Generic House Vote

Make no mistake, more women will vote Democratic this November. That's been true in presidential elections since 1980, and it has been true nationally in House races in the last eight cycles examined.

Anyone following campaigns closely has seen the numbers and read the stories. Democrats are in trouble. One particularly salient point: last week's ...

On Saturday, political scientists at the American Political Science Association conference in Washington, D.C. will debut their models for predicting ...

The Gallup generic ballot has provided plenty of fodder with election analysts this summer. No clearer was the importance of the Gallup generic ballot...

Emory University political scientist Alan Abramowitz sent out a useful analysis today that he's given me permission to post: From fivethirtyeight.com...

National Gallup 8/2-8/10; 1,600 registered voters, 3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone interviews (Gallup release) 2010 Congress: Generic Ballot...

National Gallup 7/26-8/1/10; 1,562 registered voters, 3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone interviews (Gallup release) 2010 Congress: Generic Bal...

Fox News / Opinion Dynamics 7/27-28/10; 900 registered voters, 3% margin of error 336 Democrats, 5% margin of error 366 Republicans, 5% margin of erro...

Fox News / Opinion Dynamics 7/13-14/10; 900 registered voters, 3% margin of error 332 Democrats, 5% margin of error 343 Republicans, 5% margin of erro...

National Gallup 7/5-11/10; 1,600 registered voters, 3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone interviews (Gallup release) 2010 Congress: Generic Ballo...

National Gallup 6/21-27/10; 1,600 registered voters, 3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone interviews (Gallup release) 2010 Congress: Generic Ball...

This week my firm, along with Republican pollsters Neil Newhouse & Alex Bratty from Public Opinion Strategies, released a survey of women overall,...

Harris 6/14-21/10; 2,227 adults Mode: Internet (Harris release) Update: Congress National Job Approval Pres. Obama: 6% Excellent, 33% Pretty Good, 2...

NBC News / Wall Street Journal 6/17-21/10; 1,000 adults, 3.1% margin of error 880 registered voters, 3.3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone intervi...

Public Policy Polling (D) 6/4-7/10; 650 registered voters, 3.9% margin of error Mode: Automated phone (PPP release) National 2010 Congress: Generic ...

Economist / YouGov 6/5-8/10; 1,000 adults, 3.5% margin of error Mode: Internet (Economist release) National Obama Job Approval 44% Approve, 49% Disa...

Fox News / Opinion Dynamics 6/8-9/10; 900 registered voters, 3% margin of error 373 Democrats, 5% margin of error 305 Republicans, 5% margin of error ...

Gallup 5/24-30/10; 1,600 registered voters, 3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone interviews (Gallup release) National 2010 Congress: Generic Bal...

Rasmussen 5/24-30/10; 3,500 likely voters, 2% margin of error Mode: Automated phone (Rasmussen release) National 2010 Congress: Generic Ballot 44% R...

Last Thursday the Pew Research Center released an analysis drawing on their extensive ongoing investigation of the impact of the growing cell-phone on...

National Gallup 5/17-23/10; 1,600 registered voters, 3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone interviews (Gallup release) 2010 Congress: Generic Ball...

National Gallup 5/10-16/10; 1,600 registered voters, 3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone interviews (Gallup release) 2010 Congress: Generic Ball...

Today at the AAPOR Conference in Chicago, I interviewed Jeff Jones, managing editor of the Gallup Poll, on his work using the generic House vote to pr...

National Gallup 5/3-8/10; 1,600 registered voters, 3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone interviews (Gallup release) 2010 Congress: Generic Ballot...

National Gallup 4/26-5/2/10; 1,600 registered voters, 3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone interviews (Gallup release) 2010 Congress: Generic Bal...