Bradley Effect

The "Fluke Effect": Remember Tom Bradley?

Richard Brodsky | Posted 05.15.2012

Read More: Abortion, Rush Limbaugh, Mitt Romney, Republican Primary, Contraception, Sandra Fluke, 2012 Election, Bradley Effect, Republican Presidential Candidates, Elections 2012, Birth Control, Gop Primary, Politics News
Richard Brodsky

The repercussions of Rush Limbaugh's truly ugly attacks on Susan Fluke won't be known until November. But if you remember 1982, there was a voter phenomenon, "The Bradley Effect," that has lingered in the public consciousness ever since, and may well come into play in 2012.

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As Prop 8 Trial Concludes, Study Shows Risk of Rushing to Ballot

Paul Hogarth | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: California Gay Marriage, Prop 8 Trial, Prop 8, Gay Marriage Polling, Maine Gay Marriage, Public Opinion, Gay Marriage, Bradley Effect, Marriage Equality, Election Polls, Politics News
Paul Hogarth

Today, the Proposition 8 trial in San Francisco Federal Court will hear its long-awaited closing arguments -- as gay marriage advocates prepare to return to the ballot.

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Forces in Obama Landslide

Ricardo Rossello | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Polling Methodology, Polling Mistakes 2008, John McCain, Mccain, Obama, Election Results, Barack Obama, Sarah Palin Katie Couric Interview, Commitment Indexes, Obama Victory, Battleground States, Obama Wins, Obama Election Day, Voter Volatility, President Obama, Cell Phone Voters, Election Reaciton, Barack Obama Race, Polling Numbers, 2008 Presidential Election, Palin Effect, Sarah Palin Popularity, Sarah Palin, Election Analysis, Obama Landslide, Swing States 2008, Bradley Effect, President Elect Obama, Politics News
Ricardo Rossello

Ever since Obama's historic election as the first African-American President, the pundits have been trying to demystify the voter attitudes and behavior that led to this unprecedented outcome.

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No Bradley Effect Seen In Presidential Race

AP | ALAN FRAM | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Bradley Effect, Obama White Voters, Obama Bradley Effect, Obama Polls, Obama Racism, Barack Obama, Obama Results, Barack Obama Results, Politics News

WASHINGTON — Whether whites supported Barack Obama or not, they don't seem to have lied to pollsters about it. Obama's election triumph on Tues...

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Voting Expert William Jacoby Knows How You're Going To Vote

Diane Tucker | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Polls, John McCain, Journal of Politics, Youth Vote, Political Blogging, Michigan State University, University of Michigan, Independent Voters, Reagan Democrats, Democratic Party, Diane Tucker, 2008 Election, Bradley Effect Obama, Barack Obama, Offthebus, Pollsters, Undecided Voters, Dwight Eisenhower, John McCain Vietnam, Huffington Post Off the Bus, Cnn, Say No to Pollsters, Media Coverage of 2008 Election, Vietnam War, Racism, Presidential Election, Republican Party, Bradley Effect, Great Depression, Voting, Home News
Diane Tucker

As the polls grow tighter, more people wonder what the electorate will be thinking on Nov 4. OffTheBus posed that question to political scientist Will...

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The Bradley Effect? No Chance

Matt Littman | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Obama, Mccain, Palin, Bradley Effect, President Barack Obama, Barack Obama President, Barack Obama Wins, Barack Obama Election, Politics News
Matt Littman

If I'm wrong on this one, I know you'll let me know - but I'm not going to be wrong. The Obama victory on Tuesday is going to be bigger than the polls suggest.

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Obama Is Dominating in the Polls, but Four Things Keep Me Awake at Night

Mitchell Bard | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Polls, West Virginia Voting Machines, October Surprise, Rasmussen, Michael Mukasey, Michael Dukakis, Race, Ashley Todd, Virginia Flyers, Nate Silver, New Yorker, Jay Nixon, fivethirtyeight.com, George H.W. Bush, Missouri Governor, Voter Fraud, Mccain Campaign Ashley Todd, John McCain, Dana Carvey, Ohio Voter Fraud, Acorn, Bush Orders Doj to Investigate Ohio Election, Rasmussen Polls, 2008 Election, Barack Obama, Hendrik Hertzberg, Florida Voting Problems, Swing States, Pennsylvania, Sarah Palin, Swing State Polls, Kenny Hulshof, New York Times, Joe Lieberman, Jon Lovitz, Saturday Night Live, North Carolina Voting Problems, Robert Kennedy, Bradley Effect, Election Anxiety, Obama Polls, Politics News
Mitchell Bard

As a lifelong Democrat who has seen my party lose winnable races, I can't help thinking about how things can go wrong this year. These are the four factors that keep me up at night.

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McCain Campaign's Old White People Strategy

Miles Mogulescu | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Obama McCain, McCain Palin, Election '08, Palin Mccain, Voter Suppression, 2008 Election, Obama Campaign, Barack Obama, Campaign '08, John McCain 2008, Mccain Palin Ticket, Palling Around With Terrorists, 2008 Presidential Race, Joe the Plumber, 2008 Campaign, Bradley Effect, Politics News
Miles Mogulescu

McCain's strategy is that there is enough of a "Bradley effect" that the election is 3%-5% closer than the polls indicate, and that scare tactics can convince another 3%-5% of white voters not to vote Obama.

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Friday Talking Points [53] -- Why McCain Is Losing, And Why Democrats Shouldn't Say So

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Paris Hilton, Debate, Tactics, Youth Vote, Winning the News Cycle, Mccain Losing, Pat Leahy, Experience, Rovian, Straight Talk Express, Hardball, Mccain, 72, Campaign, Sarah Palin, Losing, Base, Mukasey, 2008, Brag, Midotw, Craig Ferguson, Old, Katie Couric, News Cycle, Most Impressive Democrat of the Week, Couric, First Debate, Democrat, Letterman, Suspending His Campaign, Joe Biden, 08, Press, Democrats, Chris Matthews, Barack Obama, Biden, Election, 08 Election, Lightweight, Elections, Michele Bachmann, Access, Mddotw, 30 Rock, McCain Campaign, Video the Vote, Hillary Clinton, McCain Errors, Campaign Theme, Polls, Election Night, Glasses, Video Your Vote, Obama, Keith Olbermann, Media, Clinton, Bias, New Hampshire, Snl, Most Disappointing Democrat of the Week, 2008 Campaign, Bachmann, John McCain, Karl Rove, Strategy, McCain Mistakes, Centrist, Age, Center, Bragging, 2008 Elections, Ad, 2008 Election, Theme, 08 Campaign, No Talk Express, Palin, 2008 Presidential Race, Close Race, Leahy, Saturday Night Live, Tina Fey, Steve Schmidt, Bradley Effect, David Letterman, Politics News
Chris Weigant

John McCain is losing the race for the White House. Now, this doesn't mean he has already lost it -- we've still got to go vote, after all. I'll cov...

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How Pundits Get The Bradley Effect Wrong: Not Just About Race

Washington Independent | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Bradley Effect, Obama Bradley, Tom Bradley, Barack Obama, Obama Racism, Obama Tom Bradley Effect, Obama Bradley Effect, Obama Race, Politics News

Political pundits are hyperventilating over the possibility that Sen. Barack Obama's lead in presidential polls is overstated and that the so-called "...

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Weekly Roundup, Readers Drowning in the Mud of McCain's Campaign

Chris Nelson | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: John McCain, Mccain Racism, Presidential Debate, Barack Obama, Joe the Plumber, Racism, Obama Muslim, Obama Muslim Smear, Muslims in America, Election 2008, Campaign 2008, Bradley Effect Obama, Bradley Effect, Home News
Chris Nelson

While Obama continues to outspend and outcool his way to national polling margins that are increasingly insurmountable, McCain has latched on to Joe the Plumber as his last vestige of hope while his campaign continues the barrage of negativity through ads and robocalling.

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Debunking the "Bradley Effect"

Joel B. Schwartzberg | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Tom Bradley, 2008 Election, Bradley Effect Obama, Barack Obama, Poll Numbers, Bradley Effect, Media News
Joel B. Schwartzberg

Analysts and pundits are resurrecting talk of the Bradley Effect as if it were a matter of science, when it may actually be pseudoscience. Are we digging deeply enough to find the truth?

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What the Canadian Election Might Say About November 4th

Adam Rose | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Bradley Effect, Stephen Harper, Barack Obama, Canadian Election, Presidential Race, Stephane Dion, Michael Ignatieff, Conservative, Liberal, American Election, John McCain, Canada, Politics News
Adam Rose

Don't be surprised if election day brings a surprise or two. If Canada -- that liberal bastion -- can vote for a conservative government, so too can America.

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Six Pollsters Can't Be Wrong! Bradley Effect Not Likely, Says Polling Panel

Huffington Post | Rachel Sklar | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Sam Feist, Time-CNN Politics Summit 2008, Bradley Effect, Eat the Press, Video, Media News

CNN Political Director Sam Feist moderated a really interesting panel at yesterday's Time-CNN "Politics '08" summit called "The Power of Polling: Dail...

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Drudge Report Incites "Kill A Mockingbird" Racial Fear Of Obama

Martin Lewis | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Self-Loathing Gay, Self-Loathing Jew, Mudslinging, Matt Drudge, Barack Obama Race, Race, Gutter Journalism, Rovian Politics, Bradley Effect Obama, Hail McCain Pass, Desperatation, Fear Watch 2008, Gutter Politics, Racism, Fear Tactics, Karl Rove, Pandering, Hail Mary Pass, Xenophobia, Subliminal Messaging, Barack Obama, Barack Obama 2008, Low-Road, Fear Mongering, Subliminal Advertising, Lee Atwater, Subliminal Messages, Last Ditch, Subtle Racism, Bradley Effect, Hail Mary, Mccain Rovian Tactics, Media News
Martin Lewis

This photo does not appear anywhere in the linked story. It is only on the Drudge Report front page.

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In A Climate Of Fear, Let's Remember To Breathe

Judy Muller | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Swing State, Retirement Funds, Bradley Effect, Fear, Economic Crisis, Nafta, Economy, Ross Perot, Autumn, Mexico, Election 2008, Recession, Colorado, Home News
Judy Muller

As Barack Obama pulls ahead in the polls, his supporters are holding their collective breath, afraid to speculate on the outcome, afraid to say it out loud, lest the polling Gods curse their arrogance and spin this thing the other way.

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How the Coming Obama Landslide Will Trump the Bradley Effect

Steve Kettmann | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Landslide, John McCain, Attack Politics, Sarah Palin, Barack Obama, Bradley Effect, Obama Racism, Racism, 2008 Election, Politics News
Steve Kettmann

The Bradley Effect should be understood as one factor among many on Election Day, and we can probably assume that in the 26 years since Bradley lost that race, we have made some progress.

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Bradley Who? Here Comes the Obama Effect

Daniel Okrent | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Tom Bradley, Race in Politics, Obama Bradley Effect, Racial Voting, Race and Politics, Bradley Effect Obama, Barack Obama, Bradley Effect, Politics News
Daniel Okrent

Everyone's fretting that the dreaded Bradley Effect will turn up in this election. But there's another shoe to drop on this issue -- and it may change the electoral map for years to come.

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Projecting an Obama Victory

Norman Solomon | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Tom Bradley, John McCain, Palling Around With Terrorists, Terrorism, Bradley Effect, Bill Ayers, Racism, Michael Dukakis, Barack Obama, Sarah Palin, Voter ID, Willie Horton, Politics News
Norman Solomon

The poll numbers so far this month have fostered the belief that the current economic crisis is close to dooming the McCain campaign. But any crystal ball that offers assurance of an Obama victory is a piece of junk.

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The Democratic Convention, From Evanston

Michael Jones | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Clintonites, Democratic Convention, Bill Clinton, Obama Bradley Effect, Bradley Effect, Evanston Hoi Polloi, Emil Jones, Evanston, Hillary Clinton, Emil Jones Uncle Tom, Hillary Evanston, Barack Obama, Obama Evanston, Hillaryites, Chicago News
Michael Jones

There was no joy in Evanston. The Democrats had found much to disagree on and little to unite around.

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Obama and the Bradley Effect

Michael Fauntroy | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Barack Obama, Tom Bradley, 2008 Election, Bradley Effect Obama, Bradley Effect, Politics News
Michael Fauntroy

Racism is the bully in the schoolyard of American politics and culture. One does not overcome a bully by ignoring it but, rather, by confronting it and exposing it for what it is.

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The Bradley Effect v. The Obama Effect

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: John McCain, Youth, Youth Vote, Poll, 2008 Elections, 08, Campaign, Undecided, 2008 Election, Barack Obama, Election, 08 Election, Pollsters, Obama Effect, Elections, Nate Silver, 08 Campaign, 2008 Presidential Race Polls, Opinion Poll, 2008, 2008 Campaign, Turnout, Young Vote, Cell Phones, August, Pollster, Bradley Effect, September, Opus, Politics News
Chris Weigant

Will Obama's white voter support in the polls be higher than his actual support on Election Day? Will this be a regional factor, or a nationwide factor? And how big a factor is it?

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Fear of Islam Hurts Obama in Kentucky

Matthew Palevsky | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Islam, Bradley Effect, Democratic Primary, Politico, Barack Obama, Matthew Palevsky, Kentucky, Racism, Rumors, Election 2008, The Real News, Politics News
Matthew Palevsky

One might have thought that the Wright scandal would have extinguished Obama's rumored connection to Islam. Instead, it has only strengthened the spurious claims about his faith.

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