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Simon Johnson

Simon Johnson

Posted: May 28, 2010 06:11 AM

A version of this story appeared on The Baseline Scenario.

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) under Mary Shapiro is trying to escape a difficult legacy -- over the past two decades, the once proud agency was effectively captured by the very Wall Street firms it was supposed to regulate.

The SEC's case against Goldman Sachs may mark a return to a more effective role; certainly bringing a case against Goldman took some guts.  But it is entirely possible that the Goldman matter is a one-off that lacks broader implications.  And in this context the SEC's handling of concerns about "high frequency trading" (HFT) -- following the May 6 "flash crash", when the stock market essentially shut down or rebooted for 20 minutes - is most disconcerting.  (See yesterday's speech by Senator Ted Kaufman on this exact issue; short summary.)

Regulatory capture begins when the regulator starts to see the world only through the eyes of the regulated.  Rather than taking on board views that are critical of existing arrangements, tame regulators talk only to proponents of the status quo (or people who want even more deregulation).  This seems to be what is happening with regard to HFT.

HFT is a big deal - perhaps as much as 70 percent of all stock trades are now done by "black box" computer algorithms (i.e., no one really knows how these work), and there are major open questions whether this operates in a way that is fair for small investors.  (Disclosure: in 2000-2001, I was on the SEC's Advisory Committee on Market Information; I was concerned about closely related issues, although market structure has changed a great deal over the past 10 years.)

The technical, "fact-gathering" activities of bodies like the SEC are of critical importance in both building an overall consensus - do we have a problem, what should we do about it - and also in creating the basis for regulatory action (e.g., the SEC does not even collect the data needed to understand how HFT contributed to the May 6 disaster).  And anyone who has ever put together a relatively complicated discussion of this nature can attest that how you frame the issues is typically decisive, i.e., what is presented as the range of reasonable alternative views?

On Wednesday, the SEC will hold a "market structure roundtable" to discuss "high frequency trading, undisplayed liquidity, and the appropriate metrics for evaluating market structure performance."  But who exactly will be at this discussion?

The names of panelists for this discussion are not yet public and probably not yet final - but the preliminary list is far too much slanted towards proponents of HFT (6 out of 7 seats at the table; see Senator Kaufman's speech for details), with hardly any representation of people in the markets (e.g., "buy side" mutual funds) who think HFT is potentially out of control or unfair.  It looks very much like someone is setting up a love fest for HFT - and a boxing match with 6 tough guys against one lonely critic.

To be fair, after coming under heavy pressure from a leading member of the Senate Banking Committee over the past 48 hours, the SEC is backpedaling quickly and indicating that the panel invitations can be broadened.  This is encouraging - perhaps the agency is finally overcoming its tin ear problem.

But nothing other than a balanced panel on June 2 would be acceptable.  At the very least, the SEC needs to increase the panel to 10 people - 5 for and 5 against.  And all the issues need to be on the table - including exactly who benefits from HFT, how much money they make in this fashion, and whether or not long-term investors (and the broader economy) really gain from such arrangements.

The SEC must understand that it has a long way to go to restore its credibility.  Wednesday's quasi-hearing is an important test and many people will be watching carefully.

 
 
 
A version of this story appeared on The Baseline Scenario. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) under Mary Shapiro is trying to escape a difficult legacy -- over the past two decades, the onc...
A version of this story appeared on The Baseline Scenario. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) under Mary Shapiro is trying to escape a difficult legacy -- over the past two decades, the onc...
 
 
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
pfrogger
12:55 AM on 06/01/2010
"no one really knows how these work"
yup, always the kind of description you want to hear about a linchpin of the american economy.
let's hope no one pulls this pin. of course if they short it before they pull it, they would make billions. thankfully americans aren't that greedy. right?
of course if the "computer" pulls the pin, then the rich and wall street will get bailed out again, being too big to fail, and everyone will get the shaft while their money helps the greedy and corrupt.
american exceptionalism hard at work.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
billw8017
History looks like this
03:00 AM on 05/31/2010
A worthy service for a fair price is in the interests of business. Food inspection is about encouraging people to trust the food producers. The SEC is about encouraging investors to buy stocks. Business people do not judge their success purely by the profits they make but should keep their companies in business and endeavor to keep their good reputations.

Even the frauds and crooks usually have some sympathy for those who are not purely their prey. I dealt once with a man who was known as a Mafia judge. He came across some property of mine that had been stolen and went through some pains to get it back to me. Aside from a few necessary judicial rulings, he was the most honest man I ever knew. The thing of it is, you had better be an honest man if you are going to work for the mob!
02:54 PM on 05/29/2010
Still working for the fraudsters? We'll soon find out in their handling of Goldman Sachs.
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elbzee
Fear is the mind-killer
02:27 PM on 05/29/2010
"But nothing other than a balanced panel on June 2 would be acceptable. At the very least, the SEC needs to increase the panel to 10 people - 5 for and 5 against. And all the issues need to be on the table - including exactly who benefits from HFT, how much money they make in this fashion, and whether or not long-term investors (and the broader economy) really gain from such arrangements."
Big Question - WILL it?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
CAPTAINSKIPPY
from the Far side of Frostbite Falls
01:22 PM on 05/29/2010
HFT - front-running with a computer.
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01:10 PM on 05/29/2010
is the sky blue?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
billw8017
History looks like this
03:11 AM on 05/31/2010
Right now, it's black. A short time ago, there was a mix of reds and yellows. The world has all these tricks so a person never knows for sure what it will do next. Visiting Celtic neighbors in the Danube area, Alexander (356-323 BCE) asked them what they most feared, and it was that the sky would fall.

Supposing there was a person's business while another could care less: Who do you think would have the better understanding? Sure, some integrity in both would be nice.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
William Brock
12:00 PM on 05/29/2010
The SEC, FDA, FEDERAL RESERVE, etc. etc., all these so called "official agencys of the United States", are nothing but Corporate America's approval rubber stamp mills to take dangerous products and practices to the market place. All are dominated by big business personel. None are about oversight or protecting the
American public from dangerous products or fraud. It's all about the "money", from the Federal level to the State, to the City and Counties. The public be Damned is their motto.
04:36 PM on 05/29/2010
"Congress passed the Securities Exchange Acts of 1933 and `34 to restore greatly diminished public confidence in our capital markets and mandated the SEC: “having due regard for the public interest, the protection of investors, and the safeguarding of securities, to facilitate the establishment of a national system for the prompt and accurate clearance and settlement of transactions in securities.”

But incredibly, the SEC has done just the opposite by empowering the Wall Street owned and operated black box Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation to create a Three card Monte style, bait and switch, non-settlement, non-delivery of securities system that facilitates the unlimited sale of securities that the seller is never required by anybody to actually deliver, so that the transaction is never properly “settled.” Known as naked short selling or failure to deliver, the scam has the same effect as counterfeiting because by definition and design, it dilutes the actual value of real shares by overpowering the natural laws of supply and demand.

Over the years, the practice has destroyed countless companies and crushed the hopes and dreams of millions of investors worldwide. Yet the SEC, self-proclaimed as “the investors first line of defense against securities fraud” and “the pre-eminent gold standard of enforcement of securities laws,” has not brought a single enforcement action to stop it or punish the perpetrators. Is it any wonder the bad guys have come to feel invulnerable?'

http://calltoaccount.wordpress.com/
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Soulsurfer
Solar Electrician,Longtime Surfin'Fool
11:25 AM on 05/29/2010
Same as it ever was.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tribilin219
A Proud progressive, and for the Green party,one o
11:17 AM on 05/29/2010
You know they do!! and so is congress and the white house!! Where the hell is AG, holder? He is supposed to work for us not the white house or anyone else!! If he can't do his job then get out and let someone who will do it get in!!
09:55 AM on 05/29/2010
I believe the combination of HFT and naked shorting is what drove the May 6 event. If an HFTer is able to naked short a stock and drive the price below the stop-loss orders of individual investors, the HFTer may then be able to cover those naked shorts before the buy side of the market can react. A lot will depend on the balance between stop-loss orders and limit orders, but on a day of huge pessimism like May 6, there would likely be a preponderance of stop-loss orders. HFTers would be able to naked short, drive the price down artificially, then quickly cover, always able to stay just a step ahead of the individual investor.

The eTrade baby may think his stop-loss orders saved him a pant full, but the next day when the stock is trading above where his stop-loss executed, he's going to be pissing his pants.
02:12 AM on 05/29/2010
Look. Obama sold progressives out.

That's the deal. It is what it is.

Now, let's take our complaints where the belong, at the top.

I look forward to some ACTUAL change or the 2012 primary.
12:48 AM on 05/29/2010
I hate the term "Regulatory Capture". This euphimism sounds so innocent. It's corruption with bribery, blackmail and all the basest human sewer emotions at work to completely riddle our system with crime. The purpose of this is to ensure that no one is really a free agent and everyone is compromised somehow or fired. This is how countries crash and burn. Read Kevin Phillips to see how this ends.

Try a thought experiment. The next time you turn on the TV and see someone in authority from government or high finance talking, say to yourself, this person is a criminal and has been a criminal most of his or her life because my government or corporations (it's hard to tell them apart these days) have made it possible for him or her to get in a position to further fleece me and my family. How does that make you feel? Well, sorry, but that is reality. Of course I would love to change it but I can't get past the blather of bla bla bla from my senators and congressman about how much they are doing for this country. There is no guilt, no anger, no awareness and no nothing. These folks aren't stupid. They just don't care. I wish it wasn't so.
And by the way, the SEC chair has a net worth of over 27 million dollars (she is THE richest federal government employee). Why don't you put the same guy that exposed Madoff onto Schapiro?
02:13 AM on 05/29/2010
Words are power. Change the words!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
stape45
No brag, just fact.
12:32 AM on 05/29/2010
Let's face it: America will likely never have an "Honest Majority" in Congress again, so it's just a matter of time until the s--t hits the proverbial fan. Is it not inevitable? Greed will take about 95% of America in only one direction. And about 50% of America is cheering on the villians while simultaneously lying about who the villains are. Go figure.
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Craig2
Living in the great State of Jefferson
12:25 AM on 05/29/2010
It's the 900# Gorilla's Capitalist Jungle out there. The SEC is window dressing there to police the amateurs and whistleblowers, while the oligarchs write the rules.
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angrymanspokane
Just a regular guy
11:54 PM on 05/28/2010
Money rules, period. The temptation to play along and get rich is irresistable. And the few honorable people are soon eliminated.