Of course, we are heading into debate season, so things could always change, but at the moment it is looking decidedly good for an Obama win. Here's how the election would break down if held today.
Mr. President, you are my Kennedy, my Reagan. It was you who made me interested in the political discourse, and what our government is doing. It was you who made me register to vote the first chance I could, even though it was not an election year.
Since the last time we took such a snapshot, roughly three weeks ago, both candidates have shown some firming up of their positions, but the good news for both candidates is mixed with some softening as well.
Canadian politics over the last several weeks has been hands-down the best drama on television. It is also in a state of crisis and in urgent need of the type of political renewal the U.S. is going through.
Instantly networked communications allow anybody see whatever they want and tomorrow's public exercise in democracy will be the first example of a massively transparent election.
Welcome to the penultimate Electoral Math column.
OK, I admit, I just like correctly using the word "penultimate." Plus, it's fun to say! Try it!
If...
More and more, it is looking like Virginia will be the state that decides Election Night in Obama's favor. Sure, it could be Florida or Ohio, but my guess is that the vote-counting is going to take a while in both of them,
It's going to be all but impossible to continue the "we're in a dead heat" nonsense if Barack Obama decisively wins Florida and Virginia when the East Coast returns come in.
Barack Obama has made some gains since last week, to put it mildly. While he hasn't wildly increased his Strong numbers, at least the trend is in the right direction.
Today was a banner day for Obama in the national polls (especially the one that puts him up nine points, 52/43) -- but they are largely meaningless, since that is not how we elect our president.
The national trend for Obama may have turned around in his favor in just the last couple of days. So even though things look grim here, Obama is already starting to bounce back.
Obama has slipped below the magic 270 number for the first time since he became the Democratic presumptive nominee, and McCain has just about caught up with him.
It's time once again to take a look at the Electoral College math from state-level polling. Nationwide polls are not completely meaningless, but they are pretty irrelevant as that's not how we elect a president.
It's been about a month since we last took a look under the microscope at the possible outcomes of the Electoral College vote this November, so it's time for an update.