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It Certainly Is An Impressive Hoax: Making The World's Glaciers Melt
Commented Nov 25, 2009 at 19:53:27 in Green
“The debate is over how much of the effect is due to co2 emissions. The fact that the climate changes is not surprising or being debated. What is being debated is whether it makes sense to spend trilions to cut co2 emissions. If the models which are being used to make predictions are based on bad data then we cannot trust their predictions.”
Climategate In Perspective, Featuring Isaac Newton
Commented Nov 22, 2009 at 17:38:29 in Green
“"If you look at the attached plot you will see that the
land also shows the 1940s blip (as I'm sure you know).
So, if we could reduce the ocean blip by, say, 0.15 degC,
then this would be significant for the global mean -- but
we'd still have to explain the land blip.
I've chosen 0.15 here deliberately. This still leaves an
ocean blip, and i think one needs to have some form of
ocean blip to explain the land blip (via either some common
forcing, or ocean forcing land, or vice versa, or all of
these). When you look at other blips, the land blips are
1.5 to 2 times (roughly) the ocean blips -- higher sensitivity
plus thermal inertia effects. My 0.15 adjustment leaves things
consistent with this, so you can see where I am coming from.
Removing ENSO does not affect this.
It would be good to remove at least part of the 1940s blip,
but we are still left with "why the blip"."
read the emails. Start with result you want then fudge the data to match. That sounds like legitimate science.”
land also shows the 1940s blip (as I'm sure you know).
So, if we could reduce the ocean blip by, say, 0.15 degC,
then this would be significant for the global mean -- but
we'd still have to explain the land blip.
I've chosen 0.15 here deliberately. This still leaves an
ocean blip, and i think one needs to have some form of
ocean blip to explain the land blip (via either some common
forcing, or ocean forcing land, or vice versa, or all of
these). When you look at other blips, the land blips are
1.5 to 2 times (roughly) the ocean blips -- higher sensitivity
plus thermal inertia effects. My 0.15 adjustment leaves things
consistent with this, so you can see where I am coming from.
Removing ENSO does not affect this.
It would be good to remove at least part of the 1940s blip,
but we are still left with "why the blip"."
read the emails. Start with result you want then fudge the data to match. That sounds like legitimate science.”
Pharos replied on Nov 25, 2009 at 02:08:24
“You don't understand what they are talking about. Just how do you think scientist work? Do you think some data is gathered and then some theory (model if you prefer) is created and then they present the two and everyone goes oh yes, great, next problem. Measurements need to be analyzed, they need to be understood. Structures in the data may be real or may be artifacts. It's rare for a measurement to depend on only one variable (temperature for instance) and so it's not only legitimate to manipulate the data , it's a virtual requirement in order to make sense of it. If more than one factor contributes to a measurement it's reasonable to see what happens to the data if one factor is changed. That's not manipulation to fit data to a preconceived idea, it's simply trying to understand the data. Raw data without analysis is virtually worthless. Just how would you propose that these scientists approach understanding model results and data?”
Climate Denial Industry Costs Us $500 Billion a Year
Commented Nov 22, 2009 at 14:17:13 in Green
“Just read the emails. They were intentionally changing their data to try and discredit sceptics. That is not science that is fraud. Global warming is not science it is a religion.”
RTIII replied on Nov 23, 2009 at 10:33:03
“That's ALREADY been disproven.
Don't you have anything real to add? Just already debunked talking points? Forshame.
.”
Don't you have anything real to add? Just already debunked talking points? Forshame.
.”
noneIn2008 replied on Nov 23, 2009 at 00:02:59
“Better yet, some of the programing code is starting to be leaked. It shows comments of altering data and the code shows the data dropping and alterations. This was not science it was political science. Science deserves the black eye it will earn much like polywater and cold fusion. Scientists need to focus on science and not PR to get grants.”
Geithner Is "Obama's Rumsfeld": Replace Him With Robert Reich
Commented Nov 19, 2009 at 15:21:20 in Business
“"So you acknowledge that Geithner has prevented total economic collapse and stabilized the financial system..."
Who acknowledges that? The world didn't end so Geithner must be competent? All Geithner has done is help his friends get massive taxpayer bailouts. Anybody could have done that. Geithner did not suddenly pop into existence after he was appointed by Obama. He was at the NY Fed doing an incompetent job there and supporting the policies which led to the current crisis.”
Who acknowledges that? The world didn't end so Geithner must be competent? All Geithner has done is help his friends get massive taxpayer bailouts. Anybody could have done that. Geithner did not suddenly pop into existence after he was appointed by Obama. He was at the NY Fed doing an incompetent job there and supporting the policies which led to the current crisis.”
Liberal Elitism? No. Some People Are, Sadly, Stupid
Commented Nov 15, 2009 at 19:00:39 in Politics
“"While the concerns of many white, middle-class people are worthy..."
"...the traditional lower-middle class concerns of Americans.
The post he is supposedly responding to was about working class people. The poster apparently can't even bring himself to write the words working class let alone think their point of view might be worth considering.”
"...the traditional lower-middle class concerns of Americans.
The post he is supposedly responding to was about working class people. The poster apparently can't even bring himself to write the words working class let alone think their point of view might be worth considering.”
Armor-Piercing 5.7mm Pistol Used at Fort Hood Originally Designed for Military Only
Commented Nov 15, 2009 at 15:31:03 in Politics
“I have not seen it reported anywhere that any of the victims were even wearing body armor. But telling the whole story is not something we could expect from the gun banners. The poster shows a picture of a machine gun even though the machine guns are already effectively banned and the attack had nothing to do with a machine. Apparently people are supposed to think that since the bullets could be fired from a particular type of machine gun that makes them scarier? Their goal is to scare people not educate people”
Five Myths the Recession Taught Us
Commented Nov 08, 2009 at 16:52:45 in Business
“Does this even need responses? A more accurate title would be bad for workers is good for wall street. I could explain why #4 is wrong but why waste my time. Everybody with a brain already knows this guy is full of it.”
hp blogger James Altucher replied on Nov 09, 2009 at 08:11:17
“Don't be so angry. I'm actually saying the opposite. Good for workers is good for Wall St. Banks have stopped lending to workers. We need banks to start lending again. In order for that to happen banks have to acknowledge that its ok to take on more debt. Banks have to stop saving. Securitized debt has to be able to be marked more liberally. Etc.”
Why Ostrom's Nobel Is Even More Shocking Than Obama's
Commented Oct 14, 2009 at 17:08:58 in Business
“"Her basic premise is that the purported "tragedy of the commons" -- in which privatization of resources is viewed as the only realistic antidote to their complete exploitation -- is actually an inversion of logic and reality, and that in fact the most sustainable forms of resource management are collective, cooperative, egalitarian, and decentralized in nature."
"...Ostrom
You exaggerate and overgeneralize Ostrom's findings. Her findings dealt with social norms regulating the use of local common resources in small communities. For resources used by more than at most a few thousand people (in other words any large scale problem in a country like ours) her findings do not apply. To say that her work is implicitly socialistic is simply wrong.”
"...Ostrom
You exaggerate and overgeneralize Ostrom's findings. Her findings dealt with social norms regulating the use of local common resources in small communities. For resources used by more than at most a few thousand people (in other words any large scale problem in a country like ours) her findings do not apply. To say that her work is implicitly socialistic is simply wrong.”
DiogenesOfAlaska replied on Oct 14, 2009 at 18:56:13
“I don't know enough about her work (yet) to know whether you're right, but let's assume you are.
What's incredibly interesting is that you point towards the bad habit of people applying sound research of economists to a realm of conditions and circumstances where it just simply has never been checked or thought through.
If that happens at the fringes it's ok and it's the only way science can be of use. But alas, how about the mindblowing assumptions about humans as agents in the economy that classical and neoclassical theory requires you to swallow?
What about a macro-economics paradigm in which the degree of leverage and debt of firms and/or households plays no role (=cancels out) at the aggregate level?
And how do you like a chairman of the Fed who makes his monetary policy decisions on the basis of such a model. For decades.
As I said: your point is extremely well taken.”
What's incredibly interesting is that you point towards the bad habit of people applying sound research of economists to a realm of conditions and circumstances where it just simply has never been checked or thought through.
If that happens at the fringes it's ok and it's the only way science can be of use. But alas, how about the mindblowing assumptions about humans as agents in the economy that classical and neoclassical theory requires you to swallow?
What about a macro-economics paradigm in which the degree of leverage and debt of firms and/or households plays no role (=cancels out) at the aggregate level?
And how do you like a chairman of the Fed who makes his monetary policy decisions on the basis of such a model. For decades.
As I said: your point is extremely well taken.”
Reaction to President Obama's Nobel Peace Prize is Another "Teaching Moment"
Commented Oct 11, 2009 at 16:46:19 in Politics
“"it is much better for America to have a president who is admired and respected in the world than one who is despised and feared?"
There is a difference between being "respected" and being a soft touch who panders to our 'friends' in 'Europe' (which apparently doesn't include Poland) and appeases our enemies.”
There is a difference between being "respected" and being a soft touch who panders to our 'friends' in 'Europe' (which apparently doesn't include Poland) and appeases our enemies.”
conscioushope replied on Oct 12, 2009 at 08:59:49
“angry~
Yes, there is a difference between being "respected" and a "soft touch who panders"..
Yes, there is a difference between being "respected" and a "soft touch who panders"..
nk007 replied on Oct 12, 2009 at 04:16:29
“AngryOhioan:
Do you honestly believe that Norway awarded Obama the Nobel Peace Prize because he was "appeasing our enemies?" Besides what exactly constitutes pandering "to our 'friends' in 'Europe'?"”
Do you honestly believe that Norway awarded Obama the Nobel Peace Prize because he was "appeasing our enemies?" Besides what exactly constitutes pandering "to our 'friends' in 'Europe'?"”
MLear replied on Oct 11, 2009 at 23:53:15
“I am an European, and let me tell you that America wasn't respected in Europe under George W. Bush. Not. One. Bit.
Obama is the best thing you could have hoped for. Be glad you have him and turn off Glenn Beck.”
Obama is the best thing you could have hoped for. Be glad you have him and turn off Glenn Beck.”
Joseph Palermo replied on Oct 11, 2009 at 17:02:49
“Who are you afraid of in Europe AngryOhioan? France? Belgium? Norway? It must be hard to be that afraid all the time.”
From Fantasy Finance to Fantasy History: Wall Street Blames Government for Crash
Commented Sep 19, 2009 at 17:53:08 in Business
“What happens on wall street is not a free market. Some companies get loaned money from the government at below market rates or get implicit (or even explicit) government backing to borrow cheaply and other companies have to pay market rates. Some companies lose money on bad bets and others get generous bailouts. The companies that have government backing put their unsubsidized competition out of business or buy them out and become bigger and bigger. Government picks the winners and companies run by honest people who won't give money to the right people in government are forced out. Rigged markets not free markets.”
Libarchist replied on Sep 21, 2009 at 13:36:37
“Exactly, it is not a free market.
A free market for them is only a sales pitch, read from a script.”
A free market for them is only a sales pitch, read from a script.”
Paulson's Decision Cost Lehman, Then the World
Commented Sep 19, 2009 at 17:38:35 in Business
“Some people will never get it. People who think they will always get a bailout will take bigger and bigger risks and push their responsible competitors out of business until they are forced to take their losses. It is like what has happened with fire suppression. If you put out every fire for fifty years you end up with large numbers of people living in dangerous fire prone areas and out of control infernos that can't be suppressed. The problem is a flawed system not a particular lightning strike. Bailing out Lehman would only have delayed the inevitable.”
Why 2010 Will Not be a Replay of 1994
Commented Sep 19, 2009 at 16:54:54 in Politics
“He won minorities and young people so the midterms are a lock? logic? Unless this midterm election is different than every previous midterm voters will be older and more likely to be white than the presidential election. That doesn't automatically mean losses but it will be a contest. I agree that the state of the economy will play a crucial role but your predictions for the state of the economy are very optimistic.”
hp blogger 2morrowknight replied on Sep 19, 2009 at 20:05:48
“Hi AngryOhian. Thanks for your comment.
I believe you missed the point of my post. I didn't say that Obama "won minorities and young people so the midterms are a lock". Where did I write that? Nobody has a lock on anything. My point is that the Democrats have 4 things working for them, including the the young vote. And that is undeniable, no matter how cynically one chooses to look at it. And yes, Obama didn't get a majority of the white vote. But neither did Carter or Clinton. With a sizeable amount of the white vote, and a ridiculously high majority of the minority vote, the DEMS can (and I believe will) win re-election in Congress.
And as I noted in the last paragraph, these auspicious factors must be connected to all of the things that have helped the DEMS gain seats in Congress over the last two election cycles, and swept Obama in on a historic election.
As for the economy, things will continue to move a slow pace, but the economy will see growth in the 4th quarter, and is poised to be "better" next year than this one. The stimulus has worked better than its critics predicted it would. And most of the money hasn't even been give out yet. Looking at all the factor with our economy, I'd say I'm being more "realistic" than "optimistic".
But I thank you for sharing your opinions.”
I believe you missed the point of my post. I didn't say that Obama "won minorities and young people so the midterms are a lock". Where did I write that? Nobody has a lock on anything. My point is that the Democrats have 4 things working for them, including the the young vote. And that is undeniable, no matter how cynically one chooses to look at it. And yes, Obama didn't get a majority of the white vote. But neither did Carter or Clinton. With a sizeable amount of the white vote, and a ridiculously high majority of the minority vote, the DEMS can (and I believe will) win re-election in Congress.
And as I noted in the last paragraph, these auspicious factors must be connected to all of the things that have helped the DEMS gain seats in Congress over the last two election cycles, and swept Obama in on a historic election.
As for the economy, things will continue to move a slow pace, but the economy will see growth in the 4th quarter, and is poised to be "better" next year than this one. The stimulus has worked better than its critics predicted it would. And most of the money hasn't even been give out yet. Looking at all the factor with our economy, I'd say I'm being more "realistic" than "optimistic".
But I thank you for sharing your opinions.”
Should Mexican Trucks Be Allowed Throughout U.S.?
Commented Sep 08, 2009 at 15:46:28 in Business
“US trucks use Mexican roads without paying special fees. The US has had many years to set up an inspection regime. The only reason an inspection regime has not been set up is so we have an excuse to engage in protectionism. This debate is not about safety. The Mexicans could be inspected the same as US trucks and the Teamsters would still try to keep them out.”
America's Tax Crybabies
Commented Sep 01, 2009 at 19:32:33 in Business
“"there is nowhere near enough to sustain society."
"society"? Is society our massive military industrial complex, the corporate welfare queens, or the freeloaders you see at your local housing project?”
"society"? Is society our massive military industrial complex, the corporate welfare queens, or the freeloaders you see at your local housing project?”
iamjoneskeepupwithme replied on Sep 01, 2009 at 20:31:42
“i mean society in the 'macro-' sense, of course, and due to the forum brevity and an economy of words is the name of the game. you can cherry-pick your favorite issues to castigate others over all day.
just because i use the word 'society' doesn't mean i think it is a perfect system. quite the opposite, actually. sure, if i had my way, dubya never would have invaded iraq and all those monies would have been allocated to education, heath care and green energy development instead.
but let's return to reality and admit that our infrastructure is falling apart, our health care system is an embarrassment as compared to the rest of the civilized world, we need green energy resource development and we have to figure out how to do all the aforementioned while paying off the debt at the same time.”
just because i use the word 'society' doesn't mean i think it is a perfect system. quite the opposite, actually. sure, if i had my way, dubya never would have invaded iraq and all those monies would have been allocated to education, heath care and green energy development instead.
but let's return to reality and admit that our infrastructure is falling apart, our health care system is an embarrassment as compared to the rest of the civilized world, we need green energy resource development and we have to figure out how to do all the aforementioned while paying off the debt at the same time.”
Bernanke Has Earned A Second Term
Commented Aug 26, 2009 at 16:51:55 in Business
“A steady drumbeat of hacks have lined up to repeat the same talking points and drown out criticism of the Federal Reserve. It doesn't matter if they are true. If they are repeated often enough some people will be fooled. Stewart is showing his true colors. Another apologist for the thieves who are destroying our country.”
Rule Of Law replied on Aug 27, 2009 at 02:18:32
“seconded”
Bernanke Has Earned A Second Term
Commented Aug 26, 2009 at 16:43:34 in Business
“"The primary knock against Bernanke is that he didn't see the crisis coming."
Maybe if you rewrite history and ignore everything that happened prior to him becoming chairman. Those of us not suffering from amnesia remember his actual record. He was on the board of governors from 2002 to 2005. He was one of the cheerleaders for the policies that created the crisis. He didn't just not see it coming he helped to create the crisis.”
Maybe if you rewrite history and ignore everything that happened prior to him becoming chairman. Those of us not suffering from amnesia remember his actual record. He was on the board of governors from 2002 to 2005. He was one of the cheerleaders for the policies that created the crisis. He didn't just not see it coming he helped to create the crisis.”
Big Ben Again: Obama to Reappoint Bernanke as Fed Chairman
Commented Aug 25, 2009 at 14:42:20 in Business
“Ben Bernanke only has one play in his play book. Claim the world will end if we don't act, throw money at the most reckless and irresponsible charlatans on wall street and then claim success because the world didn't end.”
Stop Panicking About Obama
Commented Aug 24, 2009 at 17:52:13 in Politics
“My rose tinted glasses aren't working can I borrow yours.”
LBaby replied on Aug 24, 2009 at 18:18:20
“Quit putting them between your two cheeks...
I'd be angry too, if I lived in Ohio...”
I'd be angry too, if I lived in Ohio...”
Britain's New Royalty -- The Oil Potentates
Commented Aug 24, 2009 at 17:37:11 in Business
“GrahamInCanada if you think this was not about oil you are a fool.”
GrahamInCanada replied on Aug 25, 2009 at 10:59:34
“Before calling me a fool, I suggest you look up the definition of a fool. If you knew the definition of a fool, presumably you would not post such a foolish comment.”
GrahamInCanada replied on Aug 24, 2009 at 20:14:31
“You are obviously unaware of the definition of a fool, else you would not strive to fit the definition with such a foolish comment.”
Britain's New Royalty -- The Oil Potentates
Commented Aug 24, 2009 at 17:34:52 in Business
“What is laughable is that you think Americans will be fooled by half-hearted denials. Ivan Lewis wrote a letter pressuring the Scots to release him. The Duke of York made trips to Libya to promote trade at which the issue was repeatedly raised. Gordon Brown had discussions with Libya about the matter and has not made any kind of denial. Do you think Americans are too innocent to follow the petrodollars. The Americans will respond even if it means we have to replace our current government.”
Garioch replied on Aug 25, 2009 at 08:54:59
“The majority of your citizens can't find their own country on a map, think that Barney the dinosaur was cavorting with cavemen and that God's a big White bloke with a beard who made the world a few years back in a week.
Could there be a simpler job that fooling them?”
Could there be a simpler job that fooling them?”
JohnTy replied on Aug 24, 2009 at 18:35:12
“LOL. Americans were fooled by George Bush over Iraq and doubtless other matters - and 45% apparently believe that the world was created 10000 years ago - so on that basis this should be a doddle.”
Britain's New Royalty -- The Oil Potentates
Commented Aug 24, 2009 at 17:26:38 in Business
“Who do you think you are fooling? Claiming this was a decision made by the Scots alone is complete bull. Ivan Lewis wrote a letter pressuring the Scots to release him and. Gordon Brown may have been born in Scotland but he works for the English. You are apparently also claiming English are not responsible because the Duke of York is not really English. Nobody is fooled by this. Splitting hairs over who nominally made the decision is beside the point. If England and Britain wanted to make enemies of the American people they have succeeded.”
Garioch replied on Aug 25, 2009 at 08:52:56
“Oh good, does that mean that our troops can stop dying in your oil wars and over you infantile temper tantrums when something doesn't go your way and the majority of the globes population have ideas of their own?
Fantastic, very happy about that and a good days work by the Scottish government there.”
Fantastic, very happy about that and a good days work by the Scottish government there.”
Seeing Through the Food Industry's "Personal Responsibility" Smoke Screen
Commented Aug 12, 2009 at 21:38:16 in Green
“Maybe I missed it but where was your solution that didn't involve personal responsibility? I have never been in a grocery store that didn't have all the raw ingredients needed to cook a meal from scratch. People walk past those raw ingredients and buy processed food. The grocery stores sell what consumers will buy. I don't doubt that people would be healthier if more people cooked and less ate processed foods but how are you going to change consumer behavior? It is about personal responsibility.”
Jambutter replied on Aug 12, 2009 at 23:26:51
“For starters AngryOhioan, what are you angry about?
Regarding personal responsibility, to be clear, the role of the individual is always #1 in my book, but there is a line between an individual's ability to make good, informed decisions, ones they should be 100% accountable for, and the role external forces play in that individual's decision making, where the "blame" or "responsibility" is shared.
And while that line shifts from side to side based on each individual, it is always a combination of factors that lead to the choices we make.
The problem I am highlighting is how the food industry regularly acts as if it plays no role, as if the tens to hundreds of billions of dollars invested every year in product development and marketing are purely to benefit consumers. That's hogwash. They know it, but will never admit it because they believe people won't take the time to figure it out and/or put the energy into doing anything about it. That's changing. You can see it everywhere.
To change behavior or culture will require engaging people where they make purchase decisions. That won't happen easily in most supermarket chains because the business model is dependent on selling new, high margin, highly processed foods and prepared foods. So, we need entrepreneurs to invest their time and energy in developing new retail experiences and formats that are more farmers market than supermarket.
Again, change is coming!
Cheers,
Rob Smart”
Regarding personal responsibility, to be clear, the role of the individual is always #1 in my book, but there is a line between an individual's ability to make good, informed decisions, ones they should be 100% accountable for, and the role external forces play in that individual's decision making, where the "blame" or "responsibility" is shared.
And while that line shifts from side to side based on each individual, it is always a combination of factors that lead to the choices we make.
The problem I am highlighting is how the food industry regularly acts as if it plays no role, as if the tens to hundreds of billions of dollars invested every year in product development and marketing are purely to benefit consumers. That's hogwash. They know it, but will never admit it because they believe people won't take the time to figure it out and/or put the energy into doing anything about it. That's changing. You can see it everywhere.
To change behavior or culture will require engaging people where they make purchase decisions. That won't happen easily in most supermarket chains because the business model is dependent on selling new, high margin, highly processed foods and prepared foods. So, we need entrepreneurs to invest their time and energy in developing new retail experiences and formats that are more farmers market than supermarket.
Again, change is coming!
Cheers,
Rob Smart”
Farmonomics: It's All About the Land
Commented Aug 12, 2009 at 21:19:51 in Green
“Agribusiness is one of the biggest polluters in America. It is already massively subsidized. A farm may look prettier than a strip mall but if the farm is using pesticides and fertilizer and or factory farming chickens it will pollute more than the strip mall. Even if you buy the rights to a small amount of farmland people will just build outside the ring of protected land. Why not spend the money to buy land for nature preserves instead of giving another subsidy to a massively pollution industry.”
The Unnoticed War Where Millions of Children's Lives are at Stake
Commented Aug 12, 2009 at 19:31:48 in World
“You set up a straw man 'ddt is completely banned and a panacea' to preempt any debate about where it may be useful and whether restrictions and threats by the EU are reasonable and productive.”
The Unnoticed War Where Millions of Children's Lives are at Stake
Commented Aug 12, 2009 at 19:16:57 in World
“ddt doesn't work for every situation and has to be used appropriately to be effective. But it should be up to local health officials who know the local situation; they shouldn't have to ask for permission from environmental zealots or the EU.”
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