As we enter the final week of the campaign, an obvious question to ask is how to convert the state-by-state probabilities of an Obama or Romney lead in the polls to probabilities that Obama or Romney will win the state and the election itself.
It's time to fight like hell for the party of the center-right, represented by Barack Obama, against the party of the far right. There is no alternative. It's a time for progressives to be disappointed and resolute.
The Electoral College system further distorts the presidential campaign by causing the candidates to grant extra weight to the parochial needs of the swing states.
Perhaps, conditioned by the relentlessness of the U.S. system, you can't think of any other way to run an election. But there are several in use around the world, and even around the United States.
The President-Elect flipped eight Bush states to the blue column and managed to get two states to elect a Democrat for President for the first time in nearly half a century.
Confronting an increasingly bleak electoral map, top aides to Senator John McCain said Thursday that they were searching for a "narrow-victory scenari...
Barack Obama has never been particularly shy about his hope to reshape the political landscape of a country deeply divided between red and blue. To mu...
The map hasn't changed all that much in 148 years. But the political parties have switched places.
The northeast part of the country, from Illinois t...
Some scattered thoughts on the ponderable above:
1. Thave been some particular resource allocation decisions made by the Obama campaign that I've bee...
The plan is not as innovative as its designers suggest. Obama will be played up as beyond the mainstream and California as seriously in play, both ideas unlikely to rattle the Obama campaign.
A month ago, NBC's electoral map showed an exact tie between Obama and McCain -- including 'base' and 'lean' states, each had 200 electoral votes. But...
THE interim between the primaries and the parties' nominating conventions is, according to ancient writ, a fertile period for presidential campaigns t...
Last night in Anchorage, Obama staff told a small crowd that Obama would be coming to campaign in Alaska. A new poll has the margin closing here dramatically, to 5 points with 17 percent undecided.
If Obama can close the deal out West -- winning back Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico while simply holding the states that went for Kerry in 2004 -- then he can win.
Until 2000, it hadn't happened in more than 100 years, but plugged-in observers from both parties see a distinct possibility of Barack Obama winning t...
Obama is strong in the Rockies and weak in the Appalachians. His map is tilted to the west. He may well win Col. and even Nev. in the general election but how does that balance against Ohio, Penn. Fl.?