What Could Go Wrong?
Every morning for the last month, I have posted updates looking at poll trends. When poll methodology is standardized, polls should be good at helping...
Every morning for the last month, I have posted updates looking at poll trends. When poll methodology is standardized, polls should be good at helping...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
My NationalJournal.com column, which looks at specualtion over the Bradley Effect and whether the undecided vote will "break" to McCain from a differe...
Guest Pollster | Posted 05.25.2011
Guest Pollster Nick Panagakis is president of Market Shares Corporation, a marketing and public opinion research firm headquartered in Arlington Heigh...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
We probably shouldn't be surprised that SNL would offer its take on the polling controversy everyone else wants to talk about. Here, "Jesse Jackson" ...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
Just yesterday, I expressed a bit of frustration that much of the recent media focus on the "Bradley-Wilder Effect." Much of it, and much of the debat...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
The last few days have certainly been a boon for anyone interested in the "Bradley Effect" (also known as, variously, the Wilder or the Bradley-Wilder...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
My NationalJournal.com column this week reviews the three big sources of worry among pollsters and others about the accuracy of polling this fall: the...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
Robert Novak's column last week led with this reference to the Pennsylvania exit poll results: When Pennsylvania exit polls came out late Tuesday a...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
Mickey Kaus has been arguing over the last week that the greater emphasis on racial issues in the Clinton-Obama nomination contest may have caused a r...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
In case you missed our update, the most recent Gallup Daily result on the Democratic race shows a near dead-heat, with Barack Obama ahead of Hillary C...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
So in which state did pollsters have a tougher time, New Hampshire or South Carolina? The answer, based on an objective measure of survey error, may s...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
Some thoughts about tonight's South Carolina's primary, including some follow-up on yesterday's post on the variation in pre-election poll results: 1)...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011