Stephen C. Rose

Stephen C. Rose

Posted October 27, 2008 | 10:10 AM (EST)

Gretchen Morgenson Takes a Scab Off Wall Street

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How apposite. It's wonderful to come upon Gretchen Morgenson's lucid parsing of the current crisis. John McCain should read it -- maybe he would then stop erroneously assuming that Fannie and Freddie were the sole culprits.

Like the boy who cried wolf, corporate and regulatory officials have issued a lot of hogwash over the years. Until recently, investors were willing to believe it. Now they may not be so easily gulled.

Companies, even those in cyclical businesses, routinely told investors that the reason they so regularly beat their earnings forecasts was honest hard work -- and not cookie-jar accounting. They were believed.

Politicians proclaiming that the economy was strong and that the crisis would not spread kept our trust.

Brokerage firms insisting that auction-rate securities were as good as cash won over investors -- and, as we all know now, that market froze up.

Wall Street dealmakers were fawned over like all-knowing superstars, their comings and goings celebrated. No one doubted them.

Banks engaging in anything-goes lending practices assured shareholders that safety and soundness was their mantra. They, too, got a pass.

Directors who didn't begin to understand the operational complexities of the companies they were charged with overseeing told stockholders that they were vigilant fiduciaries. Investors suspended their disbelief.

And regulators, asserting that they were policing the markets, convinced investors that there was a level playing field.

Is it any surprise that virulent mistrust seems to own the markets now?

Source: The New York Times

And David Corn offers some salient backstory.

In other words, whoops--there goes decades of Ayn Rand down the drain.

Democrats on the committee made Greenspan eat ideological crow. And after the hearing, Democratic Senator Dianne Feinstein of California released letters Greenspan had written to legislators in 2002 and 2003 that now cast the former chief banker as out of touch with financial reality.

Back then, Feinstein was pushing for regulating financial instruments known as derivatives--particularly those called swaps. In 2000, Republican Senator Phil Gramm, then the chairman of the Senate banking committee, had used a sly legislative maneuver to pass a bill keeping swaps free from federal regulation. (Lobbyists for financial firms had helped to write the bill.) The swaps market subsequently exploded, as financial firms bought and sold swaps as insurance to cover their trading in subprime securities and other freewheeling financial products. In a nutshell: the rise of unregulated swaps enabled the growth of the shaky subprime securities at the heart of the current financial crisis. Greenspan was an ardent supporter of keeping swaps virtually unregulated.

In 2001, Enron, having gone crazy with energy derivatives, collapsed--after the firm had manipulated the California electricity market, costing residents of Feinstein's states billions of dollars. Following that fiasco, Feinstein decided the derivatives market needed to be reined in. As The Wall Street Journal reported in 2004, "When she telephoned Mr. Greenspan for support, he declined, telling her the proposal threatened the multitrillion dollar derivatives industry, which he considers an important stabilizing force that diffuses financial risk."

These economic notes are consistent with the conviction that Barack should steer clear of advisers who were taken in by, or complicit in, the rape of regulation of the last decade. Those who now call the economic crisis a once-in-a-100-year tsunami have been taken in big time. Such blind folk, as F. Scott Fitzgerald said of the rich, are not like us.

How apposite. It's wonderful to come upon Gretchen Morgenson's lucid parsing of the current crisis. John McCain should read it -- maybe he would then stop erroneously assuming that Fannie and Freddie ...
How apposite. It's wonderful to come upon Gretchen Morgenson's lucid parsing of the current crisis. John McCain should read it -- maybe he would then stop erroneously assuming that Fannie and Freddie ...
 
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Now that almost everyone---even Greenspan---is telling us that adequate regulation and oversight would have prevented the present crisis, it's time to wonder: can they all be wrong once again?.

Suppose it is inherently true that the now almost universal fractional reserve banking system must have ever increasing levels of debt to continue operating.

And suppose that those debt levels must eventually get so high that credit is just not available to increase debt further.

That would mean the present money and banking system is inherently unsustainable, no matter how well regulated.

Could it be that this is all true, and is the ultimate cause of the present credit crunch?

If so, all the present cures will fail to work, as so far seems to be the case.

Shouldn't we at least be discussing the alternative praised by both Milton Friedman and Elizabeth Kucinich, full reserve banking?

See

http://whatsnotso.blogs.com/whatsnotso/2008/10/will-the-financial-crisis-change-the-game.html

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:19 PM on 10/28/2008
- Stephen C. Rose - Huffpost Blogger I'm a Fan of Stephen C. Rose permalink

I certainly agree that the crisis is more than meets the eye. My own analysis is that the unsustainability relates to myriad factors of our philanthropic-capitalist-governmental planetary system. We seem to be close to a brand new starting line.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:09 PM on 10/28/2008

"These economic notes are consistent with the conviction that Barack should steer clear of advisers who were taken in by, or complicit in, the rape of regulation of the last decade."

Then the question is: Why has Obama surrounded himself with the same people Clinton had on board--Rubin etc--when they ripped the guts out of our protections and repealed the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933?

I don't care how much crow Greenspan or any of those thieves has to eat--it doesn't reregulate banking and industry, and it doesn't put My money back in My pocket. As long as the White House--Obama, Bush, Clinton or whoever--remains the den where the same foxes continue to guard the public's henhouse, we will never see real change.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:10 PM on 10/27/2008
- Stephen C. Rose - Huffpost Blogger I'm a Fan of Stephen C. Rose permalink

I fully agree and would not be writing as I do, in more than one post here or on my blog, if I did not want to feel that Barack is not going to be relying on people who were blind as I feel Rubin was to the crisis, which he says is a once in 100 year tsunami.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:51 PM on 10/27/2008

Then, Stephen, someone needs to tell Barack Obama who his friends and enemies really are, or he'll end up being owned by the same banking interests that run things now and we'll end up on the soup line.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:55 PM on 10/27/2008

Actually Ayn Rand is going to the sewer by way of the toilet.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:09 AM on 10/27/2008
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