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Shawn Lawrence Otto

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Meet America's Anti-Science Assailants

Posted: 09/02/11 01:43 AM ET

Virtually all the climate data we've gathered over fifty years points to the same conclusion: humans are warming the planet by burning fossil fuels. But the data have no credibility with global warming deniers, who view science and knowledge as opinions that can be argued into submission. There is a vast Army of Armchair Antiscientists - a shadow AAAS - intent on doing just that across a wide range of science findings they disagree with. They are militant, impassioned, cunning and deceitful, and they seek to quash any messaging that does not agree with their narrative.

My book, Fool Me Twice: Fighting the Assault on Science in America, due out from Rodale Press on October 11, is being attacked by such activists before it has even been published, and so serves as a good example. In this case, they are enrolled in customer review programs at online retailers like Amazon Vine - where frequent customer reviewers are given pre-publication books, and their reviews receive exclusive early posting. These activist reviewers are self-described "climate skeptics" - code for global warming deniers - and they are using their reviews as a platform to spread climate misinformation and promote their political agenda.

To see what I mean, consider the book's reception by other reviewers first. Fool Me Twice received the best possible review from Kirkus, - "the world's toughest reviewers since 1933" - a star for "remarkable merit." They call it "a gripping analysis of America's anti-science crisis." Harvard's Steven Pinker says "This book illuminates the alarming hostility to science in contemporary America." Bill Nye the Science Guy says "Otto makes a case that can't be refuted...He backs it up with peer-reviewed studies, with carefully researched numbers, and with his own extensive experience," and Bill McKibben says "We're seeing right now a titanic battle between the power of science and the power of money - and money is winning. This book explains why."

In contrast, the activist reviewers gave the book a single star, the worst possible review, and characterize it as "rambling," "cobbled together," "biased," and "anti-Republican, anti-religious, anti-anyone-who-disagrees-with-Mr.-Otto." The reviews are full of politically motivated misinformation. For example, one reviewer writes that "climatologists are puzzled as to why average global temperatures have stopped rising over the last 10 years" - which a) has nothing to do with reviewing the book, and b) is totally false. The review goes on to promote the names of "eminent" scientists paid to deny global warming - many of whom have been identified in the book Merchants of Doubt. By contrast, this reviewer gave five stars to Brian Sussman's Climategate: A Veteran Meteorologist Exposes the Global Warming Scam.

This activism is further illustrated by, as of this writing, the 10 out of 14 people who rated one of the reviews on Amazon as "helpful," even though the book has not yet been publicized or published. Such responses are clearly being solicited by the reviewer herself.

Deceit is a common theme in antiscience assaults, and so it is here. In their write-ups, the reviewers attribute the statements of others to me as author, quote parts of sentences in ways that change their meanings and make the book appear partisan, and otherwise cherry-pick bits and pieces of information to give a dishonest portrayal that supports their political agenda.

Similar tactics were used against climate scientists Phil Jones, Michael Mann, and others in the "climategate" email scandal, which turned out to be nonsense, or the CERN CLOUD study, as deniers present a concocted conspiracy story about how the paper disproves anthropogenic global warming... or in the revisionist edits to the Paul Revere entry in Wikipedia to make it comport with Sarah Palin's mistaken historical account of his ride. If reality does not agree with the narrative, it seems, these people seek to change reality - which is, of course, the antithesis of science. It is antiscience.

In attempting to paint the book as partisan the activists don't mention that it includes interviews with senior republicans like Doug Holtz-Eakin, chair of President George W. Bush's council of economic advisors. In calling it anti-religious, they neglect to report that it devotes a chapter to an interview with the Rev. Peg Chemberlin, president of the National Council of Churches. In calling it biased, they never say that it takes on antiscience on the political left as well as the political right, because that doesn't fit the reviewers' narrative.

All of this is, of course, to be expected when one writes a political book - especially one defending science from its attackers. In fact, the attacks prove the book's point: science is under assault in America. But they are also a reminder to anyone who doubts just how impassioned, organized, articulate, granular, and cunningly deceitful that assault really is.

Pre-order Shawn Lawrence Otto's Fool Me Twice: Fighting the Assault on Science in America, "a gripping analysis of America's anti-science crisis." --Starred Kirkus Review. Like him on Facebook.

 
 
 

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05:04 PM on 09/06/2011
Well, I am not going to take side on global warming. But you start off your article by immediately discrediting anyone who does not agree with global warming, by calling them "deniers" - which in itself is a loaded term.

As far as that goes then - you loose all credibility in the rest of your article. Because you have shown an inherent bias in your own language.

Most of the readers are simply not sharp enough to see this, or are brainwashed into your way of thinking already.

The essence of science is discussion and research. Everyone should be able to bring ideas to the party irregardless of how crazy or unsubstantiated, and those idea will naturally be discredited in the process if they do not have supporting evidence. But people of both sides of any heated debate, such as global warming, lack this patience.

The truth is Al Gore is as irresponsible in the process as the hard-core right-wingers who deny any global warming. Now we have research from CERN which proposes some new ideas. I guess CERN is evil too??? Sure, go try to discredit them also, they only have produced the most important research in the last 50 years. If you really were responsible, and a true 'scientist' you wouldn't care. But would present facts and interesting information - in effort to solve the problem. Isn't this what we all want: SOLVE the problem.

Unfortunately you not unlike the majority - you are picking a side.
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Shawn Lawrence Otto
Filmmaker, Author of "Fool Me Twice" and Cofounder
10:48 AM on 09/07/2011
Sam, yes, everyone should be able to bring ideas to the table and the ones without evidence will be discredited. That has already happened. Science is not a rhetorical debate where everyone argues their various views forever. It begins with observation and measurement, continues with a hypothesis that makes a prediction, tests the hypothesis with experiments, and concludes with a report that others are invited to examine for weaknesses based on science and data. Here is what the conservative US National Academies has to say about this: "Some scientific conclusions or theories have been so thoroughly examined and tested, and supported by so many independent observations and results, that their likelihood of subsequently being found to be wrong is vanishingly small. Such conclusions and theories are then regarded as settled facts. This is the case for the conclusions that the Earth system is warming and that much of this warming is very likely due to human activities."
-Advancing the Science of Climate Change, National Academies Press, 2010, p 21
More here: http://www.americasclimatechoices.org/

As to your comments about CERN, you are misinformed. The author of that paper himself said that it says nothing whatsoever about climate change - that is simply the spin put on it by deniers who are making rhetorical arguments to confuse people. You are obviously getting your information from partisan sources that are distributing propaganda.

If you want to SOLVE the problem, as you indicate, you would be well-served to QUESTION your sources.
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ignacio sanabria
Mirror synapses at work
07:07 PM on 09/04/2011
Denying science is the easiest way to bury the head in the sand, hoping that problems otherwise solved by science will go away.
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Herbert Spencer
03:53 PM on 09/04/2011
How much money has "Saint Al" going to lose on this discovery? Potientially hundreds of millions?

And what will happen to "wealth redistribution scams" like the Kyoto Treaty?

And will CERN end up like Professor Peter Duesberg of the University of California at Berkley?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Duesberg#AIDS

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duesberg_hypothesis

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Duesberg#Academic_misconduct_investigation

"Letters of complaint to the University of California, Berkeley, including one from Nathan Geffen of the South African Treatment Action Campaign (TAC), prompted university officials to open an inquiry into possible academic misconduct related to false statements and failure to disclose potential conflicts of interest.[18][19]

The investigation was dropped in 2010, with University officials finding "insufficient evidence...to support a recommendation for disciplinary action." The investigation did not endorse Duesberg's article, and TAC's Geffen stated that "this finding does not exonerate Duesberg".

Witch hunt? CERN and Danish Space Research Institute scientists will be brought up on "charges" of "academic misconduct", too? All for challenging powerful, vested, and leftwing interests?
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lbsaltzman
Permaculture and Sustainability
04:36 PM on 09/04/2011
Rumors, misstatement of facts and taking research out of context does not disprove anthropogenic global warming. It merely displays the scientific illiteracy of those who resort to such inadequate tactics.
05:06 PM on 09/04/2011
Hmm, lots of stuff here. Let me just take one item I'm reasonably familiar with, the CERN work. VERY briefly, the CERN work is an investigation of the effect of cosmic rays (non-human-caused) on cloud formation. It's been known for a while that cosmic rays have some effect on cloud formation, but the exact mechanics are unclear. Through what I've seen described as some ingenious science, CERN researchers managed to take some measurements of this phenomenon, and published a paper about it. Then the denier hype machine took over, with outlets like the Washington Times claiming the experiments proved humans have nothing to do with global warming. Since then, many scientific types have written articles explaining the limits of the CERN experiments and how they say, literally, nothing about the humanity-global warming link. Two of the best discussions are at Discover magazine (by "Bad Astronomer") and at Real Climate. See http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2011/08/31/no-a-new-study-does-not-show-cosmic-rays-are-connected-to-global-warming/ and http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2011/08/the-cerncloud-results-are-surprisingly-interesting/#more-8614 . So, no, so far, no signs of a witch hunt attacking CERN or the integrity of its science.
08:10 PM on 09/04/2011
Other sites carried this, in particular:

http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v476/n7361/full/nature10343.html

http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2011/08/the-cerncloud-results-are-surprisingly-interesting/

I found it interesting that Kirby said, as found at:

http://press.web.cern.ch/press/PressReleases/Releases2011/PR15.11E.html

"However, we've found that the vapours previously thought to account for all aerosol formation in the lower atmosphere can only account for a small fraction of the observations - even with the enhancement of cosmic rays."

Sounds like Kirby, et al. are in search of data to 'fit' their conclusion, since the results of the experiments show that 'cosmic rays' (which they aren't) form condensation nucleus' of many orders smaller than first thought to be involved. Oh well, that's not stopping the anthropogenic warming 'deniers' from raving like the zealots and 'ignorista' that they really are
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canuckhoser
Don't mind the man behind the curtain
03:33 PM on 09/04/2011
I think this analysis of a pre-published book also illuminates the credulousness of the internet and the world we now inhabit. While even moderated to a degree when warranted, attacks against reason, reality and people have demonstrated a stronger need to push back this assault. I'm not talking about censorship against ignorance or cosmic st upidity, on display here daily, but an engagement that always applies a good faith argument. It worked on Tom Harris, Canada's own denialist c lown, in spectacular fashion here. Luckily huffpo attracts more enlightened, educated, and passionate people on the side of reality and reason...as demonstrated by the amazing insightful responses to people that have nothing but snark, innuendo and hit and run disinformation...

Simply ask, "can you back up that claim"...and the wonderful sound of crickets fill the forums...

It's not hard, the effort may be more, it takes a lot to counter a single l ie when science is concerned. But it can be done. Just look at the excellent job some of the pro-reality climate push-back posters here accomplish...

Kudos to the book. Can't wait to read it.
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Bogstomper2
Secular conservative
01:21 PM on 09/04/2011
The mods scrubbed my response to this article, even though I supported the author. Let's see if I can sneak an abridged version through.

"The reviews are full of politically motivated misinformation."

I saw a couple of those reviews myself. Chalk up another sale.

The anti-science movement has to be stopped. They're trying to take away one of the finest tools humanity has ever invented: science. Worse, they're trying to take that tool away just as we're getting into the future, when we're really going to need it.
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Julia Bailey
07:37 PM on 09/03/2011
I think we need to stop calling them deniers and just call them climate hecklers.
The data is there, they refuse to look at it.
10:51 AM on 09/03/2011
Unfortunately global warming is becoming less of a concern with the American public. A recent Gallup poll and a more recent Neilsen Report indicate that concern for global warming has dropped from 62% in 2007 to only 48% in 2011. The good news is that it doesn't matter what the public/political perception is in the long run. I am one of those that has become less concerned about global warming than I used to be as I am confident that we are on the verge of breakthrough technology that will allow us to easily deal with global warming. I know young people like to have a cause and protest and be passionate and such but the solutions are coming from calm engineers and brilliant thinkers who are the true revolutionaries and who change the boundaries of what is possible.
04:49 PM on 09/04/2011
Well, I hope you're right. Always in the back of my mind, though, is Kim Stanley Robinson's trilogy on global warming (begins with "Forty Signs of Rain"). The three uber-points that stay with me from those books are: (1) Nothing happens in Washington, DC, until the temperature there hits -50F (due to a massive shift of ocean currents); (2) In the end, we have to do geoengineering; and (3) We don't embark on it because it isn't terribly risky, but because by that point, we have nothing to lose. There is just a ton we can do today, with existing technology, to reduce the threat of climate change, starting with energy efficiency, and we are foolish if we don't.
09:30 AM on 09/03/2011
The anti-science movement has become Orwell's Ministry of Truth. It's a great example of the power of private initiative.
Genders
Love, Tolerance, Enlightenment
09:01 PM on 09/02/2011
Just point out to deniers that humans emit more than 100 times as much CO2 as all the volcanoes in the world combined.

They of course will deny it, but it's a fact.
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Katmandu01
05:40 PM on 09/02/2011
There is a long tradition of simplistic ideologues rejecting science that didn't fit in with their belief systems. Adolf Hitler rejected "Jewish Physics" in favour of "Aryan Physics" and drove Einstein and many other brilliant physicists out of European leaving the Allies with the expertise to develop the atomic bomb.
http://en.­­wikipedia­.­org/wiki­/D­eutsche­_Ph­ysik#E­ffec­t_on_­the_G­erma­n_nucl­ear­_progra­m
Joseph Stalin rejected establishe­­d agricultur­­al science in favour of the nonsense promoted by Trofim Lysenko and the result was that the Soviet Union could not feed it's own population and in fact millions starved.
http://en.­­wikipedia­.­org/wiki­/T­rofim_L­yse­nko
Mao Tse-tung ignored the establishe­­d science of metalurgy and embarked on a program of small-scal­­e production of iron and steel. The result was a disaster called the Great Leap Forward. http://en.­­wikipedia­.­org/wiki­/M­ao_Zedo­ng#­Great_­Leap­_Forw­ard
More recently, in 1995 Thabo Mbeki announced his belief that the human immunodefi­­ciency virus (HIV) is not the cause of acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS). I wouldn't put him in the same category as the first three I mentioned but here we see a similar rejection of scientific consensus in favour of an ad hoc belief system. Governor Perry and other tea party fundamentalists are on the same track but they are in illustriou­­s or maybe I should say infamous company.
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
09:26 PM on 09/02/2011
Hide the decline ring any bells?
07:58 AM on 09/03/2011
Yes, indeed it does. Here is a useful discussion of it, for those who are interested in understanding more: http://www.skepticalscience.com/Mikes-Nature-trick-hide-the-decline.htm
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05:27 PM on 09/02/2011
People who disagree on the global warming are not on the side of caution. I've been alive long enough to see a change myself. Add that to the science, the specialist and the data and you have an overwhelming consensus that we are heating up the planet.

These attacks on the facts are based on money, always has, always will.
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wesinohio
Energetic Progess
05:00 PM on 09/02/2011
Let's look at all sides of this argument and cite evidence and common sense:

* Climate is not changing: Look at the melting ice caps and rising sea levels and higher average global temperatures. It's obvious that climate is changing.

* Climate is changing but human activity has no influence on this change vs. human activity having influence on this change: The simple to understand fact that burning fossil fuels reintroduces solar energy from the past and adds it to the currently radiated solar energy reaching the earth means that we have more solar energy released in the earth's troposphere than if we did not burn fossil fuels. The simple fact that we now have 6.8 billion people who are all like furnaces burning solar energy, with a huge proportion of them living in homes with furnaces, and a huge proportion driving cars that act like furnaces, and all of them cooking on little furnaces and creating more particles in the atmosphere that allow air masses to heat up differently, makes it obvious that human activity turning all the reintroduced ancient solar energy into heat, results in more total heat in the troposphere today. Add to that the heat introduced into the atomosphere from nuclear fission and its cooling towers, and certainly there is more heat in the global climate today. Who would deny that?
04:30 PM on 09/02/2011
Raise your hands...

Who clicked on this post hoping/thinking they were going to read a blog on climate deniers...

...only to be smacked in the face with some dude hawking & hyping his book?
09:23 AM on 09/04/2011
The post was mostly about the instantaneous and irrational response to the book.
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CVales
Faith means not wanting to know what is true.
10:50 AM on 09/04/2011
Ok, this is the 'book' section. This is a 'book' about climate denial and the attack on science.
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
04:13 PM on 09/02/2011
Enough interesting material for a psychology PhD in the deniers' replies so far.
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
05:06 PM on 09/02/2011
Denier?
Is that a scientific term?

Hide the decline!!!
07:49 PM on 09/02/2011
The great thing about the climategate emails is that it's in their own words. Alarmist realy can't spin the scandle in their favor.
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Katmandu01
09:39 PM on 09/02/2011
"Hide the decline ring any bells?"
Denier talking point number 137. This is getting to sound like a broken record.
Your "decline" does not refer to a decline in global temperatur­e as you're obviously suggesting­. It actually refers to a decline in tree growth at certain high-latit­ude locations. This decline began in the 1960s when tree-ring proxies diverged from the temperatur­e record. The divergence of tree-ring proxies from temperatur­es after 1960 is openly discussed in the peer-revie­wed literature­. The divergence problem has been openly discussed in the peer-revie­wed literature since 1995 when it was noticed that Alaskan trees were showing a weakened temperatur­e signal in recent decades (Jacoby 1995). This work was broadened in 1998 using a network of over 300 tree-ring records across high northern latitudes (Briffa 1998). From 1880 to 1960, tree growth closely matches temperatur­e measuremen­ts. However, the correlatio­n drops sharply after 1960 for certain trees at high latitudes.
http://www­.ldeo.colu­mbia.edu/r­es/fac/trl­/public/ft­p/pjk/BBCC­ArcticClim­ate/Krusic­/jacd%27a95.pdf
http://eas­8001.eas.g­atech.edu/­papers/Bri­ffa_et_al_­PTRS_98.pd­f
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
03:53 PM on 09/02/2011
Where did the Hockey Stick graph go?
It was the central artifact in the AGW movement, but it turns out it wasn't based on good science.

How are those Himalayan glaciers doing?
Are they going to be all gone next week?
Or was the science corrupted by AGW zealots?
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Shawn Lawrence Otto
Filmmaker, Author of "Fool Me Twice" and Cofounder
07:27 PM on 09/02/2011
The hockey stick graph has been confimed by several independent investigations including the US National Academies.
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Shawn Lawrence Otto
Filmmaker, Author of "Fool Me Twice" and Cofounder
07:29 PM on 09/02/2011
The Himalayan glaciers error was a foolish mistake and poorly handled by Pauchari and the IPCC - but it was not in the scientific section of the report and so was not peer reviewed.