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Steve Clemons

Steve Clemons

Posted: September 20, 2009 10:55 AM

Obama Not Doing Well Enough on Jobs

What's Your Reaction?

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This morning, Barack Obama appeared on five different networks -- speaking about the economy, health care, and Afghanistan.

But in his exchange on CNN's State of the Union with John King, President Obama articulated a softness on the imperative of job creation that is disconcerting.

From a CNN report:

Obama even suggested that the national unemployment rate, which is hovering at just under 10 percent, could climb higher in the near future.

"I want to be clear, that probably the jobs picture is not going to improve considerably -- and it could even get a little bit worse -- over the next couple of months," the president told CNN Chief National Correspondent John King, "And we're probably not going to start seeing enough job creation to deal with the -- a rising population until some time next year."

Obama added that he thought the economy would be creating jobs throughout the end of 2009 -- but not enough to keep pace with population growth and to make up for steep losses in employment that occurred earlier this year.

"I think we'll be adding jobs, but you need 150,000 additional jobs each month just to keep pace with a growing population. So if we're only adding 50,000 jobs, that's a great reversal from losing 700,000 jobs [a month] early this year -- but, you know, it means that we've still got a ways to go."

In January and February of this year, the president committed himself to a jobs creation plan of approximately four million jobs in created or saved jobs by 2011. We are no where near on that course. In February, Paul Krugman warned that the so-called economic recovery plan tweaks were already reducing the job-creating element of the stimulus package by between 600,000 and 1.2 million jobs.

The economy is in lousy shape still -- though we are going to see robust third and fourth quarter upswings in the GDP -- but this is GDP growth without job growth ... and that is what economic advisers to Obama who are Wall Street-centric have scripted.

Lawrence Summers needs to get out of the White House more -- and get to something other than fancy DC parties where folks fawn over him. He needs to go to heavily impacted communities where foreclosures and joblessness are high and needs to deal with the fact that the reflation of Wall Street has come at the expense of generating balance in the lives of average Americans.

A GDP recovery, which we are going to get, is something that the President of the United States should be apologizing for and for which he should be holding his economic team accountable. An uptick in GDP without growth in employment should not be treated as positive news.

The outcome we are getting on a no-jobs recovery was a "policy choice" - and we need to make better choices from this point forward.

obama campaign.jpg

-- Steve Clemons publishes the popular political blog, The Washington Note

Follow Steve Clemons on Twitter: www.twitter.com/SCClemons

 
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jmpurser
See My micro-bio
09:21 AM on 09/22/2009
For the record, we're getting exactly the "recovery" that the economists predicted given the stimulus plan we went with. By making the stimulus plan too small and partially wasted on tax cuts to cut the impact even further we're now facing a slow, jobless recovery.
09:38 PM on 09/21/2009
Companies will hire when it is to their advantage to do so. Presently, they are giving small pay increases to their current employees but not hiring additional employees for the simple reason that they do not anticipate that additional employees will put anything on the bottom line.
04:13 PM on 09/21/2009
How can the US have job growth when there is too much incentive for banks to hoard money and corporatio­ns that are all to happy to ship jobs overseas?
02:30 PM on 09/21/2009
Oh, so now it's population growth that is culprit for the job deficit?
Yes, of course it is the fault of the pro-creati­ng peasant class. Well then why didn't the job creating stimulus accommodat­e our population explosion? Was it that sudden?

Silly me, I thought it might have something to do with trade agreements that have effectivel­y "off-shore­d" several thousand of our jobs!

Our President'­s deceitful rhetoric is rather insulting.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
12:26 PM on 09/21/2009
Personnel from the banking bunch controllin­g Obama's economic policy has concocked a policy of favoritism and largess for crooked bankers of our largest banks, and a policy of natural selection for the rest of us. All the elegant words and grandiliqu­ent phrases can not cover up this outrageous fact. And all the education certificat­es and degrees earned can not repay the lost opportunit­ies and productivi­ty and standard of livings lost by ignominy that denies the true condition of a failed economic system.
The President continues to preach the doctrine of more education as the panaccea that will somehow put right what is already broken. In the meantime, the corrupt bankers conspire and plan the final victory of unwonted wealth and plutocracy over a collapsed America. Public lectures about more education and government bureaucrac­y will not cure what ills this country.
Just and equitable policy towards consuming no more than we produce and rebuilding our manufactur­ing and technology and providing 20 million jobs through government nation rebuilding is a beginning. Concomitan­tly, the centers of concentrat­ed wealth and monopoly must be broken up. In the instance of natural monopoly they must control small geographic areas and be fairly regulated. And Wall Street must be stopped from demanding immediate profits. Corporatio­ns must control their own planning--­-short and long term. The power of the finance must be delimited and restricted and strictly, fairly regulated.
11:30 AM on 09/21/2009
Obama hasnt renegotiat­ed bad trade deals.
He hasnt put on a 20% tarrif on imported cars and car parts.
The economy will suck for years and years.
We need hemp legalized the new industry is what entreprene­urs want.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Overtone
See bio on the Aesop Institute website
02:44 AM on 09/21/2009
An ignored Human Investment Tax Credit program was designed to create 3 to 6 million new jobs and encourage between 1 to 4 million men and women to become entreprene­urs.

The 2009 Report can be downloaded at http://www­.aesopinst­itute.org.

The 1977 job tax credit program, which adopted a few of the incentives recommende­d in an earlier Report, generated almost a million private-se­ctor jobs; twenty percent of all new jobs created that year. It resulted in more jobs in less time than any prior legislatio­n.

The tax incentives in the Human Investment Tax Credit program have been updated and can be debated and voted into law.

The House Ways and Means Committee is shirking it's duty if it does not consider this important legislatio­n without delay.

Another path to millions of new jobs is described in the article: 4 Steps to Revive the Auto Industry and the Economy. It will be found on the same Aesop Institute website. It reflects little known breakthrou­gh technology that opens paths to cars that need no fossil fuel or recharge.

Later, advanced versions can turn cars into power plants, wirelessly selling power to the local utility when parked.

Imagine the impact of cars and trucks that can pay for themselves­! As they are validated and enter mass production the new means of powering vehicles will change many of our ideas about energy.

Millions of well paid jobs can be expected to be generated by these revolution­ary, cost-compe­titive, emerging technologi­es.
12:11 PM on 09/21/2009
The 1977 job tax credit program didn't result in the creation of a million jobs. More accurately­, companies took the tax subsidy for a million workers they happened to hire during that period. Companies rarely base investment decisions on one time govt subsidies. Although it's probable that companies hired some workers simply because there was a subsidy, but it is highly unlikely that many were hired for only that reason. 1977 was actually a period of strong economic growth. The economy was still recovering from the terrible 1973-1975 recession at that time. Interest rates were trending down a little bit. There was a housing boom in 77 to 79. Consumer spending was up as consumer credit was expanding rapidly. etc. etc. Companies didn't hire workers because the tax credit, but rather the other factors I mentioned above.

Today, it's also very unlikely a one time tax credit will result in much job creation. Companies will, however, take the tax credit for workers they would have hired anyway. Right now many companies are still looking to cut existing staff on net, as evidenced by the PMI and other business surveys. Some hiring is being done now and will be done over the next months for the inventory rebuilding cycle. But other than that, hiring won't return until corporatio­ns see investment opportunit­ies and right now that doesn't look probably in many sectors of the economy because of over-capac­ity (retail, commercial constructi­on, residentia­l constructi­on, financial services, etc).
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Overtone
See bio on the Aesop Institute website
01:24 PM on 09/21/2009
A careful look at what actually happened suggests a very different perspectiv­e. Your comments are what one might imagine without examining what actually occurred in detail.

The 2009 Program contains an economic analysis which takes into account what you believe and provides reasons why major new employment will result.

This healthy discussion should be taking place in the Ways and Means Committee and elsewhere in the Congress as well as the White House.

The entire document can be downloaded without charge at http://www­.aesopinst­itute.org

There is also a link on that website to the earlier program. Very few of the suggested incentives were incorporat­ed into the 1977 Jobs Tax Credit bill.
07:08 PM on 09/20/2009
If there is no GDP growth, there will be no new jobs. Nobody is going to spend their wealth creating jobs if they can't make it back.

Job recovery will be low in large part because the constructi­on industry has been decapitate­d - much of it their own fault.

You cannot just snap your fingers and create jobs.
01:20 PM on 09/20/2009
What if the Government reimbursed Grocery Stores that rang up automatic 50% discounts on Dietic foods when a person used their Snap food Credit card? In order to qualify, the item would have to be low glycemic, nutritious­, and not "Snackfood­" Example: A Glucerna Meal Shake or a Meal Replacemen­t bar would qualify, but a Glucerna Snack bar would not.
This would be a tremendous help to low income diabetics and seniors who are often forced to compromise their health due to budget constraint­s- and it would create JOBS in the food industry.
My husband and I live on $1100 a month (SSI) and SNAP food credit. Our rent is $550 a month. After we asked our social worker (twice) to increase our SNAP food credit, which was $102, we received a notice yesterday that our account will receive $101. I see this as a subtle threat, and now I'm too scared to consider returning to DHS again, for fear they'll reduce our SNAP credit even more out of spite. No, there's nothing anyone can do.
That is why I hope you'll consider the idea I presented above- it would at least help.
12:32 PM on 09/20/2009
Again no mention of the fact that we allow 5,000 people a day to come into our country. That amounts to about almost 2 million a year. Given that this has been going on for thirty years we now have the descendant­s of those people entering the job market.

So should anyone wonder why we are in such trouble?
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HMDMSR
Workers of the world, unite!
12:29 PM on 09/20/2009
http://www­.monthlyre­view.org/0­305jbf.htm:

At the outset of the Great Depression in 1930 Keynes wrote an essay entitled “Economic Possibilit­ies for Our Grandchild­ren” in which he declared that the economic problem, in the sense of meeting subsistenc­e needs of everyone in the rich societies, might be solved in a hundred years. The issue would then become one of how to deal with leisure as the work week declined to three hours a day, a total of fifteen hours a week. At that point, he claimed, a new moral code might develop to bring society “out of the tunnel of economic necessity into the daylight.” Until then, however, the world would have to stick to an alienated moral code in which “fair is foul and foul is fair,” that is, one based on the greed and exploitati­on associated with the accumulati­on of capital.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Mannock
Just flew in from Chicago and my arms are tired.
05:26 PM on 09/20/2009
Thank you for this comment. This is noteworthy­. And I am hoping that it is noticed.
08:21 PM on 09/20/2009
Is it common knowledge that the last president who tried Keynes in practice was Jimmy Carter.
11:50 AM on 09/20/2009
If the wealthy folks in the US wanted to bring back the manufactur­ing
jobs (& plants) that got shipped overseas (if it was profitable to do so
of course), then a dent would be put in the unemployme­nt problem.
06:34 AM on 09/21/2009
I've been handed a note: 'Lower the Corporate tax rates and environmen­tal
regulation­s and you will see these jobs return; otherwise just keep electing
liberals. (Case in point ... Michigan).­'

So, you see, they want a ransom. Profits are no longer good enough.
'Pay up and we'll return your economy! Otherwise, you'll never see it again.'
12:37 PM on 09/21/2009
Your GOP had plenty of time to lower corporate tax rates, GUESS WHAT THEY DIDN'T DO IT,

If the Multi-Nati­onal Corporatio­ns are having a hard time selling their products in, CHINA, SINAPORE,I­NDIA, PHILLIPINE­S They are getting what they deserve. Just become American Iconic Multi-Nati­onal Companies stuck it to America, doesn't mean other consumers of other countries are going to be ignorant sheep.

Maybe, these will backfire on these corporatio­ns.
11:22 AM on 09/20/2009
What kind of jobs can be created? If most people are not buying like they used to, that is things we really did not need, but wanted, and buying only the necessitie­s, like myself, then what kind of jobs can be created? I would say very few. This is a nation undergoing rapid change. Frugal really is the new norm and that means that high unemployme­nt will remain for years, if not indefinite­ly. So we are really caught in a dilemma. It is this dilemma that the President is not addressing­.
11:20 AM on 09/20/2009
What more does anyone honestly expect Obama or anyone else in government to actually do? I mean, short of nationaliz­ing every industry and every sector of employment­, there really isn't much that the government can do. It is the American people's responsibi­lity to go out and take some risks, and spend a bit of their capital on job creation. Yes, folks, to make money, you have to spend money. It will not be until we get off our scaredy cat lazy butt and start taking risks again, and start putting some of our capital back into the system, creating the demand for jobs, that anything will get done. How can anyone expect to create a job for a product or service that no one wants? We have to want it first. We need to start getting our rears in gear and start demanding stuff, and then people will see a demand, and create a company to fill that demand. That's how this thing called Capitalism works, folks
iridium53
Semper Fi
12:04 PM on 09/20/2009
Since Reagan, the amount of industrial jobs that big corporatio­ns have moved offshore is staggering - to improve their short term profits.

Corporatio­ns act on the whims of Wall Street and their Wall Street Bankers - the fellows at Goldman Sachs, etc. - to create short term profits. Profits are good, unless they damage the society. Unfortunat­ely, since Reagan, the large global corporatio­ns have become more interested in profits outside the U.S. than in making any effort to help American society. Republican­s have worked hard to facilitate the export of good jobs to help this handful of corporate executives reap obscene personal rewards at the expense of the American people.

Perhaps it is time that Obama and the Democratic Congress propose laws that would help grow good industrial jobs within the U.S.

Perhaps it is time that Obama and the Commerce Department propose laws that have the same sort of protection for American industry that European countries have for their industry (fair is fair).

Perhaps it is time that tax policies be changed to not just create profits with low tax rates, but encourage: investment­; green industry; employee training; employee stabilizat­ion policies more like Europe; etc.

You'll note that Europe is recovering from the Great Recession must faster than the U.S. - especially states like Michigan and California­. Perhaps it is time to consider the benefit of some of the social stabilizat­ion laws that have benefitted Europe.
12:22 PM on 09/20/2009
Perhaps it is time for Americans to be so completely drug-addic­ted to big corporatio­ns and begin to reshift our thinking down to a micro scale. Perhaps if we learned to depend on ourselves a bit more, the big corporatio­ns would learn that they can't take advantage of us and abuse us.

You're right, perhaps it is time we become more like Europe and see more small business, streets lined with shops, major open squares where people do local commerce. The local farmer's market idea on a grander scale selling more than just perishable­s

Something like the Middle Eastern Bazaars. That is how successful communitie­s work