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Steve Valk

Steve Valk

Posted: June 14, 2010 11:49 AM

It's been said it will take a Pearl Harbor-type event for America to get serious about addressing climate change. Well, the bombs are falling, but Congress hasn't declared war on carbon-dioxide.

I'm not talking about the uncontrolled gusher in the Gulf of Mexico that has many people re-evaluating our dependence on fossil fuels. I'm referring to extreme weather events happening throughout the nation involving record rainfall that causes devastating floods. These incidents come as no surprise to climate scientists, who say that warming global temperatures allow the atmosphere to hold and discharge greater amounts of water.

In the pre-dawn hours on Friday, approximately 300 campers in a remote Arkansas valley awoke when water began lapping at their tents. The Little Missouri River, normally 3 feet high, rose to 23 feet in a matter of hours, the result of torrential rainfall. At least 19 people were killed, two dozen were hospitalized, 60 were rescued and about 70 were reported missing. The New York Times reported that "state officials said they could not recall so destructive a flash flood in recent Arkansas history."

The tragedy at the campground is far from a freak event. It follows a pattern of similar never-seen-before downpours that have wreaked havoc from North Dakota to Rhode Island.

In case you missed the catastrophes that should be mobilizing our nation for an all-out assault on climate change, let me recap:

  • In late March of 2009, the Red River crested above 40 feet at Fargo, N.D., where flood stage is 18 feet. The flooding there prompted President Obama to issue this warning: "If you look at the flooding that's going on right now in North Dakota and you say to yourself, 'If you see an increase of 2 degrees, what does that do, in terms of the situation there?' that indicates the degree to which we have to take this seriously."
  • In late September of 2009, 20 inches of rain fell in a day and a half in the Atlanta area, resulting in flooding that killed nine people. About 2,000 people in Austell, Ga., lost their homes or sustained major damage. Water there reached the second floor of many houses, but flooding in Austell is so rare that only 60 flood insurance policies were in force on properties there.
  • In early spring, the Pawtuxet River crested at historic levels, 13 feet above flood stage. More than 2,500 businesses and homes had to be evacuated. As USAToday reported, "Flood levels not seen in Rhode Island since record-keeping began in the 1870s have damaged sewage treatment plants, flooded industrial parks and created an environmental catastrophe."
  • In Nashville, residents are still recovering from flooding caused by 13 inches of rain that fell on May 1st and 2nd. The stage of the Grand Ole Opry was under water. Damage estimates now exceed $2 billion.
  • Just days before the Arkansas flood, 12 inches of rain inundated parts of central Texas causing flash floods that wrapped school buses -- thankfully empty -- around trees. Authorities were called for 89 high-water rescues.


I asked leading climate scientist Dr. James Hansen if the increasing frequency of severe weather events can be attributed to climate change.

"We know with certainty that the extremes of the hydrologic cycle increase as the planet becomes warmer," Hansen responded. "When we say 'you cannot blame an individual event on global warming,' that should not be taken as a lack of confidence in our understanding about the effect of warming on extremes. The increased water vapor in the air (and it increases rapidly with increased temperature) not only yields heavier rainfall events -- it also provides fuel for stronger storms driven by latent heat, including thunderstorms, tornadoes and tropical storms -- so the strongest storms will be stronger. Again, don't blame a single storm on global warming, but look at the statistics -- 100-year floods will occur more often than one per century, 500-year storms will become more frequent, etc."

Hansen, author of the prophetic Storms of My Grandchildren, is unimpressed with the measures currently under discussion in Congress to curtail climate change. At an Earth Day rally in Washington, he unveiled his own proposal, "The People's Climate Stewardship Act." It would impose a steadily-increasing fee on carbon at the source -well, mine, port of entry - so that clean energy becomes competitive with fossil fuels within a decade. Revenue from those fees would be returned to all Americans to offset higher energy costs.

Political leaders must start to connect the dots between these catastrophic floods and our failure to reduce the level of CO2 in the atmosphere. The longer we wait to address the problem, the more frequent these horrific disasters will become.

We have two choices: Move away from fossil fuels, or move to higher ground.

 

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01:32 PM on 06/17/2010
It is long past time for our elected officials to put good public policy ahead of political expediency and look at the solution that the vast majority of the world's leading scientists and economists--including James Hansen--think is best: a revenue-neutral carbon tax.
09:15 PM on 06/15/2010
How much devistation will have to occur before people realize that our climate is infact changing. It's a good heads up, thank you Steve.

The good news is we also have it within our power to move toward climate stability. Local, clean and renewable energy anyone? We are making it happen within our community here in Marin County. I suggest you check it out and ask your Representatives to support the Fee and Dividend Act of 2010. Together with Community Choice Aggregation Laws, we can be moving toward sustainability right NOW!!
10:12 AM on 06/15/2010
Since when are individual weather events attributable to global warming? Why is a cold winter no proof against global warming, but any random thunderstorm is proof of global warming?
06:15 PM on 07/22/2010
Neither a cold winter nor a thunderstorm is 'proof' for or against global warming. A thunderstorm as well as a snow storm provide corroborating evidence for a theory that coheres well with what we know about the heat trapping features of carbon and a few other gases. As the average temperature of the earth rises (you don't deny the raw data, do you?), there will be more surface evaporation and hence more water molecules in the atmosphere, leading to more precipitation. In cold weather, like the middle of winter in the northeast, you'll get more snow and in mild weather, like the middle of summer in the south, you get more rain and flooding. So the theory explains both last winter's high snow fall level in the northeast and this summer's floods in the south.

A cold winter doesn't provide proof against the theory, unless the average temperature of the Earth over a sufficiently long period of time goes down. As it turns out, the average temperature has gone up--dramatically so!

What is so hard to understand here? Why is this so clear & simple to some of us but so mystifying to others, like our friend Ecocampaigner. Is this all just ExxonMobile and BP dollars talking?
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dragonmaster
04:01 PM on 06/14/2010
The bizarre weather events are piling up- here in Connecticut last week we had 4 Tornado warnings!
Funnel clouds where spotted- good thing they did not touch down.

Here in New England we had record amounts (historical in some locales) if rainfall in March
we have had this year the warmest spring on record.

Flooding in Nashville recently- the weird flood in Arkansas over the weekend- and today record rains in Oklahoma.

The media chooses to ignore these events- they are afraid to offend the companies they work for- the advertising revenue of many companies has a decidedly right wing slant.

What kind of event needs to take place? A Tropical Cyclone hiting New York or New England?
A dust bowl in a few years in the Midwest? Or record floods continuing as the atmosphere warmed by the increasing CO2 produces so much water vapor that many parts of the nation has a populace facing destruction and loss of life.
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Midnight Toker
02:49 PM on 06/14/2010
the west side highway is next:

Extreme weather means more terrifying hurricanes and tornadoes and fires than we usually see. But what can we expect such conditions to do to our daily life?

Rob Riess: ''While doing research 12 or 13 years ago, I met Jim Hansen, the scientist who in 1988 predicted the greenhouse effect before Congress. I went over to the window with him and looked out on Broadway in New York City and said, "If what you're saying about the greenhouse effect is true, is anything going to look different down there in 20 years?" He looked for a while and was quiet and didn't say anything for a couple seconds. Then he said, "Well, there will be more traffic." I, of course, didn't think he heard the question right. Then he explained, "The West Side Highway [which runs along the Hudson River] will be under water. And there will be tape across the windows across the street because of high winds. And the same birds won't be there. The trees in the median strip will change." Then he said, "There will be more police cars." Why? "Well, you know what happens to crime when the heat goes up."

And so far, over the last 10 years, we've had 10 of the hottest years on record.

http://dir.salon.com/books/int/2001/10/23/weather/index.html
10:40 AM on 06/15/2010
This same Dr. James Hansen predicted the West Side Highway would be underwater by now, due to Global Warming, over 25 years ago. The man predicts doom for profit and free trips.