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Steve Valk

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TV Forecasters: Connect Climate and Extreme Weather!

Posted: 09/10/2012 12:43 pm

This summer, as the melting Arctic turned into an hourglass marking the time we have left to address climate change, it became obvious we have reached that "Pearl Harbor moment" on global warming.

Actually, it's been more of a "Pearl Harbor year" -- unusually warm winter, destructive wildfires out West, corn-killing drought in the Midwest, record-breaking high temperatures, flooding from Hurricane Isaac. World Resources Institute has compiled a mind-blowing timeline on this year's extreme weather and climate events (below).

But even if we're having a Pearl Harbor year with extreme weather, it will have little impact on national policy if most people don't know where the bombs are coming from. In order for Congress to declare war on greenhouse gases, constituents will need to be keenly aware of the role climate change is playing in these disasters and demand that their legislators apply the brakes on global warming.

So, who's going to connect the dots for everyone?

According to Tony Leiserowitz from the Yale Project on Climate Change Communication, the person best suited for the job is your local TV weather forecaster. Most people haven't read James Hansen's Storms of My Grandchildren, but a majority tune in to their local TV station every evening to get the weather report. When that weather goes off the charts, so to speak, because global warming has increased the chances of extreme events, weather forecasters can play a crucial role in helping the public to understand that connection.

But there's one little hurdle to leap: Many TV meteorologists are climate change skeptics. As we've learned with Koch-funded skeptic Richard Muller, however, non-believers can have an epiphany when faced with the overwhelming evidence of human-caused climate change.

And the overwhelming evidence is exactly what the American Meteorological Society looked at when they recently revised their statement on climate change. Here's an excerpt:

"There is unequivocal evidence that Earth's lower atmosphere, ocean, and land surface are warming; sea level is rising; and snow cover, mountain glaciers, and Arctic sea ice are shrinking. The dominant cause of the warming since the 1950s is human activities... The observed warming will be irreversible for many years into the future, and even larger temperature increases will occur as greenhouse gases continue to accumulate in the atmosphere. Avoiding this future warming will require a large and rapid reduction in global greenhouse gas emissions... Prudence dictates extreme care in accounting for our relationship with the only planet known to be capable of sustaining human life."

For our part, Citizens Climate Lobby is asking our volunteers to contact their TV stations and request meetings with the meteorologist and the station manager. In those meetings, we'll review the AMS statement and discuss what the meteorologist can do to bridge the public's knowledge gap on extreme weather and climate change. Oh, and we'll bring along a climate scientist in case any questions arise.

Anyone can help in this effort by sending an e-mail to their local weather forecasters, asking if they've seen the AMS statement and requesting that they talk about role of climate change in our crazy weather. Resources to help with that action can be found here.

Despite the public's tenuous grasp of climate science, strong support exists for a revenue-neutral tax on carbon, as seen in the Yale Project's polling:

2012-09-07-TaxSwapPollHP.jpg

When the public fully understands the source of our weather-induced miseries -- an understanding facilitated by local meteorologists -- demand for action on climate change will blow through Washington like a derecho.

A previous version of this post mistakenly referred to the World Resources Institute as World Resources International. This has been corrected.

 

Follow Steve Valk on Twitter: www.twitter.com/citizensclimate

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This summer, as the melting Arctic turned into an hourglass marking the time we have left to address climate change, it became obvious we have reached that "Pearl Harbor moment" on global warming. Ac...
This summer, as the melting Arctic turned into an hourglass marking the time we have left to address climate change, it became obvious we have reached that "Pearl Harbor moment" on global warming. Ac...
 
 
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09:44 AM on 09/13/2012
Great post, Steve, excellent charts and links. I will contact my local meteorologists, one of whom at least is a big skeptic. This makes me reflect on the fact that in a democracy, access to high-quality information, to empiricism, and at least some minimum of scientific literacy (and literacy in general as well as education in critical thinking) is essential. Of course, our democracy has been less democratic as of late. We need to get money out of politics and corporate propaganda out of media. Otherwise, long-term public good has no representation.
12:56 PM on 09/12/2012
I hope you have success in this endeavor, but I doubt it will get through to the public. The deniers already have a long history of saying "if the local meteorologist can't tell me if it will rain next week, how can anyone tell me what it will be like in 10 or 20 years?"
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Doug350
Slow living activist
04:29 PM on 09/11/2012
Another place to identify and contact your local TV weather reporter/meteorologist(s) is at http://50yearforecast.org which has a zip-code look up at http://bit.ly/TellYourWeatherman.
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02:50 PM on 09/11/2012
What a fine article! I want to second dsfolland44's suggestion to try to meet weather reporters face to face. Because weather reports are tucked into news programs, station managers might also nee to come into the conversation. How climate comes into regular news, not just weather reports, could be vitally important.
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hardycross
02:33 PM on 09/11/2012
Oh. It's not CO2 - it's the Sun wot causes climate change. Breaking News.
02:05 PM on 09/11/2012
It is little wonder why meteorologists are the profession with the highest percentage of skeptics. They of all professions have a better understanding of the connection between weather and climate science. Mann and his cohorts claim that the MWP was only regional based on the claim that an extreme weather event lasting over 300 years located over northern Europe and the north Atlantic – an event most if not all meteorologists would find improbable. Meteorologists might also question Mann, Briffa and their cohorts ability at ascertain global temps over 100’s and 1,000’s of years ago based on tree ring proxies and ice proxies with greater precision than the standard mercury thermometer.
11:27 AM on 09/11/2012
Why would weatherman be the largest profession that remains skeptical of the science - probably because they of all professions have a better understanding of the science. For example - Mann's and his cohorts explanation for the reason the MWP was only regional was that there was an extreme weather event lasting over 300 years located over northern europe and the north atlantic. They also might question how climate scientists can ascertain global temps 100's & 1,000's of years ago based on tree ring and ice core proxies with greater precision than the margin of error in a standard thermometer.
11:41 PM on 09/10/2012
People rely on Meterologists for their safety. Meterologiists know ignoring danger does not make it any less dangerous.
10:59 PM on 09/10/2012
"As we've learned with Koch-funded skeptic"

Hardly balances out the Goldman Sachs - BP - GE funded warmists averse to talking about their own money.

"Despite the public's tenuous grasp of climate science,"

Truly? I find about 500% more people in the "public" who understand the issues around "positive feedbacks," a subject now near forbidden to talk about by the so-called realists.
10:09 PM on 09/10/2012
Great article Steve! Last year I built a website, 50yearforecast.org, with a built in directory so that (at least in theory) anyone in the country could look up their local meteorologist and encourage them to connect the dots just as your are suggesting. If it would be helpful to have access to that directory just let me know as I would be happy to work together!

Mark Mesle
Chicago, IL
50yearforecast.org
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Doug350
Slow living activist
04:36 PM on 09/11/2012
Hey! Did not see you here until after I posted above: Another place to identify and contact your local TV weather reporter/meteorologist(s) is at http://50yearforecast.org which has a zip-code look up at http://bit.ly/TellYourWeatherman. Good work, Mark!
07:47 PM on 09/10/2012
Steve correctly identified one reason meteorologists might resist connecting the dots on climate change-some are still climate skeptics. However there are other reasons, and I suspect most meteorologists are on board with the science at this point. In discussion with a local meteorologist, I learned that he had prepared a segment on climate change, only to be told by his station manager that he could not air it. The stations may feel constraints from advertisers or political forces in the community. Also, those TV ratings are so important, they might not want to report something that they think might anger core viewers. Thus, I think that face-to-face meetings are crucial, so roadblocks can be discussed and strategies devised. It seems that climate reporting by meteorologists is and idea whose time has come. Thanks for the heads up, Steve!
07:33 PM on 09/10/2012
Dylan didn't need a weatherman,but this is more than which way the wind blows that we're talking about.If this forecast sinks in" The observed warming will be irreversible for many years into the future, and even larger temperature increases will occur as greenhouse gases continue to accumulate in the atmosphere."with it's lack of uncertainty perhaps the work can begin.
05:43 PM on 09/10/2012
From a recent survey of Weathercasters, “TV weathercasters embrace the idea of expanding their role beyond forecasting to becoming “station scientists,” a proposal advanced by the AMS to make the weathercasters the “go to” person in a TV newsroom on a variety of science topics”.

I think this policy is a good one and may reverse some of the cynicism about “Weathermen” that is out there. Those stations that step up should be praised in the HP.

Let's email our local weathercasters and encourage them to share the AMS conclusions with their viewers, to educate them about the difference between climate and weather so they understand that society stands on the brink of very crucial decisions about energy and our role in extreme climate and its terrible consequences.
02:52 PM on 09/10/2012
This is a great idea.
02:29 PM on 09/10/2012
____"There is unequivocal evidence that Earth's lower atmosphere, ocean, and land surface are warming; sea level is rising; and snow cover, mountain glaciers, and Arctic sea ice are shrinking."_____

Climate change is no longer debated in serious academic circles. Most think that solutions are still possible, but time is severely limited - maybe 5 years which means we have to start NOW. Here is a commentary in one of the most conservative paper in America, The Oklahoman. The author is a Roman Catholic Priest and works as an environmental engineer at the University of Oklahoma.

Article at: http://newsok.com/lets-move-toward-a-carbon-free-economy/article/3700859

Your comfort and the future of your children are in the balance.
MaryFrancis