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Stephen Zunes

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Iran Threat Reduction Act Actually Enhances Threat of War

Posted: 11/14/11 01:25 PM ET

Congress is taking up dangerous legislation which appears to be designed to pave the way for war by taking the unprecedented step of effectively preventing any kind of U.S. diplomatic contact with Iran. The Iran Threat Reduction Act of 2011 (H.R. 1905), sponsored by the right-wing chair of the House Foreign Relations Committee Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, contains a provision (Section 601, subsection (c)) which would put into law a restriction whereby

"No person employed with the United States Government may contact in an official or unofficial capacity any person that. . . is an agent, instrumentality, or official of, is affiliated with, or is serving as a representative of the Government of Iran;"

Never in the history of this country has Congress ever restricted the right of the White House or State Department to meet with representatives of a foreign state, even in wartime. If this measure passes, it will establish a dangerous precedent whereby Congress would likely follow with similar legislation effectively forbidding any contact with Palestinians, Cubans and others.

Despite not having formal diplomatic ties since 1979, there has been frequent low-level contact between the two governments on such issues as combatting drug smuggling and Salafi terrorists. Recent examples include talks which facilitated cooperation in suppressing the Taliban and freeing three American hikers held in an Iranian prison. Such contacts would no longer be possible under this bill.

More seriously, the legislation appears to be designed to push the country toward a military conflict with Iran. History has shown that governments that refuse to even talk with each other are far more likely to go to war.

The bill passed the House Foreign Affairs Committee last week and, with 349 co-sponsors from both parties, is almost certain to pass the House of Representatives as a whole.
As is often the case with legislation dealing with foreign affairs that puts limits on executive behavior, there is clause allowing for a presidential waiver. It is very limited, however, allowing the White House to waive the requirement only

". . . if the president determines and so reports to the appropriate congressional committees 15 days prior to the exercise of waiver authority that failure to exercise such waiver authority would pose an unusual and extraordinary threat to the vital national security interests of the United States."

The problem is that diplomatic encounters -- particularly with countries with which the United States has tense relations -- often need to be arranged in less than a 15-day period. The entire Cuban missile crisis lasted only 13 days, for example. In the event of a crisis that threatens a military confrontation between the United States and Iran, the Obama administration would have to wait more than two weeks before having any contact with any Iranian officials, which by then could be too late.

Another problem is that meetings with governments with which the United States has no diplomatic relations are usually arranged secretly through back channels. Unfortunately, the odds that none of the 26 Republican members of the House Foreign Affairs Committee would leak news of such a meeting to Fox News or some other media outlet are rather slim. The relatively moderate elements within Iran's factious regime would presumably not want to risk any meetings with Americans becoming known to hard-liners. Indeed, their personal safety could be at risk if found out. Similarly, to avoid attacks from Republicans prior to elections, the Obama administration would presumably want to avoid making such meetings public as well.
Fortunately, senior diplomats and intelligence officials are speaking out against this push for war. As veteran CIA analyst and Georgetown University professor Paul Pillar put it, "This legislation is another illustration of the tendency to think of diplomacy as some kind of reward for the other guy, rather than what it really is: a tool for our side."

Similarly, veteran diplomats Thomas Pickering and William Luers observed, "Besides raising serious constitutional issues over the separation of powers, this preposterous law would make it illegal for the U.S. to know its enemy," a principle which has been understood by strategic planners since first articulated by Sun Tzu in The Art of War in the 6th century B.C.

Another problematic clause in the bill, contained in the same sub-section, states that
"No person employed with the United States Government may contact in an official or unofficial capacity any person that... presents a threat to the United States or is affiliated with terrorist organizations."

Not only could what constitutes a "threat" to the United States or an "affiliate" with a "terrorist organization" be interpreted rather broadly, it could restrict investigation of possible terrorist attacks. It would have made illegal the recent sting operation that foiled the alleged assassination plot against the Saudi ambassador, for example.

The march to war with Iran appears to have the support a sizable number of liberal Democrats. Indeed, more than 40 members of the so-called "Progressive Caucus" have signed on as co-sponsors of the bill, including: Karen Bass, Robert Brady, Corrine Brown, Yvette Clark, William Clay, Emmanuel Cleaver, David Cicilline, Steve Cohen, Elijah Cummings, Peter DeFazio, Rosa DeLauro, Sam Farr, Chaka Fattah, Bob Filner, Barney Frank, Janice Hahn, Mazie Hirono, Michael Honda, Jesse Jackson, Jr., Hank Johnson, Marcy Kaptur, John Lewis, David Loebsack, Ben Ray Lujan, Carolyn Maloney, Ed Markey, Jerrold Nadler, Frank Pallone, Jared Polis, Charles Rangel, Laura Richardson, Lucille Roybal-Allard, Linda Sanchez, Jan Schakowsky, Louise Slaughter, Peter Welch, and Frederica Wilson.

It should be noted that these clauses were added to the bill by committee chairwoman Ros-Lehtinen at the end of October, subsequent to some of the co-sponsors signing on, yet so far no one has withdrawn their co-sponsorship. Unless the public mobilizes against this legislation, then, it will be passed and the risks of a disastrous war will be markedly increased

 

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Congress is taking up dangerous legislation which appears to be designed to pave the way for war by taking the unprecedented step of effectively preventing any kind of U.S. diplomatic contact with Ira...
Congress is taking up dangerous legislation which appears to be designed to pave the way for war by taking the unprecedented step of effectively preventing any kind of U.S. diplomatic contact with Ira...
 
 
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07:35 PM on 11/15/2011
The Democrats, even progressives like DeFazio, have gone completely nuts on this issue. We don't need foreign policy dictated by bellicose resolutions from Congress. I am so disgusted with ALL of our representation in Congress. If we have to vote all the Democrats out and start over again, I would not object. Pick an issue and they are pretty worthless as it stands right now.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
NTT
Fighting rants with facts
08:12 AM on 11/15/2011
I am not a supporter of this proposal -- but neither am I an ardent opponent. It's just a proposal. It has to be voted in by the representatives of the American people; it can and probably will be challenged in the courts of law. If it is voted into law & it survives the judicial review -- then it's probably the right thing to do. I'm not bothered.

I AM bothered by something, however. Why is it that extreme left self-declared "progressives" tend to side so often with the "Islamic Republic"?? The mullahs' regime is the direct antithesis of anything "progressive": they tell people how to dress (and even how to cut their hair -- see www.guardian.co.uk/world/2007/aug/24/iran.roberttait); they practice gender apartheid; they "legally" stone people for the "crime" of adultery, hang gays and girls who lost their virginity, even execute minor offenders.

This unholy "alliance" between extreme left and obscurantist "Islamic" regimes is reminescent of the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact. It seems that the political spectrum is actually a circle -- so that the political extremes have more in common than one might think.
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Wozzeck
Pearl Bay, Australia
08:06 AM on 11/15/2011
Eric Margolis, whose articles frequently appear here, has a succinct summary of the campaign against Iran's non-existent nuclear weapon program being waged by Israel and the USA:

"In 1992, Natanyahu claimed Iran would have nuclear weapons in 3-5 years. Shimon Peres, now Israel’s president, insisted Iran would have nukes by 1999.

In 1995, the New York Times claimed Iran was only 5 years from nuclear weapons. In 1998, US Defense Secretary Don Rumsfeld claimed Iran was fielding a nuclear-armed ICBM that could hit the United States.

And so it has gone, a steady drumbeat of false claims."

http://lewrockwell.com/margolis/margolis267.html
05:38 AM on 11/15/2011
This is the only language Iran's government understands, they are masters of lying and deceiving, they have no respect to any agreement they make and they will not listen to any common sense, at the same time they will threaten you with their magnificent power (1970 Soviet Union junk), they have spied on all their neighbors, they have no friends except Syria/Hezbollah, if you engage them in diplomatic talks, they translate that as a weakness from your side, not mentioning their huge terrorists actions everywhere,
Like any bully, the only language they understand is the language of war drums, so let them get a taste and you will not hear anything from this regime for the next twenty years.
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Michael D Ballantine
Texas Justice Party - Chairperson
04:02 AM on 11/15/2011
It is not constitutional. It would not stand up in court because it encroaches on the rights of the executive branch. Congress may withhold funds but it cannot stop the executive branch from conducting diplomacy. Under this law, we could no longer talk to any nation that has diplomatic relations with Iran. Specifically, we use the Swiss and Sweden as intermediaries. How could the President prove that we did not talk about Iran in any diplomatic meetings. Doesn't Congress have better things to do, like create jobs, provide health insurance, ...
11:51 PM on 11/14/2011
It's pretty obvious that we are painting the Iranian regime into a corner. There is no engagement, no road map, and we are attacking them politically, economically, killing their scientists, virus attacks. If we are interesting in establishing protocols and treaties that would guarantee none-divergence of their nuclear program, this is not it. More likely, they are going to get fed up of co-operating with IAEA and kick the inspectors out. Then what option is available?
11:43 PM on 11/14/2011
This has no chance of passing.  Just typical diversionary tactics by the extremist right wing.
09:33 PM on 11/14/2011
Diplomacy is generally a give and take. They won't meet with you why should you meet with them. Anyway Iranian lobbying in the US is still entirely legal.
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AlfredE69
Liberty Lovin' Tree Hugger
07:33 PM on 11/14/2011
If these DC clowns want to start another senseless war, they need to get a military draft started, no deferments, to be sure no future Dick Cheney or Rush Limbaugh doesn't serve.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Charles Queen
I am a disabled nam vet
07:25 PM on 11/14/2011
We do not need to attack iran right now,to do so would be tacticaly unsound.Let the sanctions do their thing and wait them out.We will know what their going to do probobly before they know what their going to do.Let it lay for now.As for the big question thats going around,did the israelis assasinate irans missle king?Well if they did,good.Thats one less person we have to contend with
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bad spelling grammar
Help save Big Cats from extinction!
06:48 PM on 11/14/2011
What a Fing Joke, glad to see that the GOP is still avoiding the topic of job creation. If this passes cant Obama just veto it?
06:42 PM on 11/14/2011
The acquiescence of the US government in apparently agreeing to the insistent demands of Netanyahu to ready itself to attack Iran, is a shocking indictment of the power of the Israel lobby to subordinate congress to its will.

It is public domain knowledge that Israel has covertly built a secret arsenal of up to 400 nuclear warheads, according to the Federation of American Scientists, that are undeclared and uninspected by the IAEA, yet it has the temerity to demand that Iran who has no such weapons, should be attacked. It is also public domain knowledge that it would take Iran over 20 years to match the nuclear firepower that Israel already possesses. Yet the US is still prepared to go to war on behalf of a foreign state to which it owes no allegiance.

One can only be amazed at the silence of the 308 million ordinary Americans who, in common with Europe and the rest of the world, will be so adversely affected by this proposed illegal attack on a sovereign state. President Obama knows full well that the consequences are impossible to calculate - yet he is still prepared to be intimidated into an uncalled for and totally unjust war that could affect hundreds of thousands if, and when, nuclear weapons are deployed in an attempt to defend cities against reprisal attacks.
jhNY
Mercy.
05:55 PM on 11/14/2011
"The march to war with Iran appears to have the support a sizable number of liberal Democrats." I seem to recall the list of Democrats in support of our earlier elective disaster, the occupation of Iraq, was equally long.
stpmdn
stop the madness!
06:26 PM on 11/14/2011
because liberals don't want to look soft. For some reason they think voting to go to war makes them look tough when it comes election time. Clintons Iraq vote was the main reason I voted for obama in the primary last election.
jhNY
Mercy.
06:39 PM on 11/14/2011
It's great stuff, those war votes, come election day, for pols of all stripes. Later, in office another term, when the body bags of other people's kids begin to arrive, it's also a great political move to look all concerned and solemn, while you wish wistfully that the war you voted for was over.
thankgodimanatheist8
The answer to fools is silence
01:03 AM on 11/15/2011
As a progressive I have said since the 60s, "Scratch a liberals and under the skin you find a fascist."
jhNY
Mercy.
01:13 PM on 11/15/2011
Unfortunately, that rule applies to too many, whatever political stripe they happen to have adopted.
HansB
The only good certainty is a dead certainty
05:54 PM on 11/14/2011
This kind of legislation can only be considered, let alone adopted, in a political atmosphere where shouting has taken the place of reasoning. A world where sentences should be no longer than five words. Where arguments may be no longer than ten seconds. Where any thought more complex than IRAN IS EVIL is banned.

It's manicheism in its most childish form. The kind of simplistic world view where Nixon cannot go to China, Sadat cannot go to Tel Aviv, Reagan cannot negotiate with Moscow, Hillary Clinton cannot go to the Bad Guy du jour. Only war will do against whatever country is now designated as Evil Incarnate.

Fortunately governments have a long history of dealing with this kind of stupidity: maintaining contacts through the diplomatic services of a friendly country. There won't even be a war, just a lot of hassle not to mention loss of confidentiality, since a foreign government will necessarily be in the know of every detail of even the slightest communication with Iran.

But since it seems to be Shoot Ourselves in the Foot season in the US, and has been since Obama's election, I suppose we should be grateful that there is not yet any law that puts the State Department under control of the military, and that mandates that the Secretary of Defense have rabies, or at least convincingly foams at the mouth.
04:57 PM on 11/14/2011
I guess Congress never heard of separation of powers.