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Steve Schohn
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Blog Entries by Steve Schohn

Stability or Chaos? The Role of Omar Suleiman in the Egyptian Political Game

Posted February 10, 2011 | 11:45:15 (EST)

Protests in Egypt have saturated the news media in recent weeks after a Facebook movement blind-sided the Egyptian government, political opposition, and the West. While opposing political interests initially struggled to catch up with the pulse of the public protest, those groups are now making demands and sparking the real...

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Pattern of Life: Where would Hosni Mubarak Flee?

Posted February 1, 2011 | 14:53:46 (EST)

When dictators are overthrown they are typically either killed in short order (think Nicolae Ceauşescu) or they flee. Without too much statistical analysis, we can come up with deposed leaders that left their country for France (Baby Doc of Haiti) and Saudi Arabia (recently,...

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Visualizing Global Foreign Relations

Posted January 3, 2011 | 13:18:10 (EST)

Paul Butler at Facebook recently did a really nice piece of work of displaying friendships geospatially, allowing us to see the global scale of Facebook relationships. Piggybacking off of that idea, our CEO Christopher Ahlberg thought we at Recorded Future could do something similar, and put together...

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Shorting the Hype of a Candidate with Momentum

Posted October 29, 2010 | 11:05:39 (EST)

"You would have done very well so far this cycle shorting the hype that a candidate has 'momentum'. Yes, I'm looking at you, Connecticut." --Nate Silver, fivethirtyeight.

Nate Silver's work speaks for itself.  His talent with election modeling has led to a new home at the...

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Media Sentiment Getting Better for Democrats, Worse for Republicans

Posted October 19, 2010 | 11:17:49 (EST)

Last week, jumping off of Recorded Future's Senate Campaign Analytics Dashboard, we discussed in this space the claim of Christine O'Donnell, the Republican candidate for US Senate in Delaware, that a liberally biased media had been unduly negative of her in an attempt to assassinate her character. Recorded...

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Christine O'Donnell, Media Bias, and Recorded Future

Posted October 15, 2010 | 11:41:15 (EST)

Christine O'Donnell, the Republican candidate for the Delaware Senate, has seen her poll numbers drop significantly in the past month.  This is in part due to the revelations of some of the more colorful comments she's made over the years.  As such, she's tried to push back,

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