Romney's problem is still that he's Romney. Don't expect better than third out of him in Iowa. The reasons are many and manifest and have been talked about and written about until they are likely carved into tablets of jade somewhere. As for Newt, the polls in Iowa and elsewhere have been friendly to him but the voters in Iowa will be less magnanimous. They aren't likely to be as forgiving as the analysts think. Ron Paul is the guy who could end up as the Mike Huckabee of 2008. He might even do considerably better throughout the spring. Where does this leave us? We could go all the way through Super Tuesday in the first week of March and still not know who will be the nominee of the Republican Party.