Whether a president's ratings rise or fall, they aren't running for reelection so their approval numbers have no effect on their prospects. The only issue of concern is their legacy. The same is true with Obama.
Is it worrisome that our federal government is paralyzed in partisan deadlock? Have we so little expectation of officeholders that we view politics as simply a sideshow; and if we vote at all, do we pull the lever based on nothing more than name recognition?
Barack Obama had a pretty bad month inside the Beltway, with Republicans on the warpath over multiple scandals. Outside Washington, Obama didn't have too bad a month at all, as his job approval ratings barely budged.
In April, Obama's numbers returned to a normal level, after experiencing a very short post-election "honeymoon period" with the public which bounced his numbers up to a peak, and then bounced them right back down again.
President Obama lost almost all the ground he had gained late in the 2012 election season. He hit a new low in approval and a new high in disapproval for his second term, as the honeymoon bounce completely evaporated.
It's a tough place for Obama to be in with the GOP loaded for bear against him, and Democrats ready to do battle hard against him on what they won't accept in a budget deal. It's a problem that's far bigger for Obama than the momentary drop of a few points in an approval poll.
As expected, Obama's "second honeymoon" in the polls is starting to fade. The election is long over, the inauguration is fading from memory, and now the real legislative struggles of Obama's second term have begun.
Ohioans have elected Mr. Tan, rested and ready to office 11 times despite the fact that there is no other politician on Capitol Hill who more embodies the ethic of sell-your-soul-to-the-1-percent. Mad about the bailouts of bad banks? Blame Boehner.
Obama is currently enjoying not only a vacation with his family in Hawai'i, but also a "second honeymoon" with the public at large. If history is any guide, the fiscal cliff deal could create another wave of approval on top of the "second honeymoon."
November was certainly good to President Obama. He won the election at the beginning of the month, and he's been riding a "bounce" in the polls ever since. There are two notes of caution here, though, for Obama fans.
We need to re-elect the party of the 99%. If you've got money and/or the time, support their cause. Democrats may hold their noses when it comes to the Citizens United decision but when you're at war, you've got to fight fire with fire.
President Barack Obama's job approval numbers are back "above water" (where his approval rate is higher than his disapproval number), continuing an impressive rise in the polls, which began in November of last year.
While 2011 was a volatile year for the president, he didn't lose all that much ground. He ended the year on an upswing, and while he still isn't in great shape for the election, he is heading upwards and things are looking a lot better than they did a few months ago.
Almost every analyst agrees that it is too soon to say with much confidence whether President Obama will win in November. However, both theory and data suggest that the conservatism of his opponent is likely to matter less than Nate Silver's model suggests.