan blast. Signing the CTBT will change literally nothing in reality for us; in any case, if the US signs it, it would be unthinkable for India, the land of Mahatma Gandhi, to be the lone holdout on a vital step to make the world safer from nuclear war.

The threat to outsourcing is also exaggerated. Obama will certainly keep his promise to provide tax incentives to American companies that keep their employees in the US. But at a time of economic downturn, few companies are going to be able to afford to overlook the benefits of getting business processes conducted abroad -- benefits likely to be far greater than the tax dollars gained by not doing so. Instead of over-reacting to a campaign promise, we should wait and see how it is implemented. It is unlikely the actual numbers will provide any cause for alarm.

On Kashmir, some worry that Obama's comments suggest he would be more intrusive on Pakistan's behalf, thereby emboldening those in Islamabad who think they can enlist Washington's support for their view of the conflict. While the issue demands more space than this column has left, this is an over-interpretation of his remarks. My reading of Obama's position -- buttressed by extensive contacts with many of his close advisers -- is that he sees all too clearly how Pakistan's creation and encouragement of fundamentalist terror in the name of Kashmir has turned into a severe threat to Pakistan itself. As an American leader, his principal concern in our region is ending the al-Qaida-Taliban menace on Pakistan's Afghanistan border, and he sees peace with India as a vital means to this end. Surely this is an opportunity for creative Indian diplomacy to seize? More on this in a future column.

(Originally published in the Times of India on November 9, 2008)

Sometimes mere words are not enough to capture the feelings associated with a particular moment. The election of a black American president on Tuesday has defied the skills of the most gifted wordsmit...
Sometimes mere words are not enough to capture the feelings associated with a particular moment. The election of a black American president on Tuesday has defied the skills of the most gifted wordsmit...
 
 
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Freedom From Nuclear Fascism...
09:42 AM on 11/12/2008
Obama will increase dialogue with India and in doing so BOTH India and the US will benefit!!

The US and India BOTH need to become better trading partners and BOTH need to improve their citizens "lot in life"!

If the US can CHANGE, perhaps India can CHANGE also; (each one helping the other) that is how real CHANGE will become GLOBAL CHANGE...
08:06 AM on 11/12/2008
I don't think India has a lot of room to criticize the US on -- what's with their insistence on clinging to that knuckle-dragging caste system?

And, as for Obama being an "anti-free trader" (whatever the hell that's supposed to be) -- what's wrong with insisting on protecting workers' rights and health issues? A little greed is OK, but when it's allowed to run amok, it only causes problems (like now, for example).
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02:11 AM on 11/12/2008
You think the American Unions will let Obama be flexible with India steel, India cars, India IT, etc.
On the other hand, was India better off when it was linked to Russia or when it started to open its markets to the world?
What about India's carbon footprint? Would India agree to lock in their 1990 levels of emissions or stop all the open burning of trash in the streets?
Better take a hard look at the development of India-USA economic ties during Bushes time first and then consider the consequences of an USA move to protectionism? Would you like India to go back to pre-2000 levels of trade or economic development?
10:19 PM on 11/11/2008
I think the prevailing sentiment is right....and I sense in Obama's moves a tilt towards the Pakistanis. Typical Democrat. Unwilling to realize that Pakistan is a failed state. And the new Pakistani Ambassador wants an additional $10 billion, which they will promptly use to arm themselves against the Indians and fund more terrorism. Sad.
11:58 PM on 11/22/2008
It's very likely, though, that Obama will take a tougher line on military aid with Pakistan - he almost surely will make U.S. aid conditional upon Pakistan's effectiveness in combatin the Taliban and al Qaeda. If the new PPP government makes the mistake of engaging with the Taliban, they're definitely not going to get any U.S. money.
Obama has also stated that would support “comprehensive immigration reform,” including the H-1B visa programme, which is great for talented Indians who find opportunities in America. He has set the goal of making “immigrant workers less dependent on their employers for their right to stay in the country, and would hold accountable employers who abuse the system and their workers.”
10:18 PM on 11/11/2008
You may talk about the all the ins and outs of the various geopolitical implications and whether President-elect Obama's opinions on Kashmir will favor India or Pakistan, but through all this heartless chatter there is a stark and reeling ever-present truth that stands out in the reality of daylight:

THE PEOPLE OF KASHMIR HAVE BEEN IN SHACKLES FOR 60 YEARS AND ARE CRYING OUT TO THE WORLD TO HELP THEM TO BE FREE, BECAUSE THEY ARE NOT FREE

The utter lack of acknowledgement by the United Nations currently for the right of self-determination for the people of Kashmir fulfilling past security council resolutions is a glaring example of the cruel double standards of the international community.
East Timor, Kosovo, Bangladesh and others have been created due to the help and understanding of the world community. Why then is there no justice or sympathy for the people of Kashmir?
08:07 PM on 11/11/2008
You all eat too much, wear too much, drive too much and talk too much.
07:53 PM on 11/11/2008
Excellent analysis -- especially from the perspective of India. The conflict between India and Pakistan over Kashmir, and the USA support of Afghan rebels against Soviet Union, are the roots of terrorism which has now engulfed many parts of the world. I think Obama's familiarity with Indian and Pakistani culture is going to be a big plus in his Presidency. He is widely popular in India and Pakistan, and already has the stature to 'meddle' in the Kashmir conflict without coming across as a 'bully' with vested interests. Let us hope for the best!
06:29 PM on 11/11/2008
In general, Obama is an anti-free trader. That's bad for America, India, and the world economy.
12:22 PM on 11/12/2008
Yeah, well we may be poorer, but at least we'll have the audacity of hope to fall back on.