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A Disturbing Glimpse of GOP's Low Tax/Limited Regulation Utopia

Posted: 02/ 1/2012 10:06 am

Recently, the US Chamber of Commerce (Chamber) ranked Tennessee No. 1 among our 50 states for its low taxes and limited regulatory environment, and recommended Tennessee as a role model for the nation.

The Chamber, Tea Party, GOP, Grover Norquist, Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich tell us that low taxes and limited regulation will solve America's economic problems, including giving us a balanced budget. Indeed, the Republicans are making a major push to eliminate or reduce state income taxes across the US. Norquist (and others) claim that government programs are a waste, no job is ever created by government, and so on. Tennessee, under their theory, should be a low tax/limited government utopia.

Instead, Tennessee's results imply -- 'you only get what you pay for.' Let's benchmark Tennessee's performance against the rest of the US.

  • Economic: Low taxes and limited regulation haven't resulted in an economic boom for Tennessee. Among American states, Tennessee ranks 48th in median household income, and 35th for its high unemployment rate. Sadly, Chamber members aren't flocking to hire people in Tennessee (see Appendix, below, for details).

Proponents of the 'low tax/limited regulation strategy' tell us it's not just about money, but also about quality of life. So let's see how Tennessee does on some basic metrics for Health, Personal Safety, and Education:

  • Health: Tennessee ranks 45th among American states for life expectancy, and infant mortality is 30% above the national average (Appendix below).
  • Personal Safety: Tennessee's highway fatality rate is 30% above the national average. Its murder rate is 50% above the national average (Appendix below). Maybe hiring a few more police officers would help?
  • Education: Education is one of the core functions of local government, and as America moves towards a hi-tech future -- preparing the next generation should be a priority. Instead, Tennessee does poorly on both quality and quantity metrics. Particularly alarming are Tennessee's significantly lower percentages of high school, college and advanced degree graduates, relative to national averages (Appendix below).

At an overall level among American states, Tennessee was ranked 44th -- where 50th is worst-performing -- by the American Human Development Index (Index). The Index was developed:

'as an alternative to simple money metrics. It is an easy-to-understand numerical measure made up of what most people believe are the very basic ingredients of human well-being: health, education, and income.' Source: The American Human Development Project, 2012.


Correlation is not causality. But it appears that Tennessee residents receive fewer and lower quality services from their government and private sector -- because they spend less money on their government and have a limited regulatory environment.

Oliver Wendell Holmes, Jr remarked, 'Taxes are the price we pay for a civilized society,' and the word 'price' is worth emphasizing. We are a free society and can choose how much government we want to buy, and how much regulation we're willing to accept.

My point isn't that the people of Tennessee have made bad choices, or that other states have made better choices. But when a politician tells you s/he can cut your taxes and reduce regulations -- without increasing the budget deficit, and/or reducing the quantity (or quality) of services -- that politician is likely a liar.

Americans pay ~$2,200/person per year in state taxes; Tennessee residents pay ~$1,700/year.

  • If you live in Tennessee, would you vote for a candidate who asked you to pay $500/year more in taxes, but would improve state results -- with a combination of increased services and regulations -- to, at least, meet national averages?
  • If you live in another state, would you vote for a politician who proposed cutting your taxes by $500/year, but would cut services and regulatory enforcement to make that happen?
  • Do you disagree with my analysis? Do you think other factors are affecting Tennessee's performance relative to national averages?

I welcome your comments!

About the Author: Steven Strauss was founding Managing Director of the Center for Economic Transformation at the New York City Economic Development Corporation (NYCEDC). He is an Advanced Leadership Fellow at Harvard University for 2011-2012. He has a Ph.D. in Management from Yale University and over 20 years private sector work experience. You can follow him on twitter at: @Steven_Strauss.

Appendix with Sources
Economic:

  • Median Household Income: Tennessee's ~$40,000 (ranked 48th). National average is (~$51,000), and best performing state (New Hampshire) is ~$66,000.

  • Unemployment Rate (December 2011): Tennessee's ~8.7% (ranked 35th). National average is 7.7%, and best performing state (North Dakota) is only 3.3%.

Health

  • Life Expectancy: Tennessee's is 75 years (ranked 45th). National average is 78 years, and best performing state (Hawaii) is 82.

  • Infant Mortality Rate (measured as deaths of infants under 1 year old per 1,000 live births): Tennessee's is 8.9 (ranked 44th). National average is 6.9, and best performing (Washington State) is 5.1.


Personal Safety

  • Highway Fatalities Measured as Deaths per 100 Million Vehicle Miles Travelled: Tennessee's is 1.4. National average is 1.1, and best performing state (Massachusetts) is .6.

  • Murder Rate per 100,000 of Population: Tennessee's is 7.4. National average is 5.1, and best performing state (New Hampshire) is .9.


Education


  • Educational Attainment for Persons 25 years and older: 83% of Tennessee residents at least graduated High School, 23% obtained Bachelors' degrees, 8% went on to advanced degrees. Comparable national percentages are 85%, 28%, 10%.

 

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02:10 AM on 02/02/2012
In general, politicians are liars.
Both parties.
It goes with the job description.
IMHO.

However, the Repugs who push a low tax and limited regulation "utopia" are among the cruelest of liars.
They know it will make things worse for the vast majority of ordinary Americans yet they just don't care.
As long as the upper classes are taken care they have done their jobs.
The vast majority of Americans are thrown to the financial wolves with not a speck of conscience or empathy.
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Steven Strauss
06:54 AM on 02/02/2012
Thank you for your comments, btw in terms of the political power of the affluent you may find this of interest http://www.huffingtonpost.com/steven-strauss/the-1-control-our-congres_b_1202324.html

It sites some peer reviewed academic research on the political power of the affluent in America.

Best s
11:24 PM on 02/01/2012
Another factor to look at is how much federal aid does Tenn require vs. how much tax revenue it produces. If Tenn is being subsidized by other states, then that's not really a true comparison (though it may be NY and CA don't mind subsidizing since only so many people can live near the coasts - they'll get the money back when visitors come as tourists to see "Cats").
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donk970
Hard working member of the 99%
06:20 PM on 02/01/2012
I'd sure like it if someone could give me a rational ( "not fair" doesn't count ) reason for not raising taxes on the wealthy. I've heard all sorts of "not fair" types of arguments but not a single rational, "if you do x then y will happen" type reason.
02:17 AM on 02/02/2012
Check out from the end of the Great Depression and WWII to the early 1980's.

Tax rates were higher and they had strict regulations in place.
America did well and the vast majority of Americans lived well.
It was....WAS the golden age of the American middle and working classes.

The 1980's....onward.
Approx. 30 years or so.
Fast forward to today after a 2008 economic meltdown and aftermath AFTER 30 years of lowering income tax rates and deregulation.

30 or so years of lowering income tax rates and deregulation.....DESPITE increased outsourcing costing American jobs and capability to pay (obviously needed to run the country) income taxes.....AND long term war(s).

Now tell me what is better for the vast majority of Americans AND America.....the golden age from around 1940 to 1980 of higher income tax rates and strict regulation OR what is happening today?

I rest my case.
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Steven Strauss
07:01 AM on 02/02/2012
Thank you for taking the time to comment, btw I looked at the issue you outlined above.

Marginal income tax rates have been declining since WW II, and GDP growth rates have also declined. This post http://www.huffingtonpost.com/steven-strauss/tax-cuts-economic-growth-_b_1031376.html has a table setting out the marginal tax rates and related growth rates. I hope you find it of interest.
02:19 AM on 02/02/2012
The ONLY "rational" reason out there for not raising taxes on the wealthy......is that the wealthy do NOT want to pay higher tax rates AND have the money to buy politicians who will do what they are told.
04:48 PM on 02/01/2012
Steve............. CLinton did it with Welfare reform and cut taxes............ economy: not so bad. Short memory?

Tax cuts in the 1920's 1961, 1981 and 2004 sparked BOOMING economies and INCREASED federal tax revenue....... everytime!!

According to the IRS the 2004 Bush tax cuts resulted in a $785 billion dollar increase in federal tax revenue by 2007, the largest increase in federal tax revenue in just four years in US HISTORY...................HMMMMMMMMMMMMM.
07:48 PM on 02/01/2012
What you failed to see was that following everyone of those tax cuts came a recession. Every time within 10 years or less.
02:25 AM on 02/02/2012
The Repugs only see when something is done (tax cuts and no immediate consequences).

They can NOT see what happens shortly after (somebody else has to clean up the financial mess if they can).
10:25 AM on 02/02/2012
AC.........

How many recessions did we have between 1981 and 2007??
02:24 AM on 02/02/2012
Uh, you are FORGETTING unfunded wars under Bush.

Even if revenue increased (which I would like to see proof)....MORE money was spent....A LOT MORE.

Remember, it is NOT just what you earn but what you spend too.
And Bush went crazy spending like a drunken sailor AFTER passing tax rate cuts.

I ran two businesses at one time and you do NOT cut income (or let it remain the same) AND heavily increase expenses when you are already skating on thin financial ice.
10:22 AM on 02/02/2012
Peanut PLEASE....... short spewing baseless MSNBC talking points.

Try COSTOFWAR.COM which has a running tally of the cost of the Iraq war since March 2003. Last I looked it the cost of the Iraq war for the past NINE years was $790 billion. The Bush tax cuts raised $785 billion in just four years.

The last Budget written by a Republican COngress and signed by Bush was FY 2007 which had a deficit of $163 billion. The next year Pelosi and Company wrote the FY 2008 Budget which TRIPLED the deficit to over $450 billion. From then on Obama and Pelosi could not even bother with a budget and have had deficits of over 1.2 to 1.5 TRILLION every year. The CBO just announced the 2012 SPENDING deficit (STILL NO BUDGET) will again exceed 1 Trillion for the fourth year in a row.

Obama has spent more and increased the deficit more in three years than Bush did in all eight years. In 2008 Obama called Bush's spending "irresponsible" and unpatriotic" yet he has spent trillions more than Bush in just three years with NOTHING to show for it.

They don't mention ANY of this on MSNBC?
04:08 PM on 02/01/2012
At what rate are people from other states moving to Tennessee, and why move there if it is such a hell hole as you suggest. Why not stay in the "utopian" states of california, michigan , illinois. ?
I guess reality trumps ratings and polls. People want to live where there is less regulation and more freedom.
09:06 AM on 02/02/2012
Yeah, thats what people think until they actually have to live that way. Our rightwing governor is doing all the things the article talks about - cutting corporate taxes, cutting taxes on the rich while raising taxes on the poor, cutting Medicaid while privatizing it, cutting public services, laying off government employees, slashing education.

It turns out all those GOP voters don't like what they're getting. There's major push-back on some of his cuts, and rebellion in the legislature from the GOP legislators.

People think they don't want to pay taxes, but they don't know what they've got till it's gone. After it's gone, they find out they don't like it one bit.
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lrobb
Southern Rational
03:48 PM on 02/01/2012
Mark Twain may have said it best. "There are liars, da---m---ned liars, and statisticians." Before you take these statistics at face value, you need to ask some very critical questions.

The median household income means absolutely nothing without also knowing the cost of living in the state compared to other states. My income dropped significantly when I moved from California to South Carolina, but my lifestyle ratcheted up about 100 notches. What is the cost of housing in Tennessee relative to the cost of housing in California? How about food, gas and clothing?

Poverty, education and longevity are all cultural factors. If you have a high percentage of any historically disadvantaged population in your state, those numbers are going to be lower than, say, Massachusetts or Wisconsin.

One of the other results of any larger than normal percentage of disadvantaged persons is that a much larger percentage of the state budget is spent servicing their needs than, say, ploughing money into higher education or infrastructure courtesy of federal mandates.

It is difficult to make an objective decision about the quality of life in a state unless you know the facts behind the statistics.
09:07 AM on 02/02/2012
Move to Kansas and join the ranks of the GOP voters who're getting the same kinds of things TN is getting. It turns out those GOP voters don't like the results of all that tax-cutting and service-slashing and the Gov. is getting major pushback even from GOP legislators.
06:52 PM on 02/03/2012
You were only able to do these things because the state of california enabled you to do so. Of course more highly desired land on the coast in california cost more, it just makes sense economically. There are more people in california, so that raises the price of goods. I would like to let you know that I do not believe california is perfect, but the greater amount of money you had from having a higher wage and most likely more savings enabled you to have a better life for you and your family. This will most likely be transfered to the next generations in your family, as long as the school districts out there are semi-decent, which usually isn't the case in southern states (low-tax states).
George Picard
Send lawyers, guns and money
03:40 PM on 02/01/2012
Highest income, NH, not really a liberal state that.

Also it states the national unemployment rate is 7.7% in dec. 2011. It far higher then that, about 8.5%
03:40 PM on 02/01/2012
The author said: "If you live in another state, would you vote for a politician who proposed cutting your taxes by $500/year, but would cut services and regulatory enforcement to make that happen?"

This is exactly what is happening in Wisconsin right now. This is the Scott Walker T-bagger mantra. Services are reduced because of less funds and the laws he and the Fitz bros have rammed thru the legislature. If this is allowed to continue, we will end up a lot like Tennessee.

But there are folks applauding these actions. So to say that some would not blindly accept reduced services, is not correct. There are many that don't value the services that the government supplies, whether they benefit from it or not.
09:09 AM on 02/02/2012
In Kansas, which has been recognized as the one state that's trying to implement pure Tea Party government, the GOP voters are having buyers' remorse and are very unhappy to see all their services go away, to see education eviscerated, and to realize that Tea Party government includes lowering taxes on the rich and raising taxes on the poor. The Gov. is experiencing a mini-rebelling from the GOP in the legislature.
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Kenneth Alton
03:25 PM on 02/01/2012
Tennessee also receives more revenue from the federal government than it pays out (monies from states like California and New York, both high tax states). So conditions for the citizens of the state of Tennessee would likely deteriorate even further if tax revenue from contributing states declined as they started emulating Tennessee per US Chamber of Commerce recommendations.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
otalp
Vermont dem
03:19 PM on 02/01/2012
I mean Somalia.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
otalp
Vermont dem
03:19 PM on 02/01/2012
Probably the best place in the world for low taxes and low regulations is Samalia. Just sayin'.
wsdave
Abusive or Insulting? I won't be responding.
10:40 PM on 02/01/2012
The best place in the world for high taxes and high regulation is Angola. Just sayin'.
07:46 AM on 02/03/2012
Yeah but Angola has $116.001 billion in GDP, making them 64th in the world and is currently stable and peaceful. Somalia has $5.896 billion ind GDP, making them 158th in the world and is not stable and certainly not peaceful. Between Angola and Somalia, Angola is still doing better. Just sayin'
03:14 PM on 02/01/2012
Individual results may vary. Consult your tax advisor before beginning any new confiscation regimine. Side effects include loss of freedom, unregulated growth of government, and dependency on the morals and ethics of politicians has been noted to occur in 100% of cases who rely on government.
03:46 PM on 02/01/2012
More fact free propaganda from your local conservative.
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SmileAndActNice
Utilitarianism, the -ism that works.
05:23 PM on 02/01/2012
Government greatly increases my freedom.

Everything I have I owe to the U.S. government for not letting my family rob me of opportunity as so many families do for so many girl children the world over.

They wouldn't even have taught me to read given a choice in the matter. But Uncle Sam didn't give them a choice in the matter.

They wouldn't send me to college. But Uncle Sam gave me a full ride scholarship ( national merit scholar, 1575/1600 Sat, etc ).

At the college that GOVERNMENT sent me to I met the love if my life.

Thanks Government!!!!

Using the education that GOVERNMENT gave me, I started a successful business.

Thanks Government!!!

My birth family ignored me. The church tried to quash me. But Government raised me up and taught me how to fly.

Taxes are so much better than charity because charities are run by biggotted jerks who pick and choose who to help and try to use their power over the people who need help to bully them into conformance with various ideologies and religions. In return for their help they demand your soul. Now that is an assault on freedom!

Government just helps.
wsdave
Abusive or Insulting? I won't be responding.
10:42 PM on 02/01/2012
Taxes pay to bomb innocent people in Iraq and elsewhere.

Happy with that?

After all, taxes are better than charity, and government just helps.
11:41 AM on 02/02/2012
Wow, talk about a nanny government success story. Have you ever tried to accomplish something on your own?
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dcflush
The nickname is about poker, not politics
03:12 PM on 02/01/2012
I believe that taxes are currently far too low. In fact, they are currently the lowest they've been in generations. Most Dems believe that at a minimum, taxes should go back to the levels from the mid to late 1990s. And that for the wealthy, possibly even higher than that.

I personally believe that the military needs to be cut significantly and that doing so is possible while still keeping the most powerful and capable military in the world, by far. We currently spend more than the next fifteen nations combined. That's absurd.

I also believe spending on the drug war needs to be eliminated and that funding put into drug awareness and rehabilitation where it will be more cost effective.

I believe the areas that need increased spending are education and research primarily. We must have the most qualified and smartest populace in the world and thus have the highest paid workforce in the world. And we must be the most technologically advanced nation, always.

These are general principles shared by many, including politicians. Many won't be so bold in their desires, but I believe that my very general guidelines above will lead to a better America. One that we were heading towards 50 years ago, but to which we've lost our way, primarily due to the Republican mantra of trickle-down and deregulation.

And while President Obama doesn't always act perfectly with what I'd like, he has us on the proper path.
wsdave
Abusive or Insulting? I won't be responding.
04:55 PM on 02/01/2012
What difference would raising the taxes make? It wouldn't generate any more revenues.
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mech126
I believe government works, if you let it.....
06:02 PM on 02/01/2012
Did you really just say something that stupid...... Raising taxes (DOES) raise new revenues...
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
dcflush
The nickname is about poker, not politics
10:08 AM on 02/02/2012
That's a ridiculous contention and proven wrong by data and statistics.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
SmileAndActNice
Utilitarianism, the -ism that works.
05:57 PM on 02/01/2012
Psst ... Blue states have the most educated workforce in the world. Red states have been letting us down as a nation on that front.

In fact, we have a shortage of high end technical workers overall in the nation as blue states can't keep up with demand for them.

This is why, for example, apple built its new plants overseas. It can't find enough qualified engineers at home.
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Reaganite60
Don't tread on me.
02:50 PM on 02/01/2012
Name on conservative who has promised utopia. You can't because there has never been a conservative that has.

Pursuing utopia is what Marxists like Barack Obama do. Any leftist politician that tells you he can create utopia by taxing, spending and creating bigger government is probably lying. No amount of government spending or any kind of a safety net will ever eliminate poverty. All big government does is create additional problems that require even bigger government to solve.

That won't stop utopians from trying, though. We'll get one failed liberal policy after another. The same ones that destroyed housing, made a college education unaffordable, driven healthcare costs through the roof and created inflation to the point that many need to rely on credit and borrowing just to stay in the middle class. Nothing creates poverty and misery like liberalism does.

Having said all this, Democrats never take responsibility for their failed policies because to admit failure is to admit a flawed ideology and power hungry dictators like Obama have far too large an ego to ever admit failure. His first term has been an unmitigated disaster with laughably stupid economic policy that continues to create additional unemployment and anemic economic growth but he won't take responsibility for it.

The only thing Obama will do to try and get re-elected is to blame Bush and continue to attempt to deliver the utopian fantasy he promised everyone in 2008.
03:51 PM on 02/01/2012
No one, not even Obama, has promised "Utopia." But conservatives never met a lie they didn't like to spread. And speaking of never admitting failed policies, it was a GOP/W administration that oversaw the financial collapse and beginning of TARP. But you wouldn't want to admit that, would you?
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02:49 PM on 02/01/2012
Sotte voce, the Repubs are all about an 'us/them' mentality, appealing to the worst of human instincts. So, of course, why would I give what's "mine" to help "them?"