Huffpost Politics
The Blog

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors

Steve Harmon Headshot

Obama vs. Romney, Who's Ahead in Latest Consensus?

Posted: Updated:

The 2012 Presidential race stakes are high with both Obama and Romney hoping to win the public's favor. So we tallied up what people think across the polls, news, blogs and social media about the two front runners. And, based on the latest consensus from several million data points, America hasn't found a clear winner yet.


After, our consensus engine boiled down the data:

Dogging Romney's approval is trust.


Dogging Obama's approval is lack of action.


A lot of the action centered around Romney: Why won't he release a meaningful number of tax returns? The general consensus is it appears he may be trying to hide something. True or not, the debate drove up the chatter on social media around the Republican. And not in a good way. Chatter is up 28%, with more than two-thirds of it negative. Romney also showed a lack of statesmanship on his visit to Britain where he questioned London's ability to handle the Olympic Games.


Romney's missteps provided Obama an opening to highlight his agenda, how he would improve things for the average American? Instead, Obama sounds oddly distant from his 2008 "change" platform. The issues there were a lot clearer, the voice louder, more meaningful. How much change has occurred? Or maybe better said, how much successful damage control has Obama been able to pull off after inheriting the Bush era?

The data around Obama shows a lack of action-oriented issues this time around to boost his approval. What does Obama stand for today? Americans are looking at the economy, jobs, his handling of the banking industry, ongoing mortgage industry issues.

With opinion tracking this close, the deciding voters may very well be the independents. This is the time for leadership more than rhetoric.

  Obama Romney
Obama Romney
332 206
Obama leading
Obama won
Romney leading
Romney won
Popular Vote
33 out of 100 seats are up for election. 51 are needed for a majority.
Democrat leading
Democrat won
Republican leading
Republican won
Democrats* Republicans
Current Senate 53 47
Seats gained or lost +2 -2
New Total 55 45
* Includes two independent senators expected to caucus with the Democrats: Angus King (Maine) and Sen. Bernie Sanders (Vt.).
All 435 seats are up for election. 218 are needed for a majority.
Democrat leading
Democrat won
Republican leading
Republican won
Democrats Republicans
Seats won 201 234
Click for Full Results
Register To Vote