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Obama Poll Watch -- April 2014

Chris Weigant | Posted 07.05.2014 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Obama has gained back all the ground he had lost and then some (well, "and then a little bit more" would be more accurate...). He still hasn't quite made it back to where his poll numbers were before the Obamacare website rollout, but if the trendlines continue in May, he is at least within reach of this goal for the first time since October.

Obama Poll Watch -- March, 2014

Chris Weigant | Posted 06.02.2014 | Politics
Chris Weigant

President Obama's job approval polling was down a bit last month, ending three months of positive news. He didn't slip back much, but the reversal does bring up a serious question: is Obama stuck in a "new normal" of job approval numbers in the low-40s range?

Obama Poll Watch -- March, 2013

Chris Weigant | Posted 04.03.2013 | Politics
Chris Weigant

President Obama lost almost all the ground he had gained late in the 2012 election season. He hit a new low in approval and a new high in disapproval for his second term, as the honeymoon bounce completely evaporated.

Obama Poll Watch -- December, 2012

Chris Weigant | Posted 03.04.2013 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Obama is currently enjoying not only a vacation with his family in Hawai'i, but also a "second honeymoon" with the public at large. If history is any guide, the fiscal cliff deal could create another wave of approval on top of the "second honeymoon."

Final Electoral Math -- My 2012 Election Picks

Chris Weigant | Posted 01.23.2014 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Today, we're just going to throw caution to the wind, and go ahead and predict the outcome of tomorrow night's returns.

2012 Electoral Math -- Debate Effects Remain to Be Seen

Chris Weigant | Posted 12.08.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

National polls have pulled back into a neck-and-neck contest. This is all fun for the pundits, who (pre-debate) were on the verge of declaring the race all but over (and, hence, boring), but we hasten to remind everyone that this is not how we elect presidents.

2012 Electoral Math -- Obama Solidifies Bounce

Chris Weigant | Posted 11.26.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Of course, we are heading into debate season, so things could always change, but at the moment it is looking decidedly good for an Obama win. Here's how the election would break down if held today.

2012 Electoral Math -- Pre-Convention Baseline

Chris Weigant | Posted 10.22.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Now is a good time to look at the state of the race, to establish a baseline to measure all this expected frenzied movement.

Obama Poll Watch -- November, 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 02.04.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

This month Obama poll watchers got some good news, and some bad news. This was capped off by the Washington punditocracy making a stupid comparison between polling for Obama and Carter.

Obama Poll Watch -- June, 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 09.05.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

[Program Note: Last month, we ran this column four days before the end of May, due to travel plans. We promised we'd update the preliminary numbers i...

Obama Poll Watch -- May, 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 07.27.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

"What a difference a death makes." President Obama announced at the very beginning of the month that Osama bin Laden was dead, and his poll numbers reacted almost immediately.

Obama Poll Watch -- April 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 07.04.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

April was a pretty miserable month for Barack Obama, mostly due to the high price of gasoline at the pump. But May is already shaping up to be one of Obama's best months ever, for one very obvious reason.

Obama Poll Watch -- March, 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 06.04.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

While catastrophic world events dominated the news for most of the month, Obama's approval rating was being hit with a creeping domestic problem -- the rising price of gasoline.

Obama Poll Watch -- January, 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

When taken month-to-month, January, 2011, was Obama's best month of his entire presidency. Not only did he finally get his bump -- but it was a truly significant bump.

Obama Poll Watch -- December, 2010

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Obama once again charted an unbelievably stable month in terms of approval ratings. The mildly good news was in his disapproval rating, which dropped significantly over the course of December.

Obama Poll Watch -- October 2010

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Obama's approval rating ended the month on somewhat of an upswing, at 46.1 percent.Obama's approval rating stayed remarkably steady all month long.

Obama Poll Watch -- September, 2010

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Last month I rashly wrote that since Obama was starting the month on an upswing, he had a good chance of posting largish gains in September. This didn't happen.

Obama Poll Watch -- July, 2010

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

July had some political successes for Obama, but the public once again didn't give him any credit for passing Wall Street reform, or any of the other achievements Obama chalked up.

Friday Talking Points [122] -- Bikini Bottom Update

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Since it's the Friday after month's-end, the new monthly unemployment numbers were released today. Which adds another bar to the "bikini bottom" char...

Obama Poll Watch -- April, 2010

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Obama seems to have hit a plateau in his approval ratings, which have remained largely unchanged for the past three months. Could it be that we've all just made up our minds about the job the president is doing?

Obama Poll Watch -- May, 2010

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Will Obama's presidency wind up charting a similar course as Carter, or will he recover as Reagan did? Only a fool would even contemplate making such a prediction at this point, that's all that really can be said.

Obama Poll Watch -- March, 2010

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Everyone was looking for a healthy bounce in Obama's poll numbers after health reform passed. This bounce has either failed to materialize yet, or is so gradual it likely won't end up being called a "bounce."

Obama Poll Watch -- February, 2010

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

The president's approval and disapproval numbers are within kissing distance. When will Obama turn this around? Will he turn this around?

Obama Poll Watch -- January, 2010

Chris Weigant | Posted 02.03.2010 | Politics
Chris Weigant

After taking a look at Obama's numbers for the month, we continue our march backwards through history, this month serving up a comparison between Obama and Richard Nixon's term-and-a-half.

Dec. '09 Obama Poll Watch -- Below Fifty, But Stabilizing

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

It's time once again for Obama Poll Watch -- our monthly look back at Obama's approval ratings for the previous month.