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Steve Harmon

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Who's Really Ahead Now: Latest Obama vs. Romney Results

Posted: 07/15/2012 9:53 pm

Mitt Romney must have dusted off his AC/DC record collection, pulled out the Peavey stack and began cranking up the volume. Coliseum-filling volume.

Two weeks ago we tallied up which candidate was really ahead based on overall web-wide consensus. At the time it showed Obama at 53 percent vs. 47 percent for Romney.

Our latest tally, July 15, showed Romney gaining a percentage point overall. Now it's Obama at 52 percent and Romney at 48 percent web-wide consensus. Here's the Web-Wide Consensus chart:

2012-07-16-ObamaRomney07152012WebWideConsensusCHART1.png

Last time we checked the social media chatter, the volume was purely in Obama's favor with him commanding 74 percent of social opinion chatter. Our latest tally shows Romney gaining some ground as 33 percent of the chatter is now about the Republican candidate. It was a key factor we think that had Obama ahead two weeks ago. As of July 15, Romney's social chatter volume for the past 30 days has gone up 25 percent while Obama's has dropped 10 percent vs. the prior 30-day period:

2012-07-16-ObamaRomney07152012CHART2SocialVolume.png
 
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Mitt Romney must have dusted off his AC/DC record collection, pulled out the Peavey stack and began cranking up the volume. Coliseum-filling volume. Two weeks ago we tallied up which candidate was r...
Mitt Romney must have dusted off his AC/DC record collection, pulled out the Peavey stack and began cranking up the volume. Coliseum-filling volume. Two weeks ago we tallied up which candidate was r...
 
 
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BBackSoon
Hello, I must be going.
03:21 PM on 07/16/2012
Web wide concencus?

Does this actually apply to Presidential voters or just Dancing with the next Idol?
REPUBLICAN REDEFINED
Vote Republican
03:19 PM on 07/16/2012
The difference between the two candidates: Obama wants to be served. Romney wants to serve.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Kenneth Kemp
Both sides stink
02:22 PM on 07/16/2012
Obama will get reelected because Republicans have nominated worse candidate in my memory. However libs are so busy worring about presidential race Republicans will take control of Senate and keep control of house.
01:42 PM on 07/16/2012
Mitt Romney is trending up, on his way to an easy victory in November. Mr. Romney looks and sounds more Presidential everyday, and is the man to restore seriousness and legitimasy to the office.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Virginia Beringer
01:34 PM on 07/16/2012
Umm, hello? Of course Romney's social chatter has gone up! Everyone is talking about Bain and his tax returns. Those are NOT positive things!!
grnhrnt54
truth is neither left or right
01:24 PM on 07/16/2012
EXTRA EXTRA: Super Pac believes in ROMNEY. Just gave him 180 million dollars worth of belief. POOR President Obama. busted economy, busted Promises. Now he is flat broke.
GET TO THE PAWN SHOP!!!!!
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traceymarie
the President is black, deal with it
02:32 PM on 07/16/2012
you do realize the economy crashed in 2006-2008 right bagger
grnhrnt54
truth is neither left or right
04:13 PM on 07/16/2012
Yes I do. That is not helping the poor President.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
johnblack53
Destroying conservative talking points one post at
03:09 PM on 07/16/2012
So you want the super rich to buy the best president and congress they can buy? If they did then what would your vote account for? NOTHING! Do you think that if these republicans had to chose to do for their corporate sponsors or small potato peons like you they will choose you? You better think again.
grnhrnt54
truth is neither left or right
09:39 PM on 07/16/2012
I have a hope, that they will put people back to work.
botazefa
Sounds like Bodhisattva
01:24 PM on 07/16/2012
"As of July 15, Romney's social chatter volume for the past 30 days has gone up 25 percent while Obama's has dropped 10 percent"

I would think that this points mostly to a broken data collection system. At any rate, the gyrations are too much to be trusted as to accurately reflect anything other than the choppy nature of this type of survey. I don't see how anyone can draw a conclusion from this.
01:13 PM on 07/16/2012
What a waste of bandwidth that social media graph is: No indication of whether the increase in Romney "chatter" is positive or negative. Mentions in social media is not always a good thing.
grnhrnt54
truth is neither left or right
01:00 PM on 07/16/2012
I love these chatter places. Last week I read that Obama had 35% of his supporters blogin. I commented that all of them must be here. Now it is only 33%. 2% doesn't seem to make
to much of a difference this time of day.
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realmichaud
I am a secular nationalist.
01:00 PM on 07/16/2012
none of the polls are correct..its gonna be a blowout...Obama wins big
botazefa
Sounds like Bodhisattva
01:25 PM on 07/16/2012
I agree, Obama wins big, but to be clear this is not a poll. It is probably just some report that a web administrator generates from various phrases that appear in blogs. Hardly scientific.
01:34 PM on 07/16/2012
HAHAHAHA what a joke.....Obama is out funded this time and spending campaign funds faster then he can get them. Him bankrupting hollywood to support him. Obama was so low to ask wedding guest to send him MONEY not gifts. that is Ignorant and Self interest. Obama has been lookin real angry on TV lately. He seems to be lost on how bain capital works and spilling lies. which is comon for obama to do as he even lied about hillary when they were duking out the nominee. The bain capital kick is getting old why not find something new. romneys tax returns are also another old issue. it took obama many months just to supply a birth certificate. Congress is ordering Holder and Obama to release more documents to the Fast and Furious scandal. Yet they are still hiding the documents probably shreading them as Americans Died because of this chaos obama and holder set up. If your on Obama's side then you dont support america if u think F & F is ok. Holder just released a buncha pointless documents that you can clearly see more was going on but they dont wanna show it. OBAMA LIES AGAIN! Obama didnt attend the NAACP convention.... turning ur back on the blacks i see. im sure that angered many.
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realmichaud
I am a secular nationalist.
10:04 AM on 07/17/2012
pablum.....as far as Money goes....being president is at least worth a billion dollars...have a nice day
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Gail Robinson
12:49 PM on 07/16/2012
The GOP's effort at saying NO to almost everything. Stating day one making him a "one-term "president" has come back to bite them.
12:41 PM on 07/16/2012
I'm starting to wonder how many Skeltons are sitting in Romney's closet.
12:39 PM on 07/16/2012
Barack will win in the end
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Eris23Skidoo
Dischordian Keynesian
11:56 AM on 07/16/2012
Too bad for Romney, most of the chatter about him is people wondering why he won't just come clean and quit whining.
isitjustmeamerica
if you see an injustice, speak up.
11:43 AM on 07/16/2012
Vote in November and let your voices heard.

Obama 2012.
06:47 PM on 07/18/2012
you voted him in we are voting him out. LOL