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Brendan Nyhan

A Compelling Case for 'Knowledge-Based Journalism'

Dan Kennedy | Posted 02.17.2014 | Media
Dan Kennedy

In the early 1990s the media identified an existential threat: violent crime. But violent crime was actually on the decline in the early '90s -- including a 4 percent drop from 1993 to '94. Thus journalistic malpractice led to policy malpractice, with consequences we continue to live with today.

Jason Linkins

Obama Second-Term Scandals Predicted

HuffingtonPost.com | Jason Linkins | Posted 05.15.2013 | Politics

Way back when, we noted that mathematical odds and political science all but ensure that eventually, scandals happen in presidencies. But the Obam...

Jason Linkins

White House Scandal On The Way, Says Math

HuffingtonPost.com | Jason Linkins | Posted 07.31.2011 | Politics

Hey, America! Are you ready for some high-level presidential scandals? No, no, calm down. I have none to report. But what's being reported is that one day -- maybe someday soon! -- there will be a scandal to report, and this can be totally proven with mathematics. So, should a scandal blossom, it's now been predicted. If one fails to materialize, well, that just means there's one around the corner. The scandal could drop at any moment.

Mark Blumenthal

Opinions Of Health Reform Law Unchanged One Year Later

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- A new survey released last week by the Kaiser Family Foundation shows that "little has changed on the public opinion front" regarding he...

Mark Blumenthal

Obama's Rising Approval: Is Tucson Responsible?

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- President Barack Obama has received consistently-good news from recent polls showing modest but consistent improvement in his job-approv...

A President's Choice: Resist Wall Street's 'Shock Doctrine' or Keep Listening to the Usual Suspects

Richard (RJ) Eskow | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Richard (RJ) Eskow

To win elections Democrats need to get the economy moving, and you can't do that in a "centrist" way. They should compromise when they must, but this time they need to make it clear that they are compromising.

Inflation May Be Under Control, But Watch Out for Conflation

Michael Sigman | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Michael Sigman

As a 22 year-old cub reporter for a music magazine, I freaked when my boss assigned me to interview "'The Strawberries,' a very important group," whic...

Rating Pollster Accuracy: How Useful?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

I have been posting quite a bit lately on the subject of the transparency of Nate Silver's recently updated pollster ratings, so it was heartening to ...