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Stewart J. Lawrence

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The GOP's Least Known but Best Qualified VP Candidate May Be a Woman

Posted: 05/07/2012 10:53 am

Mitt Romney's wife Ann may not be the only "secret weapon" the GOP's presumptive nominee is planning to deploy this fall to try to surmount his embarrassing double-digit gender gap with President Obama among women voters.

Another may be Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R-WA), the vice-chair of the House Republican conference, and the party's fourth most powerful official, whom some GOP insiders believe could end up being tapped as Romney's running mate.

Never heard of her? You're not alone. She first won election to Washington's fifth district in 2004 and has risen steadily up the GOP ranks ever since, earning a solid reputation on both sides of the aisle for her stalwart work on several important House committees, including Armed Services and Energy, in addition to serving in 2008-2010 as co-chair of the bipartisan House Women's Caucus, which has pushed, among other things, for pay equity, tougher child support enforcement, and more federal and state funding for women's health programs.

But until recently, despite her otherwise impeccable conservative credentials (including a 96 percent rating from the American Conservative Union), Rodgers' rise has been overshadowed by the emergence of more flamboyant Tea Party-aligned figures like former Alaska governor Sarah Palin and Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN), as well as by two just-elected Republican female governors, Nikki Haley in South Carolina and Susana Martinez in New Mexico.

But that's probably about to change. The political stars of Palin and Bachmann are rapidly fading, and Haley, though still mentioned as a VP possibility, has been criticized in South Carolina by both parties for currying favor with business interests in Georgia at the expense of her own state. And in contrast to Rodgers, who, by all appearances, is a highly effective Romney "surrogate," Haley largely failed to rally GOP voters behind Romney in the South Carolina GOP primary, allowing rival Gingrich to win a stunning upset.

In fact, like her fellow Indian-American governor Bobby Jindal of Louisiana, who completely muffed his own national political debut -- and probably killed his shot at the VP slot -- with a miserable State of the Union rebuttal to Obama in 2009, Haley now languishes in the Republican doghouse and probably won't be let out anytime soon.

By contrast, Rodgers' exhibited considerable political skill last weekend when she appeared on Meet the Press to do battle with popular MSNBC host Rachel Maddow and recently disgraced Democratic political consultant Hilary Rosen. It's the first time a national television audience has gotten a close look at the four-term congresswoman, and even outgunned, she managed to hold her own. Maddow, who's no shrinking violet herself, of course, quickly went on the offensive, suggesting that Rodgers, despite her gender, was defending a GOP candidate with a horrible record on women and virtually no chance of broadening his appeal to female voters. Rodgers, she implied, was little more than a political fig leaf -- in effect, a female "Uncle Tom."

But Rodgers, clearly anticipating the attack, quickly struck back, reminding viewers that in 2010 the GOP had actually beaten the Democrats among women for the first time since Ronald Reagan. Women, like most voters, Rodgers insisted, care mostly about the state of the economy, including the escalating national debt, rising health care costs, and persistent joblessness, and the effect that all are having on their families. And the Democrats, she argued, had largely invented a Republican "war on women" to distract female voters away from Obama's policy failures that were actually hurting women the most.

If the ensuing debate remained largely civil, it's probably due to the grudging respect that Rodgers, just 42, seems to engender even from her critics, especially, it seems, from women. She may be staunchly pro-life, but as the former House Women's Caucus co-chair, she also has real "street cred" on women's issues, including her support for a legislative compromise on the Violence Against Women Act, which other Republicans, including her fellow VP aspirant Marco Rubio, have opposed. Rodgers champions the gains that women are making in education, business, and politics, and though she did vote against the Lilly Ledbetter Fair Pay for Women Act -- a "bad bill," she says, but something of a litmus test for Democratic women -- she insists that she genuinely supports the principle of "equal pay for equal work," and is genuinely concerned about employment and pay discrimination.

And it's not just wavering female voters Rodgers might help the party woo. She could also help Romney, a foreign and defense policy neophyte, win over another key voting constituency: military veterans. While Republicans tend to clean up with the 4 million active-duty soldiers who are heavily concentrated as absentee voters in battleground states like Florida, the nation's 23 million veterans tend to divide their allegiances more evenly, and in recent years have tended to tilt more Democratic. Rodgers, though, has been on the front-lines of every major pro-veteran legislative initiative since she first took office, earning her a 100 percent rating from two leading veterans groups (American Veterans and the Vietnam Veterans of America). And in 2006, she married a retired U.S. Navy commander with Republican party connections, which has added to her political cachet, while bolstering her image as a defense hawk.

How likely is Rodgers to get the VP nod? About as likely as Palin once was -- but in the end, of course, Palin did, for much the same reason that Romney might end up picking Rodgers. Still, with the fall-out from the Palin VP fiasco still so fresh, the GOP may be reluctant to walk down Pander Road again, even if the party's female running mate this time turns out to be a seasoned pro, not a rock star, and one who, despite her youth, can clearly handle herself on the issues and on the stump in a way that Palin never could.

But, of course even if Rodgers does get the nod -- a prospect that may grow, as more prominent VP prospects pull back -- putting a highly competent woman on the GOP ticket may not be enough to offset the impression that Romney's Mormon-inflected vision of America is simply too far removed from the one shaped, ineluctably, by the rise of modern feminism. Rodgers, in fact, would still only be the VP, and while the job's clearly grown in importance in recent years, it remains, constitutionally at least, an afterthought. Unless Romney were to offer a full-throated endorsement of some of Rodgers' more pro-woman stances, naming her VP would likely leave the impression that she's at best a potential figurehead, chosen more for her tactical value, than a reflection of the candidate's own evolving views, which, in the end, are the ones that matter most.

But make no mistake: Rodgers is no religious yahoo or strident Tea Party advocate. Her demure but solid presence near the top of the Romney the ticket -- if not actually on it -- may well keep some female independents disaffected from Romney open to further argument, especially if the economy continues to sputter. And in the longer run, Rodgers' entrance onto the national stage should serve as a warning to Democrats that the era of "glitz and ditz" ushered in by Palin and her look-alikes -- failed U.S. Senate candidate Christine O'Donnell in Delaware readily comes to mind -- may be rapidly drawing to a close. Like other up-and-coming GOP representatives, including Jaime Herrera, one of the new breed of conservative Latinos now being actively recruited by Republicans for higher office -- Rodgers is completely changing the face of the GOP "woman."

Which means that even if Obama does retain his lead with female voters and ends up prevailing this November, successfully stigmatizing the GOP on gender issues is likely to get much harder down the road.

 
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Mitt Romney's wife Ann may not be the only "secret weapon" the GOP's presumptive nominee is planning to deploy this fall to try to surmount his embarrassing double-digit gender gap with President Obam...
Mitt Romney's wife Ann may not be the only "secret weapon" the GOP's presumptive nominee is planning to deploy this fall to try to surmount his embarrassing double-digit gender gap with President Obam...
 
 
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04:32 PM on 05/08/2012
I think she would most likely be a mistake as a VP pick. She's stronger than Palin was, but I think the media would be after her like sharks smelling blood in the water. 'Folksy' can easily be portrayed as idiotic and many women seem to really dislike the Palin/Bachmann type. The truth of the matter is that the gender gap is just a fact of life as far as partisan politics goes. Romney would do better to soften his stance on some social issues and try to spin a sort of free-market, female entrepreneurial plank, something along the lines of "women can't rely on the public sector alone for employment/empowerment, we need more female small business owners, inventors, investors. The free market will allow women build more wealth and have more political influence ect." Although the abortion issue sort of limits his ability to make a signifcant impact. Would the right wing base vote for a pro-choice Republican just to oust Obama? Hard to tell
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becky bradshaw
"In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth
09:52 PM on 05/07/2012
Condi, Condi, Conda . . . . oleezza Rice!

"The top of the list are former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and Rick Santorum.

Rice, who played a high-profile role in the George W. Bush administration as secretary and national security adviser, led the way with 26 percent, followed by Santorum with 21 percent."

Reference: http://slatest.slate.com/posts/2012/04/19/mitt_romney_condi_rice_cnn_poll_shows_former_secretary_of_state_a_popular_pick_for_gop_vp_nominee.html
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Stewart J. Lawrence
Veteran policy analyst and news journalist
02:31 AM on 05/08/2012
Becky, yes, but since when do GOP party nominees choose their VPs based on Republican name-recognition polls? She served under Dubya and my impression is, none of the Bush-era VP prospects are going to make it. Romney is facing an incumbent like Obama who is going to close the deal with voters by sharply contrasting himself with Bush on both domestic and foreign policy. And Rice's only real experience was her 8 years at NSC and State under Bush. Obama practically got elected on the Iraq war, which she still steadfastly defends.

Consider also that top GOP people, like her former foreign and defense policy colleagues, Don Rumsfeld and Dick Cheney. DESPISE her, especially after the release of her memoir. Rice in some ways is delightful, personally, but when she's interviewed, the longer it goes on, the more her prima-donnish, academic nature really comes to the fore. She starts to come across as a lightweight.

She's potentially a Palin disaster ion the making. No one even knows if she can campaign.
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becky bradshaw
"In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth
07:39 AM on 05/08/2012
Hi Stewart, I see the problems with a Bush link. But she carries less baggage than most since she was State department. We really would have a problem with a former Commerce Secretary, right?

The fact that Rumsfeld and Cheney dislike her should be viewed as a positive. Historians will place much of the Bush failure at their hands. If they don't like her, she should be that at the top of her resume.

Would Ms. Rice automatically be another Palin because she is female? Wouldn't that apply to Ms Rodgers and Ms. Haley? Rice has credentials that none of the above can match. Rice is a proven public speaker, and would thrive in a campaign.
09:49 PM on 05/07/2012
This is a great article, and an important one. I've thought for a while that Cathy McMorris Rodgers would be Romney's strongest running mate, and this article makes a great case for her. Romney needs someone who can appeal to women, Independents, young people, the middle class - basically anyone who isn't already a conservative Republican - but would also be appealing to the base (which CMR is), and acceptable to the DC elites (they already know her). I expect she'll be on Romney's short list, and I think a lot of people will be talking about her this summer.
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walkthewalk
Watch what people do, not what they say
04:46 PM on 05/07/2012
The GOP just doesn't get it. The fact that they are once again considering putting a female on the ticket for VP to close the gender gap Romney has with women, shows that they don't understand women at all. We don't want to be patronized; we want to be valued. We don't want you to say how you're all for women's rights; we want you to stop trying to take them away.
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gevan
big dubya
03:54 PM on 05/07/2012
Rodger's ability to change the subject (from her support of Blunt to the 2010 demographics) doesn't imply smarts. I just makes her look shifty. Tennessee's Marsha Blackburn has as much gravitas as this one.
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Stewart J. Lawrence
Veteran policy analyst and news journalist
07:55 PM on 05/07/2012
Every politician masters the art of shifting from a question she doesn't want to deal with directly to one framed within her own talking points. Every Democratic congresswoman would do exactly the same when faced with difficult questions. I agree, though, she's not as good at it as others are. If you asked Debbie Wasserman Schultz, Debbie, if women are so afraid of Republicans, how come 2 years ago a majority defied the first female House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and voted for GOP candidates for the first time in 30 years, Debbie might be asking for a bathroom break.

As for Blackburn, who knows? She's 60, so she's quite a bit older than Rodgers, but in fact, she hasn't been in the House much longer, and doesn't seem to have the confidence of the House GOP leadership the way Rodgers does. She's actually slightly more conservative and doesn't have those defense credentials that Rodgers has.

Were Romney to win with Rodgers, she would likely emerge as an important bridge to the current House GOP leadership, which could be important for Romney to hit the ground running. Biden with his long Senate ties has helped Obama a lot. Romney is really inexperienced, and those GOP guys seem to love Rodgers, but inside the administration, she could also buffer House criticism, as Romney moves closer to the center to govern, which contrary what people on the left so often think, is inevitable, no matter what party you belong to.
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gevan
big dubya
11:51 PM on 05/07/2012
A majority of low turnout for mid-terms. Many voters of all sexes were unhappy with the trajectory of 2010 and voted for what they thought would be change. Are they happy with the change they got? Doesn't seem so.
03:17 PM on 05/07/2012
Here is her record--not many of the women I know will be waiting for her to be the next "game changer".

And it appears that on her Congressional home page that her first name is spelled with a "C". Catherine's and Kathleen's, Katherine's and Cathleen's and Kathryn's too are pretty picky about how you spell their name.

http://www.ontheissues.org/House/Cathy_McMorris.htm
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Stewart J. Lawrence
Veteran policy analyst and news journalist
05:16 PM on 05/07/2012
Well, how many Republican, Republican-leaning or even Democratic-leaning indie women do you actually know?

I am genuinely curious as to why you think so many women vote Republican? Including, for example, 51-49 percent over Democratic candidates in the 2010 mid-terms?

Just massive self-delusion and self-hatred? Women too down on the farm to do anything but vote like their hubbies?

The name spelling was corrected I believe. Thanks.
11:09 AM on 05/09/2012
I know lot of Republican-leaning women--not so many indie ladies--but my Democratic brother likes indie. Most of the 51% that voted in a off-year election,( hint-hint) weren’t aware at the time, that the goal of the so-called fiscally responsible tea party was a Theocracy--with Biblical Law and Biblical Capitalism on the agenda. They know it now--
We can get back to each other after the 2012 election and compare notes--OK?
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phal4875
The world is run by cats; we just feed them.
03:04 PM on 05/07/2012
Choosing a woman from the Northwest failed badly during the last presidential election. Palin could not outshine many, but Mitt might look bad next to a smart woman.
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CrnkyOldMan
I'll accept Co's as people when TX executes one
02:50 PM on 05/07/2012
Isn't standing a strong woman (or man) next to Romney going to shine an even greater light on his weak communication and social skills? Watching Ann speak for Mitt made me feel uncomfortable. It's a forgone conclusion that Mitt is essentially a rubber-stamp for the neo-con agenda. May as well put another bland white guy next to him in the mean time.
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becky bradshaw
"In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth
03:09 PM on 05/07/2012
How about Condoleezza Rice? She handles herself well intellectually, and Mitt would not be overshadowed by her beauty. If Ms Rice could prop up Bush's ego, she has extraordinary man skills. In a CNN poll in April, Ms. Rice was the clear Republican favorite for the slot.

Reference: http://slatest.slate.com/posts/2012/04/19/mitt_romney_condi_rice_cnn_poll_shows_former_secretary_of_state_a_popular_pick_for_gop_vp_nominee.html
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RRonin
Fortune favors the brave
02:18 PM on 05/07/2012
Rodgers is a loyal backbencher who parrots the party line, so in that sense, she is a good choice. Far better that Rodgers would be Olympia Snowe, Kay Bailey Hutchinson, or Condoleeza Rice. Fat chance they'll be considered.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Stewart J. Lawrence
Veteran policy analyst and news journalist
05:08 PM on 05/07/2012
Rice probably IS under consideration? But I suspect that any Bush-era official won't make it. And that goes for former Bush administration officials like Mitch Daniels and even Rob Portman, who is otherwise a leading contender.

McCain should have gone with Kay Hutchison in 2008. She's not as maverick as Snowe and she might have actually helped McCain with women. I think she's no longer politically relevant, though.

I think GOP pollster Kelly Ane Conway is right, the choice will be a surprise, but not a shocker. It won't be anyone who's been very visible thus far.
10:01 PM on 05/07/2012
I agree. I've seen no indication that Rice or Hutchison are even slightly interested in it; furthermore, they're at different stages of their career (for Rice, it's the post-Administration "Concerned Citizen of the World" stage - not even remotely connected to DC politics; as for Hutchison, she's getting ready for retirement - she's retiring from the Senate this year, 69 years old, and eager to return to Texas, which is why she ran for Gov in 2010).
02:13 PM on 05/07/2012
Another woman who talks about supporting women while actually voting against them. Don't think it's going to work this time. We have finally awoken to discover that as far as Republicans are concerned, we should all be barefoot and pregnant, unless we need puppets to reassure women that Republicans "care".
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Stewart J. Lawrence
Veteran policy analyst and news journalist
04:59 PM on 05/07/2012
If it's so patently obvious that the GOP thinks women are half-human, why do so many women vote Republican year after year?
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02:09 PM on 05/07/2012
Conservatism has so alienated women that Romney almost has to nominate a woman VP. Their own war against women makes a woman VP even more likely. Then they can say "what war on women"? with only the slightest of smirks.
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chadizzy
03:59 PM on 05/07/2012
Actually the gender gap is nor more than it really ever been. More clueless sheep following the propaganda!
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02:06 PM on 05/07/2012
The fact that a woman is a republican shows that she does not have the mental ability to be President. Of course I think the same about a man. Believing in conservatism is in itself a disqualifier for the office.
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Stewart J. Lawrence
Veteran policy analyst and news journalist
03:25 PM on 05/07/2012
Nearly half of American women, and an even higher percentage of White women, consistently vote Republican. Are half of America's women out of touch with themselves - or do they just disagree politically?
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01:02 PM on 05/08/2012
They are out of touch with themselves and disagree politically.
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SpeakupNation
Pray for the dead and fight like hell for the livi
12:27 PM on 05/07/2012
I agree with what others here have said: This pick is very unlikely since geographically, she offers nothing. And merely trying to pander to women in a shallow manner will only serve to further alienate Romney from them.
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voteindependent
stultorum nunquam discere
12:18 PM on 05/07/2012
I dont - I am still waiting for Ann to disclose her"temple"garments!

CAN WE GET SOME TRANSPARENCY HERE?????????


:)
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Hoosierbrad
I know it when I see it.
11:51 AM on 05/07/2012
Picking a woman from the state of Washington will help the Republican ticket? Bwahahaha! She wouldn't even deliver her home state! Parading Republican women in front of the electorate is not proof that Republicans do not engineer policies and enact laws which hurt women in this country. The intelligent and thoughtful women have seen too much during the last 15 months to try to pull that one over their eyes. Pres. Obama will likely get 58 - 60% of the women's vote, easily.
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kapalabhati
Lokah Samasta Sukhino Bhavantu
12:44 PM on 05/07/2012
That Rmoney gets one woman's vote, his wife's included, is astonishing.
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ez14livin
01:53 PM on 05/07/2012
maybe the gotp should simply hold a "pagaent"