Economic Forecasts

Forecasting for Failure

Evan Soltas | Posted 05.04.2012

Evan Soltas

The Congressional Budget Office is forecasting the slowest real recovery in the post-war era, and given trend inflation which does not rise above 2 percent, the slowest nominal recovery in the postwar era.

Mark Gongloff

The Bond Market Is Trying To Tell Us Something

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Gongloff | Posted 02.07.2012

For the past few months, the stock market has been behaving like a reveler who's had just a little too much to drink, and the bond market has been beh...

Less Chance Of Double Dip Recession, But 2012 Forecast Still Fairly Gloomy

The Huffington Post | Alexander Eichler | Posted 12.29.2011

The economy might avoid a worst-case scenario next year -- but that doesn't mean things are on track to go well. In a poll published Wednesday by C...

Strong Policy Action -- The Essence of Restoring Global Economic Hope

Olivier Blanchard | Posted 11.21.2011

Olivier Blanchard

The global economy has entered a dangerous new phase. The recovery has weakened considerably, and downside risks have increased sharply. Strong policies are urgently needed to improve the outlook and reduce risks.

What Next for Economic Growth?

Jared Bernstein | Posted 09.18.2011

Jared Bernstein

2011-07-19-ern.pngI don't mean to be gloomy, but I fear the latest predicted economic growth patterns are going to come later, rather than sooner.

Janell Ross

Unemployment Crisis Puts Global Recovery At Risk, OECD Says

HuffingtonPost.com | Janell Ross | Posted 07.25.2011

Global recovery might be under way, but so long as unemployment remains elevated worldwide, recovery will remain fragile at best, a new report finds. ...

A Summer Global Slowdown

Jerry Jasinowski | Posted 07.24.2011

Jerry Jasinowski

It is altogether possible that all those black swans we've been reading about -- debt crises, floods, earthquakes, nuclear meltdowns, Mideast uprisings -- are finally having an impact on business confidence.

Economists' Number 1 Risk: The Budget Deficit

Posted 05.25.2011

WASHINGTON: The massive U.S. budget deficit is the gravest threat facing the economy, topping high unemployment and the risk of inflation or defla...

Signs of a Nifty Jobs Surprise

Dan Dorfman | Posted 05.25.2011

Dan Dorfman

A lot of leery stock market players are suddenly hot to trot again, obviously seduced by the recent rise in equity prices, namely a surge in the Dow of more than 1,000 points or about 11% since Sept. 1.

Goldman Sachs Posts Strong Quarter, Despite Lower Trading

AP | STEPHEN BERNARD | Posted 05.25.2011

NEW YORK — Goldman Sachs Group Inc.'s earnings easily beat analysts' forecasts again, but the bank saw a big slowdown in trading, its most profi...

Will Money Market Rates Be a Victim of the Fed (Again)?

Richard Barrington | Posted 05.25.2011

Richard Barrington

In short, you should think about bond market trends when making decisions about your deposit accounts, but don't necessarily believe everything you hear from Wall Street.

BRIC and Beyond: How Aging Populations Strain Economic Growth

Howard Steven Friedman | Posted 05.25.2011

Howard Steven Friedman

Age distribution in BRIC and N-11 is important because there's an age range where the population is more likely to be employed and producing economic growth.

Milken Forecast (PHOTOS)

Huffington Post | Nathaniel Cahners Hindman | Posted 05.25.2011

First the bad news: a growing number of economists suggest the U.S. has significant chance of falling into another recession -- and today's GDP number...

BRIC and Beyond: Should You Believe Long Term Economic Forecasts?

Howard Steven Friedman | Posted 05.25.2011

Howard Steven Friedman

What should we make of economic forecasts 40 years in the future? How many economic forecasts from 1970 projected that China would be the largest exporter in the world in 2010?

Forecasting with a Grain of Salt

Michael J. Panzner | Posted 05.25.2011

Michael J. Panzner

Bloomberg News is out with its latest monthly survey of economists' forecasts and, according to those polled, the U.S. economy "will grow 3 percent th...

The Best and Worst Economic Forecasts of All Time

Sheldon Filger | Posted 05.25.2011

Sheldon Filger

Perhaps the most inaccurate and inept economic forecast of all time was delivered relatively recently by Ben Bernanke who n October '05 said, "There's no housing bubble to go bust"

AP: Recession's Impact Show Signs Of Moderating

AP | MIKE SCHNEIDER and JEANNINE AVERSA | Posted 05.25.2011

The economy's tailspin gave way to a more controlled descent in the spring, according to The Associated Press' monthly analysis of economic stress in ...

Roubini: Recession May Last 9 More Months

Reuters | Posted 05.25.2011

SEOUL (Reuters) - Nouriel Roubini, the famously glum economist who predicted the financial crisis, said that while the recession in the United States ...

Obama Budget Relies On Optimistic Economic Forecast

Wall Street Journal | Posted 05.25.2011

Rosy's back. The famed Rosy Scenario, coined in the early days of the Reagan White House when large tax cuts and higher defense spending were assumed...

Forecast: Housing Slump To Push Economy To Brink Of Recession

AP | Posted 05.25.2011

Ongoing weakness in the housing market will push the national economy to the brink of recession, but growth in other areas should put the country back...