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Exit Polls

What You Think You Know About The Midterms Is Wrong

Margie Omero | Posted 04.10.2014 | Politics
Margie Omero

There is more to our past success--and failures--than simply getting more women, minorities and young people to the polls. Turnout doesn't exist in a vacuum, and demographics aren't destiny.

Why Did The Polls Miss McAuliffe's Margin of Victory?

Kristen Soltis Anderson | Posted 11.06.2013 | Politics
Kristen Soltis Anderson

With public polling averages indicating Terry McAuliffe would win yesterday's gubernatorial election in Virginia by at least a touchdown, many were surprised to see his Republican challenger Ken Cuccinelli come within three points of the win. So... what happened?

Gov.-Elect McAuliffe Can Thank Women, Unmarried Voters

The Huffington Post | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 11.05.2013 | Politics

Women and unmarried voters played a crucial role in Democratic businessman Terry McAuliffe's surprisingly narrow win in the Virginia governor's race o...

A Mandate -- For What?

Mary L. G. Theroux | Posted 01.15.2013 | Politics
Mary L. G. Theroux

President Obama claimed that his re-election gave him a mandate to increase taxes on those earning more than $250,000 a year because "the majority of Americans agree with my approach." But how can he know?

Mark Blumenthal

How Sandy Almost Knocked Out The Exit Polls

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.14.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- Hurricane Sandy may have shaken up the final week of the 2012 presidential campaign, but few realize how close the storm came to crippli...

Dems Must Add Class Issues to Story of Election

Ira Chernus | Posted 01.13.2013 | Politics
Ira Chernus

It's always been taboo in America to talk about class. The Democrats are just beginning to talk about the divide between the rich and the rest of us. It's another big step to talk about the differences between those above and below the median income.

Why Obama Won the Post-Grad Vote

David Callahan | Posted 11.08.2012 | Politics
David Callahan

Why do the most educated Americans vote Democratic? The most familiar reason is that these voters tend to be more liberal on social issues, and Democrats speak to those views.

The Elephant in the Exit Poll Results: Most White Women Supported Romney

David C. Wilson | Posted 01.08.2013 | Politics
David C. Wilson

I think Nate Silver deserves a lot of credit for being one of the few "poll readers" willing to forecast a numeric probability of Obama's win before E...

Obama's Victory -- A Mandate for Liberal Government

Ari Melber | Posted 01.08.2013 | Politics
Ari Melber

President Obama's reelection marks the most decisive mandate for an assertive, progressive governing model in well over a generation.

Election Monitor: Memo to GOP: It's Not Just a Math Problem

Steve Lombardo | Posted 01.07.2013 | Politics
Steve Lombardo

President Obama captured reelection by running an entirely different campaign than the one he and his team executed in 2008, and his 2012 strategy fit the needs of the candidate -- and the times -- perfectly.

Tyler Kingkade

More Young Voters Cast Ballots Than In 2008

HuffingtonPost.com | Tyler Kingkade | Posted 11.07.2012 | College

NEW YORK -- Young voters represented a greater share of the national electorate Tuesday than four years ago, once again voting for President Barack Ob...

Ariel Edwards-Levy

Exit Polls 2012 (LIVE UPDATES)

HuffingtonPost.com | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 11.06.2012 | Politics

As voting comes to a close throughout the country, exit polling results will quickly follow. Exit polls are conducted for the National Election Po...

Beware of the Exit Polls

Zach Friend | Posted 01.06.2013 | Politics
Zach Friend

Today is Election Day and all across the nation, people are queuing up to make their voices heard, from the storm battered Northeast to the desert Wes...

Mark Blumenthal

Final Polls: Obama Leads

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.06.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- As millions of voters head to their polling places across the U.S., the final round of pre-election polls finds a close race nationwide,...

Mark Blumenthal

Exit Polls: There's One Thing They Won't Tell You

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.06.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- If you care about politics and spend a fair amount of time online, odds are good that sometime between 5 p.m. and 7:30 p.m. Eastern time...

Mark Blumenthal

Presidential Polls 2012: Obama's Battleground Advantage Holds

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.03.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- The veritable fire hose of data turned on in the final days of the 2012 campaign leaves little doubt that while the national popular vot...

Networks Making Big Election Night Change

AP | DAVID BAUDER | Posted 12.25.2012 | Media

NEW YORK — A growth in early voting and tough economy for the media are forcing changes to the exit poll system that television networks and The...

Exit Polls Canceled In 19 States

The Huffington Post | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 10.04.2012 | Politics

State-level exit polls after the election will only be conducted in 31 states this year, the Washington Post reports, with yet-to-be-named noncompetit...

Is Wisconsin Now a Purple State?

Michael P. McDonald | Posted 08.06.2012 | Politics
Michael P. McDonald

Does Scott Walker's victory in the Wisconsin recall election mean that Wisconsin is now in play in the November presidential election? Short answer is no, for two reasons.

WATCH: Lawrence O'Donnell Makes Bold Claim

Posted 06.06.2012 | Media

Lawrence O'Donnell declared President Obama the "big winner" of Tuesday night's Wisconsin recall election. O'Donnell hosted the network's breaking...

Mark Blumenthal

Exit Polls Show Key Shift From Deep South

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.20.2012 | Politics

The polls in Illinois do not close until 7 p.m. Central time (8 p.m. Eastern), but news organizations that subscribe to the Illinois exit poll produce...

Exit Polls: Women 'Abandoned Newt' In Florida

AP | ALAN FRAM and JENNIFER AGIESTA | Posted 04.01.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON — Women abandoned Newt Gingrich in droves Tuesday and helped fuel former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney's triumph in Florida's Republ...

Mark Blumenthal

Can Romney Hold Conservatives In South Carolina?

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 01.11.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- Mitt Romney's solid victory in New Hampshire, judging from the network exit poll, can be credited to two factors that made the state esp...

Going With Your Gut in the Voting Booth

Sam Sommers | Posted 03.12.2012 | Politics
Sam Sommers

No, this is not another blog post about the benefits (or costs) to being beautiful, though attractiveness certainly is a characteristic that can impact an election. Just ask Richard Nixon. But I'm not talking about physical attractiveness per se.

Rick Perry: National or Niche Candidate?

Kristen Soltis Anderson | Posted 10.16.2011 | Politics
Kristen Soltis Anderson

In order to become president, Rick Perry will need to significantly build on his current status with swing groups. But to count him out and dismiss his candidacy out of hand would be an incredible folly for strategists on either side of the aisle.