Economic Forecasts

Forecasting for Failure

Evan Soltas | Posted 05.04.2012

Read More: U.S Economy, Federal Reserve, Macroeconomic Policy, Economics, Economy, Economic Forecast, Economic Forecasts, Business News
Evan Soltas

The Congressional Budget Office is forecasting the slowest real recovery in the post-war era, and given trend inflation which does not rise above 2 percent, the slowest nominal recovery in the postwar era.

Read Post

Mark Gongloff

The Bond Market Is Trying To Tell Us Something

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Gongloff | Posted 02.07.2012

Read More: US Economy, Bond Market, U.S. Economy, Markets, Economic Forecasts, Economics, Stocks, Stock Market, Bonds, American Economy, Stock Market News, Business News

For the past few months, the stock market has been behaving like a reveler who's had just a little too much to drink, and the bond market has been beh...

Read Whole Story

Less Chance Of Double Dip Recession, But 2012 Forecast Still Fairly Gloomy

The Huffington Post | Alexander Eichler | Posted 12.29.2011

Read More: Economy 2012, European Debt Crisis, U.S. Economy, Housing Market, Housing Prices, Eurozone, Gdp, Unemployment, Economic Forecasts, Economic Outlook, Unemployment Rate, Double-Dip Recession, Hiring, Foreclosure, Gdp Growth, Video, Business News

The economy might avoid a worst-case scenario next year -- but that doesn't mean things are on track to go well. In a poll published Wednesday by C...

Read Whole Story

Strong Policy Action -- The Essence of Restoring Global Economic Hope

Olivier Blanchard | Posted 11.21.2011

Read More: Fiscal Consolidation, Economic Rebalancing, Public Debt, Financial Volatility, Bank Balance Sheets, World Growth, International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook, Private Demand, Bank Capital, Imf, Public Deficits, External Rebalancing, Current Accout Surpluses, Sovereign Bonds, Olivier Blanchard, Weak Balance Sheets, Current Account Deficits, Low Growth, Bank Lending, Medium-Term Fiscal Consolidation, Economic Forecasts, Imfdirect, Downside Risks, Video, Business News
Olivier Blanchard

The global economy has entered a dangerous new phase. The recovery has weakened considerably, and downside risks have increased sharply. Strong policies are urgently needed to improve the outlook and reduce risks.

Read Post

What Next for Economic Growth?

Jared Bernstein | Posted 09.18.2011

Read More: Unemployment, Gdp, Economic Growth, Economic Forecasts, Economy, Business News
Jared Bernstein

2011-07-19-ern.pngI don't mean to be gloomy, but I fear the latest predicted economic growth patterns are going to come later, rather than sooner.

Read Post

Janell Ross

Unemployment Crisis Puts Global Recovery At Risk, OECD Says

HuffingtonPost.com | Janell Ross | Posted 07.25.2011

Read More: Consumer Confidence, World Economy, Housing Market, Unemployment, Economic Forecasts, Oecd Unemployment, Gdp Growth, Oced, China, Business News

Global recovery might be under way, but so long as unemployment remains elevated worldwide, recovery will remain fragile at best, a new report finds. ...

Read Whole Story

A Summer Global Slowdown

Jerry Jasinowski | Posted 07.24.2011

Read More: U.S. Economy, Gdp, Economic Forecasts, Economics, Double-Dip Recession, Recession, Debt Limit, Business News
Jerry Jasinowski

It is altogether possible that all those black swans we've been reading about -- debt crises, floods, earthquakes, nuclear meltdowns, Mideast uprisings -- are finally having an impact on business confidence.

Read Post

Economists' Number 1 Risk: The Budget Deficit

Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: U.S. Budget Deficit, National Association of Business Economics, Deflation, Economic Forecasts, Inflation, Federal Debt, Economists, Economic Recovery, Business News

WASHINGTON: The massive U.S. budget deficit is the gravest threat facing the economy, topping high unemployment and the risk of inflation or defla...

Read Whole Story

Signs of a Nifty Jobs Surprise

Dan Dorfman | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Investing, Goldman Sachs, Unemployment, Economic Forecasts, Wall Street, Stock Market, Economy, Federal Reserve, Jobs, Seismic Activity, Job Creation, Business News
Dan Dorfman

A lot of leery stock market players are suddenly hot to trot again, obviously seduced by the recent rise in equity prices, namely a surge in the Dow of more than 1,000 points or about 11% since Sept. 1.

Read Post

Goldman Sachs Posts Strong Quarter, Despite Lower Trading

AP | STEPHEN BERNARD | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Earnings, Banks, Goldman Sachs, Trading Volume, Economic Forecasts, Revenue, Investment Banking, Business News

NEW YORK — Goldman Sachs Group Inc.'s earnings easily beat analysts' forecasts again, but the bank saw a big slowdown in trading, its most profi...

Read Whole Story

Will Money Market Rates Be a Victim of the Fed (Again)?

Richard Barrington | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Best Cd Rates, Money Market Accounts, Goldman Sachs, Investing, Wall Street, Economic Forecasts, Bonds, Interest Rate Cut, Oil, Cds, Federal Reserve, Stimulus, Business News
Richard Barrington

In short, you should think about bond market trends when making decisions about your deposit accounts, but don't necessarily believe everything you hear from Wall Street.

Read Post

BRIC and Beyond: How Aging Populations Strain Economic Growth

Howard Steven Friedman | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Economic Forecasts, Economic Crisis, Bric, China, World News, Population, US Economy, Goldman Sachs, Population Growth, South Korea, Gdp Growth, Russia, Economic Stimulus, Economic Recovery, India, Gdp, Economy, Business News
Howard Steven Friedman

Age distribution in BRIC and N-11 is important because there's an age range where the population is more likely to be employed and producing economic growth.

Read Post

Milken Forecast (PHOTOS)

Huffington Post | Nathaniel Cahners Hindman | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Interest Rates, Milken Institute, Economic Forecasts, Slidepollajax, Double-Dip Recession, Jobs, Gdp Growth, Economic Growth, Robert Shiller, Recession, Business News

First the bad news: a growing number of economists suggest the U.S. has significant chance of falling into another recession -- and today's GDP number...

Read Whole Story

BRIC and Beyond: Should You Believe Long Term Economic Forecasts?

Howard Steven Friedman | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: US Economy, Population, Russia, Population Growth, India, Goldman Sachs, Gdp, Economic Forecasts, South Korea, Economy, Economic Crisis, Economic Stimulus, Economic Recovery, Gdp Growth, Bric, China, World News
Howard Steven Friedman

What should we make of economic forecasts 40 years in the future? How many economic forecasts from 1970 projected that China would be the largest exporter in the world in 2010?

Read Post

Forecasting with a Grain of Salt

Michael J. Panzner | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Financial Crisis, Economists, Gdp, Economic Forecasts, Economics, Economy, Business News
Michael J. Panzner

Bloomberg News is out with its latest monthly survey of economists' forecasts and, according to those polled, the U.S. economy "will grow 3 percent th...

Read Post

The Best and Worst Economic Forecasts of All Time

Sheldon Filger | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Ben Bernanke, Nouriel Roubini, Nostradamus, Economic Forecasts, Global Economic Crisis, Business News
Sheldon Filger

Perhaps the most inaccurate and inept economic forecast of all time was delivered relatively recently by Ben Bernanke who n October '05 said, "There's no housing bubble to go bust"

Read Post

AP: Recession's Impact Show Signs Of Moderating

AP | MIKE SCHNEIDER and JEANNINE AVERSA | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: U.S. Economy, AP Economic Stress Index, Economic Forecasts, Consumer Spending, Recession, Business News

The economy's tailspin gave way to a more controlled descent in the spring, according to The Associated Press' monthly analysis of economic stress in ...

Read Whole Story

Roubini: Recession May Last 9 More Months

Reuters | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: U.S. Economy, Nouriel Roubini, Economic Forecasts, Economy, Economic Crisis, Rgemonitorcom, Roubini Dr Doom, Recession, Business News

SEOUL (Reuters) - Nouriel Roubini, the famously glum economist who predicted the financial crisis, said that while the recession in the United States ...

Read Whole Story

Obama Budget Relies On Optimistic Economic Forecast

Wall Street Journal | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Economic Forecasts, Federal Budget Deficit, Budget, Obama Budget, Federal Budget, Politics News

Rosy's back. The famed Rosy Scenario, coined in the early days of the Reagan White House when large tax cuts and higher defense spending were assumed...

Read Whole Story

Forecast: Housing Slump To Push Economy To Brink Of Recession

AP | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Recession, Economic Forecasts, Economic Growth, Housing Slump, Business News

Ongoing weakness in the housing market will push the national economy to the brink of recession, but growth in other areas should put the country back...

Read Whole Story