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Electoral Votes

2012 Electoral Math -- Debate Effects Remain to Be Seen

Chris Weigant | Posted 12.08.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

National polls have pulled back into a neck-and-neck contest. This is all fun for the pundits, who (pre-debate) were on the verge of declaring the race all but over (and, hence, boring), but we hasten to remind everyone that this is not how we elect presidents.

2012 Electoral Math -- Obama Solidifies Bounce

Chris Weigant | Posted 11.26.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Of course, we are heading into debate season, so things could always change, but at the moment it is looking decidedly good for an Obama win. Here's how the election would break down if held today.

Why Ohio Is So Pivotal for Romney

David Rothschild | Posted 11.25.2012 | Politics
David Rothschild

The flip state is Ohio at 77.3 percent for Obama and 22.7 percent for Romney. This is a great, simple approximation for the likelihood of the election.

Iowa Just Became More Important

William Laney | Posted 11.25.2012 | Politics
William Laney

The state of Iowa has only six electoral votes, but nevertheless, it is making a major impact on the presidential race.

Obama Reaches His Highest Likelihood of Reelection

David Rothschild | Posted 11.17.2012 | Politics
David Rothschild

As the summer turned towards Labor Day, Obama gained ground every day that Romney did not. Time is kind to incumbents and leading candidates. The burden is now completely on Romney and/or Ryan to move the needle in their four debates

2012 Electoral Math -- Obama's Bounce

Chris Weigant | Posted 11.17.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

The big question in the next few weeks will be if Obama's impressive convention bounce will hold or fade away. This will set the stage for the first presidential debate, which could prove to be decisive.

Three States Hold the Keys to the Election

David Rothschild | Posted 10.29.2012 | Politics
David Rothschild

If you have limited time to devote to following the presidential election this fall, I suggest you follow the data on just three states: Florida, Virginia, and Ohio. Mitt Romney's only likely path to victory over Barack Obama is to win those three states.

2012 Electoral Math -- Pre-Convention Baseline

Chris Weigant | Posted 10.22.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Now is a good time to look at the state of the race, to establish a baseline to measure all this expected frenzied movement.

2012 Electoral Math -- Ups and Downs

Chris Weigant | Posted 10.08.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Since the last time we took such a snapshot, roughly three weeks ago, both candidates have shown some firming up of their positions, but the good news for both candidates is mixed with some softening as well.

2012 Electoral Math -- Mixed Pictures

Chris Weigant | Posted 09.17.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Since the last time we checked in, two states have moved toward Romney, two states have moved toward Obama, and three states have mixed news.

Obama vs. Romney: Strategies to Capture Critical Boomers in Battleground States

Brent Green | Posted 09.10.2012 | Politics
Brent Green

America today is politically divided among all age segments. However, older voters have some problems of unique concern, informed by generation and current life circumstances, thus inviting attention when campaigns target advertising.

"Oregon, Oregon, Oregon"

Derrick Kitts | Posted 09.04.2012 | Politics
Derrick Kitts

Believe it or not, 2012 is shaping up to be all about the Beaver State. With innocuous races for the Oregon legislature and an under the radar non-partisan race for statewide office, Oregon is the sleeper state up for grabs in 2012.

2012 Electoral Math

Chris Weigant | Posted 08.25.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

This column series will examine the race between Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama in the only way that is useful for actually predicting its outcome: a state-by-state look at how each candidate is doing. National polling is almost completely useless in election prognostication.

Do The Math: The Electoral Numbers Don't Lie

Richard Greener | Posted 08.12.2012 | Politics
Richard Greener

Here's the obvious: if Barack Obama wins every state in 2012 where he won in 2008, he will have 358 electoral votes and he will be reelected. The GOP in 2012 must recapture states that voted for Obama 2008 with at least 90 electoral votes to put a Republican in the White House.

Pennsylvanians Mobilize in Response to New Voter ID Law

Denise Dennis | Posted 07.25.2012 | Politics
Denise Dennis

When the voting rights of our most vulnerable citizens are threatened, everyone's rights are threatened. Democracy is not a fait accompli, it requires attention and constant care or else it might be lost.

Sam Stein

Obama Campaign Outlines Five Paths To Reelection

HuffingtonPost.com | Sam Stein | Posted 12.21.2011 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- At a briefing with reporters on Tuesday morning, top officials in the Obama campaign outlined five distinct paths that they can pursue t...

Why We Remain Stuck With the Electoral System

Grant Calder | Posted 12.11.2011 | Politics
Grant Calder

Every four years, we are reminded that we employ a completely outmoded method of selecting our chief executive. So why haven't we resolved this problem?

The GOP's Genius Plan To Beat Obama In 2012

Mother Jones | Nick Baumann | Posted 11.14.2011 | Politics

Republican state legislators in Pennsylvania are pushing a scheme that, if GOPers in other states follow their lead, could cause President Barack Obam...

McCain Wins Missouri, Breaking Bellwether Streak

AP | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

JEFFERSON CITY, Mo. — Republican John McCain has defeated President-elect Barack Obama in Missouri _ the last state to be decided in the 2008 pr...

The Politics of Realignment

Jerome Karabel | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Jerome Karabel

Barack Obama's victory could well be the third realigning election in the past century -- one that will be seen by historians as the beginning of an emerging Democratic majority.

Bob Novak Just Doesn't Get It

Brian Normoyle | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Brian Normoyle

The President-Elect flipped eight Bush states to the blue column and managed to get two states to elect a Democrat for President for the first time in nearly half a century.

American Beauty

Darin Murphy | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Darin Murphy

It's nearly impossible to grasp the sheer gravity of this moment. All watched with gaping mouths, transfixed by pride and disbelief, as Obama appeared for the first time as the next President.

The Morning After

Laurel Kaufer | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Laurel Kaufer

As we have heard from the analysts on both sides for much of the last month, this year we saw "the perfect storm" hit the Republican party in almost every conceivable way.

Obama's Big Bang in France

Beth Arnold | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Beth Arnold

The truth is -- and some Americans don't understand this -- the French also wanted the best for us.

Obama: From "Shouldn't" to "Did"

Rupert Russell | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Rupert Russell

It is time to throw out the old playbook for one simple reason. It was wrong. Obama wasn't your average Democratic candidate, but then again, America isn't your average country, either.