“And how is this relevant to governor? Kirk is the Republicans' senate candidate. The problem in Illinois is state politics. Do you want to put into national politics another vote for the filibuster stall tactics in the Senate?
If you're a Democrat who wants to send a message in Illinois politics, the logical thing to do given the current circumstances is vote Giannoulias in the Senate and Brady-Plummer for Governor.”
Thefamilyvan on Feb 5, 2010 at 01:08:09
“Plummer???? Isn't he 27 years old and wet behind the ears???? NOT!”
ekoorb on Feb 5, 2010 at 00:33:08
“Exactly. A vote for Kirk is a vote for Mitch McConnell and all of the other teabaggers.”
“I'd be more impressed if he used this as a hook to explain to the public and especially our politicians why we need to fund improvements to the CTA -- specifically, improvements that speed the system up.
But because that would require a combination of difficult things -- money, mayoral support, legislative support, and support within the CTA management for express service even if it means fewer local stops -- I don't expect to be hearing it. I fear they're comfortable with mediocrity.”
“She probably thinks she went to Ireland because Shannon has a nice big duty free -- a legacy of the days when every Russian transatlantic flight and a large proportion of western transatlantic flights stopped there to refuel.”
Let's at least get the historical details correct before performing analysis.
And 55 polls, all of them showing an Obama lead, does not constitute a tie.
I'll concede that a 3.5 percent average in the tracker constitutes an inadequate lead under the circumstances, but do not forget who the Democrats are running against -- the biggest media darling ever, the "maverick", the one who gets sprinkles on his donuts from the AP, the one who can get six months of good press from one barbecued chicken wing, the one who the yellow-headed misogynist himself on MSNBC acknowledges that "we're his base."
Obama's main unfulfilled challenge is to define McCain for what he really is, not what the media say he is.”
“By any objective statistical standard, Obama has a lead. You don't take 55 polls, ALL of which Obama leads, and say it is tied. Statistical significance is acknowledged at a 95 percent level. You'd want let's say, three of those 55 to show a McCain lead to call a tie. McCain is not even tied in any of them.
That said, Obama ought to be leading by more. And in that sense, there's a problem.”
stevievi on Aug 6, 2008 at 10:23:21
You have to remember who's being polled. I'm 32 years old and don't have a land line. I haven't had one in maybe 10 years. Most of my counterparts are in the same boat. Now our parents have land lines and their parents have land lines. So it's obvious to me and 95% of my friends and co-workers who don't have children don't have land lines so were are not being polled.
The polls are very insignificant when you bring that into equalization. It's seems to me that the same type of people are being polled- older white Americans. Who really at this point doesn't know that he's Christian (20 years same church) and not a Muslim- so the fact that these polls keep saying that 12% of the people polled think he is. Those people are not living in a vacuum, they have friends and family who know the truth.
I have family of many colors all over the us and the Caribbean and not one of them have been polled. Not one.”
rollingdivision on Aug 6, 2008 at 09:51:02
“"Statistical significance is acknowledged at a 95 percent level", please, by what statistical analysis do you calculate this number?”