Obama, Electability and the Recursive Bradley Effect
Polls are often wrong, but rarely this wrong, and so not surprisingly, the post-election narrative was as much dominated by the unexpected nature of the results as the results themselves.
Polls are often wrong, but rarely this wrong, and so not surprisingly, the post-election narrative was as much dominated by the unexpected nature of the results as the results themselves.
Steve Clemons | Posted 01.09.2008 | Politics
My New America Foundation colleague and fellow blogger Mark Schmitt and I discuss the New Hampshire primary results. The following clip runs about ei...
HuffingtonPost.com | Thomas B. Edsall | Posted 01.09.2008 | Politics
Manchester, NH -- The conventional wisdom today about the results of the New Hampshire Democratic primary does not take into account the complexity of...
The Hill | Klaus Marre | Posted 01.09.2008 | Politics
Sen. Barack Obama's (D-Ill.) presidential campaign is raising contributions at the rate of $1 million a day so far this year, campaign manager David P...
Salon | Glenn Greenwald | Posted 01.09.2008 | Politics
Here's the cover for this week's issue of The Weekly Standard, excitingly available on newsstands now. Here, once again, we encounter the renowned ju...
Election Central | Greg Sargent | Posted 01.09.2008 | Politics
The Tears are now officially an issue in Campaign 2008. Obama's national campaign co-chair, Jesse Jackson, Jr., just went on MSNBC and appeared to qu...
ABC News | KATE SNOW and JENNIFER PARKER | Posted 01.09.2008 | Politics
The woman whose empathetic question -- "how do you do it?" -- sparked uncharacteristic emotion Monday from Sen. Hillary Clinton ended up voting for Se...
Political Radar | Kate Snow and Jennifer Parker | Posted 01.09.2008 | Politics
The woman whose empathetic question -- "how do you do it?" -- sparked uncharacteristic emotion Monday from Sen. Hillary Clinton ended up voting for Se...
The Huffington Post | Posted 01.09.2008 | Politics
Rasmussen New Hampshire Primary (January 5-7 ) Obama 37 Clinton 30 Edwards 19 Richardson 8 McCain 32 Romney 31 Huckabee 10 Giuliani 8 Paul 8 See fu...
AP | MIKE MOKRZYCKI | Posted 01.09.2008 | Politics
John McCain's experience, reputation for "straight talk" and appeal among moderates helped him beat Mitt Romney in New Hampshire's Republican primary,...
Daniel Nichanian | Posted 01.09.2008 | Home
The polls did not get this election wrong. Any careful reading of them would have had to concede that yesterday's voting looked unpredictable. The media had this information, yet chose to show the race as a done deal.
Huffington Post | Posted 01.09.2008 | Politics
Hillary Clinton also agreed that choking up helped her campaign in New Hampshire: Clinton attributed her win in part to her success late in the rac...
Political Wire | Stuart Rothenberg | Posted 01.09.2008 | Politics
While some will suggest that Sen. Hillary Clinton's New Hampshire victory can be traced to her emotional comments shortly before the primary, and othe...
AP | Posted 01.09.2008 | Politics
In the land of comebacks, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton and John McCain revived their sagging campaigns Tuesday night and catapulted the Democratic and ...
New York Times | Posted 01.09.2008 | Politics
On the eve of the New Hampshire primary, Senator Barack Obama delivered a message to supporters: "Do not take this race for granted. I know we had a n...
The Daily Dish | Andrew Sullivan | Posted 01.09.2008 | Politics
Here are my thoughts: the media piled on too much at the end and there was a voter backlash; independents may have assumed an Obama victory and went f...
CBS News | Posted 01.09.2008 | Politics
Barack Obama's speech to New Hampshire voters following Tuesday's primary vote: ...
Sheldon Drobny | Posted 01.09.2008 | Politics
The mainstream media overstated the Obama momentum and helped turn Hillary into a victim, something New Hampshire women may have found offensive.
CBS News | Posted 01.09.2008 | Politics
Hillary Clinton's New Hampshire victory speech: ...
Michelle Kraus | Posted 01.09.2008 | Politics
The tabloids portray youth and beauty as the formula for success for women. Hillary Clinton found her voice amidst the media barrage that tried to make this about the politics of gender.
AP | Posted 01.08.2008 | Politics
Hillary Rodham Clinton proved Tuesday that more than one Clinton can be "the Comeback Kid." "Over the last week, I listened to you, and in the proces...
AP | Posted 01.08.2008 | Politics
Barack Obama pronounced himself "still fired up and ready to go" after a second-place finish in New Hampshire's Democratic primary. "You know, a few ...
Atlantic | Marc Ambinder | Posted 01.08.2008 | Politics
AP CALLS IT FOR CLINTON, NBC, CBS TOO ** A Clinton aide: "We got our woman back and our downscale voters back and we raised the right questions about...
Max Fraad Wolff | Posted 01.08.2008 | Politics
Early results from Election 2008 suggest that either the donors are wrong, or public perception of the candidates is the product of ad spending and spin.
HuffingtonPost.com | Thomas B. Edsall | Posted 01.08.2008 | Politics
The leaders of Emily's List, the American Federation of Teachers (AFT) and the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME), ...
The McCain campaign implied on Wednesday that Barack Obama's commitment...
Before the largest crowd of his campaign, Democratic presidential contender Barack...
When Katie Couric told Haaretz that "The glory days of TV news...
There is one more John McCain gaffe that...
As we have observed throughout the last several years,...
In a flagrant political act, the State Department has...
**UPDATE 7/25** ThinkProgress now reports that the bar...
** Update below: Nas delivers Fox petition to Stephen...
BARCELONA, Spain — Christian Bale swept into Barcelona on Wednesday night to attend a...
If you're wondering about the recent articles claiming that a study found...
HOUSTON — A "dead zone" in the Gulf of Mexico off...
WASHINGTON — Rescue legislation sailed through the House on Wednesday aimed at...
David Goldstein | Posted 01.14.2008 | Politics