Forces in Obama Landslide
Ever since Obama's historic election as the first African-American President, the pundits have been trying to demystify the voter attitudes and behavior that led to this unprecedented outcome.
Ever since Obama's historic election as the first African-American President, the pundits have been trying to demystify the voter attitudes and behavior that led to this unprecedented outcome.
AP | ALAN FRAM | Posted 12.08.2008 | Politics
WASHINGTON — Whether whites supported Barack Obama or not, they don't seem to have lied to pollsters about it. Obama's election triumph on Tues...
Diane Tucker | Posted 12.01.2008 | Home
As the polls grow tighter, more people wonder what the electorate will be thinking on Nov 4. OffTheBus posed that question to political scientist Will...
Matt Littman | Posted 11.30.2008 | Politics
If I'm wrong on this one, I know you'll let me know - but I'm not going to be wrong. The Obama victory on Tuesday is going to be bigger than the polls suggest.
Mitchell Bard | Posted 11.28.2008 | Politics
As a lifelong Democrat who has seen my party lose winnable races, I can't help thinking about how things can go wrong this year. These are the four factors that keep me up at night.
Miles Mogulescu | Posted 11.24.2008 | Politics
McCain's strategy is that there is enough of a "Bradley effect" that the election is 3%-5% closer than the polls indicate, and that scare tactics can convince another 3%-5% of white voters not to vote Obama.
Chris Weigant | Posted 11.24.2008 | Politics
John McCain is losing the race for the White House. Now, this doesn't mean he has already lost it -- we've still got to go vote, after all. I'll cov...
Washington Independent | Posted 11.21.2008 | Politics
Political pundits are hyperventilating over the possibility that Sen. Barack Obama's lead in presidential polls is overstated and that the so-called "...
Joel B. Schwartzberg | Posted 11.17.2008 | Media
Analysts and pundits are resurrecting talk of the Bradley Effect as if it were a matter of science, when it may actually be pseudoscience. Are we digging deeply enough to find the truth?
Chris Nelson | Posted 11.17.2008 | Home
While Obama continues to outspend and outcool his way to national polling margins that are increasingly insurmountable, McCain has latched on to Joe the Plumber as his last vestige of hope while his campaign continues the barrage of negativity through ads and robocalling.
Adam Rose | Posted 11.15.2008 | Politics
Don't be surprised if election day brings a surprise or two. If Canada -- that liberal bastion -- can vote for a conservative government, so too can America.
Huffington Post | Rachel Sklar | Posted 11.15.2008 | Media
CNN Political Director Sam Feist moderated a really interesting panel at yesterday's Time-CNN "Politics '08" summit called "The Power of Polling: Dail...
Martin Lewis | Posted 11.14.2008 | Media
This photo does not appear anywhere in the linked story. It is only on the Drudge Report front page.
Steve Kettmann | Posted 11.10.2008 | Politics
The Bradley Effect should be understood as one factor among many on Election Day, and we can probably assume that in the 26 years since Bradley lost that race, we have made some progress.
Judy Muller | Posted 11.10.2008 | Home
As Barack Obama pulls ahead in the polls, his supporters are holding their collective breath, afraid to speculate on the outcome, afraid to say it out loud, lest the polling Gods curse their arrogance and spin this thing the other way.
Daniel Okrent | Posted 11.08.2008 | Politics
Everyone's fretting that the dreaded Bradley Effect will turn up in this election. But there's another shoe to drop on this issue -- and it may change the electoral map for years to come.
Norman Solomon | Posted 11.06.2008 | Politics
The poll numbers so far this month have fostered the belief that the current economic crisis is close to dooming the McCain campaign. But any crystal ball that offers assurance of an Obama victory is a piece of junk.
Michael Jones | Posted 10.03.2008 | Chicago
There was no joy in Evanston. The Democrats had found much to disagree on and little to unite around.
Michael Fauntroy | Posted 09.21.2008 | Politics
Racism is the bully in the schoolyard of American politics and culture. One does not overcome a bully by ignoring it but, rather, by confronting it and exposing it for what it is.
Chris Weigant | Posted 09.11.2008 | Politics
Will Obama's white voter support in the polls be higher than his actual support on Election Day? Will this be a regional factor, or a nationwide factor? And how big a factor is it?
Matthew Palevsky | Posted 05.31.2008 | Politics
One might have thought that the Wright scandal would have extinguished Obama's rumored connection to Islam. Instead, it has only strengthened the spurious claims about his faith.
Ricardo Rossello | Posted 12.15.2008 | Politics